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Thursday, May 08, 2008

MLB Thursday

2-0 last selection. YTD 28-23-1 +8.38 units

Baltimore O (Daniel Cabrera) at Kansas City Royals (Luke Hochevar)
O Birds coming limping into KC losers 5 out of last 5 where the Royals beat the AL West contender Angels in last game 9-4 salvaging 1 out of 3 series which was encouraging given they had taken the Cleveland series on the road with one game PPD, but let's face it this game is not going to get much interest. Gauging wagering public's interest it gets around 1279 compared to PHL/ARZ getting 1664. Does it mean anything? It means the game flys under the radar and line movement is limited staying close to odds makers projected divide. Players are not trusting Baltimore on the road even with edge on head to head match ups and Luke Hochevar is bit of an unknown rookie reliever inserted into the rotation top it off there is 30% chance of thunder storm. All good reasons to move on to other games, but if the game plays out Hockevar has given KC more than what they asked for stringing two quality wins and if he regresses the pen is stocked. Daniel Cabrera coming off a loss and ND before that, but still pitching strong with 5 straight quality start. These two teams both come in O/U 3-7 and that Under stands to improve.

BAL/KCR UNDER 8.5 at -113 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

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