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Monday, October 27, 2008

World Series Game 5

Can't catch a break in deep post season, but I will tell you when the series total moves greater than 1.5 runs on either direction for following game the play against the movement is obvious public choice and also very suspect. In this case Total 9.5 from game 4 moving to Total 7.5 game 5 at Under -120~130 with 69% consensus betting Over and yet this Total has declined to 7 at some books.

Today's pitchers are both lefties. Cole Hamels pitching last 7 out of 7 quality starts has not allowed more than 2 ER since 9/07. Total ranging from 9~7.5 O/U 1-6 and that single Over game was due to Phillies bats not Hamels pitching. Rays line of defense will start with Scott Kazmir on the mound. He has lost the edge on his slider and games have been going Over when he takes the mound, O/U 7-2 last 9. He's had 3 quality starts out of last 7 with rising 1.63 WHIP, but he was outstanding in his last game, outstanding against Boston before that which was a bounce back game. Phillies and Tampa weaker against lefties, elimination game a plus.

PHL/TAM UNDER 7.5 at -119 for 1 unit(PP due to Rain at 2-2 tie)

This World Series is fading away. It's not the same, it's dragging and this thing might go into November? Give me a break! I love MLB, but we shouldn't be getting rained out. This has not happened because the season has never been this long. The momentum has died and I'm not sure what I'm going to due for the remaining games. Plan is not to force any games and take what comes. Stay tuned and in the mean time watch the bouncing ball in NBA Opener!

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