Thursday, May 31, 2007

MLB Thursday

0-1 last pick. YTD 24-19 +5.50

You can never be over confident is what I've learned from my last play.
Baltimore ML at +212 is something to ponder. Angels are good, but in this game teams are made humble. Escobar is pitching beyond his normal form, I really like him, but will take a chance here.
O's with 5 wins in a row.

BAL ML +212 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +2.12 units

Monday, May 28, 2007

MLB Monday

Last time out 1-0 *close one YTD 24-18 +9.61

Had some fun playing Matchbooks "Live Bets" Cleveland vs Detroit game. I took Tigers when they were down 4-0 with huge odds between +520 and +640 leading to Tigers 3 run bottom of 3rd when I bet the risk off with Cleveland -178 and -202 would of won big had Tigers come back, but took the smaller winnings on Indians.
Tigers are still playing tough enough baseball to beat most of the Majors they just ran into a buzz saw of red hot Indians and they will take out the Devil Rays at Tropicana tonight.
Durbin has been strong for the Tigers with excellent run support when he is on the mound.
Tigers are batting .306 in the month of May best in the Majors.
Rays hold the 2nd best record against Detroit with 34-34 but number has been on the slide 5-10 last 2 seasons and 0-3-1 last 4. Edwin Jackson will take the ball and watch out this guy allowed career high 7 runs in 2.2 innings pitched and he's failed to get out of 3 innings twice out of his last 4 outing.

DET ML -137 for 3 units(L)

Can not believe I lost this in the bottom of 9th! Should of would of could of been a easy win all the way. CRAP!
0-1 -4.11

Sunday, May 27, 2007

MLB Sunday

Had a bad day yesterday 0-2 -3.62 YTD 23-18 +6.61

I was planning to attend this game but not sure if I'll make it.
It's the rubber match at Dodger stadium. Wolf is having very good outings this season and he is undefeated at home in May pitching 1.85 and 1.59 in day light. His opponent Rich Hill of the Cubs is having trouble after starting the season 3-1 with 1.77 in April. May has been especially hard, but I wouldn't say his stuff is all that bad lefties and right are hitting just 2.05/2.04. His day light number reflecting much of April is 0.69 anyway it wasn't the pitchers that caught my interest. The look of this series how it's shaped up coming into Sunday's game regardless of both teams winning 1 each Cubs are the hunted. They have been pressured throughout game 1 and 2, if you don't see it that way I welcome your comment, but I see Dodgers closing this one out.

LAD ML -117 for 3 units(W)

1-0 +3.00 units

Saturday, May 26, 2007

MLB Saturday

2-0 yesterday's selection. 23-16 +10.23

Doing some early morning fishing offering +108 on Cubs at Dodgers Under 8 for the Saturday day light game with Zambrano for Chicago tall ass Hendrickson for the home team. Not sure if I'll get this lines are moving to 8.5 and I've made some adjustments from +106 to current +108 Matchbook lacks early liquidity making positioning difficult. Sometimes I just miss Pinny like a perfect girl that's walked out of my life.

*waiting on CHC/LAD OVER 8 at -108

It's bottom of 8th with Kent about to pinch hit with bases loaded 2 outs.
Before this at bat I will tell you I never got this wager in. The money moved away and I could not get back in time to adjust.

Struck out inning over. Last inning with score 4-2 Cubs chance of Over is looking slim.
I hate looking like a cheater here but that's the fact and line was moving towards 8.5 so if you stayed off after the line change no damage.

Wow, Dodgers had 2 on base with 1 out and Killer Tomato at bat! too bad he hit the first pitch grounded into 6-4-3 DP to end the game. LA Dodgers do not go away quietly had Lou sweating bullets. We'll get'em tomorow! (*that me as a Dodger fan).

Making evening selection.
I'm backing Washington Nationals at St Louis Cards. I getting great odds against the woeful Cards. Nats matches up with Cards tough with 4-4 over last 2 seasons.

WAS +180 for 1 unit(L)

Nats are stinking it up. I'm adding SF Giants to take this one with Morris Over Cook and Rox.

SFG ML -131 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -3.62 units

Friday, May 25, 2007

MLB Friday

0-1 last selection: 21-16 +5.94

I thought Padres had that game last night. Funny how these bad turns still irk my nerves that's why I got the link to "You can't always get what you want" Love the Stones.

Take me out to the ball park tonight. Cubs are in town with Lilly taking the ball we'll counter with Derek Lowe. Dodgers 9-2 in last 11 home game. Though Lilly is pitching well run production has been scarce for Cubs while Dodgers are heating up again at home with OPS on rise. LA 12-3 in last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less. 8-2 last 10 as home favorites.

LAD ML -120 for 3 units(W)

Taking a small shot with the Angels with my boy Jered Weaver taking on the Yanks in Bronx.
It's always risky going against them in Bronx and they always seem to pull out pitchers from nowhere shutting down opponents. NY bats are also heating up crossing + 1.000 OPS 4 in last 5 games while failing to do so in previous 5 games. Yet I feel Weaver is a proven commodity able to keep Angels in game with Shields and K-Rod available plus Angels are fearless against the Yankees giving them equal battles in recent seasons.

LAA ML +129 for 1 unit(W)

2-0 +4.29 units

Thursday, May 24, 2007

MLB Thursday

1-0 last selection. 21-15 +7.35 units

Haven't had chance to breakdown the baseball games in a while, but that's not due to lack of interest. I've even knocked down some MLB winners during my writing absence. Sometimes it's difficult to sit down and post a selection on timely basis. OK no more excuses moving on with today's game.

Cubbies at Padres. listed pitchers Jason Marquis and Chris Young. I'll go with Young tonight. yep Young not Marquis. Padres SP is solid to go with top notch pen.

SDP -141 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.41 units

Saturday, May 19, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-0 last selection. 20-15 +5.35 units

Cutting it close to game.
Taking D Train to roll tonight.

FLA ML -129 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Thursday, May 17, 2007

MLB Thursday

0-2 last selection. 19-15 +3.35 units

Coming back tonight with Angels and Seattle killer Colon. Tough battle with Washburn taking the ball, but Halos know him very well and they will prevail.

LAA ML +116 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.32 units

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

MLB Tuesday

0-1 last selection. 19-13 +7.35

Question I asked myself after Tigers lost last night "should I consider chasing?" Something to think about when two contenders are matched up, but Wake is a hot pitcher against Verlander who's not quite in form so I'll pass on tonight's feature match up and move on to Minute Maid park. Giants will send Matt Morris and Houston will counter with Woody Williams. Astros look like they are getting better with Woody improving and bats starting to connect, but I will back the Giants coming off a romp in Denver than getting recharged with a day off.

GIANTS ML +108 for 2 units(L)

If your interested in late baseball action consider Angels with Escobar pitching at Safeco going against King Felix return from DL. Remember Milwood with Texas was coming off DL too and I'm not predicting another re injury, but Felix will be on a short leash and Angels are playing hot baseball. Take the Angels on a late game advantage with value.

LAA +115 for 2 units(L)

Sometimes things just doesn't work out.
0-2 -4.00 units

Monday, May 14, 2007

MLB Monday

1-0 last selection. 19-12 +8.35

I'm going with a tough road dog Detroit Tigers money line. They got knocked around yesterday by the Twins, but they are sparkling 13-6 on road. Nate Robertson comes off rough outing yet he is still better away also keeps lefties in check. Plus is his number against Big Papi (0.17 career number 1 for 14) is second best in Majors. Dice-K makes the game interesting, but I don't see any mythical "Gyroball" mowing down batters. Baltimore had the Sox on the ropes last night and Tigers will have their number tonight.

DET ML +148 for 1 unit *watching line improvement.(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Saturday, May 12, 2007

MLB Saturday

18-12 +6.35

Weekend baseball start with Saturday day game.

Angels money line has been falling or should I say Texas stock has been on the rise. As told by all wise cappers from the beginning of time, buy value. To be honest I'm not big on Colon and have faded him in past games, but this season he's bit of a underdog on comeback with grit I like that.

LAA ML -106 for 2 units(W)

Other thoughts without decision.

Florida Marlins ML *Better pitching tough against division.(L)

San Diego Padres ML *Padres roll at home.(L)

1-0 +2.00 units

Friday, May 11, 2007

MLB Friday

18-11 +8.35

Thank God it's Friday. Another hot day in LA we have Catalina Island on fire 26 miles off our shore I hope they contain that shit.

Dodgers are back in town. The Boys in Blue will take on Bronson Arroyo and the Cincinnati Reds.
Randy Wolf getting the ball tonight and Dodger bats are itching from putting up a big fat Zero in Florida. Reds take the road carrying a big bat and Wolf better watch out tonight.

CIN/LAD OVER 8 at +105 for 2 units(L)

I have other games with interest and without conclusion on final plays I will list them in no particular order.

Detroit Tigers +1.5 *Santana is good but hittable. Tigers surging Twins slumping.(W)

Chicago Cubs ML *Reverse line movement. Hill pitching away. Cubs bats warming.(L)

Oakland A's ML *Dog with bite. CC has troubles with A's(W)

Arizona Diamondbacks *Sampson does not last. Webb bounces back in this spot.(W)

0-1 -2.00 units

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

MLB Wednesday

16-11 +4.35

Days are getting hotter and fires are burning in SoCal you know it's baseball season.
Aside from Clemens joining the Yankees to help the badly needed rotation this game continues.
I'm looking at two games today, one which I will play and other I will keep an eye on.

Boston at Toronto with two Japanese pitcher showing contrast in MLB. For Jays will be Tomo Ohka, battle tested veteran right hander acquired from Brewers during off season at bargain basement price compared to his Red Sox counter part Dice-K Matsuzaka. The highly touted Japanese rookie is depreciating and yet the market continues to prop his price. I like the home dog and will watch this line.

Pirates at Cubs (Gronzelanny vs Marquis) I like Jason Marquis current pitching form. He's pitching in a zone and may string few more winners. Cubs let one get away yesterday and they will take one back today.

CUBS ML -126 for 2 units(W)
CUBS ML -122 for 1 unit(W)

Second selection is Oakland at Kansas City to go Under 8. Hope you'll read into this Under with pitching and OPS favoring this total

OAK/KCR UNDER 8 at -106 for 1 unit(W)

Good day.
2-0 +4.00 units

Saturday, May 05, 2007

MLB Saturday

0-1 yesterday. YTD 15-11 +2.35

Another close loser. It's time to dig down and stop the bleeding.
Boston will send Tavarez against Twins and Santana. I'd love to take the Red Sox as big of a dog as this is, but I think the money is in the Under.

BOS/MIN UNDER 8.5 -111 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Friday, May 04, 2007

MLB Friday

0-1 last time out. YTD: 15-10 +4.35 units

Cleveland Indians with Paul Byrd vs Baltimore O's with Erik Bedard. The birds will send their top pitcher to the mound tonight and he has not lost to the Indians. Erik is striking out batters with minimal walks, but he is hittable not quite mid season form the very hot Indians come to town.
Byrd is back to eating up innings scattering hits and expect more of the same. His losing record against Baltimore should not matter today.

CLE ML +120 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.00 units

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

MLB Wednesday

15-9 +6.49

Lost my only play yesterday. Had plenty to gripe about the loss and you know the games, get 11 hits cash in 2 runners when you have the Over, type of games. But smart thing I did was taking a time out instead of getting right back on the capping horse maybe making plays on over night line. In any case don't play when your upset about losses it doesn't help.

Hopefully it helps my pick. Angels with Santana at KC with De La Rosa is one of those games with Royals line looking sharp. But problem is it's not hitting, yeah it hit against Weaver and Mariners, but it's lost more. So they are at home, Angels Scot Shield and K-Rod has been used and it's a miserable rain off and on thunder storm heading at night. KC due for a win, Halo due for a loss?
I just know Angels are hitting and they kick KC's ass more times than not.

LAA ML -107 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.14 units

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

MLB Tuesday

1-0 yesterday. YTD: 15-8 +8.71 units

Going with the Marlins at Mets game to go Over 10 runs. Fish could take two in a row, but high score seems like the theme of the day.

FLA/NYM OVER 10 at -111 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.22 units