Monday, October 11, 2010

Post Season 2010

SF Giants at Atlanta Braves
Braves will send Lowe to the mound and try to knot this thing. At Turner the Braves have the best home record and winning just about 61.5% as favorites. Lowe is a hot pitcher right now with no loss in September and his last game although a loss was a 0-1 pitchers battle in SF. Giants with the series lead winning a gimme last night will go with Bumgarner. In a move to preserve SF pitching and still have the home field advantage will Braves tie this series? I just don't see them being able to close making today's Giants a good value bet.


Wednesday, July 07, 2010

MLB Wednesday

San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals

Handicappers how you guys making out? Back to make a selection after a bit of hiatus.
When you look at San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals what comes to your mind? More so than Padres being one of the best road team which is a pretty good first thought,but not enough to solely take the risk because Nats are not too shabby at home. Before you dig into the pitchers and match ups take this simple thought, these are two top UNDER teams in baseball, Padres road under is best in baseball and Nats Under after three consecutive Over's is golden.

UNDER 8 +105 *at Pinnacle for 1 unit

Monday, June 14, 2010

MLB Tuesday

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

L.A. dropped 3 in a row, at home, to their cross town rivals and they are looking for some relief. Relief in Great American Ballpark is not a bad thought. Dodgers have been kicking Reds around for some time and last time these two pitchers met back in April 6-14 Dodgers blow out at Great American Ballpark. Harang has tough time with L.A. and Hiroki Kuroda is one of the Dodgers top money pitcher with Dodgers taking 8-4. All that and Dodgers are only -115, what do you say? A good bounce back spot after a three game loss by L.A a team with 36-27 record and with a day off. Both are bad situation with negative stats for L.A. and though L.A. does hold edge over past record Reds are very similar this season at 36-28 record, 22-15 at home, with excellent 0.8 win margin. I also think Dodgers are a risky proposition where single run games have turned against them over the course of last 10 games.


Saturday, June 12, 2010

MLB Saturday

Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins
First game of this series was a pitching duel with both starters going 8 strong innings. Tonight the match up will feature good pitching again with Derek Lowe for the visiting Braves, 8-5 with team record the same. He's been getting good run support and has been money. You also need to understand the Braves road record of 16-21 is not reflective of Atlanta's current state. Eliminating their early slump Braves are playing even away, splitting Arizona and L.A. series on the road before that sweeping the Phillies, Pittsburgh at home before that winning on the road and their winning ways started before that. Yes, Atlanta Braves are good team to back right now. Cutting to the chase, I like the Twins and Nick Blackburn. They are perfect at home. Yeah, Nick threw 2 forgettable starts out West, but back to the friendly fields in Twin city I expect different.

MINNESOTA TWINS -116 for 1 unit (L)

Late inning loser

Friday, June 11, 2010

MLB Friday

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles.

The interleague games are upon us again. Not really big on uncharted matches, or minimal history at best type games, but playing hot so let's keep it rolling. NY Mets are playing well lately, 7-3 last 10, best in the East as a matter of fact. They will make the short trip to Baltimore and give 17-43 Orioles a shot. O's are 22 games behind Tampa, 17 games behind 4th place Toronto and gone 2-8 in last 10.
R.A. Dickey getting movement on his knuckler and all systems look set for New York. However O's showed some fight against the Yankees and despite their losing record last 5 games has signs of rising performance leading to last nights win. Jermey Guthrie has pitched well and his team wasting his last outing must weigh in. Baltimore 11-18 at home is pretty bad but, Mets are worse 8-18 away, regardless how short road trip. Backing Baltimore at Camden. Dickey is a familiar pitcher in AL and a known 5th option at that.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -113 for 1 unit(L)

Oh crap! Moving on.

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

MLB Wednesday

SF Giants at Cincinnati Reds
Love both of these teams, not as a fan, money line seem to feel the same. Giants will go with Jonathan Sanchez, he has been money on the road 3 quality starts out of 5 with hair above 1.00 WHIP. On the home front, Aaron Harang who is eating innings as usual, but bottom of ranks in rotation. He comes off a ND in Washington with Reds taking the loss in a game where he failed to reach 6 innings for the first time in over a month. Although Reds are bleeding with their veteran on the hill, handicappers know it and June suites better for Giants than Reds, I rather take the game after a shut out situation for Reds at home. Also a bounce back spot for Harang. Giants after 3 or more wins in a row has dismal win percentage and they are on the road.

CINCINNATI REDS -114 for 1 unit(W)

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals

All this movement here has caught my attention. I understand the Bucks suck on the road, what are they 9-20 away?, and they will test the water with Brad Lincoln the triple A call-up, but lets look at what we know at this level. Nats going with Lannan. He is among the money makers of the rotation and even with sub .500 record, 2-3, his team has logged 6-5 with 3-1 record at home. The Bucks woeful road record is coupled with 2-7 record against NL East. OK this is bad why in the world would you take the Pirates? Did you know despite their 23-35 record they are Black in money? Also these two teams match up close with Bucks slight edge and the money line is moving away. Lannan has not been quality at home, he's logged only one, and 4.91 ERA with 1.68 WHIP. Give me the Pirates for FIRST 5 INNINGS.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES *First 5 Innings +129 for 1 unit(PUSH)

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics

Joe Sanders will take the ball and he is rolling right now, 3-1 in last 5 lowered his ERA to 3.24, going for more. He's also 10-4 career against the A's. Top it off Dallas Braden for the A;s have not won since throwing a perfect game on May 9th. But give him credit at home with 6 quality starts out of 7, 2.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. What this match up holds for Dallas and the A's are the O/U 1-6 and these two teams match up UNDER at better than 60% in Oakland. So I look for good pitching and maybe for this line to move up 0.5 runs, but I'll go ahead with the current 8.

UNDER 8 at +111 for 1 unit(PUSH)

How often do you see 2 pushes out of 3. Six published winners in a row. Like that?

Sunday, June 06, 2010

How do you like me now?

How do you like the new layout? I thought it was kind of cool. Baseball selections have been doing well. Started out in the hole, but turned things around and we are back in BLACK.

You know I don't write much besides game angles and I don't think I'm much of a writer. It's something I do to break from daily responsibilities it keeps your soul alive. If your passion dies than so too will your soul and you'll become nothing more than a dead soul inching along the freeway in a iron casket. There are two reasons for me to do this. Because I like it and it makes money. Money part is important too not because it's money, but because it's a gauge of how your doing. It's like points and for me I rather have higher points than wins. Game wins go hand in hand with money won, but the degree of wins or amount of money wins are different so 21-15 winner picking favorites may not differ much from 18-18 winner taking dogs. I also like the fact this game does not discriminate and good players will rise like cream. I've seen a lot of guys come and go, but the good ones, the one's who are truly skilled, are still standing knocking down games year after year.
If you do it long enough you should know and remember situations that have come before meaning your skill to predict the outcome have to become sharp or you will not survive in this game. The nature of zero sum game is winner takes it all. Mistake in reading the game will cost you. Most likely the risky proposition is not for the majority or maybe your just a fan rooting for your team with $50 riding to make it exciting. If this is you then your not in my world. Published plays are $1000 per unit a.k.a. Dime plays. I post them as I see them. Do you have the skills? I'd like to know. Leave me a comment or PM directly.

Saturday, June 05, 2010

MLB Sunday

This is my town. I'm in L.A., but my forecast calls on "Show Me" State game.

I know everyone here is tuned in on NBA Finals from Staples Center. It's nothing personal it's business.

Milwaukee Brewers at St Louis Cardinals

What's cooking? Sunday BBQ's in the plan and nothin goes better then ribs, chicken, hot links with that MLB game.

Did I notice a lefty lefty match up in St Louis? Yes I did, Jamie Garcia and Manny Parra going at it. You know the Cards are the contenders and Brewers are the under achievers. Manny's pitching a fill in role and Jamie is pitching some impressive games. Not much to think about pulling the trigger on St Louis? Right off the bat Jamie, as good as he maybe, is a 50-50 proposition. Now ask yourself if that's a risk worth taking? OK, you say it doesn't matter because Brewers aren't going to win. Well bad as it looks for the Brewers I see it as not as good for the Cards. And like I said in the beginning it's a lefty lefty match up that trends toward Milwaukee.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS +200 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, June 04, 2010

MLB Friday

Cincinatti Reds at Washington Nationals.
Reds are playing well at 31-23 so far and backers are making money. They have cooled a bit dropping the St Louis series, but very strong home stand before that going 5-2. Today Reds call on Aaron Harang (4-5 & 5.48 ERA) coming off a 7 inning 1 run schooling of Astros. Harang coming into mid season form maybe trouble for 26-29 Nationals. Livan Hernandez has not won since early May and Reds bats are pretty hot over their last 10 games. However Money line telling a different story with opening favoring the home team. Hernandez despite cooling in May still 4 quality starts out of 5 with 1.51 ERA & 0.98 WHIP at home. Nationals won't roll over tonight.


Tuesday, May 25, 2010

MLB Wednesday

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals
KC is a tough sell again at 18-28, but then it's anticipated to happen. What caught my eyes is RL in BLACK. True to their stats Tuesday's Texas game ended 8-7 KC one run loss. Take a Que here fellas the pitching match up works in Royals favor at home.

Take the Run Line, but Money line is worth the risk. ML & RL(W)

MLB Tuesday

Oakland A's at Baltimore O's
Are you fading Baltimore automatically? It's working out and you plan to ride on, well good for you! Athletics are in town after sweeping the Giants in inter league series and the A's put on a pitching clink allowing 1 run in 27 innings with 3 starters eating 20 of those innings. Meanwhile O's went to DC and dropped 2 out of 3 Baltimore did make it interesting with 2 losses coming at 1 run difference, but still losses on the moneyline. So if your on the Baltimore "F" train you must be feeling alright after all it's house money at this point. What might be puzzling at this late hour is why is moneylne price come out nearly even on Baltimore? Even favoring them at one point before returning? If you asked yourself this question you may realize the nature of Oakland exceeding 3 wins in a row is a low percentage play. On the road makes it tougher. Also today's starter for the A's, Dallas Braden who has shown Major league skills with 7 quality starts out of 9, has been bit erratic on the road. Orioles will go with Jeremy Guthrie. He too has been pitching well with 7 quality starts out of 9, but difference is Guthrie showing better stability on all outing and his home starts brings outstanding 0.92 WHIP. His record is deceiving 2-4 and team record should be better than 2-7. Good spot for Jeremy and the O's to win one in Camden.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +104 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, May 14, 2010

MLB Friday

Houston at San Francisco

Recent results will show Astros finishing 4 game sweep of St Louis. Suddenly looking formidable where as Giants losing 3 in a row, 4 losses in last 5 with 4 of those in 1 run games, seem over priced as home favorite. Maybe so, but I do have problem with Felipe Paulino, 0-5 out of 6 starts and 1 quality start, not cutting it. You say Todd Wellemyer is about the same? He held his own against the Phillies at home and home is where G-Men are 10-8, against righty 12-8, as favorite 13-8 and play the NL Central very well 7-2. SFG at home.

GIANTS -142 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, May 10, 2010

Tuesday MLB

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Looking at two early division lagers Mariners are the obviously in better position at 6 games behind the AL West leader Texas. Most would agree Seattle will have better product on field not even getting into pitching. Baltimore is clawing from the bottom depths of AL East which arguably is considered the toughest in Baseball, but 9-23 and 12.5 behind Tampa is truly looking disastrous. Now take the pitching match up with Cliff Lee getting the ball for Seattle.
He's got two starts so far already threw 7innings then 8innings looking very much like the work horse he is. O's counter with David Hernandez, the guy who was knocked out by the Yanks in last outing, he is 0-4. There's not too much to dig here? I do happen to have a wrench with O birds showing life, which might be short lived, but Mariners still on down trend playing on the road. Isn't that like a double negative. Watching this line a bit see what takes shape. (+137 as of this writing)

Little after lunch on game day and I read the movement correctly. Public has been pushing Seattle all day. Baltimore has improved nicely for those who waited. Playing the weak team on road fade angle.

BALTIMORE +152 for 1 unit(L)

I tell you this continue to fade Mariners for remainder of series.

Monday MLB

Washington Nationals at New York Mets.

John Main taking the home mound. History show he has pitched some of his best games against the Nats, but this season so far the fastballs are very hittable. His 7th start, 4th at home with 1 quality start. SO numbers are rising, but long ball has been served in every game except one. Luis Atilano pride of San Juan coming off a bad game, but very capable of hanging in with Maine and given their identical record and Nationals even game on the road makes this a fair game with value to the visitors.

NATIONALS +152 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, May 06, 2010

MLB Thursday

YTD 0-2

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers.

Brewers +114 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

MLB Thursday

Baseball handicappers, How are you all doing? It's about time to get this show under way. I'm late as it is and time is money. I've been busy putting a list of who's who in the handicapping world. Hopefully I'll have enough to put something up in few months.

Moving on to Thursday getting a little warm up before the weekend.
Atlanta Braves at St Louis Cardinals. Take listed starters Jair Jurrjens vs Adam Wainwright. With Braves losing 8 straight and one shy of getting swept by St Louis who doesn't like the Cards? I don't not at -179 with Wainwright stock hitting a high while Jurrjens laking recent wins still showed pretty good pitching. Braves makes the value play with Jair on the hill. If you like the Over that's what the books want you to take. There's pressure to move the O/U to 7.5 from 7 so if you must make the move early, but I think the Under at 7.5 is the correct total.

BRAVES +181 for 1 unit(L)

Friday, January 01, 2010

Happy New Years

2010 you'd better come out like a Tiger!

Hey Handicappers allow me to give a toast. To another great year regardless of our State's economy. Let our skills and knowledge guide our destiny. Live long and Prosper.

It's a quiet evening at my house on this New Years Day. It was a beautiful day with L.A. sunset painting the Pacific ocean. Air was clear and crisp sunny December day.
You get good visions on days like this with little peace and quiet. I took a drive down town. Businesses closed on New Years Day the place had rid of all the hustle and bustle of a normal Friday. It felt festive with live music and streets were filled with downtown residents and tourists roaming around. What a perfect day to clear your mind. I came home and went 3-0 in NBA.

It'll be awhile before the Baseball get active, but I wanted to make a entry today. If you've stumble across this blog you might want to read on even if you don't understand what I'm writing about our goal is to make MONEY. Not some kind of sales or ponze scheme you don't need to buy anything.

Consider Sports wagering as to Commodities Future market. You have a given period of time when the price is dictated by supply and demand. You can take actual position and adjust changes during the given time. There is no limit to the upside and loss is limited by what you supply. The point is I consider it high risk high return investment. But as with all investment you need to do your home work. The old rule still applies...If it's too good to be true... you know?
It's not for everyone, there are fly by night outfits and there are dark tales of addiction. But the bottom line for people in this Business is they make money. If you're a working person getting beat by the economy and your money's not making any meaningful return and you thought about all those wonderful 'make millions from home' deals. Take this advise from someone on the inside. Open a off shore account starting at minimum $2000 and you want to limit your position to about 5% or less.
If you want to see how you would do simulating your investment, there are sites like, by using live odds noting picks and recording wins and losses. If you choose to log it yourself start with a bankroll of 100K and 1% as 1 unit. Look at your daily sports page and you shouldn't have to read corner from corner much of it is useless. Go through the off shore odds, form opinion and pick sides or total. If you follow sports daily it shouldn't take long to form your opinion don't spend hours and hours. I also wouldn't recommend you sitting around watching & listening to games all day. It will isolate you from others and you'll get nothing done. I do enjoy watching games, but I don't sit through 5 games in one day. Sometimes your money is locked in and there's nothing you can do, but the important thing is to balance your perspective and keep in mind that it's a investment not action on game to get you all hopped up. Stay cool and make your money work. That's what we're all about.