Wednesday, May 09, 2012

MLB Thursday

(15-12 +3,750)
Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox

Derek Lowe, Indians coming to Boston. Red Sox are hurting they've lost last 7 of 8 dropping the KC series. I feel their pain, but I'm no Bean Town homer. Can Josh Beckett stop the bleeding? Red Sox 4-10 at Fenway so far and Indians are solid 9-3 on the road. I thought about taking Lowe and Indians at this very attractive price, but first appearance at a glance has been a killer.
Derek Lowe 4-1 in 6 starts, Indians are 4-2, his game has been quality 5 out of 6 and has not allowed more than 4 runs (once) 3 runs (once) 2 runs (twice) one run and a shut out. No surprise 5 out of 6 games have gone Under. This impressive record stacks up to Josh Beckett 2-3. Boston 2-3, with 4 quality out of 5 and scratched  from his last start. Started this season on a forgettable 7 run 5 homer game in Detroit and have since settled allowing no more than 3 runs. But he is 75% Over with 3-1-1, one game he imploded and in two games Red Sox put up crooked numbers on the scoreboard.
Even with Lowes great record his weakness is on the road where he splits 1-1 with 5.73 ERA &
2.73 WHIP and Beckett thrives at home, although also split 1-1, but with 2.40 ERA & 0.93 WHIP.
Red Sox as mid range favorite at home facing opponent with winning record has been gold.

BOSTON RED SOX -1 RL at -103 for 1 unit(L)

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