Wednesday, July 04, 2012

MLB 4th of July

48-35 +19,880
Happy 4th to all the players out there. Get those grills out early we have day time games.
Coming off a roller coaster ride of a game snatching a win away from the grasps of Miami. Lucky win? perhaps, but as the saying goes I'll take it any way I can.

SF Giants at Washington Nationals
Madison Bumgarner is having a fine season, 10-4 with 2.85 ERA, and the Giants are 11-5 while Edwin Jackson, 4-4 with 3.57 ERA, has a team record of 5-10 they are the mirror opposite. Interestingly the line has crossed over also known as reverse line movement from Washington to San Francisco and remains fairly tight. This match up is the NL West number 1 against the NL East number 1 which should tell you it's going to be a good battle. I think many are looking for the Giants to knot up the series and maybe the Over too with both teams hitting double digits yesterday easily going Over 7.5, 5Dimes Total has been trending Over 7.5 at -115, the thunder storm will make this total a game time decision. However  the sides differs from what it seems on the surface. Madison Bumgarner is coming off a complete game 1 hitter it is likely that his game will decline a bit here. On the road his ERA rises to 3.72 in day games 3.46 and 4 of his 5 losses all happened on the road. Edwin Jackson is coming off his worst start this season in Colorado he should improve back on his home turf. Despite his record he's pitched quality games, 8 out of 10 with 1.05 WHIP, he's taking close losses.  But now Nationals are scoring runs, they scored 5+ runs last 7 straight games, making them balanced and Giants winning ways been through pitching lights out games at home. It's going to be tough to duplicate that magic here at Nationals Park. Going with Nationals as slight home dogs.

I did end up taking the Over too, but didn't have enough time to post. Enjoy the fireworks.

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