Friday, August 31, 2012

MLB Friday

79-56 +28,020

Looking into the crystal ball getting a glimpse of the future and reading the outcome doesn't always turn out that way. Future is a ever changing thing and only parts come to vision like a clue you need to piece together for the big picture. It's all an process of what's likely and what's not nothing psychic about it. 

Hitting some bad games, but it's the nature of the game. Playing 5 innings today see if we can improve here.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
The Orioles are on the rise, 7-3 in last 10, closing in on division leading NY Yankees. The Yankees 4-6 in last 10, but will be sending their top home pitcher in Hiroki Kuroda 9-4 with 2.22 ERA. He is coming off a quality start loss at Cleveland 1-3 which was rare for the Yanks not to take advantage of Kuroda's quality start pitching deep into 8 inning. Kuroda in this sequence is not likely to pitch deep as he did in Cleveland, but his performance is steady Orioles will not be getting much runs Baltimore countering with Miguel Gonzalez, reliever turned starter, coming off a non quality loss, but has been pitching well to that point.
The Under seems like an obvious play and the money is 9O, but I staying Under. There seems to be some bull pen discrepancy with Randy Wolf coming into Baltimore reliever corp likely to make a appearance which can be concerning. Let's keep it to the first 5 inning.

First 5 innings Game Total UNDER 5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)


Thursday, August 30, 2012

MLB Thursday

79-55 +29,170

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Rick Porcello  9-9 with 4.60 ERA on a losing streak of 3. Although he has 4 quality games out of 11 on the road his record is 5-4 with Detroit winning 6-5. Jeremy Guthrie is 5-11 with 5.85 ERA and he is having trouble on the home mound, but his performance has been climbing. Jeremy coming off a non quality no decision. This game will match up closer than it looks. Royals on bounce back scoring Over is11-4 after scoring 2 runs or less. Porcello is Over 24-7 after coming off a game allowing 2 runs or less. Over 20-6 following a game where opponents score 2 runs or less.

Game Total OVER 9 at -115 for 1 unit(L)
Baseball gods don't like my play!

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

MLB Wednesday

79-54 +30,220

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins
The Twins down fall started around Aug. 10th and Minnesota has been getting killed since.  The losses between win since Aug. 10th is 4, 5 and 5 now in midst of 2 losers in a row. The Twins will send Samuel Deduno with 51 inning of work winning 4-2.  He is coming off a non quality loss, second loss in a row, but he has been pitching well up to that point and has bounced back from bad starts before. The problem  is Deduno's walk number which I think the Mariners will capitalize on. Jason Vargas also coming off a non quality loss, but he's pitched 10 quality games before that Mariners winning 8-2. Vargas is the top Seattle money pitcher this game again to the Mariners.

SEATTLE MARINER -105 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

MLB Tuesday

79-53 +31,220

Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
Contenders go at it tonight with James Shields for Tampa against  Yu Darvish for Texas. This match up has Texas, #1 in West, heating up at Arlington winning Minnesota series 3-1 and Baltimore before that 2-1 needing one more win for a victory to take the Tampa series making a successful home stand before heading out to Cleveland.  On the other hand Tampa Bay 3rd in AL East locked in with Baltimore for 2nd place. Tampa in range to catch the Yankees on top, but taking a dip on 3 game slide losing yesterday with their top pitcher David Price. This team still does it with good pitching and can't afford to give up 6, 4 and 5 runs like they did in 3 losing efforts.10 game samples prior show allowing 3 runs or less 9 out of 10 and 17 out of 20. So the Rays need a quality start from James Shields. Price  is the top winning starter for Tampa, but Shields is the top money pitcher and here he is again in underdog situation.  The perfect stopper of 3 game skid. James is stronger on the road and he is already looking like he's in post season form. Rangers too have a winning pitcher on the mound with Yu Darvish, 12-9, coming off a quality game loss at Toronto 2 quality starts in a row, but his performance is inconsistent. He's had tremendous run support with Rangers going 9-2 at home however his 11 home starts have only 5 quality games. This is a decline spot for Darvish. Looking for James Shields to post a quality win.

TAMPA BAY RAYS +120 for 1 unit(L)
James pitches quality, but Tampa gets shut out!

Sunday, August 26, 2012

MLB Daily Picks

Hey Everybody,
I want to welcome some new viewers. The MLB season is going into it's final stretch, but plenty of games left to take more winners. Matter of fact baseball wagering takes a little dip around this time of the year with money migrating to NFL, but don't take your eyes off the bases Boston is down shifting out of the race, the Dodgers cranked up their offense,  implications are many, but only one will make it to the top.

I didn't pick the late game with Atlanta at SFG. both with similar record, because I like Hudson going for Atlanta, but I think the Giants are the hot team at home and basically cancelled out this game. Maybe the Giants will win, but in order to manage your games my philosophy is to narrow your choices. Give it your best shot and if it doesn't come through you live to fight another day. The beauty of this game is that the choice is yours. If it doesn't look just right don't buy it

7-1 Atlanta. Hudson did bring his "A"game and the win was a big margin, but did I miss a opportunity?  I don't think so it just means I'm still on hot money.

MLB Sunday

78-53 +30,220

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers are a winning ball club. Despite their winning ways Detroit lacks money making starters, but that's not the case today. Max Scherzer taking the ball he is 13-6 with 147.2 inning of work. Detroit's record with Max on the mound16-9 splitting the ND and he is in fine form logging 3 straight quality wins. Ervin Santana will start for the Angels. He too is pitching well his August games 2 quality wins and 2 ND both wins. I think the pitcher are both going to improve and this one is going Under.

Game Total UNDER 9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
If you were wondering how I got 9.5 at -105? Last night's 5Dime over night reduced line.

Saturday, August 25, 2012

MLB Saturday

77-53 +29,220

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Here's a good pitching match up. Club leading winner Gio Gonzales 16-6. He's pitched 3 winners in a row 2 of them quality and the complete game in Houston. Doc Halladay coming off a non quality win with 12 runs to over come 5 runs he allowed. Though Washington is the popular pick today I'm going with Philadelphia as a small home favorite. Philadelphia has matched up well against the Nationals despite 18 games difference. The WHIP on these two pitchers are moving in opposite direction and the Phillies have a good chance here to win this series after splitting with the Reds. 

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, August 23, 2012

MLB Thursday

77-52 +30,220

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Texas since losing the Yankees series are back to their winning ways. They won the Toronto series at the end of their road trip and won the Baltimore series back in Arlington. Now the Twins are struggling. Their road trip has only produced one win. Got swept in Seattle and lost the Oakland series only winning 2 of last 8 games. However Roy Oswalt is lacking quality game and this match should be interesting with Scott Diamond pitching in a spot to improve. Lets see if the Twins can get to Oswalt.

MINNESOTA TWINS +155 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

MLB Wednesday

77-51 +31,420

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox 
The Angels are in trouble. They are losing ground and the clock is ticking. Went 3-7 in 10 game home stand, stopped the bleeding yesterday after dropping 4 straight. The sweep by Tampa was real ugly outscored 37-14 in 4 games. But Boston is also hurting, lost 5 of last 7 and 9 of last 13, 4th in standing 8 games out of wild card. The good thing for the Sox is they have their top pitcher Clay Buchholtz 11-3 with 4.19 ERA. His numbers are much better since 5/27 with 2.19 ERA and 0.94 WHIP and Jered Weaver does not do well at Fenway, 6 starts with 7.16 ERA 32.2 inning pitched 26 earned runs. Still the Angels does have the better number and Weaver is on a bounce back on a career season. Let go with the low score.

Game Total UNDER 9 at -120 for 1 unit(L)

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

MLB Tuesday

77-50 +32,420

S.F. Giants at L.A. Dodgers
Tim Lincecum going for the Giants. He is 6-13 with 5.45 ERA coming off a non quality loss to the Nationals at home. Home team is sending Joe Blanton. He is 8-11 with 4.96 ERA coming off a non quality loss at Pittsburgh. Pitching indicator today says Tim is in a spot to improve pitch deeper into today's game a likely quality game. Joe is also in a spot to improve, but may continue his non quality performance. However the difference in pitching indication does not mean Giants will take this game, but likelihood of improved scoring. The speculation is to go against the Total which is pushing  under and play the Over.

Game Total OVER 7.5 at +110(L)

Monday, August 20, 2012

MLB Monday

77-49 +33,430

Sorry folks had a technical glitch preventing my Sunday play.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
The Bucks coming off 19 inning game winner at St Louis before flying in to San Diego. Pittsburgh gave everything they got and didn't have a starter announced for awhile, it's Kevin Correia. But the question is how much does the Bucks have today? San Diego Padres starter Edinson Volquez is on a slump and laboring through inning. Yes, I think the Pirates will roll at Petco Park. Going with Pittsburgh.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES -101 for 1 unit(L)

Saturday, August 18, 2012

MLB Saturday

76-49 +32,430

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers
Cole Hamels is on fire. The Phillies starter is coming off two shut out, not one, but two. Make it 3 quality starts in a row. His WHIP for last 3 starts is 0.84 with 0.72 ERA. Maintaining his current form will be something to see, but it sure has the making of monster finish this season. Milwaukee is looking for a bounce back from their right hand phenom Mike Fiers getting knocked out at Colorado in just 2 inning of work. Let's chalk it up to mile high fever getting to Mike his first non quality start since joining the rotation. Despite both teams trending Over with Philadelphia Over 36-25 away & Milwaukee 38-22 home this total is set at a low 7.5 Tony Randazzo calling behind the plate is Over 14-9. However both pitchers are absolute Under when the total is set at 7.5 and looks are they are poised to pitch a good game.

Game Total UNDER at -117 for 1 unit(W)
Back on winning!

Friday, August 17, 2012

MLB Friday

76-48 +33,530

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
The Angels are going to send their big gun tonight with Jered Weaver. He is coming off a loss, a rare loss, after logging 9 straight games and the Angels had won 12 straight with Weaver on the mound. This is a bounce back spot and he will be tough to beat at home. On the other side is James Shields also in great mid season form. His game has been on the rise since 7/20. Both of these pitchers do not trend Under, but the nature of this match up, Weaver off a loss and Tampa's winning ways against the Angels I think will lead to a tight low scoring game.

Game Total UNDER 7 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

Thursday, August 16, 2012

MLB Thursday

75-48 +32,480

 Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
Interesting game tonight with these two teams. The Rays are on 10 game road trip finished two, 3 game sweep at Minnesota & 1 out of 3 loss to the Mariners. They have their top guy on the mound today in David Price, but the bats need to come back against Dan Haren. Coming off a shut out offense should be motivated and Dan was rocked for 5 runs in little over 3 inning in his last start. Dan's had issues this season with non quality start.  He is in a spot to improve, but I don't expect any more than 6 inning.  Despite his last loss as a fat -228 road favorite he's turned in 3 quality starts before that winning 2 out of 3. Both winners came at home one against Texas and another against Tampa. The Rays David Price has been lights out lately with 0.86 WHIP in last 3 games. This game is going UNDER

Game Total UNDER 7.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)
That was close. Bet the hook baby!

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

MLB Wednesday

74-48 +31,440

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
It's the Amazing R.A. Dickey to the mound for the Mets visiting the Great American Ballpark. Coming off a complete game winner, his fourth complete game this season, going through strong stretches going deep last 3 starts giving up total of 3 runs. Dickey on top of Majors in wins, 6 games with 10K's or more and three of those with no walk. Mike Leake for the Reds coming off a quality ND 3-5 loss at Chicago and doesn't look good at home 1-4. However the play is against Dickey coming off a complete game. Looking to get few runs off Dickey tonight and maybe the pen. Mike Leake has been improving since the San Diego game 7/30 and he could post another quality for two in a row. 

CINCINNATI REDS +104 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

MLB Tuesday

72-48 +29,390

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Josh Beckett 5-9 with 4.97 ERA will go for the Red Sox. He is coming off a bad game against Texas pitching 5 inning 8 runs 3 home runs losing 10-9 and complaining of back pain.  Josh has pitched 4 non quality starts in a row and only one quality start in July. He will be opposed by Wei-Yin Chen 10-7 with 3.79 ERA starting for the Orioles. Coming off a non quality loss against KC lasting 4.2  inning giving up 7 runs and 2 homers throwing 86 pitches. However Chen is the Orioles top money pitcher who has allowed 3 runs or less 5 games before the collapse. He is very likely to bounce back. I would venture Beckett improving as well, but the trend is against Josh Beckett and the Red Sox. Going with the home team Baltimore and Under 8.5 for this match up.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -109 for 1 unit(W)

Game Total UNDER 8.5 at +105 for 1 unit(W)

Didn't expect Baltimore to put up 7 runs, but still delivered Side and Total winner. 7-1 Baltimore! Yeah! 

Monday, August 13, 2012

MLB Monday

71-48 +28,390

Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
The White Sox are not exactly hitting all cylinders, but they did manage to take 2 out of 3 series at home and they hope to take advantage of the reeling Toronto team.  The Blue Jays are 3 out of last 10 just lost the Yankee series at home, but they did put up 10 runs knocked out Hughes in 4 innings. Salvaging the last game against the Yankees 10-7. Both of these teams are coming off a big scoring win. However today's starters will look to quiet the bats. Chicago's Jake Peavy is not having much luck logging wins, but hitting Under's on the road 3 Over to 8 Under and he will take the ball in a spot to improve. Carlos Villanueva is not trending Under, but he doesn't give up much at home 3.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. I expect his game right below that range today. Going with the UNDER

Game Total UNDER 8 -115 for 1 unit(W)
2-3 Toronto Blue Jays and UNDER

Sunday, August 12, 2012

MLB Sunday

  70-48 +27,390

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
A game with teams going in opposite direction, Atlanta on the rise and New York falling. Similar situation for the starting pitcher with Ben Sheets rolling without his mid to high 90's fastball, still not giving runs and winning games. On the other side, Jon Niese 1-4 last 5 he's also dropped last 3 home starts and the Mets have done little to help. Neise in a spot to pitch better, but Sheets have been consistent with little measuring range. I would estimate with 7 hits 1 run 1 walk no strike out and he went through Phillies line up like butter it was a exceptional start and more likely his performance will decline rather than exceed. However there is little to expect from New York offense. As the pitchers are closer matched today than anticipated and Total remaining to stay low the play today is Over. Late inning to spoil this one

Game Total OVER 7.5 at 100 for 1 unit(W)
5-6 Mets and OVER!

Saturday, August 11, 2012

MLB Saturday

 70-47 +28,610

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks
Edwin Jackson looking to follow a strong win yesterday with Strasburg and Nationals have won 3 out of 4 games from the Diamondbacks so far.  The Nationals have won 7 straight and 8 out of last10.  However the Nationals have yet to face the Diamondbacks All star Miley while Jackson remains the weak link in Nats rotation. Arizona is struggling at bit, but expect better things back home. Taking decling line on the short home favorite and fading Jackson on the road.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACK -122 for 1 unit(L)
Big inning killed this play!

Friday, August 10, 2012

MLB Friday

69-46 +28,630

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers.
Going to the Ball Park at Arlington. Detroit Tigers were red hot, but ran into Yankees dropping their last two games. Still a force not to be taken lightly they look to take their heavy bats on this road trip. Colliding in Texas where double digit score is not that unusual. Today's starting pitchers Max Scherzer, 10-6 with 4.72 ERA, for Detroit and Scott Feldman, 6-6 with 4.52 ERA, Scott is pitching the better game coming into this match. Max is in a bounce back spot coming off a non quality win and back to back non quality start. Anomaly  in is last 10 starts he has logged 7 quality starts. Scott is coming off a quality win and rolling 3 quality start wins plus 1 relief appearance. He's showing excellent command walking 1 batter in last 3 games 22.2 inning of work. He's given up 1 home run in 5 starts. Though Max Scherzer is in a bounce back spot I feel Texas back home from a successful road trip will contain the Tigers and take this game.  At the same time this Total is extremely high for these two pitcher today. Going for the twofer.

1)TEXAS RANGER -120 for 1 unit(L)

Game Total UNDER 10.5 at -112  for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, August 09, 2012

MLB Thursday

69-45 +29,750

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
Wandy Rodriguez wearing Pittsburgh black & gold and already pitched back to back quality games,  @Cincy a loss and @Houston a win, giving up 3 runs in both games. The move should help the veteran he will oppose Arizona's veteran lefty Joe Saunders. He too is pitching quality games despite 5 losses out of last 6 Arizona losing all 4 of his road starts. Let's see if these two pitchers will put a damper on the heavy bats that's knocked in 13 runs yesterday and 14 runs day before.

Game Total UNDER 8 at -112 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, August 08, 2012

MLB Wednesday

68-45 +28,750

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers
N.Y. dropped the first 2 games to Detroit and the Tigers are looking for 3 straight. The Tigers are on a roll winning 6 straight, 7 out of last 10 and knocking out opposing pitchers. But not since facing Buchholz @Boston 7/30 will they face a formidable pitcher in CC Sabathia, 11-3 with 3.53 ERA, pitching 5-1 away from N.Y. the Yankees are 7-3.  Detroit will send Anibal Sanchez who is coming off a quality win against Cleveland. Sanchez has been quality since July 8th, he was with Miami then, pitched 4 quality games out of last 5. However I feel this spot, Sanchez off a quality game giving up no home run, and Sabathia off a 9 inning 10 K complete game, both respective games did not go Under, over & push, and today's total set below their last game at 8.5 is destined to go OVER.

Game Total OVER 8.5 at 100 for 1 unit(W)
Did that game go Over or what, 12-8 Yankees.

Tuesday, August 07, 2012

MLB Tuesday

67-45 +27,750
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Tuesday edition with strong pitching. Johnny Cueto going for the Reds, he's 14-5 over 146 inning of work 2.52 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, top money winner of all the Reds starters made twice as much as #2 Latos.. Milwaukee sending Michael Fiers, he's 5-4 with half the inning of Cueto at 72 inning. The old rookie is pitching nicely 1.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.  He maybe pitching beyond himself, but right now Fiers look better than Cueto.  Judging from Michael 's performance he could pitch better than his last start, 6 inning 8 hits 2 runs 6 K's no walk and 1 homer,  scary stuff. I'm sure Johnny Cueto's not scared he's had 2 non quality starts winning them both with 9 runs backing him up both times and his game is coming back he had 9 K's in the last non quality start. Johnny in a spot to improve 3 Over to 8 Under in this situation. Looking for these two to go at it on the mound.

Game Total UNDER 7.5  at -115 for 1 unit(W)
Michael Fiers  8 inning 3 hit 1 run win. Final score 1-3 Milwaukee. 

Monday, August 06, 2012

MLB Monday

67-43 +29,800
Washington Nationals at Houston Astros
Today we have Nationals visiting Minute Maid park in Houston. Going for the visitors is Edwin Jackson meeting for the second time since April 19th, he lost that match 4-11, coming off a non quality start loss to Philadelphia, but a 2-3 final 1 run loss giving up 3 and failing to get out of the 5th inning with 108 pitch count all 3 runs came on solo homers He does have couple of quality starts before that, but again 3 non quality starts precedes making.2 wins 3 losses in last 5. He's not the same since getting chased out in Colorado 6/28 leading to declining performance in July, but don't complain about bad July to Dallas Keuchel he didn't have one quality start and lost all 4 July games making his loss streak 5 in a row. Dallas got shelled too, in last 4 starts he gave up, 7, 5, 6 & 4, all, but one game going Over. The obvious choice here is Washington Nationals and Game Total Over 8.5, but do not rush into this pick. The public wager is on Washington 78% which qualifies this game to fade the public and game total Over on second look is inflated due to pitcher situation, Dallas did take the game Under after his implosion 7/21 @Arizona and Jackson coming off Under 8 in multi homer game is a situational Under on a rising Total after going Under a lower total, 8, in previous game. Both play goes against the grain and Pubic fade angle must hold 75 to 79% wager on Washington. There is also an underlying trend with Houston being +160 dog  coming off a game scoring less than 3 runs and their starter allowing more than 5 runs in previous start, the Astros are 7-4 & 3 Over to 8 Under since September 2009. Watch this line as this play will go off near start time.

HOUSTON ASTROS +178 for 1 unit(L)

Game Total UNDER 8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

5-4 Nationals in extra inning.

Sunday, August 05, 2012

MLB Sunday

66-43 +28,800

Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees
The Yankees were shut down by Seattle's King Felix in a 1 run game. Hiroki Kuroda was simply out dueled in yesterday's 1-0 loss. On to the rubber match with veteran Freddy Garcia on the hill for N.Y. going against Mariners Hisashi Iwakuma.  The Yankees are a big home favorite and coming off a rare shut out, happened three times this season including yesterday, there is much anticipated rebound combined with offensive output. Seattle is not getting much credit though they are winners of 8 out of 9 and 14 of last 19 games, winning 4 out of last 5 series. Bull pen has been hot since June. Still the Yankees are 33-22 at home, 21-11 since May 22nd, second best home record in AL and they have historically dominated the Mariner in New York. Freddy Garcia coming off a quality start loss against Baltimore has back to back quality loss and 3 losses in a row. He looks to improve in this spot and extend his inning, but I'm not sure Iwakuma is going to decline that much. I don't think he'll surpass his last start, 8 inning 4 hit 1 run with13 K's, it doesn't mean he's going to get knocked out. Iwakuma seems to be getting stronger and he's confidence is growing. Taking the Under in this day time game 3.

Game Total UNDER10 at -104 for 1 unit(W)
Too legit to quit. 2-6 New York UNDER!

Saturday, August 04, 2012

MLB Saturday

65-43 +27,800

Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves
Paul Maholm, switching teams, will be on the mound in Atlanta. He has been a force in July and will be contributing for Atlanta making the post season run. Houston is far from where the Braves are sitting, but they will play the spoiler. Love these teams with nothing to lose they are always deadly this time of the year.
Lucas Harrell top winning money pitcher going for the Stros. Looking for quality performance out of both sides in a low scoring game.

Game Total Under 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Houston not helping Atlanta and this one goes Under.

Friday, August 03, 2012

MLB Friday

65-42 +28,800

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
For the second place in AL East. These two teams stand tied for the second spot. Rays coming off an successful road trip will do their best to take the home field advantage. On the hill will be a good rookie Matt Moore, 7-7 with 4.01 ERA,  who has 7 quality starts out of 12 at home with Tampa winning 7-5. He is coming off a 6 inning shut out of the Angels on the road making his first August appearance at home.  Baltimore Orioles will go with Tommy Hunter, 4-6 with 5.68 ERA, 8 away starts 3 of them quality and his record is 1-4. In last start he was knocked out in 5 inning at Oakland giving up 5 runs and 2 home runs. Many are already backing Tampa, but Baltimore as the road dog is the play. Moore is in a spot to decline while Hunter despite his poor home record Baltimore has pulled out ahead in many of Tommy's ND starts giving him 50% win on the road.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES at  +160 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 loser despite out hitting the Rays.

Thursday, August 02, 2012

MLB Thursday

64-42 +27,800

St Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies
Coors Field is racking up scores. Here are the pitchers for today. st Louis sending Lance Lynn, good pitcher 13-4 Cards 15-5, excels on the road with Cards winning 9-3 also going Over 8 to 4 under. He is coming off a non quality win at Chicago. Rockies will fill the spot with Alex White last big league start June 24 loss at Texas 2-4 going 2.2 inning so Colorado would like Alex to extend his inning and keep the ball down in the zone. If the public wager was just a little higher on St Louis Cardinals I would place this on fade the public play on Colorado, but it fails to fall into that category. Instead the play we will look at is the total Under 11. This lofty number has been set after these two teams crushed 10.5 total in first two games. Lance has been hit on the road, but with strong run support he keeps winning and 8-4 O/U away. I still like the Under because the Total is being set higher while the combined score for these two teams have declined from game 1 to game 2. Lance Lynn is in a bounce back spot and Alex White has performed at Coors. The runs may come maybe White will not factor in the results, but this one come up shy of 11 runs.

Game Total UNDER 11 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
Rox knock out the Cards, public does get crushed, but it's not enough to go Over 8-2!

Wednesday, August 01, 2012

MLB Wednesday

63-42 +26,800
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
American League Central with the Tigers and the White Sox fighting for the lead. Chicago has Minnesota's number this season and they will send Jake Peavy who has defeated the Twins in both of his meeting. Jake faced Minnesota in his last start at home beating them in 6 inning of work 6 hits 2 runs 1 earned, but he did labor throwing 121 pitches, his third start in a row throwing more than 120 pitches. He has also been hit on the road recording 2 non quality losses prior to his home win. His road record is sub par 3-5 with White Sox going 4-6 which is not all his doing as he is pitching quality in majority of his road games. Minnesota Twins will send Scott Diamond who pitched a complete game shut out against the Indians and he is 6-1 at home. His ERA is 2.28 compared to 3.63 away winning average margin 4.5 runs. It looks like a live home dog,  However Diamond's home starts have been against losing teams except for Baltimore and O's pitcher that day, Tillman, was gone after the 1st inning Twins went on to win 7-19 and that was a non quality win for Diamond. Jake Peavy , who is extended, will not be easy to hit even for the hot bats of Minnesota. but the play is Under 8.5 following last nights quality performance by pitchers on both sides again meeting quality pitchers in same series. Broken Over trend for Minnesota with Total declining for the following game.
(This pick was made on the 5Dimes over night reduced juice just before mid night)

Game Total UNDER 8.5 at -119 for 1 unit(W)

Tight contest as predicted 3-2 Chicago White Sox and Under