Friday, May 18, 2012

MLB Friday

(24-17 +7,620)

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals
The Nats in April was a Under trending team O/U 7-15 which has sharply turned in May O/U 11-4-1 Baltimore is similar though not as pronounced, April O/U 9-13-1 & May O/U 9-7, offense is keeping the O's on top of their game despite mid level starting rotation. Today's pitchers, Orioles Jake Arrieta is coming off a shelling against Tampa giving up 7 runs and yet the O's made it a game losing 8-9. Before that Jake gave up 6 runs to Texas that game ended 3-10, he has 2 quality outing in his last 7 starts and showing good promise of 62% Over pitcher. Not to be too quick on the trigger with the Nats & Edwin Jackson his ledger showing red, he is the biggest money loser in Washington rotation and he has thrown 3 quality out of last 7 starts. Edwin owns pretty good WHIP just tad above 1.00, but he's giving up the long ball making him go Over for all games in May. Both of these pitchers may improve here, but this Total has not adjusted to the rising scores.

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals
Game TOTAL OVER 7 -103 for 1 unit(L)

Anaheim Angels at San Diego Padres
This is a very interesting game with visiting Halos sending Jered Weaver to the mound. His last outing was in Texas where the Rangers tagged him for 8 runs in 3 innings and he had a tantrum in the dugout.
Weaver will likely come back to form in San Diego to match up with Jeff Suppan, but can the Angels win? Keep in mind the Angels are unexpected losing team, although they are improving, and they have higher expectation of their season as do the backers. Because of these expectations they are favored in many of their losing games. Padres too have quietly improved, but they continued to play as underdogs and so the difference is evident in the teams return on investment. Weaver despite being the ace and top game winner for the Angels at 5-1, team record is 5-3 and because he is a high favored pitcher he is only a slight money winner. Whereas Suppan ranks no#2 money pitcher for the Pads, but he has only logged 3 games. In this situation I prefer to fade the Angels purely on the premise Weaver will not complete the game  with a shutout and Suppan will keep this game in striking distance.

San Diego Padres +165 for 1 unit(L)

Tough night again 0-2

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