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Sunday, September 23, 2007

MLB Sunday

1-3 last selection YTD +33.98 units

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
Harang against Blackley. The price has been dropping for the road favorites, although they were over priced to start, this might be closer to fair price.
Pitching angles are Aaron Harrang (16-4) with Reds winning impressive 24-8 and his road numbers are better than at home, 9 quality out of 15 road starts with Reds 13-2. His current form is very good 5 quality outof last 7 with Reds 5-2 .
Travis Blackley, Australian import and one time Seattle prospect has not been all that since missing 2005 (surgery to repair a torn labrum in his throwing shoulder) In Fresno triple A Grizzlies recorded 4-3 from July 14 to Sep. 1, his last 10, I think Reds will hit and out pitch him for most of this game. So I will play.

Reds -138 for 2 units(L)

Oh crap missed my deadline!

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Grozelanny is a 50% pitcher for Pittsburgh and that's not good enough to take the Cubs on a mission. Tom has faired well but Bucks have lost game without his decision. Zambrano is hard to figure especially when he's at home, but he is a big game guy and Cubs do need this win.
Simply Bucks are done and Zambrano in late season will shut them down. I'll play the Runline.

Cubs -1.5 at +101 for 2 units(W)

Baltimore at Texas
Can we get this total to go any higher! I know everyone likes the Over, but both of these teams match up Under with Under trending ump.

BAL/TEX UNDER 10.5 at -103 for 2 units(W)

Seattle Mariners at Angels
Lackey beats Weaver no problem. Jeff Weaver has been inconsistant this season he is worthy of a fade with rising WHIP and OBP. Big John Lackey maybe tough to out do his last outing, but 1.09 WHIP in his last three, 10-5 at home with one of best home team in Majors.

LAA -1.5 at -108 for 2 units(W)

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamond Backs
Chad Billingsley against Edgar Gonzalez. For this game the Pitching angle does not hold merit as Dodgers season is folding and their effort to disrupt Arizona is not all there. Yes these are proffessional basebal players but at this point Dodgers just look tired to me. Billingsley holds advantage and he has been pitching well, but pen is not to be trusted and Melvin has been making calls like this is post season games.

ARZ +105 for 1 unit(L)

3-2 +2.26 units

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