Wednesday, September 30, 2009

MLB Wednesday

Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves. Considering Braves position and Javier Vazquez's impressive September pitching you have to go with Bravos here, right? Ricky Nolasco is ok, but over matched, last 7 starts 3-1 with Marlins failing his ND's 3-4, facing Atlanta line up beating opponents by nearly 3 runs in last 7 games. It's understandable to pay the price or give the runline, but if you follow the backers profit you'll see Javier despite his 2.83 ERA and 1.02 WHIP has accumulated zero, little below zero. where Ricky has banked. Marlins have done more than ok when Ricky starts the game on the road at 10-6. Take the dog money.


If you didn't see it check out the game wrap. This was a give me.

Monday, September 21, 2009

MLB Monday

Andy Pettitte and the NY Yankees at Anaheim matched up with best in the West. Angels at home winning 62% 44-27, against the East 62% 25-15 and kills lefty starters 68% 32-15. Head to head Angels 2 seasons is 11-6 and at home 8-1. Joe Saunders (13-7) 5-1-1 last 7 and he has been money. Angels crushing Texas in final of series and extend their lead comes home with offense heating up. Yankees failed to take Seattle series with this tougher opponent coming up. All this said I like the Yanks tonight. Andy Pettitte has excelled away and he is 8-2, Yankees 11-3, his last 7 is 4-0 with NY 6-1 while Joe Saunders 13-7, Angels 17--11 has been winning at home, but home or away lacks quality. Joe has his games, but it's not consistent enough and I don't see the Yankees line up being forgiving.

Taking NY Yankees -104(L)

Saturday, September 19, 2009

MLB Saturday

September 19
MLB Saturday
Big Bad Penny wearing a Giants uniform makes his way back to the scene circa 2006. The former Dodger, Red Sox reject, is once again looking like a warrior in NL bringing 3 straight quality starts all wins including one against the Dodgers at the Bay. Here we go for round two.

NL West division rivals are all at each other except San Diego at Pittsburgh. Rockies has lost it's grip on the road and for the Giants playing the Los Angeles series will need to win it if not win it all.

First game both teams nearly emptied everything they had and it was pretty tight until Billingsley entered as a reliever. Chad now moved out of the rotation which will most likely benefit the Dodgers for now. Jon Garland, ex-Diamondback, will get this spot and Jon has not lost as a Dodger, 2 wins and 1 ND, looks like a must watch, but many will sit out on taking stake. I'll play the Dodgers in L.A 60% winners at home, 64% winners against division while Giants are 43% away, 45% under dog and 50% against division. Plus looking at how much pitchers both teams burned last night that's going to hurt Giants more than Dodgers.


Rockies on the ropes at sea level. Started on road winning game 1 at San Diego, but it's been down hill from there going 1-6. Jason Hammel get the ball and he has been quality of late, but again Rox mirror two opposite side at home and away with Jason on the mound.
Max 9-9 with Snakes 15-13, winner at home 6-4, team 9-5, and that's what I'll take.


Tuesday, September 15, 2009

MLB Tuesday

Today I like John Lackey and the Angels matching up with Daisuke Matsuzaka in Fenway.
I understand it's Fenway in September, but it's also Lackey in September and Dice K is a long shot. Maybe not a long shot he does get the big pay check, but I'll go with what's now and no one is leading the way like John Lackey is for the Angels. Can't say the same about Dice man.

Angels -118 for 1 unit(L)

Monday, September 14, 2009

MLB Monday

Wandy Rodriguez has been pitching well he's 13-9 and Astros are 18-11. Wandy has been quality 4 out of last 5 breezing through 7 inning with only 85 pitches in his last start. Astros also playing winning ball 7 out of last 10 going tonight in Cincy the Reds are 1-6 in last 7, has not scored more than 4 runs except once in that span, scored 4 once and five times 3 runs or less it looks all good for the visitors, but that nice record by Wandy holds true at home not away. His most recent 4 road trips have resulted in loss or ND leading to Astros loss. Bronson Arroyo going for the Reds and deserves much better than current record. Tonight the Reds are back home coming off 2 consecutive 10 hit games maybe Arroyo gets his much needed run support. Play against Houston away with Cincinnati home dog.

REDS +118(W)

Friday, September 11, 2009

MLB Friday

Twins are back home for 9 and surely there's a sense of urgency, isn't there? The window of opportunity hasn't completely trade Clayton Mortensen. He debut with St Louis back on 6/29 vs the Giants who promptly pounded him for 6 runs in 3 relief innings of work. Clayton debut with A's on 8/8 vs KC 8 runs in 4 inngs of work. Match up record in Minnesota where A's are 2-11 going back to 2006 there's not much expected today. Nick Blackburn getting his game in order at home he's 6-3 with team record of 8-5 only thing your pondering is taking -1.5 RL or laying the juice. The problem with taking Twins at this price with a losing pitcher, however improved, and uninspired games is asking for some hurting. A's with their losing record has the better money record and isn't that what we're after.

A's +191(W)

Thursday, September 10, 2009

MLB Thursday

Los Angeles Angels is the team to beat in AL West and they got Texas hot on their heels. Backers are fairly comfortable with Iron man Big John Lackey taking the mound against Ryan Rowland Smith and Seattle Mariners. Why not when Anaheim has been tough on visiting opponents Halos taking 60% of home games at 41-26.
John Lackey coming off a impressive pitchers dual in KC going 9 innings allowing 1 run. He has been quality 5 out of last 7 starts. On Mariners side Rowland Smith has 3 quality starts in a row also 5 out of last 7 and Mariners have played the Angels toe to toe this season 10-9, of those games 8 with one run difference. Are we in for another tight pitching low scoring game? I don't like tonight's pitching spot. Lackey's last 7 with 5 quality starts Angels logged 3-4, he's logged 333 pitches in last 3 and his backers are losing money 12-10 team record not enough to cover the juice. Seattle's Rowland Smith went 8 innings in last start scattered 4 with 3 ER looked good, but away games are going Over and he's thrown 327 pitches in last 3. This is a likely regression spot for one or both pitchers and the Total is 8. Angel Compos behind the plate has a pretty good strike zone, but he's averaging 9 runs. L.A. is nearly 59% Over at home and facing LHP is 57% Over


Wednesday, September 09, 2009

MLB Wednesday

The new Yankee stadium has been referred as a home run friendly park and the Bronx Bombers certainly fit the bill especially in AL, but that kind of label also drives the O/U Total toward public perception bringing the Yanks home 0/U record to 31-34. You know the Rays are playing Under to the tune of 0/U 29-40 away from Trop, 11-22 as Underdogs and Jeff Neimann (12-5) has been lowering his WHIP down to 1.08 in last 7 starts. New York's Joba Chamberlin is no doubt pitching Over, but he did blank Tampa in 8 innings of work. Chamberlin's only thrown 190 pitches in last three starts combine a generous strike zone from Fieldin Culbreth and take the UNDER 10.

TAM/NYY UNDER 10 at -110 for 1 unit