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Saturday, October 13, 2007

MLB Sunday *NLCS

Arizona at Colorado
Rox are still rolling and now they are back home with a 2-0 edge. We enter a soft pitching spot in series game 3 with Josh Fogg and Livan Hernadez. Both of these pitchers have been winning games entering October and they are well capable of keeping hitters off balance. I'm not sure what will derail Colorado, but +150 plus dog in playoff spot is tempting with not much variance between starting pitchers Fogg 5-4 home with Rockies 8-6, .370 OBP and 5.97 ERA against Hernadez 5-8 away with Diamondbacks 7-11, .383 OBP and 4.98 ERA. Even with pricing premium Rockies will get the money flow and Livan will be playing with fire. What does stand out with Livan's game away is O/U 4-13 and has nothing to do with him pitching better, but Zona not scoring and the contrast is huge O/U 12-2 at home. Consider Livan's Unders and outside of Helton he's done a pretty good job. Fogg goes Over at home O/U 9-5, but he too matches up well with Arizona. Both pens are doing good job and Coors Field is nothing like it used to be. Total 10 looks a bit high.

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