Saturday, October 28, 2006

The MLB Season is Over

And just like that I get the big moose job to close out the season. It was disappointing, but the 2006 season was not kind. Made a short run late in regular season and World Series was a good chance to make up ground with some momentum it was not in my cards. I guess my emotions got the best of me not even pulling a trigger on St Louis when I knew Tigers were barely afloat.
Well the rules of the trade is Never Look Back and I will move on.
I'll make my rounds at Arizona fall league, Asian series and Caribbean ball to sharpen my selections.

Yall come back and see me for MLB 2007 or if you've got the Basketball Jones come drop by Money Plays NBA.

Friday, October 27, 2006

No Play for me in St Louis

Tigers are at the edge. As much as I want them to get back to Detroit I can not back them here. Yes I'll watch the game and root for the Tigers, but that's about it. I may have a play if they stay alive nothing today.

Having technical problems with NBA blog. I'll be on T-Wolves, Bobcats and Kings tonight.

Thursday, October 26, 2006

Another Bad Weather Day

This is not a game to take any early position.
Wait for better conditions.

Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Raining in St Louis

Starting to think they might try to get this game going with forcast getting worse the next two days. I don't like it, this game may not go full 9 innings if it gets going, make this a pass.

Sunday, October 22, 2006

World Series game 3

Had to post this early as the line is moving fast.

Now it's Monday night the Moneyline at Pinnacle is down to Detroit +133, but being on the right side of fast money does not guarantee a win and there's been little movement today. I said this before, but underdog teams coming into the playoffs and reaching the World Series have historically been very tough to beat. LaRussa is making his move at home with his best guy Carpenter. The dropping total (now O/U 7.5 at Under -113, Over +103) tells the expectations of an pitching battle so that means Carpenter comes out of the gate sharp with no control issues and Robertson, a LHP with long rest, is expected to keep the Cards at bay. I have to factor Robertson with some questions because of the extended rest, but doubt he'll be good as Rogers and hope much sharper than Verlander. Carpenter looked good, but got out pitched in game 6 NLCS before that he didn't have good command throwing 92 pitches in 5 innings in game 2 NLCS no decision St Louis bats did the talking 9-6 in a rally win.
Robertson is similar giving up no runs to Oakland in game 1 ALCS before that he got knocked out by the Yankees.
It'll be a good game day. Sun will be out with some cloud coverage very little wind and temperature will be cool 53 degrees and dropping as game progresses. The value is still on the dogs and I predict a two run differential.

DET +147 for 2 units(L)
Carpenter at home was right on. Now the series is getting interesting.
0-1 -2.00 units

World Series game 2 redo

Lost another post.

For the record these were the published plays
STL/DET O4.5 First 5 innings +103 for 1 unit(L)
STL/DET O4 First 5 innings -116 for 2 units(L) (buy 0.5)

STL/DET IN GAME UNDER 5.5 -108 for 2 units(W) (bottom of 6th)

1-2 -1.32 units

Saturday, October 21, 2006

World Series 2006

If you don't know the big loser for this match up is Fox Broadcasting with heavy wager on this World Series getting big ratings. Well that bet is a huge Underdog with the big market teams, named Yankees & Mets, out of this picture. The brain trusts of Fox wagered on New York/New York series or New York/Los Angeles series and basically lost. Now to minimize their losses the best hope is the series to go 7 games, fat chance. Maybe they'll be better off following my selections.

I'm already on Tigers taking the World Series and that was published long ago in late regular season.
For the first game of World Series I plan to take St. Louis Cardinals with rookie Reyes against the rested Detroit Tiger and Verlander. I'm playing into the long rest for Tigers having adverse effects coupled with Verlander not showing his top stuff in the Post Season, but I'm also weighing the impressive stretch of playoff Underdogs. Cinderella teams in post season making it to World Series have always played tough and there's bit more magic to the Cardinals than what I felt with Houston last year. I'm not looking to hedge the Tigers on the series it's a good play with value on the first game and public is all over Detroit today.

Stay tuned for my selection. Just looking for a spot to pull the trigger.

SLC +180 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +3.60 units

Thursday, October 19, 2006

Game 7 NLCS *Redo

I'm sure there was a post here earlier? Did anyone see it?

I don't like the full game in Shea though Cardinals are my lean. I might take a unit wager if the price improves near game time, but my take will be on the First 5 innings to play the pitchers angle and fade Perez against Suppan.
Watching the line...

I'd like to hold off longer, but I can't without a chance of not making the window so taking it now.

SLC First 5 innings at +107 for 2 units(Push)
Did take Cardianls money line just before game, but not recording it with no post. My apologies to Perez, Willie Randolph and the New York Mets, they played to the last man loading the bases bottom of the 9th with Beltran at the plate the game was a coin flip.

Now the Tigers are the favorite for World Series, how about that.

Dog days of October to continue...

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

National League Championship Series 2-2

It's going to be a perfect baseball weather in October. I'll have my selection in awhile stay tuned.

Need a turn around tonight. The rain outs kill momentum and the momentum was with the bats in the last game. Good pitching condition to make this a tight game.

NYM/STL UNDER 9 at -102 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Monday, October 16, 2006

Rain, Rain go away

It'll give me more time to tinker with the Cardinals and Metropolitans.

Sunday, October 15, 2006

Sunday National League Championship Series

OK I'll reverse the take on this series at St. Louis looking more like the winning Cards.

STL -126 for 2 units(L)
That sucked.
0-1 -2.52 units

Saturday, October 14, 2006

Saturday National League Championship Series

WTF, This is my third try to post my selection here.
I'm not doing the write up as I've lost it twice.

NYM +116 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Saturday American League Championship Series

Missed games yesterday and I've been skipping around lately from Baskets in Europe to early Season NHL so if you need to look around a bit to find my plays, but it's posted.
Tigers are on the prowl and they are clutch backed World Series top pick. Funny how I got pounced after my WS selection as Detroit declined to mediocrity in late season, everyone loved the Yankees than Oakland now the public is eyeing the Mets Tigers World Series. I've already made my call and I'm sticking to it.

Today's selection with anticipated pitching duel dictated by the wager line
Total 7.5 with money to the Under. That is a undeserving Under in American League.
Buy the hook.
That's Over the low number
DET/OAK OVER 7 at -125 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Thursday, October 12, 2006

Cory Lidle Rest in Peace

It's sad to have anyone lose their life. May not have been a house hold name pitcher, but was always a capper's friend. We'll all miss you now that you are with god.

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

NLCS Cardinals at Metropolitans

We will have chance of rain for this game with heavy humidity and wind blowing 12 mph East in from center field.

Starting pitcher for St. Louis is Jeff Weaver. Much better away and looks to be peaking at the right time. His ERA has steadily dropped leading to October.
Starting pitcher for New York is veteran Tom Glavine who has shown poise and knowledge to keep it close. Both sides will be featuring formidable bull pens so the leash will not be very long. I understand the power behind Mets line up or Puljols able to unload on LHP at any time, but taking a chance with the Under.

STL/NYM UNDER 9 at +118 for 2 units(Rained Out)

Hope you guys stayed on this Under I didn't have enough time today, but nothing really changed and weather condition turned out to what I was expecting yesterday except for the change in wind direction.
The price was not as good as Wednesday I guess players caught on.

Friday, October 06, 2006

Saturday Post Season MLB

I started writing Friday plays, but there were endless interruptions I just could not get it published. It would of broke even so no harm done.

As for Saturday National League I'm backing the Cardinals at home with Suppan pitching against Young and the Padres. San Diego better on the road, but the Playoff transition of the Red Birds will prove too much for the Pads.

STL -105 for 3 units(L)

Taking Yanks to redeem themselves after getting shut out.
Not really against the Tigers as the middle relief is the under belly of the Yankees.

NYY -0.5 First 5 innings at +104 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -5.15 units

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Day 2 of Playoffs

You guys are thinking I'm wagering on Dodgers as the road dog? Pinny still has El Duque as the listed pitcher with Mets -124. Will this move when they adjust to Maine or Williams? (Hernandez had MRI on right calf muscle Tuesday afternoon)
Money has been moving to Dodgers all along and when the adjustment settles the play will more than likely be on the Mets.

I'll be back before game time.

The pitchers have been corrected, but now the line is Mets -127. NYM is still the play I don't see anything to change my mind, but I'm going to dig a bit more.
Going against LA is not in my nature.

Becareful on Oakland at Minnesota game. Many are hot on Twins today, but they were sold on Santana yesterday too and Oakland is 12-6 in game 2 after taking game 1 in post season.

Be back with the selection.

NYM First 5 innings -131 for 2 units(W)
NYM -124 for 3 units(W)

2-0 +5.00 units

Sunday, October 01, 2006

October Major League Baseball

The lines are out at Pinnacle Sports
(just click my join Pinnacle link)

National League West was the butt of National League, but look who's in? Cards/Pads & Dodgers/Mets, two out of four coming from the West. Both Western teams are going to give the East and Central a run for their money.

Lets look at the Opener playing on the West Coast that's beautiful San Diego.
You know, Sea World, Zoo, Gas Lamp district...PetCo Park right in downtown.
Keeping in mind Post Season Baseball is brand new baseball. Remember Carpenter's late season struggles in 2005 only to come back brilliantly in Post Season play.
There is no other Red Birds pitcher I'd rather have on the mound, but I do FEEL a difference in Cards that's as a team they are not balanced as well as the Pads.
Peavy and Padres come in very strong and they are at home.
Carp and Cards come in limping winning the division by Houston default.

SDP -113 for 3 units(L)

Not a good way to start 0-1 -3.39

Sunday MLB Last Day of Regular Season

Los Angeles Dodgers Stults at San Francisco Giants Schmidt.
Dodgers scratched Lowe and slew of regulars are going to get their rest. Jason Schmidt and the Giants should be a shoe in to win the final game at home, or are they? Schmidt haven't had quality outing since 9/03 at Chicago and he's has 3 multiple Home Run games out of last 5. Dodgers have done it with young players all season. Don't expect Dodgers to skip this game.

This will be my only game today. Good luck and see you all in Post Season MLB.

LAD +169 for 2 units(W)

Looks like I'm dialed in at the moment hope to keep it hot so stay tuned.
1-0 +3.38 units