Tuesday, June 28, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners
I like good pitching match ups and this should be a good one with Derek Lowe and King Felix. The Total is low as expected, but Seattle line is a bit fishy. I like Lowe to come through today with a better line up.

Atlanta Braves +130(W)

MLB Tuesday

KC Royals at San Diego Padres
Felipe Paulino opposite Clayton Richard. I wouldn't say these are Over pitchers, but the tendencies are there. The match up has been very much Over and this game Total is dropping as the deadline draws close.

Royals / Padres OVER 6.5(L)

Cleveland Indians at Arizona Diamondbacks
Josh Tomlin for the Tribe against Daniel Hudson for the Snakes. This is another game where the Total has dropped. Games in Phoenix is slightly Under so far this season, but this number under estimates how hitter friendly this place is. This one goes Over.

Indians / Diamondbacks Over 8(W)

Saturday, June 25, 2011

MLB Saturday

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
Jair Jurrjens going for another win and there is no doubt he will put away the struggling Padres at home. It's not so much that Dustin is pitching bad, but his team is not winning. We will take this on the RL.


Thursday, June 23, 2011

MLB Friday

Tampa Bay at Houston
This game will feature good pitching with Shields and Rodriguez. I feel Houston will take this one, but more so with UNDER 7 runs Total. This number dipped to 6.5 before rebounding back to 7. Though the teams are playing higher Over percentage the match up is very much Under


Wednesday, June 22, 2011

MLB Thursday

Last pick loser. I'm in need of stringing some winners.

Phillies at Cardinals
Philadelphia going for the sweep sending Oswalt to the mound. St Louis looking to make a stand with Carpenter taking the ball. In the seasons past this match up would of sent the Total spiraling down, but 2011 version is a bit different. Oswalt 1 win since late April and 1-5 during the 8 appearance. The former Cy Young winner Chris Carpenter is 1-7 last 2 starts have been forgettable 9 ER in 14 innings. Considering the outcome of first 2 games St Louis is in need of a statement game at home, but I do not like the Cardinals line and Phillies are playing so good why not go agains the low Total. Might be easier than Cardinals stopping the sweep


Tuesday, June 21, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Pardon my absence. I left off with a winner on my last post so I hope there are no bitter feelings.

Philadelphia Phillies at St Louis Cardinals
Phillies with Doc Halladay and they are the road favorite. Kyle Mclellan with step in for the home team and he's kept the Red Birds in game. But the thought I have here is this game going Under. Yes, Doc's games have been going Over and St Louis are 41-29-1 Over. This game wants you to take the Over at 7.5 and I think this one stays low.

Phillies at Cardinals UNDER 7.5(L)

Friday, June 17, 2011

MLB Friday

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners
Phillies come to Seattle hot, winners of 7 straight, to start their interleague games. Visitors will send Roy Oswalt, 4-4 with Phillies team record 5-6, who is a high caliber pitcher, but performance has been lacking and he was having back issues. Mariners will go with Michael Pineda who is winless in June, but don't let that fool you he has been quality. Pineda looks to improve tonight from his last outing and maybe the bicostal trip will have Philadelphia a bit off balance.


Wednesday, June 15, 2011

MLB Thursday

S.F. Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Ian Kennedy for the Snakes is pretty good, 7-2 with D-Backs 9-4, but he's a road pitcher and the Giants have been a thorn. Ryan Vogelsong has been money and this spot I look for him to improve over his last outing against the Reds at AT&T on June 10th where he did not qualify for the 3-2 Gaints win. S.F. Giants are A.Z. D-Backs nemesis. Going against late line movement and taking advantage of rise in value. You may feel the D-Backs are due maybe so, but most likely not here.

S.F. Giants +129(L)

MLB Wednesday

L.A. Angels at Seattle Mariners
Santana away against Bedard
Going for Seattle to stop the sweep with Bedard pitching in mid season form. Santana's pitch count has been piling in recent games.


Sunday, June 12, 2011

MLB Monday

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros
Derek Lowe pitches well on the road and Wandy Rodriguez prefers home cooking. Houston Astros get Wandy back from elbow troubles, but it maybe too little too late. The Astros are facing 4 game home sweep by the hands of Atlanta Braves. Normally I would go against the sweep, especially at home, and Wandy Rodriguez would hold as a value pitcher at 3-3. Rodriguez 3 out of 4 quality at home and pitched great in May. But because it's his first game back you'll need to weigh in on Houston bull pen. Houston Astros pen sport 10-13 Saves to Blown Saves, the worst in baseball, and fourth worst ERA.
Atlanta Braves taking 7 in a row, 8 of last 10. Derek Lowe 6 out of 8 quality starts on the road. He's had this match up earlier in season winning 3-1 and Braves are killing the Astros.

Braves -125(L)

Saturday, June 11, 2011

MLB Sunday

Cincinnati Reds at S.F. Giants
Edinson Volquez is a money winning pitcher for the Reds rotation. He comes off a 7 inning gem against the Cubs. But I don't like him on the road and will back Jonathan Sanchez. G-men at home with Sanchez on the mound has come down in price. Take the discounted home favorite.

S.F. Giants -106(W)

MLB Saturday

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
Michael Pineda against Max Scherzer
I like the away and home situation for both of these pitchers.
Pineda 6 out of 6 quality start going Under 3 out of last 4, 2-4 away. Scherzer 5 out of 7 quality home start. 2-5 Under at home.

Good luck players!
UNDER 7.5 at +105(L)

Friday, June 10, 2011

MLB Friday

Dodgers at Rockies
Chad Billingsley against Jhoulys Chadin at Coors Field. Dodgers blow their lead yesterday as the bull pen gave it up. Rockies lost the series in L.A. just recently and they are looking for payback. Rockies come home and start on a good note. The trip against the West was less than satisfactory losing L.A. series, S.F. series and a rubber match win over S.D. series. Rockies will need to make up ground at home. The Dodgers left town after the Colorado series. They've won Cincinnati series, lost Philadelphia series and now they are in Colorado. Scoring tapered off in Philadelphia, but it's back in Denver. Going with Billingsley and the Dodger at Colorado. The power surge continues for the Dodgers.

L.A. Dodgers +144(L)

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

MLB Thursday

Hey gang what's cooking? Florida another loss? Oh brother can't win games their supposed to win.

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres
L. Hernandez against A. Harang
I like Harang at home against Nationals.

San Diego Padres -130(W)

Tuesday, June 07, 2011

MLB Wednesday

8th inning did in that UNDER yesterday and take a loss.

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins
The Marlins are reeling like fish out of water. 6 losers in a row and they are losing one run games.

This one the Braves send Derek Lowe, Braves winning 8-5 when Derek is on the hill, second best money pitcher in rotation. He is 5-1 against NL East and has thrown 5 quality out of 7 road games. But he's road game has gone 3-4 and though he has kept the Braves in game his last win was May 12th.

Ricky Nolasco going for the Marlins is having tough luck at home. He's pitched quality games, but the Marlins are not supporting him with 2-5 home record. He is 1-3 against NL East and 3-4 as a favorite.

Backing Florida at home coming off 1-0 shut out loss with Marlins out hitting the Braves. The Braves have over taken Florida in tight NL East, but I wouldn't say Atlanta is hot or Florida is down and out. Braves are having hard time scoring runs and the Marlins will be motivated after a shut out. Ricky will be OK he just needs his team to cash in few runners.

Florida Marlins -113(L)

Monday, June 06, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Reds were strong winners yesterday.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Daniel Hudson going for the D-Backs looking to get back in form. Kevin Correia got his 8th win and will try to keep his streak going. Both of these pitchers are going about their business with quality outing and though the Total is seemingly low at 7.5 this game looks Under to me. It's most likely not a lights out game with this number getting tested, but I think when the dust settles the score will fall short.


Sunday, June 05, 2011

MLB Monday

Coming off a win on the Under at S.F. Looking for more.

cubs at Reds
Garza on the hill for Chicago and Leak for the Reds. Cinci looking to bounce back and they are in a strong spot to do just that. They are favored, but at a fair price.

REDS -131(W)

MLB Sunday

Colorado at SF Giants
Jason Hammel taking the ball for the Rox will look to redeem himself after a sub par outing, but facing the G-men at home with Ryan Vogelsong on the hill will be a tough order. Vogelsong has 4 quality starts out of 7 and may not look formidable, but he has pitched all quality at home with 0.44 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Even when he doesn't have the best stuff the Giants bring their game. The stand out number here is 7-24-1 O/U and this match up fits the profile.


Friday, June 03, 2011

MLB Saturday

O.K. back to taking down winner with Atlanta taking care of business.

Looking at Saturday I'm going with the game in Cinci. Yes sir, Dodgers and the Red Machine. Reds continue their quest to the top and they are impressive with Cueto on the mound. Cueto pitching 2.13 ERA at home with 1.02 WHIP, 4 out 5 game quality start. Not only that, but Reds bull pen in recent games have been lights out with 0.79 ERA in last 7 games with 1.06 WHIP in last 7 games. 60% winners at home and highly productive with 18-9-3 O/U so how is Dodgers going to counter? Klayton Kershaw 6-3 on the hill for the Dodgers and he is the top money pitcher for L.A. Despite this spot is a down turn situation coming after a complete home game shut out against Florida and there are plenty of angles against L.A. I keep recalling the fact Dodgers bring their best game against the Reds. But rather than choosing sides Kershaw 16-10-1 O/U away in a spot to regress and the Dodgers to break out after a shut out. Reds are natural Over team at Great American Ballpark so we go against good pitching and that spells OVER.


MLB Friday

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Tonight's game featuring veteran Derek Lowe for the Braves going against Jon Niese for the home Mets. New York salvaged the Pittsburgh series with a big rally to come from behind. Something you don't see much with the Mets. The doubters will be closely watching to see if Mets 12-8 in last 20 home games will hold water against the Braves. This maybe a good spot with Lowe coming off string of 2 bad appearance and Niese coming off a excellent game. Though there is a air of "feel good" about the Mets I can see Lowe making his adjustments tonight. Lowe has been quality and better away although he get's less run support. Lowe also a work horse eating better than 6 innings per game. Braves to increase their divisional lead.


Wednesday, June 01, 2011

MLB Thursday

Tuesday loss with AZ was a unexpected set back, but than again I expect to win every game. Wednesday was a day to reflect back and sort through the angles. The plays come in different forms and the key is to recognize the profile that fits. Easier said than done.

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Interesting match up between the bottom dwellers in their respective division, but lately both teams are finding wining ways. Two right handers going on the mound, Bud Norris for the Stros and Tim Stauffer for the Pads. Bud coming off a bad beat and looking for a long due win. Tim is coming off his first win of the season and looking to keep his form. Considering the likely hood of one of these pitcher getting another ND and both teams having offensive up swing. Look for this on to go Over at Petco.
OVER 6.5(W)