Saturday, May 19, 2012

MLB Saturday

(24-19 +5,590)

Going with a matinee game.
Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees
Andy Pettitte was vintage last night. I don't think Cincy's been shut out this season. On the other side Bronson Arroyo looked sharp too, but in my view Arroyo is over performing himself right now. Anyway that's something to think about for the future. Second game of 3 game series at Yankee Stadium will feature two right hand pitchers, Homer Bailey for the Reds and Ivan Nova for the Yankees, with records opposite of each other. NY starter Nova sporting 4-1 Yanks are 6-1 when he takes the mound, record and he is the top money pitcher for the Yanks. His only loss so far was back in May 2nd when Arrieta blanked the Yanks in their home field. That loss snapped Nova's 15 consecutive game decisions 1 game shy of Roger Clemens 16 and he's picked it back up with 2 game decisions since the loss. That's why they call him "Super Nova" I guess. But his revenge game against the O's, his last outing, was a ND game where Teixeira got a 2 run blast in the 7th to put the Yanks ahead. Nova was hit for 5 runs and on the hook before getting bailed. Regardless of his performance you have to say he's a pretty lucky guy to have on the mound for you not to mention he went 16-4 last season. Ivan Nova gives good reasons to like the Yankees today, but Yanks are not playing all that well. What I don't like is RISP 3-48 in last 6 games.
Home Bailey may lack Nova's wins, but he has more quality starts than Nova. Take out Milwaukee start back on May 8th and he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs dating back to April 14th. Bailey has 5 quality starts out of 7, on the road 4 out of 3 and 4 for 4 in day games. Let's keep it low and tight.

Game UNDER 9.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

Sean Marshall is killing me! already lost the Under to his pitching. We had 0.5 with 9 runs at the bottom of 9th.

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