Saturday, October 27, 2012

World Series Game 3

I'm being selective on my plays. I liked the Tigers in game two with homeboy Fister taking  the mound, but fortunately couldn't go against the hot home team. Took a pass on that bullet and the Under was bit over priced for my taste.

Here's a thought shared by many, the Tigers down 2-0 will rebound at home, and it's a situation with 50 sampling showing 0-2 team winning 27 out of 50. Detroit may have been slow to warm up, but in this spot they better heat up fast or else they may end up like the 23 teams that lost game 3, 20 out of 23 got swept. However out of 27 winners majority took the series to 6 games. Desperation is a motivator and we've seen plenty of those in this year's playoff, but anticipated win is a dangerous thing. The way I see this game or the sequence of games, after Zito's game 1 win was Detroit winning with Fister pitching quality in low scoring game which did not go Tiger's way,  leading to Ryan Vogelsong  and Anibal Sanchez. Both pitchers are having strong post season, but as larger sample show Ryan's performance drops away from the Bay and Anibal coming into a decline spot. Despite Anibal's knowledge of the Giants from his NL days, his numbers against them are good, I fade him after coming off a game giving up no runs. If the situation holds true this game will go Over 7. The Giants go Over away better than 62% clip and back the Giants based on pitchers money standings. Vogelsong second in money with S.F. rotation while Sanchez is a money losing pitcher at the bottom of the Detroit rotation.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +140 for 1 unit(W)
Game Total OVER 7 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.30 units
Funny how these games turn out. I should of lost the side and won the Total, but that's baseball.

No comments: