Monday, July 23, 2012

MLB Monday

56-39 +23,450

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Los Angeles Dodgers at St Louis
The L.A. Blue is re-starting to roll. You have to know when this team was at full strength it racked up the best record in baseball. Meet the champions St Louis coming into this match with a sweep of Chicago at home. It was not just a ordinary sweep, but the Cardinals pitchers shut down the Cubs to 1 run in 3 game series. Today the Cards will give the ball to Joe Kelly with 7 starts his record is 1-2 and 2.75 ERA and really lacks innings to get a good picture, but he is tied for 5th in rookies with quality start. Visiting Dodgers will go with Chad Billingsley who has racked up 5 losses last win dating back to June 10th at Seattle. He does own 5-4 home record however his road games are 3-6. The drawback taking the Cards here is L.A. has beat them 7 in a row dating back to last season and Dodgers are scoring runs coming off a sweep of their own at NY Mets. I do like the Cards to have the home edge, but the take today is Over 9. St Louis is trending Under right now and 12 runs in single inning will likely not happen, but Billingsley is money going Over and he is coming off a Under which has followed with two 10 run games and one 9 run game. Kelly is less of a factor, but even with his quality starts he is doing some high wire act with runners on bases and one of these games he will get burned. He's getting hit and giving walks strike out ratio is not that good, but he's been holding on. Looking for runs tonight as the Total is 9 high as it's been for St Louis in last 10 games and is the highest in Dodgers game in last 10 games.

Game Total OVER 9 at -117 for 1 unit(L)
5-3 Dodgers take the Cards. But the Total was a little too high.

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