Tuesday, May 25, 2010

MLB Wednesday

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals
KC is a tough sell again at 18-28, but then it's anticipated to happen. What caught my eyes is RL in BLACK. True to their stats Tuesday's Texas game ended 8-7 KC one run loss. Take a Que here fellas the pitching match up works in Royals favor at home.

Take the Run Line, but Money line is worth the risk. ML & RL(W)

MLB Tuesday

Oakland A's at Baltimore O's
Are you fading Baltimore automatically? It's working out and you plan to ride on, well good for you! Athletics are in town after sweeping the Giants in inter league series and the A's put on a pitching clink allowing 1 run in 27 innings with 3 starters eating 20 of those innings. Meanwhile O's went to DC and dropped 2 out of 3 Baltimore did make it interesting with 2 losses coming at 1 run difference, but still losses on the moneyline. So if your on the Baltimore "F" train you must be feeling alright after all it's house money at this point. What might be puzzling at this late hour is why is moneylne price come out nearly even on Baltimore? Even favoring them at one point before returning? If you asked yourself this question you may realize the nature of Oakland exceeding 3 wins in a row is a low percentage play. On the road makes it tougher. Also today's starter for the A's, Dallas Braden who has shown Major league skills with 7 quality starts out of 9, has been bit erratic on the road. Orioles will go with Jeremy Guthrie. He too has been pitching well with 7 quality starts out of 9, but difference is Guthrie showing better stability on all outing and his home starts brings outstanding 0.92 WHIP. His record is deceiving 2-4 and team record should be better than 2-7. Good spot for Jeremy and the O's to win one in Camden.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +104 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, May 14, 2010

MLB Friday

Houston at San Francisco

Recent results will show Astros finishing 4 game sweep of St Louis. Suddenly looking formidable where as Giants losing 3 in a row, 4 losses in last 5 with 4 of those in 1 run games, seem over priced as home favorite. Maybe so, but I do have problem with Felipe Paulino, 0-5 out of 6 starts and 1 quality start, not cutting it. You say Todd Wellemyer is about the same? He held his own against the Phillies at home and home is where G-Men are 10-8, against righty 12-8, as favorite 13-8 and play the NL Central very well 7-2. SFG at home.

GIANTS -142 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, May 10, 2010

Tuesday MLB

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Looking at two early division lagers Mariners are the obviously in better position at 6 games behind the AL West leader Texas. Most would agree Seattle will have better product on field not even getting into pitching. Baltimore is clawing from the bottom depths of AL East which arguably is considered the toughest in Baseball, but 9-23 and 12.5 behind Tampa is truly looking disastrous. Now take the pitching match up with Cliff Lee getting the ball for Seattle.
He's got two starts so far already threw 7innings then 8innings looking very much like the work horse he is. O's counter with David Hernandez, the guy who was knocked out by the Yanks in last outing, he is 0-4. There's not too much to dig here? I do happen to have a wrench with O birds showing life, which might be short lived, but Mariners still on down trend playing on the road. Isn't that like a double negative. Watching this line a bit see what takes shape. (+137 as of this writing)

Little after lunch on game day and I read the movement correctly. Public has been pushing Seattle all day. Baltimore has improved nicely for those who waited. Playing the weak team on road fade angle.

BALTIMORE +152 for 1 unit(L)

I tell you this continue to fade Mariners for remainder of series.

Monday MLB

Washington Nationals at New York Mets.

John Main taking the home mound. History show he has pitched some of his best games against the Nats, but this season so far the fastballs are very hittable. His 7th start, 4th at home with 1 quality start. SO numbers are rising, but long ball has been served in every game except one. Luis Atilano pride of San Juan coming off a bad game, but very capable of hanging in with Maine and given their identical record and Nationals even game on the road makes this a fair game with value to the visitors.

NATIONALS +152 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, May 06, 2010

MLB Thursday

YTD 0-2

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers.

Brewers +114 for 1 unit(L)