There are different school of thoughts to test the waters in MLB. I take little bit from all the schools, mostly old school, and put that in the mix, but what I'm really looking for is misperception or misrepresentation. The quality of early underdogs can be richly inflated though inflated lines alone can not be used as indicating factor. From this point reflecting on spring performance can bring clues to April out comes. Key in some statistical numbers to plug iin and shed some light on today's games.
Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs
Cubs coming off a late game loser where the pen gave up the game. Cubs are a short favorite again and Matt Garza will take the mound. Opposing will be Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. The Cubs have not dropped two straight home opener since 2008, but Garza has signs of a slow starter, 2-6 before turning his game last season.
Gonzalez, coming off a season in which he recorded career bests in wins (16), ERA (3.12) and strikeouts (197) with the Athletics, was traded to Washington in December. In 10 Interleague starts during his four years in the American League, Gonzalez was 3-3 and he has value.
The Nationals bring a much better team this season and the take will be on the money and alternate run line giving -1.5 for the boost.
Good luck players!
WASHINGTON NATIONALS +111 for 1 unit(W)
WASHINGTON NATIONALS ALT RUN LINE +170 for 1 unit(W)
Fell into place nicely today. Love them feisty Nats