Saturday, June 30, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-1 last selection YTD 46-27 +23.18

White Sox was a bad pick yesterday, but what a game Padres and Dodgers! I had to sweat out the bottom of the 9th after Dodgers late game surge. It had that feel of battle for the NL West No#1 and it will continue today with Peavy and Penny, two western gunslingers will see who has the fastest draw in this two horse town called L.A. I'll be there to witness this match.

Be back with a selection on this game.

LAD -103 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.03 units

Friday, June 29, 2007

MLB Friday

Tough loss yesterday 0-1 YTD 45-26 +24.18 units

KC swept the Angels at the Big A! That is impressive. The White Sox also comes to this series having swept the D-Rays. Looking at these two teams they are two games apart with Royals surging in June. Are White Sox the hunted? I gave this question some consideration and decided Royals are the hunted. White Sox have returned some stability in their bull pen and the meat of the line up showing signs of life. I also think Royals caught the Angels at the right time with luck on their side. Backing the big Cuban tonight.

CWS at +101 for 2 units(L)

A game I'm watching the movement is San Diego at Dodger stadium. This game with division implications comes as a rare Dodger home underdog. This is due to Young's sparkling record on the road combined with day of rest and tough road trip schedule with no rest for Dodgers. How about Quo? He's not consistent and unpredictable. Fundamental reason would give Pads the edge. I believe Dodgers will not fare well against Young tonight the other part of the equation is will Pads be able to hit Quo? Not much power in their line up Pads will need to manufacture runs even if Quo is not effective Dodger bull pen can shut it down for 4 innings. I still have time with this late game.

SDP -107 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 -1.00 unit

Thursday, June 28, 2007

MLB Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 45-25 +25.18 units

Taking a shot with Cincy tonight. I know Phillies rarely loses two straight at home and bounces back well after giving up more than 5 runs in previous game. Adam Eaton had a rough outing in his last start, but he too recovers well in following game. Nothing jumps out in this match up and many may side with Phillies at Moneyline -150 to -200 range being 12-2 in last 14 and 7-0 at home. But I think Belisle will do OK both teams swinging hot bats and I don't think we're looking at a pitchers duel. I look to sneak this one by the bookies and look for the dog to win when the dust settles.

CIN +147 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

MLB Wednesday

1-0 on Monday YTD 44-25 +24.03 units

Padres at Giants are playing some low scoring games. I understand the Giants argument, but I just can't buy it. Going with the visitors.

SDP +115 for 1unit(W)

1-0 +1.15 units

Monday, June 25, 2007

MLB Monday

2-0 last selection YTD 43-25 +20.95 units

Monday already? Had some plays on Sunday I missed posting but Sunday went well. I'm not going to gloat on plays nobody saw I'm just saying the plays are still hot even with the weekend break.

Tigers are rolling and they will send Bonderman to the mound at Comerica park. Jeremy is winning ball games (8-0 with team going 9-4 in his start) Bonderman hittable, but Tigers swing their bats when he pitches. Texas Rangers come in swinging good bats Kameron Loe's put two quality outings back to back but it was the Tigers that took him apart in 2.2 innings (6/7 @Texas 11-4 on 9 hits 9 runs earned on 75 pitches) I may take the 10 total with plus numbers as well.

TEX/DET OVER 9.5 at -103 for 2 units(W)

TEX/DET OVER 10 at +118 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +3.18 units

Thursday, June 21, 2007

MLB Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 41-25 +18.61 units

Heading out to the mountains and I'm getting rushed. Don't worry I didn't rush the pick.
Taking Bedard and the O's against one of the best in the NL West Padres and Boomer. The battle ground will be home team dominated Petco Park in downtown San Diego, California.
O's snap their losing streak in strong fashion with offense and defense both clicking at the same time. Let's do it again under the California sun.

BAL +112 for 1 unit(W)

Now I'm running late, but it's the weekend?, what was I thinking it's still Thursday! (I've made my title correction to Thu vice Sat) I'll be back on Sunday.
I wasn't about to go against Doc even with my boys in Blue rolling through Toronto. Dodgers did not have a chance last night, but tonight it'll be payback with young Billingsly on the mound. He had his go around on the Major league mound I expect him to give Dodgers a shot tonight.

LAD +122 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +2.34 units

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

MLB Wednesday

1-0 last selection YTD 40-25 +17.40 units

Marlins at White Sox is the tale of two teams on a skid. Hard luck teams taken by injuries, taxed bull pens and being emotionally drained. Is this game even worth playing? Not if you lean to White Sox there's no value and proposition is shaky at best with compromised production.
At first I liked the White Sox with Garland 10-0 in day light facing Mitre and Fish. Losing D-Train on Tuesday after 1 inning Florida pen is very thin giving edge to Sox in late game, what am I saying? Late inning losses have come at the expense of Chicago 2-5 in last 7 games straight. White Sox led all 7 games before dropping 5 of those.

FLA +121 for 1 unit(W)

What I'd say? Sox was winning 2-1 going into 8th inning. Oh it's alright!
1-0 +1.21 units

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

MLB Tuesday

1-0 last selection YTD 39-25 +15.40 units

Blue Jays are playing in the shadows of New York Yankees in battle for AL East No#2, did anyone do a double take? 13-6 dating back to 5/11. Today they will give the ball to Dustin McGowan 2-0 with 3.98 ERA at home and 2-0 his last 3 outings with 3.15 ERA. On 6/08 against the Dodgers pitched 7 innings 4 hits 2 runs earned on 81 pitches and he has been very good. Blue Jays will be a force....blah, blah, blah, blah
No# 2 Yanks in AL East is 8 games back of Boston and Jays are 10.5 games with Tampa at 12.5 games back playing below .500 ball No#3 is worth shit. Dodgers playing tight baseball sending Brad Penny 8-1 with 2.18 ERA, 4-1 with 3.29 ERA on road he is in All Star form.
Dodgers 21-10 against team with losing record will look to get back on winning track.

LAD -118 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Monday, June 18, 2007

MLB Monday

Coming off a 0-1 last selection. YTD 38-25 +14.40 units

I took some at -109 but full unit at -106. I like Chico and not sure if this will sail over, but Over is the call. Historical return of Tigers to DC and Tigers bats come alive with Maroth on the mound.

DET/WAS Over 9.5 at -106 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Saturday, June 16, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-1 last selection but lost the big one. YTD 38-24 +15.40 units

Los Angeles Dodgers today. Jason is still adjusting on the mound and so is Jered. I expect another good game with Dodgers advantage at home.
I'm also thinking this one goes Over

LAD +112 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Friday, June 15, 2007

MLB Friday

0-1 last selection. YTD 37-23 +16.54 units

Taking Cubs today at home with the early game. Padres will come to town and yes San Diego comes in winning, but I'm not sold on their ability to produce runs lacking power in line up yesterdays D-Rays results are misleading. On the home field Cubs are surging and their bats are coming to life.

CUBS -125 for 1 unit(W)

Like Minny at home against visiting Brew Crew. Twins are heating up and I think they will roll tonight.

MIN -107 for 2 units(L)

If your having Under dog thoughts Nationals at Toronto has value just not completely sold on Nats winning, but Jays even with Doc is priced too high.
RL is an option but if Nats lose it'll be more than 1 run IMO.

1-1 -1.14 units

Thursday, June 14, 2007

MLB Thursday

Big winning 3-0 last selection YTD 37-22 +17.57 units

Making a quick post game is near start again.

OAK/HOU UNDER 8 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.03 units

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

MLB Wednesday

2-0 last selection YTD 33-22 +12.33

I'm taking Toronto at SF today and this game is set to go 15:00 ET. The first two games of this interleague series was decided by one run both going to Giants. I think McGowan will give the edge over rookie Tim Lincecum. Both pens pitching tough but both were taxed yesterday.
Time for Blue Jays to break out of 1-7 record against SF.

TOR +130 for 1 unit(W)

Game is in bottom of 6th Toronto up 7-1 so far so good.

My play has been getting better heading into the Summer and this is where I want to be hopefully En Fuego in mid to late Summer. This blog has become more for me than anything else BetCrimes is keeping busy and available at forum Batis is a busy working man. Reading audience has declined since Neteller US fall out and I'm not active in any of the public forum sites. My old friends maybe able to tell I'm still alive, but I'm not able to take time to discuss selections and angles on consistent basis. I guess I should get back on some forums but like I said it's more for me. I'm not trying to sway or push anything the start was to show selective process having advantage, but I no longer or seldom explain how I arrived at the conclusion like relating to a third party. If you are following these episodes I am doing my home work as I back up all posted plays and some un-posted one's too. Plays have been reduced from daily to not quite everyday, sometimes take few days off, but don't worry I will return and unit amount has been increased. Let's all have a good Summer.


Rockies still look strong to me. Schilling is just the type of power pitcher Rockies bats are feasting on. Let's hope Fogg is in good shape.

COL +194 for 1 unit(W)

I see a Dodger sweep coming at the expense of Mets. When are cappers going to acknowledge Mets slump? I keep seeing Mets pick against the Dodgers and this has been going on for the whole series. Come on it's big Brad Penny on the mound you guys are going to risk Sosa you better have +130 or better cuz there's not much to go on with New York. I'm tempted to take RL -1.5 for the big money, but I'll settle for ML.

LAD -106 for 2 units(W)

Perfecto! All three games were clear winner slammers.
3-0 +5.24 units

Monday, June 11, 2007

MLB Monday

1-0 last selection YTD 31-22 +9.27

Like Phillies today coming off 17-5 beating by KC to win one at home against slumping White Sox and Javier Vazquez.

PHL -114 for 1 unit(W)
PHL -108 for 1 unit(W)

I will have a play coming up just waiting for entry point.

Metropolitans and El Duque going down tonight.

LAD +108 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +3.08 units

Saturday, June 09, 2007

MLB Sunday

0-1 last selection YTD 30-22 +8.24

Love my home town Dodgers! Not that I had backed that up laying heavy chalk but 10th inning walk off home run by Killer Tomato! Coming home after getting swept at San Diego with last game of the series being a bull pen melt down? Last night's game had the similar look after Saito gave up his first homer to Matt Stairs blowing a save and Penny's 9th win. What a game and there has been some good baseball games.

Today I will take Tampa Bay Devil Rays +103 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

MLB Tuesday

1-0 last selection YTD 30-21 +10.67

Like the Rockies today against Houston Astros. Jason Hirsh for the Rox had a rough outing he'd like to forget the last time out, 4.2 innings pitched 8 hits 8 earned runs throwing 22.1 pitchers per inning, he said he didn't have anything. These games can linger in cappers mind especially when this guy's done it twice in his last 10 games, 5/9 in St Louis throwing 106 pitches in 4 innings 5 hits 3 earned but he's held his ground splitting the other 8 games 4-4 plus the pen has been remarkably good and bats have improved from both sides. Rockies 7-3 last 10.
Wandy Rodriguez for the Astros got knocked around too the last time out. He is capable of pitching better but has shown little endurance in May and Houston pen is shaky. Bats are not consistent with OPS jumping all over last 10 games. Astros 2-8 last 10.

COL ML -123 for 2 units(L)

Monday, June 04, 2007

MLB Monday

That last game was a 1 run difference like I thought but I was on the wrong side! Still very good 3-1 day. YTD 29-21 +9.62

I've taken a contrarian look at Yanks continuing road trip and they are in Chicago South Side today. Clemens was supposed to make his start but he's been scratched. It's De Salvo on the mound today. In the Red Sox game yesterday Yanks looked like they were in a dog fight and they didn't give up after loosing the lead. Scoring off Red Sox's top relief guy Okajima to get back in it and A-Rod blasting the go ahead homer was classic Yankees. For today's match up it might of taken a bit too much from Yanks to take on another struggling team in a similar situation Yankees were with the Red Sox series. Yanks have taken the Boston series 2-1 and comes in to Chicago winning 3 of last 4, but having to call up DeSalvo from the minors after not working out is a grasp for Yanks. White Sox need a win badly as they came back from the road 1-6. They will give the ball to Jon Garland and I expect him to step up for this first game. Only I'm not sure if he'll receive the run support. I'm going with DeSalvo playing through high wire act and minimizing damage while White Sox bats squeeze out runs to take this game in maybe something like 3-4 or 3-5 type final.

NYY/CWS Under 10.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)
Yanks always makes it interesting don't they?
1-0 +1.05 units

Sunday, June 03, 2007

Sunday games

YTD 29-20 +11.05

It's been a nice Sunday Games. Weather is a bit overcast not much to do and normally I would preach against playing big game unless something pretty solid comes along. Another excuse for me is MLB in early June is not that big even with Yankees and Red Sox.

There is one more game but it is the Game. New York Yankees with Andy Pettite 9-5 number against the Sox he is reliable guy to keep you in game and may not factor into the outcome.
The Red Sox will call on Josh Beckett 8-0 with his team 9-0 he is the big gun but keep in mind Yanks knocked him around last time back in April and a early exit 5/13 (that was skin inflammation on his finger no big deal) This game comes when Yanks are struggling and every game is full of questions while Red Sox have that swagger. I would not be surprised of a 1 run difference but my play will be on Red Sox at home

BOS -143 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.43 units

MLB Sunday

0-1 last night. It was a perfect stage for Sammy to tie it up but nothing. yTD 26-20 +7.01

Snell had his game on yesterday for the Pirates and Gorzelanny will get the ball today.
Tom Gorzelanny is one tough pitcher in May going 3-2 with 1.83 ERA lefties are batting .170 pitching .218 at home. Dodger will counter with Brad Penny 7-1 with 2.06 ERA lefties hitting .218 and he is 2.78 ERA on the road but excluding the Angels game he has been very good on the road.
Backing the Dodgers on this day game.

LAD -119 for 2 units(W)

Here's couple more.

DET +105 for 1 unit(W)

SDP -122 for 1 unit(W)

Perfecto ! 3-0 +4.05 units

Saturday, June 02, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-0 last game. 26-19 +9.27

It's the late game Texas at Seattle and without much to say right now the play is Over 9.5

TEX/SEA OVER 9.5 at -113 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.26 units

Friday, June 01, 2007

MLB Friday

1-0 yesterday with a big dog. 25-19 +7.62
Let's get this started with the early game in Chicago. Atlanta coming in 2-3 last 5 but they have very much been in 4 of those games. Big Z might be hittable at home again and Cubs have yet to show their A game.

ATL ML +165 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.65 units