Monday, July 30, 2012

MLB Monday

62-41 +27,850

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
Edinson Volquez of San Diego is looking a bit nasty lately. All July starts ended in 1 run difference with San Diego winning 3 losing 1, 3 of those games were quality starts he also got 3 no decisions and striking out tons of batters. He's already beaten the Reds at home, July 5th 2-1 win, going 7 innings in a pitchers duel against Latos. For Cincinnati that loss in San Diego must feel like a hundred years ago. They've lost only 6 games in July, only 1 series loss which last happened July 3 & 4th to L.A. on the road, but since last losing July 18th to Arizona the Reds strung 10 winners allowing more than 3 runs only twice in that span. This is going to be a better game than expected. I'd give the home team the edge, but Reds starter Mike Leake should be avoided at home. He is the only money losing pitcher in rotation, 4 quality starts out of 10 at home is not a good number, the Reds are 50/50 with Mike on the hill and that's not a good proposition given that Reds price is not cheap. However I will side with the Under with both pitcher in mid season form. The Reds are NL top Under team. San Diego is playing Over this season, but much of it contributed by the low Total they're receiving and runs they're giving up.  Edinson to keep it tight. San Diego is 4 Over to 2 Under on this road trip so far, but even at homer friendly Great American ball park today's pitchers to keep it Under.

Game TOTAL under 8.5 at -105(L)

Wow the score on this one is going to the moon.

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