Friday, April 29, 2011

MLB Friday

TGIF everyone! Good Thursday with Boston's timely hit to take the -1.5 RL let's move on to Friday at the Great American Ballpark. Cincinnati Reds welcome Florida Marlins and veteran Javier Vasquez. The last time Cincy hosted the Fish was August of last year, remember the Reds were smoking hot around that time, Reds swept the Marlins holding the lead throughout the series. This time around it's Vasquez against Travis Wood and while Wood has much better K:BB ratio than Vasquez, Wood is a moneyline losing pitcher. Maybe Javier doesn't fair much better as he's just above water getting good run support, but maybe the starters are awash. The Reds in last 10 games are hitting .195 against righties and Marlins are .290 against lefties. So we roll the dice with the hot team at a good value. The Marlins finished their home stand 7-2, almost sweeping the 4 game series against the Dodgers.
The Reds won the recent Milwaukee series, but it took extra innings to do it and they've lost the St Louis series before that, Arizona series before that and Pittsburg before that. Reds are alternating hot cold days and if the game is on the line in late innings Florida bull pen has been shutting them down.

Florida Marlins +139(W)

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