Wednesday, June 27, 2012

MLB Wednesday

42-35 +10,490
LA Angels at Baltimore Orioles
The O's getting belted and killing my Under yesterday. I knew the LA Angels where coming into this series hot, but like I said it was also a public play. You know the public plays are killing the books lately and I'm going to ride along on this bookies slide. Yes, Baltimore with Hammel on the mound is winning tons of games for the O birds, but Weaver is mowing them down and Angels line up is killing all pitchers.Going against the Under and O's situational Under dog play, that's what the book says to play, so I'm fading the fade.

LAA -120 for 1 unit(W)
LAA/BAL OVER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Also adding LAA to a three way parlay with 
 TEX -135 & WAS -146 at 1 unit to win 4.38 units(W)

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

MLB Tuesday

42-34 +11,540
Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
You know these two teams have a very similar record, O's are 41-31 and Angels are 40-33, in East coast West coast match up. They took two different roads to get here with O's taking the high road playing strong games from April 13th to May 26 did not lose more than two games in a row and had one 4 games in a row & two 5 games in a row while isolating losses between wins or multiple wins. That surprised many people Then the longest loss 6 in a row happened May 26 to June 1 recovered with June 9 to June 14 five game winner and now after taking the Washington series at home will welcome the Angels. LA Angels took the low road losing multiple games with isolated wins from April to early May. LAA started to warm up from early May and hit a stride on May 22 to May 29 winning eight games in a row. Since then Angels have only 1 back to back loss and the rest are all isolated losses with multiple winners in between. The Angels are coming in hot. Their starter CJ Wilson is a 8 game winner have not lost since CWS May 17 in Anaheim stringing 6 quality start winners and the Angels are 7-2 when he starts on the road. You have to love this guy home or away is pitching solid baseball. Baltimore O's are sending Brian Matusz 5-8 and loser of last 3 starts. He has 1 quality starts out of 4 in June. He has struggled in last 3 starts failing to go beyond 5 innings, but he is a 50/50 proposition at home, 3-3 team record, and the wagering public are behind the Angels today, but you know what's better? Going with the UNDER. Both pitchers are extremely UNDER with Matusz 2-12 and Wilson 3-12 and I think the O's are going to put up a fight much tougher than expected.

LAA/BAL UNDER 8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

Monday, June 25, 2012

MLB Monday

(41-31 +13,590 )
Got the Monday blues? Not to worry MLB season in full swing and we look to build our bankroll! So sit back, relax and take in the American past time. We're gonna rock your world.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia the city of Brotherly Love. You know the Phillies were the gate keepers to NL East Championship holders of that title for 5 consecutive years, NL Champion 2008 & 2009 and 2008 World Champs. I say were because they're nowhere near what they were right now.
Philadelphia dropped two in a double header with Hammels and Lee, the big guns, they have not been effective in June, Lee can't win at all. Good thing coming into this game is both pitchers went pretty deep saving the pen and Joe Blanton who has also been eating innings has backed the Phillies winning 3 out of 4 June starts. June 14th at Minnesota he threw a gem, 9 innings 1 run win then he turned around on June 20th against Colorado giving up 5 with 3 HR's amazingly he got a ND with Phillies winning. The problem with Joe giving up multiple HR's, which is a telling sign of his sinker not working, the tendencies seems to linger as flat sinkers getting whacked has gone from May 14th for 8 games in a row. This spot will also feature the return of Jeff Karstens from DL , went 1 inning at Arizona on April 17th and he was done, who skipped the rehab game at the Minor level and coming straight into this game after throwing a good bullpen session. He maybe on a short leash, but even if he only throws 5 innings the Bucs pen looks good to go. Pirates have been on a surge all June looking very much a contender. Offense has responded well in June after a low scoring loss of 2 runs or less winning 3 out of 4 in such situations and also generating Over in all those games. Like the Pirates and like the Over.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES +134 for 1 unit(L)
PIRATES at PHILLIES OVER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

LA Dodgers at SF Giants
LA in SF you know the chant will be "beat LA" One of my favorite stadium AT&T Park and what you need to know here is the freakish wind which is 23mph blowing out to the center and left field. In this condition this park has produced O/U record of 9-24. Barry Zito gets the call and he is on 3 game slide since Texas at home June 8th, got bit worse against Houston and blew up at LAA. He really can't do worse and I think he will improve. Dodger starter Nathan Eovaldi has been pitching well he's just been on the wrong side of low scoring 1 run losses. Let's look for him to take one in AT&T Park against Zito searching for his form. I expect the G-men to make this a game, but back to the senior circuit LA will not be denied.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS +107 for 1 unit(L)
DODGERS at GIANTS UNDER 7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
1-3 -2,050

Friday, June 22, 2012

MLB Friday

(41-30 +14,590)
The Baseball Gods likes my picks. Yesterday's win on Oakland was no walk in the park, Clayton Kershaw was pitching like a demon, but somehow Travis Blackley, a pitcher claimed off waivers, answered the bell. The A's game was stronger and when the dust cleared Yoenis Cespedes 3 run home run off reliever Josh Lindblom for the daggers. 3 game sweep of reeling Dodgers 2-12 in inter league against Oakland.

 Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels
Back to the Freeway series in SoCal and it's going to be perfect baseball condition tonight. There's going to be some cloud coverage with very little wind with humidity and game time will be pleasant mid 60's degree range. It should be a packed night at Anaheim on a Friday night, schools just got out for summer, and there will be Dodgers fan in big number. It's feeling like summer now and like the games from the past dramas will unfold with new faces and new names, but the game will remain the same.
The Dodgers are on a slump. This skid come on LA alternating wins and losses until they failed to grind out anything in Oakland. Their road trip has been tough so far and it will not get any easier with surging Angels, who are shadowing the division leading Rangers, hosting tonight's game. Dan Haren going to the hill for the Angels is one of the original big three, (Weaver, Wilson and Haren) expected to perform in dominant fashion taking the Halos to the promised land. Haren is not quite there yet and lagging behind his peers. Matter of fact the Angels with Haren is 4-10 bleeding red and 1-7 at home hardly a member of the big three. He has yet to pitch a quality game in June. The Dodgers will counter will Chad Billingsley who is coming off a loss to the White Sox at home, but he has been much better on the road in June giving up 1 run in each of two road starts. Dodgers made costly mistakes in yesterday's loss which should reflect better defense for this series. Billingsley also in spot to improve. Looking for Haren's  home woes to continue and the Dodgers to steal one from their cross town rivals.


Haren was not good and Dodgers staked with an 5 run lead give it all back!

Thursday, June 21, 2012

MLB Thursday

(40-30 +13,240)
Dodgers let me down in my last play. On the hunt for under the radar game.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland A's
Clayton Kershaw 5-3, the star for the Dodgers take the mound. He's not as brilliant as he was in April, had couple of games giving up 5 runs in May, but also threw a shutout too. Coming into to June he has been diagnosed with  plantar fasciitis and though the Dodgers have won all three of Kershaw's June starts he's only logged 1 win and 2 ND's which is not much concern to L.A. backers who's ridden Kershaw's start to 10-4 record. So the Dodgers are 5-1 on Kershaw's ND's for combined 71.4% that's fantastic record, but it tells me he didn't do it alone. L.A. was playing good ball and they are still the team to beat here, but stepping up covering for star players on DL is starting to catch up. The Dodgers are lacking offense and Oakland A's are playing their best baseball this season. Looking for Blackley to improve his game against the slumping Dodgers offense. Usually in a case of hot team against a hot pitcher I like the pitcher to chill out the bats, but the hot pitcher today is warm with Dodgers less than 100%

OAKLAND A's +135 for 1 unit(W)

Pow! walk off 3 run HR sweeping the Dodgers 4-1

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

MLB Tuesday

(40-29 +14,240)
Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland A's
The A's get their best pitcher on the hill, Brandon McCarthy, Oakland is 7-4 and his most recent 7 games are 6-1 with 6 quality starts. The A's are giving him run support too as June game winners have both been by 6 runs. The bull pen is pitching better and Oakland is 5-1 last 6. The line is moving against L.A. Dodgers and Harang, but the Dodgers are no Padres or Colorado, L.A. is 18-13 away. Not exactly in their top winning form, but still coming off a impressive series win against the White Sox. Aaron Harang on the hill with the Dodgers 8-5. He has been tough in June starts pitching 19 inning giving up 4 ER's Dodgers winning all 3 games including the lone win against the Angels in the Freeway series. Taking the Dodgers tonight with Brandon not on his regular 5 days.

L.A. DODGERS +121(L)

Oakland's Brandon McCarthy did not lose a beat and Aaron Harang could not would not throw strikes. There was a spike towards the A's just before the game. 

Sunday, June 17, 2012

MLB Monday

(39-29 +13,080)
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Everybody loves the White Sox today. Why not? they're home from the West licking their wound from multiple chances they missed, Peavy's outstanding game at St Louis, giving up their lead in Los Angeles, but the weakening signs came well ahead of that road trip when they dropped Toronto then Houston series at home. If you think about it they could of lost 5 out of 6 instead of 4 out of 6. The fact is The White Sox since going 14 wins out of 16 from 5/17 to 6/3, have a record of 4-8. The South side backers don't seem too worried though they're looking to get better on the Cubs. North siders are the worst in baseball and 8-25 on the road, 1 game worse than 9-25 Houston, and on many handicappers auto fade list. That's all true, but this particular game with Matt Garza in a hunt of that elusive win who has been pitching solid baseball in June. Zack Stewart making a spot start should make this game interesting as his ERA has been growing and extended innings are yielding runs. Chicago Cubs have won the first game of series 4 out of last 6 series. This game is also fits the "75%-79%" fade the public play. Remember sheep get slaughtered.


We crushed the White Sox 12-3

MLB Sunday

(38-29 +12,080)
Ah one of my favorite day of the week for baseball. Got tons of good stuff today, but I'm only giving one.

Boston Red Sox at Chicago Cubs
The Red Sox before this road trip was a team in decline dropping 5 out of 6 in their home stand. During that slide they allowed over 4 runs 4 times and scored over 4 runs twice. Now on the road Boston has taken 3 out of 5 in route to taking their second series in a row and getting back to .500, that has been the story line for sometime, struggling to keep pace with AL East contenders losing money for their backers. However Chicago Cubs only glimmer of success was the home sweep against San Diego, and  Dempster who's not on today. That sweep stopped their 12 game losing skid, but the losses resumed after SDP 2-8 away. 2-5 in current home stand in danger of dropping the second home series adding to their miserable road trip. 1 run losses on previous game against series opponent has especially unkind to the cubs. Cubs will send Paul Maholm who was successful against the Tigers at home in his last try. It was his best performance since blanking Atlanta for 7 innings back on May 9th. I don't think he'll perform as well today and Boston's Franklin Morales making a spot start looks very capable of stretching his innings. Boston back to .500 today.

BOSTON RED SOX -120 for 1 unit(W)

Fading the Cubs!

Saturday, June 16, 2012

MLB Saturday

(37-29 +11,080)
Philadephia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays
Cliff Lee is definitely in the running for the top performing losing pitcher. Chicago's Ryan Dempster turned it around in June and Washington's Jordan Jimmermann gives the Nationals winning record, but Cliff Lee has 1.05 WHIP with over 70 innings of work. 7 out of his 10 starts have been quality and the results have been squat. Phillies have only 3 wins to show for 10 games capped by Lee's last start at Baltimore blowing 4-1 lead in a gut wrenching moose job for the Phillies backers, they paid -140 for the added pain. Now 5 days later another game on the road, don't forget Jason Hammel for the O's was not the caliber of Lee yet a winning pitcher, Lee will face Ricky Romero, Toronto's top winning pitcher, again not the caliber of Lee. Romero sporting 1.32 WHIP which has been on the rise with most recent 7 starts it's 1.59 WHIP and his games have gone Over 10 out 12 games 1 push. This madness is over due for an end. 17 game winner from last season pitching as he has and Phillies offense, aside from last night, scored better than 4 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. This road game seems ripe for Lee and the Phillies to knot it up in Toronto giving the battle tested warrior his well deserved win and a shut out revenge. At least that scenario would read like a made for TV drama, but I think you follow a trend. Not  Lee and Phillies losing games against inferior winning pitchers, but also the timing of these losses in majority was a loss of momentum in previous game. The loss carry over has plagued Philadelphia meaning isolated loss are few and far between. In the last 20 games there have been two games when Phillies were able to go W-L-W and have yet to stop a single loss so far in June. Toronto on the other hand .594 after a win currently 5 wins 5 losses in last 10 much better than 3 wins 7 losses in last 10 for Philadelphia;p. I do think Lee will improve from his last appearance to have a quality game, but it may not be enough again. Romero also likely to improve and this may even buck the OVER trend with a low Total number in AL ball park.. I'm still waiting on line improvement, but definitely looking to take  the Blue Jays.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS +100 for 1 unit(W)

Can you say "de ja vu" That's scary.

Friday, June 15, 2012

MLB Friday

(36-29 +10.080)
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels
Dan Haren takes the ball tonight. With Jered Weaver on DL Angels are counting on guys like Wilson and Haren to dominate their start. Haren winning 3 of last 4, shutting out Seattle on 4 hits and going 7 innings 1 run against the Yankees, are among the last 4. The Angels are back at the Big A after 5-1 road trip including the 2-1 series win against the cross town Dodgers, beating the toughest home team in baseball. Arizona dropped the first series of their road trip in Texas, but the second game of the series 1-0 loss looms large in their failure to capture that series. The Diamondbacks .500 on the road and coming off a good home stand Cahill despite 6-6 team record is 5-2 away while Haren is 1-4 at home with the Halos 1-6. What the Rattlers have excelled on the road and continue to build up is the RL win away 22-10 and the Angels are very poor covering RL  13-17.  Let's see the D-Backs have what it takes to take on another AL West contender.


Over estimated myself trying to get too fine. Did not need it, could of gave -1.5 on the alternate run line. Oh well winner!

Thursday, June 14, 2012

MLB Thursday

(35-28 +10,070)
Chicago White Sox at St Louis Cardinals
No I can't enough of this series and I'm still not sold on the Red Birds to take the final game. We have two rocky pitchers on the mound with Floyd for the White Sox and Westbrook for the Cards. Both pitchers looking to find their earlier form and I'm giving the road team to add to the Cardinals misery, losers of 12 out of last 19 games and 9 out of last 14 slide. The White sox taking 8 out of 9 road games and they are the best road team 18-10. Last night's 1 run shutout win by the Cards was a testament to Lynn's fine pitching and today should be a competitive game, but it is the Cardinals team that's reeling.


Second game.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
The Padres sending Volquez to the mound in Seattle for the 3rd game having locked the series San Diego will look for a possiable sweep. Edinson Volquez 2-6 and Padres are 4-9, he is going through a rough patch recording 4 losses out of last 5 the lone ND was also lost by San Diego. However 3 of the last 5 games he simply received little support. Matter of fact going back all 13 games the 5 runs he got in his last start was the most run support he received, 4 run once. 3 run twice and the rest are less than 3 runs. Seattle sending the new kid Erasmo Ramirez who was hot in Tacoma. Getting the call up on a game where opponent does not hit could be a good thing. The very nature of how they've matched up dictates the UNDER 7.5, right now at -130, but both of these teams looking UNDER are going Over at pretty good clip, SDP 8 Over out of last 10 and SEA 7 Over out of last 10. The low scoring tendencies are getting bucked and the total runs are bit under estimated. We will also have a tight strike zone today with Paul Emmel behind the plate with 90% Over rate O/U 10-1. Buck the UNDER one more time.

Game Total OVER 7.5 +110(W)

1-1 +0.10 kind of day 

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

MLB Wednesday

(35-27 +11,070)
Early morning hours. Thought I put this one up before hitting the sack.

Chicago White Sox at St Louis Cardinals
For those who watched last night's game between these two teams, how many hits did the Cards have in the first 5 innings? 10 hits and cashed in 1, would you say that's frustrating. Especially when Wainwright was on his game, 7 innings 5 hits 2 runs and striking out 7, going deep? Then the bull pen gives up 4 runs to put it out of striking distance. How is that for St Louis decline? Lynn will take the ball for the Red Birds, he's 9-2 with Card 9-3, winning both home and away coming off a 14-2 win at Houston fanning 11 Astros walking only 2. He's the man holding opponents to 2.66 ERA and stingy 1.14 WHIP, but we have another stud opposing him in Jake Peavy, 6-2 with White Sox 9-3, also a winner at home and away, 1.75 ERA away and 0.97 WHIP. Like I said yesterday Chicago's win streak was sparked on the road. I am staying on Chicago as a small dog. The line has improved over the course and taking it

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +122 for 1 unit(L)
That sucks. Making a rebound tomorrow stay tuned!

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

MLB Tuesday

(34-27 +9.550)

That was a tough beat. 

Chicago White Sox at Saint Louis Cardinals
Cardinals are looking for some edge tonight as the White Sox makes changes to their line up and sitting Dayan Viciedo playing Adam Dunn in left field. The Red Birds will face Jose Quintana in a spot start so Chicago White Sox maybe little off balance. The Cardinals returned from their 10 game road trip to lose their home stand against Cleveland and showed little scoring production. Adam Wainwright did get a win, but he is not pitching well in June. Regardless of Chicago's line up today Wainwright needs to contain the White Sox which is easier said than done. Chicago is very good on the road, their win streaks have been sparked on the road 4 times. St Louis has dropped two home series and 4 out of last 5 series.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +152 for 1 unit(W)

It was close early, but the outcome was not.

Monday, June 11, 2012

MLB Monday

(34-26 +10.610)

Monday already?  It's OK this is a game of love and when you love what you do you never have to work a day in your life, right? Who said that? I'm sure it's a famous quote and whoever said it was very wise. 

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim at Los Angeles Dodgers of L.A.
Freeway series about to start. Both teams surging with Dodgers completing 10 game road trip victorious 7-3 and Angels sweeping Colorado with hot bats blasting 28 runs in 3 games.  The Angels bats have been heating up before Colorado as they put up 18 runs in the Mariners series and Halos middle of line up is knocking out pitchers. There is no doubt the Angels are a force in AL West, but the Dodgers are the team to beat at top of baseball win percentage 39-22 toughest at home 21-9 and Angels pitching has been on the decline since the start of their power surge. Angels will start Garrett Richards their top prospect who performed well in his last start, 7 innings 4 hits 1 run against the Mariners, he was 12-2 minor major combined last season and the Angels have plans for him in the rotation.  Today I don't expect Richards to repeat or excel, but regress and I expect Chris Capuano to improve back in Dodgers stadium. The Dodgers have been under estimated for quite sometime as they are today. Richards might be good, but he's no Weaver. Go with the Dodgers this line has come down.

L.A. DODGERS -106 for 1 unit(L)

Could not hold on 2-3 loss.

Friday, June 08, 2012

MLB Friday

(34-25 +11,610)

Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants
Inter-league games are back. To be honest I don't like the inter-league games with limited variances to work with, but you adjust to the game and fundamental handicapping is favorable over technical handicapping right now. That's my opinion, although I am a believer in numbers theory, in this game.

Texas is favored by the public. The Rangers are the top team in AL West and maybe even the team that elevates to the promise land. Matt Harriston, left hand pitcher 7-3 record with 4.37 ERA, is a work horse  away from Arlington. He has faltered only once on the road, 5/02 Toronto, and along with Darvish provides the Rangers one two punch. Top ranked offense Texas combined with Harriston on the mound will be a formidable visitor for the 21st ranked offense S.F. Giants. If that's the thinking you guess the G-Men are the rightful home dog about to do down, but I see cracks in that offensive armor Texas has lost 3 series in a row since sweeping Toronto at home. Their lead has quietly diminished while the Giants have been on the rise. The G-Men carry four money pitchers, Barry Zito included, and their bats are hot. Zito on the mound the Giants are 7-4 and he is undefeated at home 3-0 with 2.59 ERA & 1.15 WHIP, Giants 4-1,  taking the Giants to add to the Rangers slump.

S.F. GIANTS +148(L)
That was not close, but I'll hit the Giants again tomorrow!

MLB Thursday

(34-25 +11,610)
That was a nice road dog win yesterday. However I blew the Thursday edition because I was waiting on the late line then got stuck in a delay missing the games. See you back on Friday post.

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

MLB Wednesday

(33-25 +10.070)
Getting crapped on last two games both 1 run games. Just a kind of games that makes me crazy mad.
Be assured there will be no emotional wagers here. The game lines have long been out and we have eye balls tracking them like hawks. Losses or wins we keep playing the game....shall we dance?

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
The battle of AL East continues with the O's and Red Sox at Fenway.  How many Beantowners would say they know their Red Sox would climb out of their mediocrity and continue their way toward the top of East. It was Josh Beckett on the mound when Boston reached .500 back on May 26th.  Remember that game with Red Sox knocking in 2 at the bottom of the 9th Jarrod Saltalamacchia walk off win? The last game Beckett pitched May 31 against Detroit the Red Sox was 3 above .500, but he lost that one. Now Beckett's turn again Boston is 1 game above .500 and everything seems to go in circle doesn't it? The Red Sox are still fighting to get off the AL East basement and Baltimore is making things difficult. Josh Beckett maybe eating innings, but he's not putting away winning teams. The O's have been underestimated all season so when they went on 6 games losing streak it was "I told you so" all around, but they snapped that streak couple of games ago and the O's are poised to take this series. Chen may not strike fear to the batters and he might not even go deep on the road, but O's are winning 60% across the board with Chen starting. He is also in a spot to improve fron 5 hit 5 run loss suffered on June 1st. Baltimore to take this game in Boston

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +154 for 1 unit(W)

I have to tell you guys shortly after publishing this post Baltimore price improved greatly. No doubt Boston money poured in late, but that was my timing. The late line O's +161 hope some of you picked up the extra stash. Oh yes, finally on the winning end of a 1 run game 2-1 Baltimore!

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

MLB Tuesday

(33-24 +11,070)
Minnesota Twins at KC Royals
Lariano going for the Twins is a work in progress. Bruce Chen has been on a roll winning games in May and looks to continue his hot steak in June. Minnesota better on the road than at home  and so is KC. Too bad they both can't be at home, Minnesota promptly took game 1 of this series. Chen need to quiet these hot Twins bats, but even in a low scoring match up Minnesota Twins to edge it out.

MINNESOTA TWINS ML +117 for 1 unit(L)
1-0 KC and we lose. Could not muster a run with so many opportunities. 

Monday, June 04, 2012

MLB Monday

(33-23 +12,070)
Yeah, couldn't get online again. I would of done it from my phone if I was talented enough to do it. Knowing your limit is important no?  We got a day game peeps!

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants
The Giants have one fine pitcher going up on the mound, Ryan Volgelsong 3 wins 2 losses and the Giants are 6-3, second in money won with 8 quality starts out of 9 all 5 quality starts at home. The problem is no run support. Opponents are beating SF in low scoring games with Volgelsong on the mound. I suppose the Cubs 6-20 on the road is not much to fear, but when Jeff Samardzija goes to work the Cubs are 7-3. This being a 4 game sweep situation I will have to take the Cubs to salvage one. Milwaukee almost swept the 4 game series, but the Cubs beat Zack Greinke and the Brew crew to salvage that series. Besides it's not like the Giants are blowing Chicago out of the water. The Cubs looking to break their 10 game road loss against one of the Giants best pitcher. Maybe the RL is what should be played, but taking the ML for a little extra value.