Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies
The Rockies start Austin Gomber and he is on his game eating up innings/ The Rox are also generating runs in recent games and home field should be respected. However the Orioles going 5-5 in last 10 with NY Yankees still leading the East I'd expect urgency from this Baltimore team going against a bottom feeder. Go with the O's at Coors Field as the price is right.
Baltimore Orioles -136 for 1 unit
Milwaukee at Atlanta
Got a little wind blowing out the center little under 10mph. Maybe on the high side of the Total for the Braves, but the match up looks to provide runs.
Game Over 8 at -110 for 1 unit
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Rays
Friday night there's a slight breeze and perfect baseball night at Guaranteed Rate Field.
Cleveland at Detroit
Both teams are Over teams and looks like some offensive rise. Well within scoring.
Over 8.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Houston at Minnesota
We have a good battle today's rubber match. The wind is to the outfield at Target Field and offense is sizzling. Houston 7-2-1 Over. Minnesota 8-2 Over in both of their last 10 games
Game Over 8.5 at -115 for 1 unit
LA Angels at Oakland A's
Battle of the losing teams in AL West. The two teams have 5 game separation, but to put this in perspective on wagering this game. The Angels are just below the Dodgers in money ranking, though both LA teams are slightly in the red. LA on 7-3 winning run in last 10 games. Have not lost more than two games in a row all June. Rolling with the Angels.
LA Angels -110 for 1 unit(L)
NY Mets at Washington Nationals
Coming into July there are few games on the board. Couple of teams on noticeable rise are the Astros and the Mets. Many are on these teams, but we are laying on NY Mets they simply have the better match up and we prefer to follow the money. Houston despite going over .500 they are still deep in the hole.
NY Mets -110 for 1 unit(W)
Miami at Philadelphia
Cutting it close to game time. Going Over on this game.
Over 8 at -110(W)
LA Dodgers at SF Giants
Staying on the Dodgers with Tyler Glasnow looking in mid-season form. Wef will lay in on the First 5 innings .
Dodgers First 5 inning -0.5 at -134 for 1 (L)
LA Dodgers at SF Giants
Can Logan Webb and the Giants win against the Dodgers? They did it back in May 15th with masterful pitching. The late line movement has SF at -120 and why not take the Dodgers. They have dominated this series. LA on 8-2 run, 6-2 coming off a shut out win, 26-15 on the road. We'll take it.
LA Dodgers +102 for 1 unit(L)
Cincinnati Reds at St Louis Cardinals
The game today in St Louis will welcome the Reds back on the road laboring 3-7 record over the last 10 games. It will not get any easier today where the Cardinals have a winning record of 22-16 at home. The money line reflects 5-13 record for the Reds. St Louis has dominated Cincinnati and it will continue today.
St Louis Cardinals -138 for 1 unit(L)
Atlanta Braves at NY Yankees
I think the sentiment on the board is a telling story. The line opened with the Braves being a slight favorites, but that gave way. Maybe the angle here is to buy low sell high. I agree and roll with the Yankees.
NY Yankees +100 for 1 unit
Milwaukee at LA Angels
Tonight we side with the NL Central contender, the Brewers. They have the numbers on inter league games. The Angels have just about twice as many games to winning teams. Lay it in the road team
Milwaukee Brewers-160 for 1unit(W)
Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals
This game seems evenly matched with similar win loss record. Arizona does perform on the road and are not to be taken lightly. However there is a pitching surge with Jake Irvin taking the home mound. 6 quality starts in last 7. On this scorching day in the capital the Washington Nationals are the play/
WASHINGTON NATIONALS -120 for 1 unit(L)
St Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins
Miami has dropped 5 in a row coming home to this game and the Marlins offense has gone dry. They managed to score more than 2 runs in only one of the 5 losses. Meanwhile the Cardinals have been clawing back from the 7 straight losses that ended with the Milwaukee series back in mid May. The turn around has been remarkable and they make the play
ST LOUIS CARDINALS -140 for 1 unit(W)
NY Yankees at Boston Red Sox
This is always a fun match. We have a good price on the line movement you'll have to watch the line as the movement is active. Boston with the series win against Philadelphia does get a boost, but still this team is below .500 at home. Both pitchers are in the black, but Bello is looking shaky. We are laying this one.
NY Yankees -149 for 1 unit(W)
Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles
Playing the interleague today. The Braves have been under performing lately, but they are the favorites with Max Fried. Atlanta is 9-3 with Max taking the ball and stingy WHIP 0.85 He is the top money making pitcher above Sale and Lopez. However Fried starts and wins have mostly been second and lower level tier teams. Baltimore at 43-22 have crushed left hand pitcher to the tune of 13-5 and winning 60% of games as the underdog. I think Albert Suarez will keep the Braves in check.
Baltimore Orioles at +120 for 1 unit(W)
NY Yankees at KC Royals
Back on the Yankees after salvaging a game against the Dodgers. We will put that one for revenge. Laying the road favorite
NYY -130 for 1 unit (W)
LA Dodgers at NY Yankees
This has the making of a championship game. Game 1 of this series went into extra inning with the Dodgers coming out on top. However, their back-to-back loss in Pittsburgh and Gavin Stone having not really been tested against the level of Yankees I expect the Yankees to edge this game and evening up the series,
NY Yankees at -103 for 1 unit(L)
Atlanta at Washington
The Nats have gone 3-7 in last 10 games and the road series in Atlanta seems distant now. The Brave will send Chris Sale 8-1 and look for a bounce back game. This game we play the run line
Atlanta Braves -1 at -134 for 1 unit (L)
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
The Cubs have Javier Assad taking the mound. He is the second highest money pitcher in the starting rotation and we like him. Hunter Greene has not been good for the Reds at home where the record is 1-6 Lett\s take the Cubs
Chicago +115 for 1 unit(L)
LA Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Phenom, Paul Skenes, will face one of the top contenders in MLB. He will catch them in offensive drought. The Dodgers have dropped two series against low level teams in the past 10 games and should be focused on taking care of business at hand. James Paxton with 6 road games the Dodgers have won 6-1 and although both pitchers trend Over this game has the making of an Under
Game Under 8.5 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
Tampa Bay at Miami
Playing the match in Florida.
The Marlins have been in the playbook this season and through the course of the season fluctuations will happen. The June gloom seems to brought Miami offensive drought. Miami's Jesus Luzardo is pitching well, but he is still not profitable. MIami is on our fader play.
TAMPA BAY -116 for 1 unit(W)
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
The Jays are tinkering making adjustments they have gone 7-3 in last 10 games. They have Kevin Gausman taking the mound and the Jays have won 4 out of last 5 Gausman starts. They will be tested today with the O's in town and I think they will lose this one. 16-8 on the road and 11-4 against division opponents.
Baltimore Orioles -108 for 1 unit(W)
San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals
Flip the month. The Padres as a road favorite which is not compelling considering they are under 50% as favorites. This team is a road warrior with more wins on the road than at home, but the cautionary tale of a match up with the Royals is that KC is good. Winning 70% of home game good. Looking for revenge today.
KC Royals +105 for 1 unit(L)
Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets
Losses are mounting for NY. Luis Severino is taking the mound for the Mets. He does pitch better at home, but he should of won his last start. He's in a spot to decline and we will promptly fade the Mets.
Arizona +105 for 1 unit(L)
Cleveland at Colorado
The Guardians are riding 9-1 streak and I don't think the Rox will be able to stop them. Colorado has hard time after giving up 10 runs or more at 1-5. Cleveland 18-8 this month. Playing action
Cleveland -140 for 1 unit(L)
LA Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
LA has dropped three in a row, you don't see that too often, playing game 2 in Cincinnati Reds series. The Dodgers just swept this team at home. The Reds have historically played the Dodgers tough, but I would look for LA to wake up today. LA with Total set at 9 to 9.5 are 11-2, on the road 14-9, 12-7 after a loss, 21-12 against losing teams. The Reds are 5-16 in May, 6-14 after a win, 6-10 against winning teams. We'll just take the runline.
LA Dodgers -1.5 at +110(L)
SF Giants at NY Mets
The Mets coming home after going 2-6 on the road. They will regroup and gear up for the Giants. SF on the other hand have quietly gone 7-3. Needless to say the Giants have good pitching tonight and we are counting on NY to disappoint.
SF Giants +120 for 1 unit(W)
Arizona Diamondbacks at LA Dodgers
I think many of you anticipate the Dodgers to return the win Colum after a loss, but the DBacks are putting up game. They had the Dodgers in game 1 if not for the clutch performance by Shohei Otani and last night's 12 hit the Dodgers for 7 runs in a no doubter 7-3 win. We'll play the pedestrian looking Total to go Over the number. Arizona sporting hot bats right now and the Dodger will give them the match. The Dodger today with Glasnow is Over at home 5-1 and Arizona rolling Over 7-3 in last 10.
Arizona at LA Over 8 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
NY Mets at Cleveland Guardians
We're rolling with Cleveland tonight. The Mets losing the series to Miami is a testament to the state of their demise. Cleveland with 15-6 record at home is not letting off the gas here. Lay it.
Cleveland Guardians -124 for 1 unit(W)
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs are a home team. It is at Wrigley where they thrive winning at 13-6. It is also Wrigley where they have been beating up on the Pirates. Take action on this game and lay the short number
Chicago Cubs -115 for 1 unit(L)
Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers
Cleveland is rolling and Carlos Carrasaco get's no love. He's at the twilight of his game having ups and downs. We know he's the weak link, but the Guardians are the 2nd profitable team at the top of AL Central. Jon Gray is also a veteran of the game, but he's looking in form. However the line for Texas around -170 or higher is not attractive. .500 team that's losing money, Jon Gray and the Rangers are over valued. Jon Gray is not in the plus column for his backers and we will take the Guardians. Hang in the Cookie!
Cleveland Indians +1.5 at -133 for 1 unit (L)
Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners
We are on the pitchers once again. KC sending Michael Wacha. He is bleeding money at 63% clip on the road. We are laying it on the Mariner with Logan Gilbert. He is coming off a loss on the road, but he is 3 out of 3 in quality start at home. Fade the Royals.
Seattle Mariner -140 for 1 unit(L)
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
We start the week in Milwaukee where the Brewers sit at top of NL central. The fight for the central lies in Milwaukee and Chicago, the two teams in division playing above .500. Pittsburgh has yet to reach that level and just lost the Cubs series 2-1 at home. Now the Pirates are on the road with Mitch Keller in game 1 against the Brewers. He's got 4 games on the road going 1-2 with the Pirates going 2-2. Keller threw 9 innings and won his last time against the Angels and we look for him to decline here. Milwaukee with Colin Rea is 6-1. He did not factor in his last start against KC,. but he is in a spot to improve Play Milwaukee tonight. The Brewers are 11-6 against division opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers -135 for 1 unit(L)
MLB Saturday
LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres
LA coming off a loss with top money pitcher will be our play.
LA -145 at 1 unit (W)
LA Angels at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Angeles blanks the Pirates in the second of three and the series is all knotted up. Despite the Angels impressive performance in game 2 we can't trust the Angels. Jose Soriano takes the mound after a solid performance in Cleveland, but he's still a work in progress. The Pirates will send Martin Perez. We feel he will eat up innings with better stability on the mound and likely to improve. The play is a fade on the Angels after a no run win and we are betting on them to disappoint.
Pittsburgh Pirates -130 for 1 unit(L)
Houston Astros at New York Yankees
We have a new series and the Yanks are riding high. Houston started slow last year and grew stronger as the season progressed, but the hole they have dug is much bigger this year. The angle we have on this game is the 62% games going Under at New York. That Under is higher against the West. The Astros comes to NY with playing 71% Under away and 83% against the East. It's Under
Game Under 8.5 at -103 for 1 unit(L)
San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs
Looks like Monday is the best day this week to hit Wrigley. The weather is unpredictable this time of the year in the Windy city, and we have a clear day. The wind is blowing in and you know the Cubs Total post late. The Cubs are climbing in earnings the team is 12-4 at home. Justin Steele returns to the mound, and we expect a respectable game. Yu Darvish will go for the Padres and have been effective. He did match up in April and did not get a decision, but the Padres did manage the win at home. However, in that start Darvish was tagged for 4 runs. He comes in a spot to decline, and we do like the Cubs at home with the short price.
Chicago Cubs -108 for 1 unit(L)
Miami at Oakland
We have an interleague match up and you guys know how we feel about the Marlins, but how about Oakland? They are in the Money. Oakland A's are the 5th highest earners in the Major League. At 16-17 the A's are the only other team besides Washington Nationals to make the top 5 as a non winning team. This match up will feature Miami's biggest money losing pitcher, Trevor Rogers at 0-4 with the Fish 0-6 when Trevor is on the mound. Oakland will send their top money pitcher, Paul Blackburn at 2-1 with the A's going 5-1 with Paul on the hill. He is coming in a spot to improve and it will not be good for the Marlins.
Oakland A's -122 for 1 unit(W) How's that for a blow out 4-20
Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros
Not giving Houston that much credit. Cleveland is looking strong and I think they will give Houston a game tonight. Looking for a let down after a Mexico city game.
Cleveland Guardians +147 for 1 unit(L)
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
When looking across the games of the day, you have to appreciate the combination of games, the matchups bring scenarios of risks and opportunities. The Braves, the Yankees, the Dodgers, the Guardians are not hard to spot, but it’s teams like Washington that everyone overlook. They came back from 7 runs deficit to beat the Marlins on Sunday. How about the Marlins, besides losing their opener against the Nats, the worst record in baseball they’ve won only twice at home. The Nationals are the third most profitable team in baseball and the Marlins are a team to be faded.
Washington Nationals +130 for 1 unit (W)
St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets
This match up was lined up much closer when it came out, but clearly it is the Mets taking the money. We agree that Mets are putting a better product on the field today. The Cardinals Lance Lynn is winning, but not out pitching other clubs. He is doing his job and keeping his team in the game, but we do not see an advantage over Mets, Jose Quintana. This game we would go with Mets on action.
NY Mets -118 for 1 unit(W)
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Good Saturday to you. We have the Phillies visiting San Diego where the Padres sport a losing record. Philadelphia is a San Diego nemesis with 60%-win rate. When the top money pitcher is going against San Diego, Ranger Suarez has 4 quality starts out of 5 and the Phillies have won all 5 games he's started. The Padres have a pretty good starter too in Dylan Cease, but it's the Phillies with momentum. We will take the Phillies at even money.
Philadelphia Phillies +100 for 1 unit (W)
Welcome to my blog where we look at Major league Baseball games and bet on them. We have been doing it for a long time and would like to offer a word of advice for those interested in betting the game. If you are a fan of the game and enjoy it for what it is that is perfectly fine you keep on rooting for whatever team that facies you. But if you are considering opening an account or have an account and you are betting blind, meaning no substance to your wager other than a particular team you like. Maybe you're betting on a whim or chasing a loss. Whatever it is if you are losing money consider doing some homework to improve your game and gain discipline. Don't become a feeder to the Books. If you don't have the time, you are more than welcome to follow along or sign with a reputable service. Recreational betters that want to hang out at sports bars, have few dollars on a game and enjoy it with friends you see it as a cost of entertainment, that's okay too. We agree to be different. Just be aware of the pitfalls of gambling in whatever form. Many will fall down the abyss and that is a dark place we wouldn't wish on anyone.
We are playing the Zero-Sum game, and it starts with managing your funds. The average is 1% to5% game cap. Looking at an account with $1K the risk is $10 to $50; your unit play is $10. By maintaining the game cap your unit play will increase or decrease depending on the funds' performance. We also limit our daily games to 3 with 8% total game cap. You can see that we maintain measures to prevent catastrophic losses. The actual wagering process begins before the sports books release their lines by calculating your own lines, but this practice is fading out as computed lines have taken over. The lines maybe tweaked before release, but the sharps will set the tone and the lines will move accordingly. How do you choose the game? If you follow the sport, you will definitely see a pattern form and you can go through each game one by one with a filter to eliminate games without advantage. Narrow down the game with criteria and when you have. Most begging players will look at wins and losses, that's human nature, cross out the losers and go with the winners. That means you are playing favorites and laying more money to win less. This strategy will deplete your account as the upsets will be too costly in the long run. You need to have situational awareness and that is understanding the likelihood of an outcome based on set of conditions. The how's and why's would be a book in itself, but here I'd like to give insight into how the game is played by the handicappers and the sharps. The game is evolving with newer players playing in game and props more than ever. If you're. looking to dive in find your niche and see where your talent us
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
This game is billed as a pitching match up with Boston's Kutter Crawford, who has not given up a run at home and brings a 0.66 ERA. The visitors have the Japanese all star Shota Imanaga going, who has a 0.84 ERA. However the total for the game is at 8, not quite the pitcher duel type number, and Boston bull pen has issues. In our selection the Cubs are the better play. Boston is losing at home and Chicago comes to town with momentum. Go with Chicago.
Chicago Cubs -108 for 1 unit(W)
LA Dodgers at Washington Nationals
The Dodgers have the high priced Japanese import taking the mound, Yoshinobu Yamamoto. We've seen him 5 times in LA blue and the Dodgers are 1-4. He has a record 4.50 ERA with 1.136 WHIP. That/s not elite level, but with the small sampling the big picture has yet to emerge. We are looking for improved Yamamoto today. Washington will go with Mackenzie Gore with couple of win under his belt and he's done it with good pitching. He is also in a spot to improve. The Total number has downward pressure shop around for this one.
Total Under 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
New York Mets at SF Giants
Lace up it's a day game coming to you from Oracle Park. One of my favorite stadiums right by McCovey Cove. You know it's tradition to smoke weed by McCovey's statue. After that you will be in awe of the Cupid's Span the giant bowl and arrow sticking out of the ground. You'll get the munchies so head to the Ferry Building then you're ready. It's making me want to go see this game.
We have the Mets with Sean Manaea on the mound. Not quite a money pitcher at this point, but the Mets did beat the Dodgers on the road and Cincinatti on the road with Sean on the hill. Manaea is good enough to get the job done. On the other side we have Blake Snell who is dragging his backer, and he has been bad. Fade Snell and the Giants. The Mets to come o ut ahead.
NY Mets +110 for 1 unit (Blake Snell scratched)
Mets win easily, but we will stay true to the pitcher/s angle. No play.
The published posting has been amiss to start this season, but keep the faith people it's the nature of the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds
Looking through the money metrics both teams are in the plus, the Reds slightly ahead, These two teams met in April 1 to 3rd series in Philadelphia with the Reds taking 2 out of 3. Cincy did that as an underdog throughout the series. But now that the teams are settling in Philadelphia looks to chase Atlanta for the East. Cincinnati sweeping the Angels in last series, but getting swept by the Mariners. Before that beating up the White Sox, but lost the series to the Brewers. That is not hanging in with the contenders. We also favor Philadelphia on the pitching with Ranger Suarez against Cincinnati's Hunter Greene. Suarez is on top of Phillies money pitcher with his team winning all 4 appearances. He's pitched 3 quality games in a row and shut out the Rockies in last start. He is a force on the mound. The Reds Greene is on the opposite side his team has yet to win when he takes the ball. He was rocked by the Brewers at home 2 starts ago and only pitched 4 innings at Seattle. We expect Philadelphia to return the early season loss and set the tone to start.
Philadelphia Phillies -110 for 1 unit(W)
Baltimore Orioles at KC Royals
This is a line that's moved away from opening. We intend to take the original line as the guide to backing the O's. The Royals have made money for their backers and they are a team to consider in daily situation, However they are prone against AL East facing a team that feasts on AL Central so we do agree -140 opening ML. Taking the drop in price and laying this one.
Baltimore Orioles -130 for 1 unit(L)
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
The Pads are riding a groove. They have been impressive underdogs, but as that perception swings to favorites the proposition becomes risky. Dylan Cease is pitching well, but so is Wade Miley. San Diego in expected situation are not a good value and they are not good to back after a win. The value here is with Milwaukee and that's what we are on.
Milwaukee Brewers +110 for 1 unit(L)
Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks
We're rolling with AZD tonight in the desert. Cubbies 7th game away and this spot will be hard to keep Arizona runs.
Arizona -154 for 1 unit(L)
Miami Marlins at New York Yankees
The Yanks are hot our of the gate. We've got Marcus Stroman taking the ball and he's rolling with his team. Miami on the other side is already looking beat. Ryan Weathers will take the mound for the Fish. It looks lopsided and we will play the Run Line.
NY Yankees -1.5 at -108 for 1 unit(L)
St Louis at San Diego
We have the under achieving Pads from last year which we do expect to improve . We’ll look for production tonight
Cards at Pads Over 8 at -115 for 1 unit (push)
