Saturday, June 27, 2009

MLB Saturday

Shairon Martis starting for Washington Nationals is coming off a loss against Toronto and his team has strung 5 losses in a row with Martis on the job. He is lacking quality outing only logging one in four June games. His last win was 5/13@SFG and last team win was 5/24 BAL. Things look pretty gloom for Nationals on the road against O's, but let me list some positives. Martis out of 14 games started 11 was Underdog and all six of his quality starts came in Underdog situation with Nats going 5-6 and 50% against Righty. Another indicator is his game leading to a quality has come after a rocky outing just as his last one. On the O Birds home mound Jeremy Guthrie will take the ball and despite having 5 quality starts out of last 7 the O's are only 2-5. Overall Guthrie's starts have yeild 5-10 record absolutely burning backers money. Allow me to take the good size road dog on Martis turn around spot.


0-1 -1.00 unit

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

MLB Wednesday

Matt Garza SP for Tampa is often said to have the best stuff in the Rays rotation, but as current records indicate he is average ERA of 3.83 with record of 4-5. When Matt takes the ball Rays have 6-8 record. He does have winning edge at home 3-2 with team record of 5-3. Does that earn -170 ML? The Odds makers have been on the mark. Most recent big number was against the Nats at home 6/12 at -250 ND Rays win. Before that was -191 home against A's 5/21 ND Rays win. 5/16 was home against Indians -175 recorded win, 5/5 Baltimore at home -184 recorded win. So he/Rays has been tough at home laying the number. Rays are also good in closing out games. Except Rays have some problems with Phillies dating back to last World Series and what happened last night? 10-1 not exactly a revenge battle? This spot is looking very tempting to take the road dog when the dog is the best road team in the Majors and Blanton 4-3 is also a road warrior with 3 of the 4 wins coming away, but don't cast judgement on Matt Garza based on what Pierce gave up. Joe Blanton has logged 3 ND in a row longest of this season and given up HR's in every June start. I think Joe will be good today, but Tampa holds late inning edge. Like I said the ML dog is tempting, but if you must choose sides take the +1.5 runs. I will take the play on Under as both pitchers are poised to improve and Rays power outage holds advantage over sides.

UNDER 9 at +103 for 1 unit(W)

That was a bit interesting towards the end 1-0 +1.03 units

Saturday, June 20, 2009

MLB Saturday

Is Johan Santana OK? You have to ask yourself before pulling the trigger on Tampa Bay at New York Mets. Maybe your looking at stats see Tampa's James Shields having hard time on the road (1-3 and team 1-5 away) against Santana's stellar 5-1 home record. Mets are also 8 games above .500 at home vs Tampa 14-22 away. But coming back to my first question is Johan Santana OK? He's got off track 2 starts ago and last one against the Yanks was a doozy. The money has been going toward the Mets and I'm not convinced of Santana's shape. Shields still eating innings and Rays pen has been good.

TAMPA +116 for 1 unit(W)

Johan back on his game, but James is bringing it too. We have a pitchers battle and this one might get called with this delay lasting any longer. It'll be too bad because true to Santana's form the long ball was launched by Pena giving the Rays 2-1 lead. We are in a delay in the 8th.

Maybe try another.
New York Yankees at Florida Marlins.
A.J. Burnett against Josh Johnson I like both of these pitchers and this season a big fan of JJ. The big righty has compiled 98 innings going 6-1. 2.76 ERA which improves to 3-1, 2.02 ERA at home. With JJ working on the mound the Fish are 11-3 an impeccable record. The visiting Yanks with A.J. Burnett is a force to reckon with they disposed Johan Santana and the mets by score of 15-0 the last time. A.J. is a warrior, but maybe not in the same groove as JJ with 5-3 record and Yanks going 8-5. On the road Yanks have gone 3-3. I like the Fish here, but I'm going to roll with the UNDER with this Interleague game being played at National League park and although A.J. has been involved in some high scoring games it's not because off A.J. Yankees also trending Under. Marlins play Over at home, but I'll take exception with Jeff kellogg behind the plate with a generous strike zone.

NYY/TAMP UNDER 8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

There you go 2-0 +2.16 units

Monday, June 15, 2009

MLB Monday

If your having some late thoughts on Baseball you should know money has pushed Cleveland Indians at home and Los Angeles Angels visiting San Fransisco Bay. That's it a small card and a quiet night after the Lakers win NBA Championship. Kind of like sports wagering intermission "We will return after a day of rest" is the sign posted. Hell with that! Big John Lacky and the Halos are playing at the Bay. Zito and the G-Men will need to force Angels hands and get Lacky out the game. Rooting for the home team at the Stick, yeah it's some telephone company name on the stadium sign, but to me it's still the STICK.

SFG +119 for 1 unit(L)
LAA/SFG OVER 8.5 for 1 unit(W)

MIL/CLE OVER 9.5 for 1 unit(W)

2-1 +2.00 units

Friday, June 12, 2009

MLB Saturday

Inter league games are different animal. Tigers at Pittsburgh. Armando Galarraga 3-6, 5.19 ERA coming off 3 consecutive quality games pitching 20.2 innings. Armando is a hard luck pitcher who's lacking a win since April 26th nine games ago, but last game in No Decision Tigers picked up a win. Pirates will send Zack Duke 6-4 with 3.07 ERA and tough at home, 4-2 with 2.66 ERA. Zack did not have it in his last game @ATL 6/8 going 6 innings giving up 11 hits and 6 runs, not since April 19th did he give up double digit hits funny thing is that was against Atlanta too. This game by virtue of pitching match up and Pirates being simply under estimated at home makes Pittsburgh a interesting thought. The line has gone exactly that way towards Pirates from opening while Detroit is the slight public favorite. So do you take the sharp move with home team? I'm not doing that here. Detroit Tigers 6th in MLB money team takes Bucs who are above .500 at home. I'd rather take the money line dogs and sinking Under

DETROIT TIGERS +102 for 1 unit(L)
UNDER 9 for -108 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.08 units

Thursday, June 11, 2009

MLB Thursday

Kansas City Royals are playing at Jacob, no it's Progressive Field, sending Zack Greinke, 8-2 with 1.55 ERA. This righty stud has completed 87 innings with a stingy WHIP 0.97 his last game 6/05 @TOR was a rare non-quality start after stringing 9 consecutive quality games and first game to give up 2 HR's, matter of fact he had not given any homer up to that point, all in all a off game. Majority will agree he should be back on his game today. On the flip side home town Cleveland Indians with Jeremy Sowers, 1-3 in 25 innings 5.40 ERA that's 5 tries the lone win comes as a relief appearance 5/25 against Tampa, but he did throw quality last time 6/06 @ CHW in a losing game. Obviously KC will have the pitching advantage, but Sowers improvements are under estimated compared to Zack's success not always getting wins, 1-3 last 4 & 2-4 last 6. Zack's strength is also at home and his schedule has missed most road games so far. Royals themselves are 10-18 away. Since the start of this road trip 6/02 Royals have played 8 games and won 2. I'll look for another hard luck game for Zack and the Royals.

CLEVELAND INDIANS +122 for 1 unit(W)

Yeah Baby! Talk about hard luck Royals. The ball flattened a low-flying gull in the 10th inning and rolled past Kansas City's center fielder and Mark DeRosa scored from second base to give the Cleveland Indians a 4-3 win over the Royals on Thursday night.

1-0 +1.22 units

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

MLB Wednesday

Sup everyone? Have you noticed Randy Johnson, the Big Unit, is rarely referred to as the "Big" Unit anymore? He's just the Unit, is that discrediting to his largeness? Or how about the Under Dog status he receives today against the Nats. The meek, pesky Nats and the young gun Jordan Zimmermann will look to delay Randy Johnson's historical 300th win. Can't blame the school of "Not on the first try" theory. If I'm not mistaken only 4 members of the exclusive 300 club did it on the first try. But you know the outcome doesn't equate to Giants losing.

SF GIANTS +121 for 1 unit(PPD)