Saturday, July 14, 2012

MLB Sunday

50-38 +19,040
L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees
These two teams are coming off a wild game where the lead changed 4 times. The Angels were 41-4 when leading after 7 inning so you don't see that everyday. But then again the Halos are 5-15 playing at New York so maybe it was surprising that the Angels were leading in late inning.
Today the visiting Angels hand the ball to Jerome Williams who's coming off 15 day DL with a record of 6-5 and 4.46 ERA. His game was on a 3 game skid prior to the DL and had little luck on the road. He will be opposed by N.Y.'s Freddy Garcia with 43 innings pitched, his short record is 3-2 with 5.23 ERA, but his career number against the Halos are 15-3. I would guess, despite the two journeyman pitchers on the mound, the Yankees will be a no brainer play for most or maybe the game total Over 10 with N.Y. on top of multiple offensive stats and L.A.'s batting .308 with 109 runs and 27 HR over the last 18 games. But I'm not going to trust the sides since L.A. is still 16-6 in last 22 road games and I'm going against the grain in game total going Over. Yes, either one of these pitcher is capable of imploding and Paul Schrieber behind the plate is O/U 13-5, but he doesn't see too many high Totals. Matter of fact Schriber has been behind the plate only once when the total was 10, the highest he's umped, and that went Under. Two prolific AL Under teams this season with Total set at 10, L.A. is #2 and N.Y. is #3 in Under's, while this game looks very much Over to most I'm going to look for this Total to move higher and taking the UNDER.  It's already O10.5 at BookMaker and O10 is -122 at 5Dimes. When two Under teams break the Over soundly and the following game of the series is set with an higher Total the play should be UNDER.

UNDER 11 at -105(W)
Had this one clocked from the opening to move the wrong way.

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