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Tuesday, August 14, 2007

MLB Tuesday

3-1 last selection YTD 75-51 +32.78 units

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres.
Let's take a look at this pitching match up. LHP Jeff Francis 13-5 has been on a roll. Team record 17-7 with 13 quality starts tells you Rockies have supported him well on the mound. 7-2 with 8-3 team record on the road and his team is 100% in last 7 starts. 13-3 against RHP, 6-3 against NL West, 9-1 as a underdog. He will go opposite wily veteran RHP Gregg Maddux 7-9 with team record 11-13, 14 quality starts 6 out of 11 good one's at home and team is above .500 winner at 7-4. Last 7 starts are forgettable 0-4 although he's had 4 quality games and his team is 2-5. Rox with offensive edge and bull pen pitching well this dog looks qualified to win.

COL +112 for 1 unit(L)

Anaheim Angels at Toronto Blue Jays.
This is a good one with young Joe Saunders going against Blue Jay's ace Doc Halladay 13-5 team 15-7, 14 quality out of 22 starts 12 at home 7 quality with 9-1 record team is 10-2, how's that for impressive. Bit shaky lately 4-2 in last 7 starts 3 quality and team is marginal 4-3. That could be trouble when bats are kind of quiet and home runs have dried up in August.
Joe is 6-0 team 8-1. Data sample is small but 5 quality out of 9 and 3 for 3 on the road with team going 3-0. His WHIP drops to 1.131 from 1.544 at home, road ERA 2.21 home ERA 4.19.
Isn't this tempting underdog at better than +155 or so? But Toronto plays Angels tough at 11-5 3 seasons overall 6-1 at home. I will go with the total to go Under 9 which is O/U 4-12 last 3 seasons 1-6 at home and these two pitcher are in good spot to battle it out.

LAA/TOR UNDER 9 at -111 for 1 unit(W)

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pirates beat up on Giants and looked real good doing it except for the last game of double header but let's face it El Duque's recent 7 starts have produced 6-1 record for the Mets and Ian Snell has done exact opposite at 1-6 for the Bucks. I'm not getting into details with a popular pick it's just a tall order for Bucks to win here.

NYM -126 for 1 unit(W)

Getting killed in San Diego but it's not over yet....OK didn't have a fat chance, but winning day.
2-1 +1.00 unit

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