Monday, October 12, 2015

MLB Post Season Monday

How time fly. Didn't get to post much plays this season, but we have an interesting October scene. Let's look at home field advantage and how it's over estimated by moneyline measure. The opposition's ability to play ball at this level will not be rattled with raucous crowd.

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Is there an changing of the NL Central guards? The Cubs look really good surging at the right time with the right pitcher. Chicago back at home 1-1, sending Jake Arieta, best pitcher in second half 31 scoreless innings, has not lost since July 25th. Good thing happen for the Cubs when Arieta starts, but St Louis Cardinals with Michael Wacha starting is 12-5 better than 70% away. Wacha has been beat up lately, but post season is a different animal. Michael's been here he knows he just needs to keep his boys in striking distance. We roll with the Cards taking the Run Line.

St Louis Cardinals +1.5 at -110 for 1 unit