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Tuesday, April 29, 2008

MLB Wednesday

1-1 yesterday. YTD 24-17 +10.43 units

The twists and turns of baseball. Year after year you reshuffle the players, add some new ones, take out some old ones and just like that a whole new ball game. The big picture so far is that home dogs are winning at a nice 55.26% making away favorites a general filter might be good if your game is treading water. Under makes just over 53% so watch out for easy looking Over games.
If you are a dog player you should be doing OK, favorites are not making the grade at 51.3%, but this should correct as season progresses. I think there's quite a bit of Basketball to Football Cappers or Hockey to Football cappers killing time in Baseball, but when Football season rolls around Baseball will be left to Baseball cappers and by that time games will have plenty of stats to make the bets sharp as a razor blade.
Here is another piece of the puzzle. These are top 10 wagered teams.
1. Mets
2. Angels
3. Yankees
4. Detroit
5. Atlanta
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6. Arizona
7. Boston
8. St. Louis
9. San Diego
10. Cubs

These are top 10 money teams
1. Arizona
2. Oakland
3. Florida
4. Baltimore
5. Milwaukee
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6. St Louis
7. Boston
8. Cubs
9. White Sox
10. Tampa

#2~#5 money winners are flying under the radar not making the top 10 favorite teams to put your money on while Tampa sneaks in top 10 money team. Yanks and Detroit come in #22 & #26 at the bottom of money while San Diego makes dead last at #30 money. Oh yes, everyone's favorite Mets are barely on the plus side at #12 money.

Play is on Seattle Mariners. They will hand the ball to veteran Jarrod Washburn who has performed well over the years in Cleveland. It's true Washburn has been a losing pitcher since coming to Seattle, but this guy gives you innings. He's won 10 lost 15 last season, but who's to say pitcher always wins alone. You need to score and you can't win no matter how good the pitching unless you put 1 run more than the other team. Cliff Lee has been outstanding, maybe too good and I will test him here as a big home favorite. Indian bats are cooled right now while Mariners knocking .359 against LHP in last 10.

MARINERS +168 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

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