Tuesday, July 31, 2012

MLB Tuesday

62-42 +25,800

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Philadelphia visiting Nationals Park as they seek a win after getting swept in Atlanta.  The Phillies came close in the middle game of the Atlanta series, but they were clearly beat in the other two. Washington has not been kind either. These two teams met twice and Washington took both series only Cole Hamels had any success against them, he's not pitching today. Philadelphia starter today is Cliff Lee 1-6 with little help from his team, Phillies 5-12,  he will try for only his second win of this season with over 118 innings of work. It will be a tall order considering the home starter will be Stephen Strasburg  11-4 and 3rd money pitcher in the rotation, just a tad below Zimmermann.  Stephen is coming off a strong quality win at N.Y. Mets striking out 11 in 7 inning. The Nationals are 8-2 in last 10. Cliff Lee is coming of a non quality ND, rare Phillies win and Philadelphia failing on current road trip. Though Washington at home with Starsburg is the obvious choice the play is Over 6.5. Strasburg is slightly Over at home and Lee trends Over away with low total like this one usually getting crushed

Game Total Over 6.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)
Got no help from Washington, but went Over anyway. 0-8 Philadelphia!

Monday, July 30, 2012

MLB Monday

62-42 +26,800

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland A's
This is a match up that's going to be a preview of post season to come. The Rays sending David Price their top pitcher who is coming off a dominant win.  David has pitched into the 7 inning in last 7 starts, all of them quality games, 6 wins 1 ND loss. The most runs he gave up during that span was 3 run in one game, 2 runs twice, three games 1 run and he shut down Cleveland, just nasty.  For the home team A.J. Griffin with 6 starts he is 3-0 with 2.25 ERA and turning some heads. He was a sleeper taken in 13th round draft, but he moved quickly through Oakland's system His pitches are not lights out, but quality and he throws strikes in the low strike zone. He is using pretty good fastball, curve, slider and change. Also a stronge indication of good pitching is his outstanding strike to walk ratio, career number moving up in the minors was a strike out per inning to 2 walks in 9 inning. A.J. seems to love pitching in Oakland he's sporting a 0.98 WHIP.  Although their first meeting this season in Tampa netted 2 Over's and 1 Push this series in pitcher friendly Oakland the Total is pushed down to 6.5 and I expect the runs to come at a premium. Tampa playing 9 Under's out of last 10 and Oakland at home Under 32 to Over 18. This is a match up between #1 and #3 Under team in all of baseball.
Taking the Under.

Game Total UNDER 6.5 at +100 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Monday

62-41 +27,850

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
Edinson Volquez of San Diego is looking a bit nasty lately. All July starts ended in 1 run difference with San Diego winning 3 losing 1, 3 of those games were quality starts he also got 3 no decisions and striking out tons of batters. He's already beaten the Reds at home, July 5th 2-1 win, going 7 innings in a pitchers duel against Latos. For Cincinnati that loss in San Diego must feel like a hundred years ago. They've lost only 6 games in July, only 1 series loss which last happened July 3 & 4th to L.A. on the road, but since last losing July 18th to Arizona the Reds strung 10 winners allowing more than 3 runs only twice in that span. This is going to be a better game than expected. I'd give the home team the edge, but Reds starter Mike Leake should be avoided at home. He is the only money losing pitcher in rotation, 4 quality starts out of 10 at home is not a good number, the Reds are 50/50 with Mike on the hill and that's not a good proposition given that Reds price is not cheap. However I will side with the Under with both pitcher in mid season form. The Reds are NL top Under team. San Diego is playing Over this season, but much of it contributed by the low Total they're receiving and runs they're giving up.  Edinson to keep it tight. San Diego is 4 Over to 2 Under on this road trip so far, but even at homer friendly Great American ball park today's pitchers to keep it Under.

Game TOTAL under 8.5 at -105(L)

Wow the score on this one is going to the moon.

Sunday, July 29, 2012

MLB Sunday

61-41 +26,450

Good morning players. We have taken another winner with Nationals downing the Brewers. Taking the game on the North side of Chicago. One of my favorite ball park the Wrigley Field.

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
The Cardinals are rolling, creeping towards Pittsburgh and Cincinnati in NL Central. They have won 7 of last 10, their home stand was successful 6 wins out of 7 and sweeping the Cubs at home July 20 to 22nd. Now the rubber match with pitcher Adam Wainwright going for St Louis series win #3. Adam is coming off a quality start win against the Dodgers his third quality win in last 4 starts. They will look to take the Chicago series again this time in Chicago. However Paul Maholm will have a say in this game and this lefty has been pitching with authority. Yes the Cubs are lagging in NL Central and they may not reach the front runners, but money wise Chicago is rising much faster than St Louis. Let's take a look at St Louis in their previous road trip, July 13 to 18 six game through Cincinnati and Milwaukee, 1 win 4 losses failing to score more than 3 runs. How about the Cubs most recent home stand? July 13 to 19th six games facing Arizona and Miami taking 5 wins and 1 loss. Chicago is dangerous at home, 25-22 and in the black 56-43 Run line, Wainwright is in a spot to decline. Chicago to take the rubber match with their top winning pitcher Maholm.

CHICAGO CUBS +140 for 1 unit(W)
The Cubs let St Louis back in the game, but win in extra inning.

Saturday, July 28, 2012

MLB Saturday

60-41 +25,320

Good Saturday to all. I know everybody has their thing to do on this mid summer weekend, but take 10 mininutes to hook up on this play.

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers
The Nationals with Jordan Zimmermann is a combination I would not go against right now. It's pretty much a public play taking the Nats over Randy Wolf and the Brew Crew. Milwaukee was such a strong home presence last season, but that's not the case today. Randy Wolf has completed back to back quality starts something he has failed to continue this season. There is an similar situation in early June when he was pitching 6+ innings and failed his third quality start sliding downwards to end June. Jordan Zimmermann has been solid on the road just quality games. Take this game on the RL giving -1.5 runs on the away favorites.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 Runs at +115 for 1 unit(W)
Zimmerman was quality again, that's money.

Friday, July 27, 2012

MLB Friday

60-41 +25,320

San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins
We have Kip Wells, 1-3 with 4.00 ERA, for the Pads against Carols Zambrano, 5-8 with 4.42 ERA, in a match which has been owned by San Diego. Both of these pitchers were hit hard in each of their last start. It's likely that both pitchers will not be regarded highly in today's match up so the Total has risen to 9 from 8.5, but both of these pitchers are in a spot to improve. I think it's going to stay Under the original 8.5, but will gladly take the 9 instead.

Game Total UNDER 9 at -117 for 1 unit(Push)
7-2 San Diego, good thing we went with 9.

Thursday, July 26, 2012

MLB Thursday

59-41 +24,320

No gain no loss in yesterday's split, but LA Dodger went 12 inning final score 2-3 almost had another side and total sweep. Let's go with a AL game today.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
James Shields, 8-6 with 4.39 ERA and the Rays are 12-8, away pitcher has turned his fortune in July. Since winning 1 out of 5 starts in June he has only 1 loss out of 4 starts in July. Tampa has taken the first 2 games the last one in crushing fashion, 10-1 chasing the starter Gonzalez in 2.2 innings, now they are in position to sweep Baltimore in Camden. Chris Tillman is the home pitcher on mound to stop the bleeding with 3 games in 15.2 innings of work going 2-1 he's had his good day and bad day, but unearned runs do stand out. On this day game I'm going to take the Orioles even with Shields winning ways his quality games are not consistent. I don't think he'll duplicate his last game. Baltimore to salvage this game after 3 straight losses. .

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +100 for 1 unit(W)

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

MLB Wednesday

58-40 +24,320

 Coming off sides and total winner yesterday.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St Louis Cardinals
Aaron Harang going for the Dodgers and  Kyle Lohse two good pitchers on the mound. L.A. Dodgers made a trade with Miami and got Hanley Ramirez. The line up change has boosted the total to 9.5, over kill in my view, but let's look at the side with L.A. Dodgers they are Kyle Lohse nemesis as the Dodgers are to the Cardinals. L.A. is still 8-1 in last 9 match ups dating back to last season and yesterday was the first loss of this 10 game road trip.  Now Lohse has been pitching well at home the Cardinals are 7-2 with Lohse pitching at home and doesn't give up much runs, 2 or less in July, but he's giving up more hits then he did in June. He also give a HR after couple games without any HR's.  Aaron Harang may not mach record with Kyle, but he better on the road, 5-3 and his recent games have been outstanding last 3 games 19 innings of work 2.37 ERA and 0.84 WHIP matching better than Lohse. Going with visiting Dodgers as a pretty good size dog..

LOS ANGELES DODGER +140 for 1 unit(L)
GAME UNDER 9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W) *5Dimes reduced juice

We had a shot at that one, but take the split. 

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

MLB Tuesday

56-40 +22,280
Coming off a loss in L.A. at St Louis Over 9 runs.

Washington Nats at New York Mets
 This is a rematch of a game that took place in Washington Nationals Park just last week July 19th. R.A. Dickey against Gio Gonzalez will go at it again. The two All Star pitchers didn't exactly battle the first meet with 5-9 Mets taking the road win. Gio went out in 3.1 inning in a rare collapse worst of this season and Dickey looked shaky too. Remember Dickey when he was unhittable leading up to the All Star break? he's showing signs of being some what hittable, but he's in a bounce back spot. So is Gio and this maybe the pitchers duel game. Despite Dickey and Mets having O/U  11-9 they are O/U 4-6 at home. Gonzalez and the Nats are 50% proposition on the road to go Under, but I expect his best game today. Mets are 1-9 in last 10 match up. Taking the Under and the Nationals.

Nationals at Mets Under 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Washington Nationals at +104 for 1 unit(W)

Sides and Total 2 for 1 winner special 5-2 Nationals win!

Monday, July 23, 2012

MLB Monday

56-39 +23,450

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Los Angeles Dodgers at St Louis
The L.A. Blue is re-starting to roll. You have to know when this team was at full strength it racked up the best record in baseball. Meet the champions St Louis coming into this match with a sweep of Chicago at home. It was not just a ordinary sweep, but the Cardinals pitchers shut down the Cubs to 1 run in 3 game series. Today the Cards will give the ball to Joe Kelly with 7 starts his record is 1-2 and 2.75 ERA and really lacks innings to get a good picture, but he is tied for 5th in rookies with quality start. Visiting Dodgers will go with Chad Billingsley who has racked up 5 losses last win dating back to June 10th at Seattle. He does own 5-4 home record however his road games are 3-6. The drawback taking the Cards here is L.A. has beat them 7 in a row dating back to last season and Dodgers are scoring runs coming off a sweep of their own at NY Mets. I do like the Cards to have the home edge, but the take today is Over 9. St Louis is trending Under right now and 12 runs in single inning will likely not happen, but Billingsley is money going Over and he is coming off a Under which has followed with two 10 run games and one 9 run game. Kelly is less of a factor, but even with his quality starts he is doing some high wire act with runners on bases and one of these games he will get burned. He's getting hit and giving walks strike out ratio is not that good, but he's been holding on. Looking for runs tonight as the Total is 9 high as it's been for St Louis in last 10 games and is the highest in Dodgers game in last 10 games.

Game Total OVER 9 at -117 for 1 unit(L)
5-3 Dodgers take the Cards. But the Total was a little too high.

Saturday, July 21, 2012

MLB Saturday

55-39 +22,040 
What do we like today? The answer is Winners! OK we're going with a American League game.

Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays
Mariners playing 6 game of their 7 game road trip winning 3 out of 4 in KC, losing the opener in Tampa heading to this game. Tampa lost the Boston series, split Cleveland series and winning yesterday. The Rays have won back to back. Today Alex Cobb, 4-6 with 4.92 ERA poor home pitcher, will take the start opposite Jason Vargas, 9-7 with 4.09 ERA coming off a quality start at KC, who have strung 4 quality starts. Although Tampa has owned Seattle winning the past 9 matches dating back to last season. I like Seattle as the road dog.
fading Tampa after 2 wins against 2 different teams in a home stand with poor home pitcher.

SEATTLE MARINERS +141 for 1 unit(W)

That was a close win, but a nice dog win.

Friday, July 20, 2012

MLB Friday

54-39 +21,040
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
Holland for the visitors and Weaver for home. Both pitchers trending Under at 2 Overs and 1 Under each. Take the low number and this one stays below.

UNDER 7.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, July 19, 2012

MLB Thursday

53-38 +21,040
S.F. Giants at Atlanta Braves
The Braves were on a 7 game win streak when it was snapped by S.F. Now they've lost 2 in a row coming up last game of the Giants & Braves series. Can Tim Hudson and the Braves salvage the last game of this series?. Atlanta has stopped 2 games slide in last 3 times it's happened 3 games slide last happened 6/16, 17 and 18th. The last sweep Atlanta faced was the Yankees 6/11, 12 & 13th, the last NL team to sweep Atlanta was Washington 5/25, 26 & 27th. Hudson is a winning pitcher and Atlanta seems likely to take the last game at home before heading out on the road, but it should be noted that the Braves got swept both against the Yankees and the Nationals at home. Hudson is also a road pitcher with 3-3 record at home. The Giants are in uncharted territory with their longest win streak. They should like their chances with Madison Bumgarner 11-5 with the Giants 12-6 eating up innings. Still on the surface this game belongs to the Braves. Bumgarner is a home pitcher with 4-4 record away. However the angle is San Francisco. Staying on the Giants coming off a win scoring +5 runs and covering the RL against a winning team with a hot pitcher.

S.F. GIANTS +110 for 1 unit(L)

 Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Houston looking to split this four game series. They will send Lucas HarrellHouston's top money pitcher. Lucas has two no decision Houston losing both and his last win was three games ago blanking the Padres. This game not be so easy. Going for the Padres is Edinson Volquez coming off a non quality win however his prior three games all quality winners. I think both pitcher have a quality gamr. They both are coming off a weak start which should improve, Volquez on a turn around and Harrell coming back against a team he performed well. Plus we are playing in a pitcher's ballpark.

HOUSTON at SAN DIEGO UNDER 6 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

MLB Wednesday

52-38 +21,040
It's day game Wednesday. Play the game under the sun like we did when we were kids. Maybe it's not so easy picking up game outside. I guess most kids rather pick up a basketball and head for the courts. Changes in time still I'm sure there are kids at a open field ready for a game. So we go with the day light game.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
We have Jeremy Guthries the Rockies veteran against Pittsburgh's James McDonald who is much better than average 9-3. 2.59 ERA, but more so than James it's Guthries at Coors Field. He's in a spot to improve yet his home losses 1-5, 9.23 ERA is a tough number to swallow. The Pirates still playing winning ball. McDonald despite his ND and Pittsburgh's loss in last start at Milwaukee he is in a spot to bounce back. He is a bit weaker on the road, but still formidable with recent games receiving plenty of run support. Take the Bucks as short road favorites. Reduced juice baseball  is what you want to click on at 5Dimes.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES -122 for 1 unit(W)
This line went to -119 by closing so I hope you got the better price.

Monday, July 16, 2012

MLB Monday

51-38 +20,040

Sunday was a busy day. I was not ready to publish anything before deadline so I'm moving on to Monday.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins
Baltimore sure is having hard time scoring. They did put up 8 runs July 14th against Detroit, but they've been shut out 3 out of last 5 games and 2 runs or less 4 out of last 5. The Orioles in Twin City will face the lefty Scott Diamond. 7-3 with 2.62 ERA in 79 innings of work, that's good pitching. The Twins are 5-1 at home with Scott starting and games are O/U 1-4. The Orioles really need to go to work Baltimore will go with Chris Tillman making his second start this year and his first was July 4th going 8.1 inning 2 hits 2 runs unearned at Seattle. You can't expect him to do better and the Orioles have little success with Tillman 20 career road starts the team record is 5-15. However before you jump on the Twins as home favorite don't forget this team got swept for the 7th time, by Oakland, and last time by Baltimore. The match up points to the Orioles even with Minnesota sending a good pitcher with extended quality games. I think if the pitching is on this game will go Under, but there's too much anticipation for the Under to happen, I don't like that. Regardless of the Total being set low it still begs to be taken. This game is going Over one or both of these pitchers will give it up big. Take the Over

Game Total Over 8.5 at -117 for 1 unit(W)

Saturday, July 14, 2012

MLB Sunday

50-38 +19,040
L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees
These two teams are coming off a wild game where the lead changed 4 times. The Angels were 41-4 when leading after 7 inning so you don't see that everyday. But then again the Halos are 5-15 playing at New York so maybe it was surprising that the Angels were leading in late inning.
Today the visiting Angels hand the ball to Jerome Williams who's coming off 15 day DL with a record of 6-5 and 4.46 ERA. His game was on a 3 game skid prior to the DL and had little luck on the road. He will be opposed by N.Y.'s Freddy Garcia with 43 innings pitched, his short record is 3-2 with 5.23 ERA, but his career number against the Halos are 15-3. I would guess, despite the two journeyman pitchers on the mound, the Yankees will be a no brainer play for most or maybe the game total Over 10 with N.Y. on top of multiple offensive stats and L.A.'s batting .308 with 109 runs and 27 HR over the last 18 games. But I'm not going to trust the sides since L.A. is still 16-6 in last 22 road games and I'm going against the grain in game total going Over. Yes, either one of these pitcher is capable of imploding and Paul Schrieber behind the plate is O/U 13-5, but he doesn't see too many high Totals. Matter of fact Schriber has been behind the plate only once when the total was 10, the highest he's umped, and that went Under. Two prolific AL Under teams this season with Total set at 10, L.A. is #2 and N.Y. is #3 in Under's, while this game looks very much Over to most I'm going to look for this Total to move higher and taking the UNDER.  It's already O10.5 at BookMaker and O10 is -122 at 5Dimes. When two Under teams break the Over soundly and the following game of the series is set with an higher Total the play should be UNDER.

UNDER 11 at -105(W)
Had this one clocked from the opening to move the wrong way.

Friday, July 13, 2012

MLB Friday

50-37 +20,040
Detroit Tigers at  Baltimore Orioles
Second half of MLB Season under way. Detroit is winning games with 5 games in a row and 7 out of last 10. They're scoring runs too 4 runs or better 9 out of last 10. The current streak they have allowed 3 runs or less 4 out of last 5. It looks all good and Doug Fister takes the ball, that may not be all good. Doug won his last contest against KC in a non quality outing, but his wins are far and few in between. Besides the Tigers wins have come against basement dwellers KC and Minnesota as fat favorites. The Orioles have been on decline getting shut out by the Angels their last 2 games and have been sliding since mid June, but Jason Hammel is looking get things back on track. He faced the Angels ace Jered Weaver twice in last 3 starts, first one he was off getting shelled at home and then a quality game loss at home his last start. He also took a loss in Seattle in between, but even with 3 losses in a row I like his chances over Doug Fister. In the Baltimore rotation Hammel is the top money winner and gets good run support in majority of his starts. Despite O birds power outage in recent games Fister should entice the Baltimore to cash in some runs.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +101 for 1 unit(L)
My bad wrong side.

Monday, July 09, 2012

MLB All Star Break

50-37 +20,040

Getting short changed 2 games in a row. It's nothing new to me, but still giving up 3 runs will make me want to part the sky and drill a thunder bolt down on Chris Perez.
Here we are at All Star break and all's well with the exception of couple of hiccups the season is shaping up fine.

Not all that into HR derby or the All Star game, but I do have sources for those. It will not reflect the record for blog picks.

Prince Fielder +500(W) 

Robinson Cano +500(L)

Sunday, July 08, 2012

MLB Sunday

50-36 +21,100

Tampa Rays at Cleveland Indians
The Rays are on a slide. Their last 7 game home stand was below average 3-4 and their previous 9 game road trip was 3-6. During this span the Rays have failed to isolate losses and occassional wins with better than 1.5 run margin have been followed by 2 losses or more. Zach McAllister will start for the Tribe with 2 wins and 2 ND in last 4 all wins for Cleveland. Zach is limiting opposition to less than 3 runs in 5 out of 6 games which is the team record with Zack 5-1. Indians are swing their bats scoring 5 runs or more 7 out of last 10 games and James Shields, Tampa's starter, has been very hittable giving up 10 knocks to NYY in last start and 14 knocks to DET before that. He has allowed 7 knocks or more in 9 out of last 10 games. Needless to say his quality game has declined to few and far in between. Cleveland has always given Shields trouble, he is 1-5 with 3.93 ERA in 9 career starts. Going with Cleveland at home as small favorite to take the Tampa series 3-1.

CLEVELAND INDIANS -106 for 1 unit(L)
Chris Perez gives up 3 runs in the bottom of the 9th to give this winner away. 7-6 Rays

Saturday, July 07, 2012

MLB Saturday

50-35 +22,200

Second set with Chad Billingsley for LA, he limited opposition to 3 runs in last 2 games though loser of last 4 games, going against Arizona's Trevor Cahill, he bounced back in last game though picking up a loss against SDP and he has shown weakness at home. It was apparent in the first game of this series the score is poised to rise. Billingsley absolutely OVER at 12-3 and Cahill's O/U 7-9 is turned around at home O/U 5-2. Today's Total has flirted with 8.5 to 9, settled back to 8.5, and well likely to go Over the 9 mark. Brian O'Nora behind the plate will have a hitter's zone at O/U 11-5

OVER 8.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
3-5 lose by the hook

Thursday, July 05, 2012

MLB Thursday

49-35 +20,920
We are keeping it hot in July.

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays are scoring tons of runs in their home stand. Despite scoring 4+ runs in 6 out of 7 games they're record is 4-3 allowing 11, 10 & 9 runs in those losses. Toronto backers are looking for the Jays to string some solid wins as they take the Royals. The Jays dropped the first game big time 3-11 stunner with Romero getting rocked, but came back nicely winning 2 & 3rd game by 3 run margin. Now they can take the Kansas series today and have 3 games winning streak to get this going. As for Kansas City Royals, playing below .500 ball, to cooperate is another matter. The Royals play a bit better on the road and they will face Henderson Alvarez, the biggest money loser for the Jays rotation coming off a win with a quality start. He has not pitched back to back quality games in quite sometime and he's only had 2 quality starts in last 7. The Jays are 2-7 with Alvarez on the mound.
I know many don't like backing KC the Royals Luke Hochevar gave up 3 HR in his last start, 3rd multi HR game this season, but he was pitching no run games winning the previous 2 starts. Looking for Hochevar to bounce back to keep KC in this game. This play is a fade on Alvarez and Toronto.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS +128 for 1 unit(W)
We are on a roll!

Wednesday, July 04, 2012

MLB 4th of July

48-35 +19,880
Happy 4th to all the players out there. Get those grills out early we have day time games.
Coming off a roller coaster ride of a game snatching a win away from the grasps of Miami. Lucky win? perhaps, but as the saying goes I'll take it any way I can.

SF Giants at Washington Nationals
Madison Bumgarner is having a fine season, 10-4 with 2.85 ERA, and the Giants are 11-5 while Edwin Jackson, 4-4 with 3.57 ERA, has a team record of 5-10 they are the mirror opposite. Interestingly the line has crossed over also known as reverse line movement from Washington to San Francisco and remains fairly tight. This match up is the NL West number 1 against the NL East number 1 which should tell you it's going to be a good battle. I think many are looking for the Giants to knot up the series and maybe the Over too with both teams hitting double digits yesterday easily going Over 7.5, 5Dimes Total has been trending Over 7.5 at -115, the thunder storm will make this total a game time decision. However  the sides differs from what it seems on the surface. Madison Bumgarner is coming off a complete game 1 hitter it is likely that his game will decline a bit here. On the road his ERA rises to 3.72 in day games 3.46 and 4 of his 5 losses all happened on the road. Edwin Jackson is coming off his worst start this season in Colorado he should improve back on his home turf. Despite his record he's pitched quality games, 8 out of 10 with 1.05 WHIP, he's taking close losses.  But now Nationals are scoring runs, they scored 5+ runs last 7 straight games, making them balanced and Giants winning ways been through pitching lights out games at home. It's going to be tough to duplicate that magic here at Nationals Park. Going with Nationals as slight home dogs.

I did end up taking the Over too, but didn't have enough time to post. Enjoy the fireworks.

Tuesday, July 03, 2012

MLB Tuesday

47-35 +18,880
We are coming up to the All Star break hope you guys voted for the right player. I'm just kidding, this ain't no fantasy baseball, we're speculating zero sum game. While the baseball fans watch the Stars we'll be grinding games, analyzing angles and building our own private stats. So register with 5Dimes from this blog, fund your account and follow the Picks by email and your in like Flynn baby!

For me it's harder working with a sports fan because they have strong opinions and that makes it harder for them to pull the trigger. It's the "no way" syndrome. Many of these picks have the look of "no way" that's the style of play we employ.  Look around the Internet searching for sites pushing picks. If your going to buy a package you need to know the handicapper's style, maybe you don't mind heavy juiced favorites being a common menu item or other exotic picks, making the choice easier to swallow is important for your sanity.  Imagine not liking the pick or worse you like the other side and it ends up losing? I'm not saying you should buy any packages, but you should have a good long look before spending your money getting a adviser. Better yet try improving your own game.

Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers
Anibal Sanchez is the guy to watch on the mound for visiting Miami. Both teams are middle of the pack  team with Brewers looking little better because Houston and Chicago share the Central division. Both teams have gone 5-5 last 10 games, but Miami is the one with the good pitcher Sanchez. He gives up few runs and pretty predictable on the hill. Enter Marco Estrada 0-3, but struck out 12 Reds in his return from DL. Marco is working his way up the ladder and may show improving game. Sanchez comes advertised, but I don't like him after a quality game. He's alternating and June was not a great month, he had two quality starts, but 3 loser. He doesn't win many of his quality starts and that may not be his fault, but losers never the less.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS at -109 for 1 unit(W)
That was a f--king wild game. The Crew rocks!

Monday, July 02, 2012

MLB Monday

46-35 +17,870
Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Indians
I think Indians are a dangerous team especially coming off 10 game road trip. Keep in mind the first game return home is a classic bounce back play. Cleveland true to this angle has won all first game back from a road trip 5 out of 5 times this season. The Indians took out Baltimore series 3 out of 4 to end their trip and now welcomes a hot LA Angels with their ace Jered Weaver getting the call. Jered cruised on his last start, which was his second start  since coming off the DL, and looked very much a All Star that he is. Ubaldo Jimenez starting for Cleveland is much improved in June.  He has kept the Indians in all of June games except for Pittsburgh on June 16th and his one other loss against NY Ynakees on June 27th was a 1 run loss making his June record 2-2. As unlikely as it would seem for Weaver to falter going into the All Star break it is more likely for Jimenez to perform keeping this game tight once again. Can't say Cleveland wins straight up, but Angels offensive production has been declining with last game against the Blue Jays netting 2 runs. If Jered is to keep the Indians bat off balance and LA Angels bats struggle against Jimenez the likely choice for this game is UNDER.
FYI, Weaver on the mound the Angels have 10-3 record, three losses comes against Texas, Minnesota and Cleveland.

UNDER 8.5 at -115 for 1 unit(W)

Glad I didn't go with the Tribe. Angels win and buck the trend.

Sunday, July 01, 2012

MLB Saturday

45-35 +16,870
Chicago White and NY Yankees
Hiroki Kuroda on the mound for the Yankees and he is one of the most competetive of all pitchers to come from Japan. He is also 'a pitcher with history of low run support. Don't think run support will be much help with Jake Peavy on the mound for the visiting Chicago. The White Sox maybe up against hot NY team that'll be too much, but the runs will be at premium. Go with the Under.