Sunday, August 14, 2011

MLB Sunday

Colorado Rockies at St Louis Cardinals

Taking cue from MLB Pre game headline "Jackson looks to set tone for Card's rotation" fireballer Edwin Jackson taking mound for the Red Birds at home. St Louis need to make their stand now and acquisition, Jackson, is a important piece to get the job done today. Esmil Rogers has been on the winning side, but his quality game is lacking. The Cardinals look promising today. However the game is never as is on the surface and it's easy to underestimate a visiting opponent 11.5 games back in their division. I must go against the Cardinals with so much perception with look ahead attitude. Colorado has gone about their business on this road trip and possibly come home with winning trip if they can take this game today. The Rockies have matched up well against St Louis and good chance for these pitchers to have ND in this out come. Rox hold the bull pen advantage and we will back Colorado on a late game take.


Sunday, August 07, 2011

MLB Sunday

Philadelphia Phillies at S.F. Giants
Oz getting the ball for the red hot Phills going up against the Freak. Despite decline on road & home performance for both pitchers one thing stands clear. Lincecum has been quality and this is a good spot for Giants to stop the Phillies win streak.

Giants -130(W)

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

MLB All Star

National League(W)

Tuesday, July 05, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers
Joshua Colimenter trying to bounce back for the D-Backs against Yovani Gallardo 9-5 going for the Brew crew. Both pitchers have ERA and WHIP rising. Both teams are hitting very well. But this game calls for the Under.

Arizona / Milwaukee Under 8.5(W)

Saturday, July 02, 2011

MLB Sunday

Sundays in Summer time is Baseball as fireworks are for 4th of July. You got to get that grill ready, season them ribs, glaze the chickens, chill the beers, wine for the ladies we'll get this party started right. It's a long weekend fellas, but don't sweat the expenses you can put it down on this.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Featuring starting pitchers Matt Latos and Mariners rookie Blake Beavan. Do not be fooled by pitchers capable of allowing the game to get out of hand. The nature of both of these teams are to grind out low scores and this total is staying at low 6.5 runs. Take the Under.

Padres / Mariners Under 6.5(W)

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners
I like good pitching match ups and this should be a good one with Derek Lowe and King Felix. The Total is low as expected, but Seattle line is a bit fishy. I like Lowe to come through today with a better line up.

Atlanta Braves +130(W)

MLB Tuesday

KC Royals at San Diego Padres
Felipe Paulino opposite Clayton Richard. I wouldn't say these are Over pitchers, but the tendencies are there. The match up has been very much Over and this game Total is dropping as the deadline draws close.

Royals / Padres OVER 6.5(L)

Cleveland Indians at Arizona Diamondbacks
Josh Tomlin for the Tribe against Daniel Hudson for the Snakes. This is another game where the Total has dropped. Games in Phoenix is slightly Under so far this season, but this number under estimates how hitter friendly this place is. This one goes Over.

Indians / Diamondbacks Over 8(W)

Saturday, June 25, 2011

MLB Saturday

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
Jair Jurrjens going for another win and there is no doubt he will put away the struggling Padres at home. It's not so much that Dustin is pitching bad, but his team is not winning. We will take this on the RL.


Thursday, June 23, 2011

MLB Friday

Tampa Bay at Houston
This game will feature good pitching with Shields and Rodriguez. I feel Houston will take this one, but more so with UNDER 7 runs Total. This number dipped to 6.5 before rebounding back to 7. Though the teams are playing higher Over percentage the match up is very much Under


Wednesday, June 22, 2011

MLB Thursday

Last pick loser. I'm in need of stringing some winners.

Phillies at Cardinals
Philadelphia going for the sweep sending Oswalt to the mound. St Louis looking to make a stand with Carpenter taking the ball. In the seasons past this match up would of sent the Total spiraling down, but 2011 version is a bit different. Oswalt 1 win since late April and 1-5 during the 8 appearance. The former Cy Young winner Chris Carpenter is 1-7 last 2 starts have been forgettable 9 ER in 14 innings. Considering the outcome of first 2 games St Louis is in need of a statement game at home, but I do not like the Cardinals line and Phillies are playing so good why not go agains the low Total. Might be easier than Cardinals stopping the sweep


Tuesday, June 21, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Pardon my absence. I left off with a winner on my last post so I hope there are no bitter feelings.

Philadelphia Phillies at St Louis Cardinals
Phillies with Doc Halladay and they are the road favorite. Kyle Mclellan with step in for the home team and he's kept the Red Birds in game. But the thought I have here is this game going Under. Yes, Doc's games have been going Over and St Louis are 41-29-1 Over. This game wants you to take the Over at 7.5 and I think this one stays low.

Phillies at Cardinals UNDER 7.5(L)

Friday, June 17, 2011

MLB Friday

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners
Phillies come to Seattle hot, winners of 7 straight, to start their interleague games. Visitors will send Roy Oswalt, 4-4 with Phillies team record 5-6, who is a high caliber pitcher, but performance has been lacking and he was having back issues. Mariners will go with Michael Pineda who is winless in June, but don't let that fool you he has been quality. Pineda looks to improve tonight from his last outing and maybe the bicostal trip will have Philadelphia a bit off balance.


Wednesday, June 15, 2011

MLB Thursday

S.F. Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Ian Kennedy for the Snakes is pretty good, 7-2 with D-Backs 9-4, but he's a road pitcher and the Giants have been a thorn. Ryan Vogelsong has been money and this spot I look for him to improve over his last outing against the Reds at AT&T on June 10th where he did not qualify for the 3-2 Gaints win. S.F. Giants are A.Z. D-Backs nemesis. Going against late line movement and taking advantage of rise in value. You may feel the D-Backs are due maybe so, but most likely not here.

S.F. Giants +129(L)

MLB Wednesday

L.A. Angels at Seattle Mariners
Santana away against Bedard
Going for Seattle to stop the sweep with Bedard pitching in mid season form. Santana's pitch count has been piling in recent games.


Sunday, June 12, 2011

MLB Monday

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros
Derek Lowe pitches well on the road and Wandy Rodriguez prefers home cooking. Houston Astros get Wandy back from elbow troubles, but it maybe too little too late. The Astros are facing 4 game home sweep by the hands of Atlanta Braves. Normally I would go against the sweep, especially at home, and Wandy Rodriguez would hold as a value pitcher at 3-3. Rodriguez 3 out of 4 quality at home and pitched great in May. But because it's his first game back you'll need to weigh in on Houston bull pen. Houston Astros pen sport 10-13 Saves to Blown Saves, the worst in baseball, and fourth worst ERA.
Atlanta Braves taking 7 in a row, 8 of last 10. Derek Lowe 6 out of 8 quality starts on the road. He's had this match up earlier in season winning 3-1 and Braves are killing the Astros.

Braves -125(L)

Saturday, June 11, 2011

MLB Sunday

Cincinnati Reds at S.F. Giants
Edinson Volquez is a money winning pitcher for the Reds rotation. He comes off a 7 inning gem against the Cubs. But I don't like him on the road and will back Jonathan Sanchez. G-men at home with Sanchez on the mound has come down in price. Take the discounted home favorite.

S.F. Giants -106(W)

MLB Saturday

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
Michael Pineda against Max Scherzer
I like the away and home situation for both of these pitchers.
Pineda 6 out of 6 quality start going Under 3 out of last 4, 2-4 away. Scherzer 5 out of 7 quality home start. 2-5 Under at home.

Good luck players!
UNDER 7.5 at +105(L)

Friday, June 10, 2011

MLB Friday

Dodgers at Rockies
Chad Billingsley against Jhoulys Chadin at Coors Field. Dodgers blow their lead yesterday as the bull pen gave it up. Rockies lost the series in L.A. just recently and they are looking for payback. Rockies come home and start on a good note. The trip against the West was less than satisfactory losing L.A. series, S.F. series and a rubber match win over S.D. series. Rockies will need to make up ground at home. The Dodgers left town after the Colorado series. They've won Cincinnati series, lost Philadelphia series and now they are in Colorado. Scoring tapered off in Philadelphia, but it's back in Denver. Going with Billingsley and the Dodger at Colorado. The power surge continues for the Dodgers.

L.A. Dodgers +144(L)

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

MLB Thursday

Hey gang what's cooking? Florida another loss? Oh brother can't win games their supposed to win.

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres
L. Hernandez against A. Harang
I like Harang at home against Nationals.

San Diego Padres -130(W)

Tuesday, June 07, 2011

MLB Wednesday

8th inning did in that UNDER yesterday and take a loss.

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins
The Marlins are reeling like fish out of water. 6 losers in a row and they are losing one run games.

This one the Braves send Derek Lowe, Braves winning 8-5 when Derek is on the hill, second best money pitcher in rotation. He is 5-1 against NL East and has thrown 5 quality out of 7 road games. But he's road game has gone 3-4 and though he has kept the Braves in game his last win was May 12th.

Ricky Nolasco going for the Marlins is having tough luck at home. He's pitched quality games, but the Marlins are not supporting him with 2-5 home record. He is 1-3 against NL East and 3-4 as a favorite.

Backing Florida at home coming off 1-0 shut out loss with Marlins out hitting the Braves. The Braves have over taken Florida in tight NL East, but I wouldn't say Atlanta is hot or Florida is down and out. Braves are having hard time scoring runs and the Marlins will be motivated after a shut out. Ricky will be OK he just needs his team to cash in few runners.

Florida Marlins -113(L)

Monday, June 06, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Reds were strong winners yesterday.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Daniel Hudson going for the D-Backs looking to get back in form. Kevin Correia got his 8th win and will try to keep his streak going. Both of these pitchers are going about their business with quality outing and though the Total is seemingly low at 7.5 this game looks Under to me. It's most likely not a lights out game with this number getting tested, but I think when the dust settles the score will fall short.


Sunday, June 05, 2011

MLB Monday

Coming off a win on the Under at S.F. Looking for more.

cubs at Reds
Garza on the hill for Chicago and Leak for the Reds. Cinci looking to bounce back and they are in a strong spot to do just that. They are favored, but at a fair price.

REDS -131(W)

MLB Sunday

Colorado at SF Giants
Jason Hammel taking the ball for the Rox will look to redeem himself after a sub par outing, but facing the G-men at home with Ryan Vogelsong on the hill will be a tough order. Vogelsong has 4 quality starts out of 7 and may not look formidable, but he has pitched all quality at home with 0.44 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Even when he doesn't have the best stuff the Giants bring their game. The stand out number here is 7-24-1 O/U and this match up fits the profile.


Friday, June 03, 2011

MLB Saturday

O.K. back to taking down winner with Atlanta taking care of business.

Looking at Saturday I'm going with the game in Cinci. Yes sir, Dodgers and the Red Machine. Reds continue their quest to the top and they are impressive with Cueto on the mound. Cueto pitching 2.13 ERA at home with 1.02 WHIP, 4 out 5 game quality start. Not only that, but Reds bull pen in recent games have been lights out with 0.79 ERA in last 7 games with 1.06 WHIP in last 7 games. 60% winners at home and highly productive with 18-9-3 O/U so how is Dodgers going to counter? Klayton Kershaw 6-3 on the hill for the Dodgers and he is the top money pitcher for L.A. Despite this spot is a down turn situation coming after a complete home game shut out against Florida and there are plenty of angles against L.A. I keep recalling the fact Dodgers bring their best game against the Reds. But rather than choosing sides Kershaw 16-10-1 O/U away in a spot to regress and the Dodgers to break out after a shut out. Reds are natural Over team at Great American Ballpark so we go against good pitching and that spells OVER.


MLB Friday

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Tonight's game featuring veteran Derek Lowe for the Braves going against Jon Niese for the home Mets. New York salvaged the Pittsburgh series with a big rally to come from behind. Something you don't see much with the Mets. The doubters will be closely watching to see if Mets 12-8 in last 20 home games will hold water against the Braves. This maybe a good spot with Lowe coming off string of 2 bad appearance and Niese coming off a excellent game. Though there is a air of "feel good" about the Mets I can see Lowe making his adjustments tonight. Lowe has been quality and better away although he get's less run support. Lowe also a work horse eating better than 6 innings per game. Braves to increase their divisional lead.


Wednesday, June 01, 2011

MLB Thursday

Tuesday loss with AZ was a unexpected set back, but than again I expect to win every game. Wednesday was a day to reflect back and sort through the angles. The plays come in different forms and the key is to recognize the profile that fits. Easier said than done.

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Interesting match up between the bottom dwellers in their respective division, but lately both teams are finding wining ways. Two right handers going on the mound, Bud Norris for the Stros and Tim Stauffer for the Pads. Bud coming off a bad beat and looking for a long due win. Tim is coming off his first win of the season and looking to keep his form. Considering the likely hood of one of these pitcher getting another ND and both teams having offensive up swing. Look for this on to go Over at Petco.
OVER 6.5(W)

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Returned from the wilderness weekend and have returned with fish to show my effort. Back to the daily grind, for some, but I really don't see it that way. Just what I do and enjoy it too.

Florida Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
If you sample some recent games in MLB you know the D-Backs are hot. You'll also note today's pitching calls for good arms. Cutting to the chase home team is a bit too much for the road worn Fish. Fish in the desert stinks to me.


Thursday, May 26, 2011

MLB Friday

Time to put on your straps and make a move.
Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
How do you guys like the White Sox 6 men rotation? Judging from the outcome Pitchers are in cruise control they just need some run support. Mark Buehrle is pitching good enough and Jays are on the skid. However the run support is still the issue and Toronto going with Kyle Drabek has been quality. Blue Jays don't seem to have run support issue as the best hitting team in AL. I'm going with Toronto to break the skid.

Toronto Blue Jays -125(W)

MLB Thursday

Florida Marlins at S.F. Giants
This game will feature Anibal Sanchez for the Marlins and Ryan Vogelsong two pitchers in great form. Both pitchers are not allowing base runners and games have been going UNDER.


Wednesday, May 25, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Got the win yesterday and we are watching the line movement on Tampa at Detroit.
Detroit Tigers looking to sweep the falling Rays in this afternoon match up. You guys might already know I like going against the sweep and look for a dog situation. If this game fit that profile I would of taken the early line for Rays max value. But this time I like Brad Penny and the Tigers. Andy Sonnanstine pitching in place of injured pitcher Jeff Niemann and he has yet to show quality outing. Normally a bit tougher on the road, but slumping Tampa bats will be no help. Penny has been quality at home and I expect him to bounce back.

Detroit Tigers -128(Postponed)

Added second game.
Mets pitcher Dillion Gee coming along nicely and Mets maybe ready to redeem themselves. Cubs will send Casey Coleman who has been working with too many base runners and woeful at home. However Mets just seem to find a way to lose.

CUBS 100(L)

Monday, May 23, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Bad take on good pitcher duel. I must say Progressive Field is the toughest home park.

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates
In this game Braves will feature Jair Jurrjens, top Braves money pitcher 7 out of 7 quality starts and Braves are 5-2. Going against Atlanta is Charlie Morton, also pitching well 6 out of 8 quality coming off a complete game shut out of Cincinnati Reds. As we sample the recent performance Braves production have come down while Bucks have improved. I feel that trend will be off set by today's pitchers.

Atlanta/Pittsburgh Under 7.5 -115(W)

Sunday, May 22, 2011

MLB Monday

Unfortunate loss yesterday with Colorado getting swept in Milwaukee. Pitching did return in that game which ended in 1-3 score Jimenez went all the way and Wolf, although not as sharp, got the timely hit to back up his 7 inning performance.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians
Sox, since sweeping the Yankees at NY, have been rolling. They just finished their home stand sweeping Detroit and taking 2 out of 3 from Cubs in Interleague. Now they're in Cleveland where Clay Buchholtz gets the call. Clay winning 3 out of last 4starts and Sox winning all 4. His last start against Detroit was a pitchers duel he gave up nothing in 7 innings struck out 7 walked 1 Boston coming out ahead 1-0, but Clay threw whopping 127 pitches. Red Sox are will take their hot streak to Progressive Field where Indians are 18-4 and Justin Masterson has pitched 8 out of 9 quality games. He too is coming off a pitchers duel at Chicago White Sox where he ended on the losing side of 0-1 and he too has thrown tons of pitches. I'm going Over in this seemingly Under 8.5 situation. I feel the Pitchers will regress with hot bats on both sides. Buchholtz is 1-3 O/U away, but his quality number drops, his ground out number drops and there's a rise in WHIP. Masterson at home is 4-1 O/U and though 80% quality gives up a bit more. Going Over at highly rated hitters park where production is 3rd highest in American League.

Boston/Cleveland Over 8.5(L)

MLB Sunday

Missed you guys on Saturday. Hope everyone held their own.

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Brewers are sure tough at home they've accumulated 15 wins and only 6 losses. Colorado is hanging just above .500 on the road and they have already dropped 2 games in Milwaukee. Ubaldo Jimenez still looking for his first win and Rox are 1-6 when he takes the ball. Randy Wolf is on two game slide and the Brew crew has dropped the last 3 of his outings. I think it's a bounce back spot for both pitcherws, but I don't think Milwaukee will complete the sweep. Both games ended with 1 run differential and this one goes to the Rox.

Colorado Rockies -122(L)

Thursday, May 19, 2011

MLB Friday

Phillies got cancelled with Joe Blanton getting scratched, but we get the late game in late inning.
Interleague play. Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Brad Penny pitching for the Tigers looking good lately. He's beat Kansas City, Toronto and the Yankees all in May, pitching just under 22 innings he's given up 3 runs total. It's been awhile going head to head with the Pirates, but Penny facing the Bucks in over a decade is 6-1. Pirate's pitcher Jeff Karsten has been struggling in May with 1 loss and 2 ND's. He's pitched under 15 innings, 18 hits, 6 ER and gave up 4 HR's. It doesn't look good for the Pirates, but Penny despite his recent success and 5 quality starts out of 9, 4 of the quality start are at home and of the 4 starts he's had away he's only has 1 quality start with 3 losses. While Karsten has only logged 2 quality start out of 6 both were at home and Jeff has 3 home starts. The Tigers to disappoint after the tough battle with Boston

Pittsburgh Pirates +121(W)

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

MLB Thursday

The game last night was ours to win. We couldn't lose after 6th inning 3-3 tie, but just not enough to push it through. Take the push and we move on.

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
A very good game, good match, Rox Jhoulys Chacin their top young gun with good mix, induces grounders and uses his slider for the out pitch. Coming off a ND, team loss, to SD at home. Jhoulys is playing well, 4-2 with 1.17 WHIP, team record 5-3. He'll be facing Joe Blanton who's record may not look as good as Chacin's, but Joe's doing heavy road work and small sampling of his home starts does not do him justice. Velocity dropping? His elbow? These issues will be answered. Let's consider Phillies are 11-2 against Rox at home and this domination runs deep into past seasons, but better than 80% is huge. Rox may have been surging and Phillies falling let's see if the tides change in this opportune timely game.

Philadelphia Phillies +113 *Joe Blanton scratched Bet Canceled

Adding a second game in NL at Petco Park.
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Padres hosting the Brewers and Aaron Harang will take the ball on the home mound. Opposing will be Chris Narveson. Brew crew has heated up taking 7 out of last 10 and they are scoring runs. Pads have a terrible home record and have dropped head to head match up 3-1. But what we have here is a top Padres money pitcher going against the worst money pitcher for Brewers. San Diego is also killing left handed pitchers.

San Diego Padres +105(W)

MLB Wednesday

We win last night's battle in South side of Chicago. Today we take our game to the Coliseum in Oakland. Beautiful day partly cloudy, but looking clear now at 64F and today is Wednesday special at Oakland. $2 tickets are available in Plaza Level, Plaza Outfield and Plaza Reserved sections, while supplies last. Purchase tickets now for this popular promotion. $2 Wednesdays are presented by BART.
How about that for a treat? Go catch this game if your in the area and we will cap this game. Minnesota Twins are hurting this year they stop the 9 game losing streak at Seattle, but this team has long ways to prove themselves. Carl Pavano taking the ball coming off 0-2 ND, Twins loss and Twins are win less on Pavano's road starts. Oakland playing much better will send Brandon McCarthy who is searching for his second win. The last win was back in April 10 at Minnesota. I see this game with high potential to go Over 7. Both pitchers are in a spot to regress and despite Minnesota's O/U 9-16 record the Over number has been creeping in for the last 10 games. Oakland, evident by yesterday's 14 run eruption, has been scoring in recent games. Both teams are trending Over and that's the play.

MIN/OAK OVER 7 -115(Push)

Monday, May 16, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox
So what do you guys think about the South siders? 17-25 is not a good record. 5-12 at home means they play twice is bad at home! Texas Rangers are a good home team not away although they did improve to 7-10 with last night's win at Chicago that's still under par. The pitching match up is Matt Harrison for Texas who was slotted to win in Arlington had that game not postponed. He's been having shaky start in last 4 games where he has trouble establishing himself early. Danks despite his no win record and his last disaster game in L.A. has pitched well for most part. White Sox also coming off a shut out at home is another angle to consider. Concensus taking Texas yet Chicago has moved from -123 on the over night to -143 and it is a strong spot for Chicago.

Chicago White Sox -139(W)

Sunday, May 15, 2011

MLB Monday

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
The Padres are playing their 7th out of 8th road game. Zona is just home from their 9 game road trip where they recorded 3-6. These two team matched up in Zona's first stop at Petco Park, May 6, 7 and 8, Snakes losing that series going on to lose more series. In the meantime Pads bats have heated up and here we are with a good road pitcher in Clayton Richard. Armando Galarraga is a bit off right now and we will take a shot with rising San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres +111(W)

Friday, May 13, 2011

MLB Saturday

Damn that loser game last night was exactly the kind of game that eats me up. Reds scoring 2 runs in 6th & 7th than knotting it up at 9th and taking it at 10th was a classic moose job. I know you guys had to vent on that demise, perfectly natural, but the key is never play angry. Take a little breather, relax, have a smoke or whatever you do. We'll get into the matinee for Saturday.

You know Houston has been dismal so far. Coming off a loss last night they are 3-7 in last 10, 8-12 at home, last in NL Central and there are many faults to list. But similar to the game we capped last night and lost, Houston Astros had last night's game in cruise control only to lose it in late inning. The difference between our game and Astro's loss was Houston blew it on their home field. Is that meaningless? I think Astros make a stand today and crush the visiting NY Mets.


MLB Friday

St Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
In the past season I would of looked at these pitchers just the opposite of where they stand now. Lohse and the Cards despite last two losses is money. Arroyo's not pitching bad, but not winning at home plus he's giving up the long ball at home.
I'm taking the good road team.

St Louis Cardinals -101(L)

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

MLB Thursday

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves.
Derek Lowe taking the ball will face visiting Jordan Zimmermann and the Nationals.
Nationals slated as highly improved team in the spring is just around .500 and are a money making team. Atlanta above .500 slight money loser, but RL winner. I looked at this game and asked why is the total so low?


Tuesday, May 10, 2011

MLB Wednesday

We roll another winner with Cardinals going away. The wind is to our back getting closer to the hot summer days.

I'm going with the steel city game, Dodgers and Pirates. Pretty good pitching with Hiroki Kuroda for visiting Dodgers and Paul Maholm for the home Pirates. Dodgers won big yesterday, 10-3 big, but let's face it they are not playing well, 3-6 in May, where as the Bucks are winning. But you may feel Bucks recent series wins came against weak opponents, Padres and Astros, and Dodgers have historically owned the Pirates. All true, but today's pitching angle show declining Kuroda against Maholm getting stronger. Let's go with the home team.

Pittsburgh Pirates -103(L)

MLB Tuesday

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Chris Carpenter against Carlos Zambrano. In declining season for Carp is a fast track season for Z, but following a impressive outing of 8 innings at Los Angeles Zambrano returns to Wrigley. I think Carlos will regress against the Cards right hand hitting line up. Chris Carpenter will give enough to keep St Louis to make this interesting.

St Louis Cardinals -118(W)

Sunday, May 08, 2011

MLB Monday

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Billingsley and Karstens playing in steel city. Simply put the nature of this game is to go UNDER not because of the pitching match up, but due to the fact these teams are not performing with runners on bases. The game will not be a easy Under with the given low number, but most likely fall short.

Los Angeles Dodgers / Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 -110(W)

Thursday, May 05, 2011

MLB Friday

Cleveland Indians at L.A. Angels.
Angels finally broke through Boston in a blow out and now they return to the West Coast. Indians took care of business in Oakland and they are ahead of schedule. Cleveland are playing hot and bring their money pitcher. Angels will be tired, but home pitching at Anahiem will keep it tight.

Cleveland Indians/Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8.5 -110(W)

MLB Thursday

SF Giants at NY Mets
Mets have shown signs of life. Michael Pelfrey will take the mound. Mets starters have lasted 6 innings in first two games and money has steadily pushed the Mets line from the original Under dog spot. Jonathan Sanchez coming off ND Giants win at DC That was a game he threw 103 pitches in 5 innings walking 6, but only giving up 2 hits 1 run. That makes 2 ND starts in a row for Jonathan. It seems he's not going deep. It's a tough sell for a sweep today and Sanchez looking shaky I have to agree with the money flow.

NY Mets -105(W)

Late game match up Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners.
Seattle. In recent games Seattle is surging and playing on home field, but I don't like Vargas. Jason has 3 quality outings out of 6 and has not won at home. Matter of fact team's got 4 losses. On the other hand Lewis feeds on Mariners and we roll with Texas.

Texas Rangers -110(L)

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Got a Push yesterday and look for another low scoring AL game in Minnesota at Chicago W@hite Sox. Dank and Sox look to get one back after a Lariano No-No and Twin have yet to show signs of offense. Blackburn looking to get back on track and I think this spot calls for a much stronger Blackburn. So let's hit the Under one more time.

Minnesota/Chicago UNDER 8.5(W)

MLB Tuesday

Yesterday was a square play winner with most sharps on the Tigers, but it happens. Look what happened 2011 stud pitcher Jered Weaver and the Halos getting wacked at Fenway. The difference between taking the Angels and taking the Yankees was simply the match up record and of course the shady line.

Tuesday we're looking at Texas Ranger at Seattle Mariners. Alexi Ogando coming off a quality game against Toronto and he has been consistently good. The only trouble game was at Yankee Stadium when he was fighting a blister. He 2 hit the Mariners in early April for 6 innings giving no runs. Opposing will be Erik Bedard coming off his best start this season. Mariners home from great road trip will look to keep this a low scoring game at home.


Sunday, May 01, 2011

MLB Monday

It was a close one yesterday, but a bad day for the books that got middled with sharp players who took 7.5 Under and 6.5 Over Pushing 7.

I'll take it as a good omen. The game is Yankees at Detroit Tigers and the pitching match up goes to the Tigers by default just because everyone is looking for B. Colon to blow up and Justin Verlander to pick it up a notch. I say show me. Detroit is playing losing ball games and hot Yankees team is anticipated to lose? Going with the road dog.

NY Yankees +125(w)

MLB Sunday

I hate having losers. Had one yesterday's extra inning game. Add insult to injury on home favs. It happens so you get back up, don't get rattled and focus on the game.
Giants at Nationals is the game with Matt Cain going against Jordan Zimmerman. Nats giving the World Champ run for their money. Shut down Licecum on Friday, 1 run loss on Saturday and still under estimated going into Sunday's game with Zimmerman who threw two clunkers in a row. Chances are Jordan will bounce back. Big Matt Cain is coming off a game in Pittsburgh which Matt was slated to lose before the Buck's pen gave it up. The game before that Matt was pounded in Colorado, but his game is improving and has feasted steadily on Nats. The game has low scoring tone which was also deliberate with 6.5 O posted by the earliest LV lines followed by 7.5 U offshore and quickly evened at 7, but late movement has pushed this number to 6.5 giving that edge by the hook 0.5 runs. If you get a good price jump on it this is good as getting that early opening line at a discount!

San Francisco / Washington OVER 6.5 -110(W)

Friday, April 29, 2011

MLB Saturday

We rolled with Florida on Friday game and Saturday I going to take the game in the desert. You know the Cubbies are visiting Chase Field in Phoenix. This is game 3 of the series Matt Garza following Zambrano\s win 4-2 Cubs. This series knotted 1-1 and Chicago stopped it's slide at 4. Now Matt Garza is not that bad of a pitcher. He gives you 6 innings and does his job, but the problem is his moneyline game loser the worst in Chicago rotation. On the home mound is Ian Kennedy who happens to be the top moneyline pitcher for Arizona. Ian's coming off a game of his life shutting down the Phillies in complete game and most likely regress here, but considering he's gone 14 innings in 2 games giving up only 1 run I'll ride that home momentum at a reasonable price.


MLB Friday

TGIF everyone! Good Thursday with Boston's timely hit to take the -1.5 RL let's move on to Friday at the Great American Ballpark. Cincinnati Reds welcome Florida Marlins and veteran Javier Vasquez. The last time Cincy hosted the Fish was August of last year, remember the Reds were smoking hot around that time, Reds swept the Marlins holding the lead throughout the series. This time around it's Vasquez against Travis Wood and while Wood has much better K:BB ratio than Vasquez, Wood is a moneyline losing pitcher. Maybe Javier doesn't fair much better as he's just above water getting good run support, but maybe the starters are awash. The Reds in last 10 games are hitting .195 against righties and Marlins are .290 against lefties. So we roll the dice with the hot team at a good value. The Marlins finished their home stand 7-2, almost sweeping the 4 game series against the Dodgers.
The Reds won the recent Milwaukee series, but it took extra innings to do it and they've lost the St Louis series before that, Arizona series before that and Pittsburg before that. Reds are alternating hot cold days and if the game is on the line in late innings Florida bull pen has been shutting them down.

Florida Marlins +139(W)

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

MLB Thursday

Sorry peeps no play Wednesday, but we had a good size dog on Tuesday to keep the flow going into the weekend. It's still early season so we will cherry pick these games.

Baltimore O's takes two straight win against the Red Sox. How did that work out? It crushed the Red Sox backers as road favorite. O's are 4-4 in their latest home stand, but this .500 record includes split with the Twins, Boston series win and lost to the rain shortened Yankees series in the middle. This team has the making of good dog team and Red Sox is just the opposite. It's a bad team to back especially with this early stage record. I'm sure the daily player who lost the two games with Boston might be shy here. It looks like another Boston situation with Lester on the mound, he's never lost to the O's, and Bergensen for the O's who been serving up long balls with regularity. So do we fade the obvious and take the O's ?
Well, I don't think so. After all that I've said I think the Red Sox make a stand with their Ace on the mound and I like the Lefty righty match up. Sometimes the obvious is play against the grain.

RED SOX RL -1.5 at -108(W)

Monday, April 25, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Toronto at Texas
Maybe it's me, but Toronto at this price against Texas who the Jays play well. Also Texas losses comes in pairs.


Sunday, April 24, 2011

MLB Monday

Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Pitchers are Bronson Arroyo and Chris Narveson. Both pitchers are doing well despite the money pushing Over. Brew crew is playing well right now compared to the Reds and hold the home field advantage, but I look for today's line up to turn it around from the left side.
Reds +120(W)

MLB Sunday

Atlanta Braves at SF Giants
Brandon Beachy following two good Atlanta pitching will try to continue the quality start. Brandon is coming off a excellent game at Los Angeles shutting down the Dodgers for 6 innings which gives him 2-0 perfect road game, 12 innings with 0.75 WHIP. The home team will send Jonathan Sanchez to stop the bleeding who is always tough at home. Giants are giving Jonathan ample run support winning his last 3 starts. I feel this Righty Lefty match up will favor the Giants even with the improving Atlanta Bats. Go with the home team.

S.F. Giants -130(L)

Thursday, April 21, 2011

MLB Thursday

Cleveland at Kansas City

Royals +106(W)

Monday, April 18, 2011

MLB Monday

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Tim Hudson goes for the Braves defying father time as the most successful of 2000 to 2004 Oakland A's Big Three, the other two are Mark Mulder and Barry Zito, people keep saying his days are numbered, but he's still rolling. Dodgers will go with Ted Lilly who has been around just as long and put his best game 2006 to 2008. Both of these guys will reach for their battle tested game plans, stay poised on the mound, but somehow I fail to see this game going below 6.5 runs. Braves Dodgers game have gone Over 72% at Chavez Ravine. I'll take those numbers.


Saturday, April 16, 2011

MLB Saturday

This is a game between a team hot on the road against a hot home team. The pitching match up Tyler Chatwood for the Angels and Gavin Floyd for the White Sox pits two pitchers coming off games reflective of today's line. Tyler getting the loss giving up 4 runs, 2 long balls, throwing 90 pitches and lasting 5 innings.Gavin beat Tampa going 8 innings of no run ball game striking out 8 in eye opening performance. But considering the larger sampling of Gavin's performance I'm not convinced on his masterful game to continue. His best year was 2008 and it's been falling since. On the other side young Tyler is a default starter, but also a top prospect with fastball up to 97 and control who can keep the Angels in striking distance. Take the fat number on Halos and look for Gavin's game to decline.

Los Angeles Angels +152(W)

Wednesday, April 06, 2011

MLB Thursday

Dan Haren for the slight dog visiting Halos and young gun Jeremy Hellickson will show his stuff at home. I think this is going to be an pitchers duel. It's a dome game and both teams have the make up of being early Under teams. The line has opened a AL low 7.5 despite the number money has also gone Under. I would time the entry, but the real prize is on the Angels as Rays are down graded product this season. Go against the price move on Moneyline and take the value on L.A.


Sunday, April 03, 2011

MLB Monday

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
Both pitchers on the mound are comers and I don't feel the home advantage is all that big. It shows on the line too. Take the Braves as the short dog.

Braves +102(W)

Saturday, April 02, 2011

MLB Sunday

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

Watched quite a bit of Spring Baseball, but good thing I didn't lay money on them cuz I was tagging the wrong teams. That's spring where late inning are like playing the blind. Moving on, it Baseball season in full swing. Taking a play from one of the very old school playbook which is to back the ace of past several season who commands favorable money line against a comer of a pitcher at home. You may think decline is in the card for Tim Hudson who is pitching agelessly, even his spring appearance was flawless, with his Braves looking very much like the Braves of yester years. I do not doubt Atlanta's contention this year. Nats at home is very under estimated. Maybe enough for Washington to find the holes, but Hudson in early going looking very much in form is enough to back the re surging Atlanta Braves


Thursday, March 10, 2011

Grapefruit League 2011

I took the Pirates last night on the Over-night line at -106. Bucks are at home hosting Baltimore O's. Somehow I mistook the split squad dates and thought O's had a day night game going on, but that's not the case. O's are about 15 minutes away and they'll come ready to play. Maholm and the rest of Pirates pitchers are lined up and maybe the match up does go to the home team, but the late line move advantage goes to Baltimore.

Baltimore O's at +102(W)

Friday, March 04, 2011

MLB Cactus League Saturday

Cactus League
Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
3:05 ET in Glendale, AZ.

Reds line up likely to have most of the regulars. Bronson Arroyo will start along with Logan Ondrusek, Jordan Smith, Jose Arredondo, Scott Carroll and Jeremy Horst on slate. Dodgers coming off a Friday night game at Camelback Ranch 5-3 loss to SF Giants. It was a regular season like match up Garland hitting Giant, Cody Ross, and Zito payback to Dodger, Marcus Thames. Emotion filled game was lost by the relief corp of Matt Geuerrier and Ron Mahay. Now they turn around from night to day game. Dodgers will continue to look at pitchers including non-roster invitees Lance Cormier, Jon Hube, Roman Colon, Oscar Villareal and Wilkin De La Rosa. Reds continue to show strength in their pitching and good chance to get to the relief corp again.

REDS +107(L)

Sunday, February 27, 2011

MLB 2011 Spring is in the air

Although many are still battling the cold season MLB Preseason games are under way and I'm already couple of games behind. Not that anyone should rush to the wager window, but observe what's happening around you. Keep in mind, if you've stumbled into my writing, I'm not trying to sell you anything, but I do want some attention for the work being put in and I do appreciate inputs and comments. I don't do front page stuff I leave it to the main stream media. I like stuff that goes unnoticed, unmentioned and under the radar. It's not always so, but that's my personal taste for going about choosing games. I don't explain much of the basics because it's common knowledge, maybe some are not so commonly known, but if it is with my peers I consider it common knowledge. Baseball wagering is the name of this game and I'll be back with my take.