Thursday, April 30, 2009

MLB Thursday

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers. Early division battles continue with Dodgers returning to the ravine after playing 1 under .500 on the road and splitting the West, (COL 2-1 series win, SFG 1-2 series loss). Dodgers sporting almost a 4 more runs and perfect at home will return on a short hop giving L.A -145 home fav status. J. McDonald will take the mound with 1-1 record, 2-1 team record, 7.72 ERA. He is coming off a win at Colorado, but there are no quality start and has yet to go beyond 5 innings. Padres coming from Colorado (1-2 series loss) Geer filling in for Shawn Hill is coming off a excellent start and if he can come near what he did San Diego should have a fighting chance. I'm going to say the starting pitchers don't factor into this outcome and normally skimpy Total is up to 9, but I think it's reachable and late scoring has been plentiful.

SDP/LAD OVER 9 -118 for 1 unit

Monday, April 27, 2009

MLB Monday

Check out Pittsburgh 11-7 with top ERA in baseball. I know most are not holding their breathes and these games are going under the radar. Tonight the Bucs make a trip to Milwaukee where the Brewers are 2-4 with 8-10 overall. Their less than impressive record is actually a reflection of a team coming out of a slow start. Milwaukee coming home after taking 2 out of 3 series beating Houston and Philadelphia going 5-4, but 4-1 in last 5. Brandon Looper taking the mound for Brew crew is starting out nicely in 17 innings, 3 starts 2-0 record with Brewers winning all three. Pittsburgh will counter with Jeff Karstens who has the least innings of all Pirates starters and might be considered the weak link, but he too is coming off a win. The big factor making the Brewers a big favorite is their 12 game straight win against Pittsburgh. Matter of fact Milwaukee has lost 1 game out of last 15 against the Bucs. That kind of stuff will stay in your mind, but the odds are stacked too high and Bucs are playing good ball. It's still April I'll take the value.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES ML +183 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 units

Saturday, April 25, 2009

MLB Saturday

Milwaukee at Houston. Brewers are cooking with 3 wins and they are playing .500 ball on the road. Starters, outside of Parra's last start, have completed 6 innings or more. Last night's win Yovani Gallardo coming off a complete game leaving Brewers pen well rested. Testament to their resent pitching and defense this road trip has given up 2 runs or less in 5 out of 7 games, O/U 1-6 & W/L 5-2, which is all good. On the other side, the home team Houston Astros, who are 6-11, 4-7 at home, so far and they are not hitting. I normally give you the take on pitching, but I'd play action here.


1-0 +1.10 units

Thursday, April 23, 2009

MLB Thursday

Tigers in the South land is on the prowl and the Halos are grasping for help. Angels, the top contender in AL West, are very much in need of Arms and today will be no different. Pitching has gone dry and Tigers will feast.

DET Run Line -1.5 +120 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Saturday, April 18, 2009

MLB Saturday

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees. F. Carmona vs C. Wang. Both pitchers are floundering and Wang has not looked well in a long time. Thus today we have a high end total at 10.5 which many will see it as a reasonable score to reach. But early numbers suggest over compensation and I'm not saying pitchers are going to be in mid season form I think the number is too high.

CLE/NYY UNDER 10.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.05 units

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

MLB Tuesday

Yanks got killed at tropicana yesterday. It's only April, but people sure are talking about AL champs winning at home. I'm sure they will be pretty good, I don't disagree, but AL East as always is no cake walk and AJ taking the mound will not falter easily.

NYY +112 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.12 units

Friday, April 10, 2009

MLB Friday

SF Giants at SD Padres.
Barry Zito's back on the mound for the G-men. Considering his rough 2008 and his first NL year 2007 you might sense the value here. I mean 10-17 record was the worst in his 9 years of majors. Coming from Oakland A's in 2007 he definitely looked like a bad buy for the Giants (11-13) and things took a turn for the worst in 2008. But 2009 model Zito is a bit different and one stat I look for a dip is the WHIP combined with little scoring and Zito outing should be much better. Shawn Hill is also a value pick up for the Pads. Released by Nationals and making a spot rotation for San Diego. There's a lot riding for Shawn to earn his right for the rotation and he is a sinker baller which I favor, but I look for Giants to break through and Zito to pitch in form.

GIANTS +112 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Nick Adenhart

Nick Adenhart's unexpected passing is tragic to say the least. I can't tell you much about the kid, but I do know he was the product from Williamsport, MD. on the fast track this year. Debut in the Bigs May 1, 2008 and logged three starts with 9.00 ERA. He showed growth in spring training and got the call with injury riddled starters. It was a promising 2009 start against Oakland at home going 6 innings 7 hits no runs who would of known that would of been his last day on this earth. Taken at such young age he will not be forgotten RIP.

Monday, April 06, 2009

MLB Opening Day 2009

Opening day! Let's go out to Pet Co Park where Jake Peavy will take the mound. Padres are supposed to be coming up for fire sale soon and there are tons of negative talk. Opposing visitors, L.A. Dodgers, are supposed to take the division by storm. But Kuroda on opening day tells me they are lacking quality arm. Don't get me wrong Kuroda has come through last season, but he's no big secret and Japanese imports have dipped in their second year. Taking the underestimated Padres with proven ace Peavy.

SAN DIEGO PADRES -120 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.20 units

Thursday, April 02, 2009

MLB Thursday

Angels at Dodgers

Halos at the revine -117 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.17 units

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Final Tune up Wednesday

Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals

Royals -113 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit