Tuesday, May 31, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Returned from the wilderness weekend and have returned with fish to show my effort. Back to the daily grind, for some, but I really don't see it that way. Just what I do and enjoy it too.

Florida Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
If you sample some recent games in MLB you know the D-Backs are hot. You'll also note today's pitching calls for good arms. Cutting to the chase home team is a bit too much for the road worn Fish. Fish in the desert stinks to me.


Thursday, May 26, 2011

MLB Friday

Time to put on your straps and make a move.
Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
How do you guys like the White Sox 6 men rotation? Judging from the outcome Pitchers are in cruise control they just need some run support. Mark Buehrle is pitching good enough and Jays are on the skid. However the run support is still the issue and Toronto going with Kyle Drabek has been quality. Blue Jays don't seem to have run support issue as the best hitting team in AL. I'm going with Toronto to break the skid.

Toronto Blue Jays -125(W)

MLB Thursday

Florida Marlins at S.F. Giants
This game will feature Anibal Sanchez for the Marlins and Ryan Vogelsong two pitchers in great form. Both pitchers are not allowing base runners and games have been going UNDER.


Wednesday, May 25, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Got the win yesterday and we are watching the line movement on Tampa at Detroit.
Detroit Tigers looking to sweep the falling Rays in this afternoon match up. You guys might already know I like going against the sweep and look for a dog situation. If this game fit that profile I would of taken the early line for Rays max value. But this time I like Brad Penny and the Tigers. Andy Sonnanstine pitching in place of injured pitcher Jeff Niemann and he has yet to show quality outing. Normally a bit tougher on the road, but slumping Tampa bats will be no help. Penny has been quality at home and I expect him to bounce back.

Detroit Tigers -128(Postponed)

Added second game.
Mets pitcher Dillion Gee coming along nicely and Mets maybe ready to redeem themselves. Cubs will send Casey Coleman who has been working with too many base runners and woeful at home. However Mets just seem to find a way to lose.

CUBS 100(L)

Monday, May 23, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Bad take on good pitcher duel. I must say Progressive Field is the toughest home park.

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates
In this game Braves will feature Jair Jurrjens, top Braves money pitcher 7 out of 7 quality starts and Braves are 5-2. Going against Atlanta is Charlie Morton, also pitching well 6 out of 8 quality coming off a complete game shut out of Cincinnati Reds. As we sample the recent performance Braves production have come down while Bucks have improved. I feel that trend will be off set by today's pitchers.

Atlanta/Pittsburgh Under 7.5 -115(W)

Sunday, May 22, 2011

MLB Monday

Unfortunate loss yesterday with Colorado getting swept in Milwaukee. Pitching did return in that game which ended in 1-3 score Jimenez went all the way and Wolf, although not as sharp, got the timely hit to back up his 7 inning performance.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians
Sox, since sweeping the Yankees at NY, have been rolling. They just finished their home stand sweeping Detroit and taking 2 out of 3 from Cubs in Interleague. Now they're in Cleveland where Clay Buchholtz gets the call. Clay winning 3 out of last 4starts and Sox winning all 4. His last start against Detroit was a pitchers duel he gave up nothing in 7 innings struck out 7 walked 1 Boston coming out ahead 1-0, but Clay threw whopping 127 pitches. Red Sox are will take their hot streak to Progressive Field where Indians are 18-4 and Justin Masterson has pitched 8 out of 9 quality games. He too is coming off a pitchers duel at Chicago White Sox where he ended on the losing side of 0-1 and he too has thrown tons of pitches. I'm going Over in this seemingly Under 8.5 situation. I feel the Pitchers will regress with hot bats on both sides. Buchholtz is 1-3 O/U away, but his quality number drops, his ground out number drops and there's a rise in WHIP. Masterson at home is 4-1 O/U and though 80% quality gives up a bit more. Going Over at highly rated hitters park where production is 3rd highest in American League.

Boston/Cleveland Over 8.5(L)

MLB Sunday

Missed you guys on Saturday. Hope everyone held their own.

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers.
Brewers are sure tough at home they've accumulated 15 wins and only 6 losses. Colorado is hanging just above .500 on the road and they have already dropped 2 games in Milwaukee. Ubaldo Jimenez still looking for his first win and Rox are 1-6 when he takes the ball. Randy Wolf is on two game slide and the Brew crew has dropped the last 3 of his outings. I think it's a bounce back spot for both pitcherws, but I don't think Milwaukee will complete the sweep. Both games ended with 1 run differential and this one goes to the Rox.

Colorado Rockies -122(L)

Thursday, May 19, 2011

MLB Friday

Phillies got cancelled with Joe Blanton getting scratched, but we get the late game in late inning.
Interleague play. Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates.
Brad Penny pitching for the Tigers looking good lately. He's beat Kansas City, Toronto and the Yankees all in May, pitching just under 22 innings he's given up 3 runs total. It's been awhile going head to head with the Pirates, but Penny facing the Bucks in over a decade is 6-1. Pirate's pitcher Jeff Karsten has been struggling in May with 1 loss and 2 ND's. He's pitched under 15 innings, 18 hits, 6 ER and gave up 4 HR's. It doesn't look good for the Pirates, but Penny despite his recent success and 5 quality starts out of 9, 4 of the quality start are at home and of the 4 starts he's had away he's only has 1 quality start with 3 losses. While Karsten has only logged 2 quality start out of 6 both were at home and Jeff has 3 home starts. The Tigers to disappoint after the tough battle with Boston

Pittsburgh Pirates +121(W)

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

MLB Thursday

The game last night was ours to win. We couldn't lose after 6th inning 3-3 tie, but just not enough to push it through. Take the push and we move on.

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
A very good game, good match, Rox Jhoulys Chacin their top young gun with good mix, induces grounders and uses his slider for the out pitch. Coming off a ND, team loss, to SD at home. Jhoulys is playing well, 4-2 with 1.17 WHIP, team record 5-3. He'll be facing Joe Blanton who's record may not look as good as Chacin's, but Joe's doing heavy road work and small sampling of his home starts does not do him justice. Velocity dropping? His elbow? These issues will be answered. Let's consider Phillies are 11-2 against Rox at home and this domination runs deep into past seasons, but better than 80% is huge. Rox may have been surging and Phillies falling let's see if the tides change in this opportune timely game.

Philadelphia Phillies +113 *Joe Blanton scratched Bet Canceled

Adding a second game in NL at Petco Park.
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Padres hosting the Brewers and Aaron Harang will take the ball on the home mound. Opposing will be Chris Narveson. Brew crew has heated up taking 7 out of last 10 and they are scoring runs. Pads have a terrible home record and have dropped head to head match up 3-1. But what we have here is a top Padres money pitcher going against the worst money pitcher for Brewers. San Diego is also killing left handed pitchers.

San Diego Padres +105(W)

MLB Wednesday

We win last night's battle in South side of Chicago. Today we take our game to the Coliseum in Oakland. Beautiful day partly cloudy, but looking clear now at 64F and today is Wednesday special at Oakland. $2 tickets are available in Plaza Level, Plaza Outfield and Plaza Reserved sections, while supplies last. Purchase tickets now for this popular promotion. $2 Wednesdays are presented by BART.
How about that for a treat? Go catch this game if your in the area and we will cap this game. Minnesota Twins are hurting this year they stop the 9 game losing streak at Seattle, but this team has long ways to prove themselves. Carl Pavano taking the ball coming off 0-2 ND, Twins loss and Twins are win less on Pavano's road starts. Oakland playing much better will send Brandon McCarthy who is searching for his second win. The last win was back in April 10 at Minnesota. I see this game with high potential to go Over 7. Both pitchers are in a spot to regress and despite Minnesota's O/U 9-16 record the Over number has been creeping in for the last 10 games. Oakland, evident by yesterday's 14 run eruption, has been scoring in recent games. Both teams are trending Over and that's the play.

MIN/OAK OVER 7 -115(Push)

Monday, May 16, 2011

MLB Tuesday

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox
So what do you guys think about the South siders? 17-25 is not a good record. 5-12 at home means they play twice is bad at home! Texas Rangers are a good home team not away although they did improve to 7-10 with last night's win at Chicago that's still under par. The pitching match up is Matt Harrison for Texas who was slotted to win in Arlington had that game not postponed. He's been having shaky start in last 4 games where he has trouble establishing himself early. Danks despite his no win record and his last disaster game in L.A. has pitched well for most part. White Sox also coming off a shut out at home is another angle to consider. Concensus taking Texas yet Chicago has moved from -123 on the over night to -143 and it is a strong spot for Chicago.

Chicago White Sox -139(W)

Sunday, May 15, 2011

MLB Monday

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
The Padres are playing their 7th out of 8th road game. Zona is just home from their 9 game road trip where they recorded 3-6. These two team matched up in Zona's first stop at Petco Park, May 6, 7 and 8, Snakes losing that series going on to lose more series. In the meantime Pads bats have heated up and here we are with a good road pitcher in Clayton Richard. Armando Galarraga is a bit off right now and we will take a shot with rising San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres +111(W)

Friday, May 13, 2011

MLB Saturday

Damn that loser game last night was exactly the kind of game that eats me up. Reds scoring 2 runs in 6th & 7th than knotting it up at 9th and taking it at 10th was a classic moose job. I know you guys had to vent on that demise, perfectly natural, but the key is never play angry. Take a little breather, relax, have a smoke or whatever you do. We'll get into the matinee for Saturday.

You know Houston has been dismal so far. Coming off a loss last night they are 3-7 in last 10, 8-12 at home, last in NL Central and there are many faults to list. But similar to the game we capped last night and lost, Houston Astros had last night's game in cruise control only to lose it in late inning. The difference between our game and Astro's loss was Houston blew it on their home field. Is that meaningless? I think Astros make a stand today and crush the visiting NY Mets.


MLB Friday

St Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
In the past season I would of looked at these pitchers just the opposite of where they stand now. Lohse and the Cards despite last two losses is money. Arroyo's not pitching bad, but not winning at home plus he's giving up the long ball at home.
I'm taking the good road team.

St Louis Cardinals -101(L)

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

MLB Thursday

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves.
Derek Lowe taking the ball will face visiting Jordan Zimmermann and the Nationals.
Nationals slated as highly improved team in the spring is just around .500 and are a money making team. Atlanta above .500 slight money loser, but RL winner. I looked at this game and asked why is the total so low?


Tuesday, May 10, 2011

MLB Wednesday

We roll another winner with Cardinals going away. The wind is to our back getting closer to the hot summer days.

I'm going with the steel city game, Dodgers and Pirates. Pretty good pitching with Hiroki Kuroda for visiting Dodgers and Paul Maholm for the home Pirates. Dodgers won big yesterday, 10-3 big, but let's face it they are not playing well, 3-6 in May, where as the Bucks are winning. But you may feel Bucks recent series wins came against weak opponents, Padres and Astros, and Dodgers have historically owned the Pirates. All true, but today's pitching angle show declining Kuroda against Maholm getting stronger. Let's go with the home team.

Pittsburgh Pirates -103(L)

MLB Tuesday

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Chris Carpenter against Carlos Zambrano. In declining season for Carp is a fast track season for Z, but following a impressive outing of 8 innings at Los Angeles Zambrano returns to Wrigley. I think Carlos will regress against the Cards right hand hitting line up. Chris Carpenter will give enough to keep St Louis to make this interesting.

St Louis Cardinals -118(W)

Sunday, May 08, 2011

MLB Monday

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Billingsley and Karstens playing in steel city. Simply put the nature of this game is to go UNDER not because of the pitching match up, but due to the fact these teams are not performing with runners on bases. The game will not be a easy Under with the given low number, but most likely fall short.

Los Angeles Dodgers / Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 -110(W)

Thursday, May 05, 2011

MLB Friday

Cleveland Indians at L.A. Angels.
Angels finally broke through Boston in a blow out and now they return to the West Coast. Indians took care of business in Oakland and they are ahead of schedule. Cleveland are playing hot and bring their money pitcher. Angels will be tired, but home pitching at Anahiem will keep it tight.

Cleveland Indians/Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8.5 -110(W)

MLB Thursday

SF Giants at NY Mets
Mets have shown signs of life. Michael Pelfrey will take the mound. Mets starters have lasted 6 innings in first two games and money has steadily pushed the Mets line from the original Under dog spot. Jonathan Sanchez coming off ND Giants win at DC That was a game he threw 103 pitches in 5 innings walking 6, but only giving up 2 hits 1 run. That makes 2 ND starts in a row for Jonathan. It seems he's not going deep. It's a tough sell for a sweep today and Sanchez looking shaky I have to agree with the money flow.

NY Mets -105(W)

Late game match up Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners.
Seattle. In recent games Seattle is surging and playing on home field, but I don't like Vargas. Jason has 3 quality outings out of 6 and has not won at home. Matter of fact team's got 4 losses. On the other hand Lewis feeds on Mariners and we roll with Texas.

Texas Rangers -110(L)

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

MLB Wednesday

Got a Push yesterday and look for another low scoring AL game in Minnesota at Chicago W@hite Sox. Dank and Sox look to get one back after a Lariano No-No and Twin have yet to show signs of offense. Blackburn looking to get back on track and I think this spot calls for a much stronger Blackburn. So let's hit the Under one more time.

Minnesota/Chicago UNDER 8.5(W)

MLB Tuesday

Yesterday was a square play winner with most sharps on the Tigers, but it happens. Look what happened 2011 stud pitcher Jered Weaver and the Halos getting wacked at Fenway. The difference between taking the Angels and taking the Yankees was simply the match up record and of course the shady line.

Tuesday we're looking at Texas Ranger at Seattle Mariners. Alexi Ogando coming off a quality game against Toronto and he has been consistently good. The only trouble game was at Yankee Stadium when he was fighting a blister. He 2 hit the Mariners in early April for 6 innings giving no runs. Opposing will be Erik Bedard coming off his best start this season. Mariners home from great road trip will look to keep this a low scoring game at home.


Sunday, May 01, 2011

MLB Monday

It was a close one yesterday, but a bad day for the books that got middled with sharp players who took 7.5 Under and 6.5 Over Pushing 7.

I'll take it as a good omen. The game is Yankees at Detroit Tigers and the pitching match up goes to the Tigers by default just because everyone is looking for B. Colon to blow up and Justin Verlander to pick it up a notch. I say show me. Detroit is playing losing ball games and hot Yankees team is anticipated to lose? Going with the road dog.

NY Yankees +125(w)

MLB Sunday

I hate having losers. Had one yesterday's extra inning game. Add insult to injury on home favs. It happens so you get back up, don't get rattled and focus on the game.
Giants at Nationals is the game with Matt Cain going against Jordan Zimmerman. Nats giving the World Champ run for their money. Shut down Licecum on Friday, 1 run loss on Saturday and still under estimated going into Sunday's game with Zimmerman who threw two clunkers in a row. Chances are Jordan will bounce back. Big Matt Cain is coming off a game in Pittsburgh which Matt was slated to lose before the Buck's pen gave it up. The game before that Matt was pounded in Colorado, but his game is improving and has feasted steadily on Nats. The game has low scoring tone which was also deliberate with 6.5 O posted by the earliest LV lines followed by 7.5 U offshore and quickly evened at 7, but late movement has pushed this number to 6.5 giving that edge by the hook 0.5 runs. If you get a good price jump on it this is good as getting that early opening line at a discount!

San Francisco / Washington OVER 6.5 -110(W)