MLB Tuesday

6-6 +590

Kind of moving sideways, but adjustments will occur accordingly.  Don't panic or make irrational move, like trying to double up, because that's what gamblers do. Play the percentages and the unit size should reflect about 3% to 5% of your bankroll, could be smaller if your roll is large, and stay focused on the games.

Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Yankees
It\s interleague game and I"m not a fan of these games. Today I'll make a exception with red hot Arizona making a visit to the Bronx.  Yanks picked up pace on the road, came home and won the Baltimore series on the third game. NY won the Baltimore series with their pitching and once again the bats have cooled. Tdoay with Nova taking the mound Yankees are coming around the bottom of their rotation where they have had problems. Arizona will send may have started slow, but is a known quality pitcher.with success in AL while with Oakland.  Backing Arizona.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +118 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Monday

6-5 +1,790

Taking the early game.

Tampa Rays at Boston Red Sox
These two teams battle in AL East and both teams projected to finish low in divison before the start of season. Boston has bucked that notion playing atop the division at 7-4. Pitching and defense has held opponents to under 3 runs in 5 out of last 6. 4 of those games were 1 runs or less.  Tampa has not been scoring and their road trip has been a offensive struggle. The posted total is fairly low 8.5, suggesting another defensive oriented game.  However the pitchers today will pose a threat to the Under trend. Jeremy Hellickson is getting hit, his last game against Boston only lasted 4 innings and last April Fenway appearance  was rocked for 5 rims 3 homers in 5 innings. Ryan Dempster with control issues can give up free passes and have yet to go beyond 5 innings. Looking for scoring in bunches.

TAMPA RAYS at BOSTON RED SOX
Game Total OVER 8.5 at -120 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Sunday

6-4 +2,790

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
It's Sunday baseball and we have Doc Halladay taking the ball after two forgettable starts. Doc will return to Miami where he recorded his last win in 2012.  As good as Halladay has been over the years there has been significant decline through 2012 season including this spring and the dominant presence is not there. Kevin Slowey for Miami is another quality pitcher without a win who is keeping his team in striking distance. Going against Doc Halladay and taking Miami at home.

MIAMI MARLINS +121 for 1 unit(L)
That was Doc in his old form. 2-1 Philadelphia

MLB Saturday

5-4 +1,790

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
The Marlins at 2-9 looks like they're in for another long season, but before you write them off they will send young Jose Fernandez to the mound. This kid can pitch. He came up on the fast track from 2011 amateur draft and prior to this season ranked #7 MLB prospect. He is a Cuban defector 220lbs at 6'4" who has hit 99mph on the radar gun and major league level breaking pitch. His debut was impressive against the Mets and economical, 3 hits 1 run, 8 K's, 1 BB in 5 innings at 80 pitches for no decision, was in line for the win, but Mets rallied in the 9th.  He'll definitely go more than 80 pitches.  Philadelphia started on the wrong foot but, on the way to recovery winning last 3 and now the record stands at 5-5. Cole Hamels going for the Phillies is also trying to recover.  Both of his starts were dismal, but Hamels is a proven quality pitcher and he will likely get back on track. Phillies have been crushing the ball at Citizens Ballpark, 5 Over's out of 6 home games but, offensive production drops on the road and today's pitchers will not help the Over.  Miami is suffering power outage and have only scored more than 3 runs once. Obviously Miami is playing Under. I like this game to go Under 7.5

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES at MIAMI MARLINS
Game Total UNDER 7.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Friday

5-3 +2,790

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Here's one of those Aprils surprise with KC 6-3 with 4 winners in a row. The Royals had a great spring Cactus League and their momentum is carrying into April games.  Toronto at 3-6 is heading the wrong way. The Blue Jays are expected contenders this season, but have yet to get traction. The Jays are the better team on paper, but looking at how these two teams are playing right now I don't see the edge and KC's starting pitcher Luis Mendoza looks like he's going to break out and looks strong now.  Toronto's J.A. Happ was solid in his last start, but 1 hit over 5 innings is above his performance.  Happ's performance likely to drop on the road today. Going with Kansas City

KANSAS CITY ROYALS at +101 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Thursday

4-3 +1,470

Oakland A's at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
The Angels are falling behind, although still April, irritated are the fans of  Southland baseball.  Maybe not alarmed, but irritated and they should be for all the bells and whistles Angels were tooting all along prior to the start of this season. the record so far is 2-6 and their 2013 opener is 0-2 on verge of a sweep by a division foe. The Angels are assured of another losing series even if they salvage this one.  Making three series down the drain, Cincy, Texas and Oakland, which makes this game a stopper game. Oakland has been playing hot, but the wagering public is decidedly on the Angles stopper game. It's up to Jason Vargas to cool the Oakland bats and it's not like Angels are so cold, but the batters are losing the battle with runners on scoring position. The A's, A.J. Griffin, is a tough pitcher in tradition with Oakland pitching.  I don't think he's going to give in even on a stopper game with Angels powerful line up. The line has swung towards the Angels and road team has swept this series twice last season. Backing the surging Oakland with Griffin as the "Road dog" for one more blow to the Angels.

OAKLAND A's +132 for 1 unit(W)
Sweep

MLB Wednesday

4-2 +2,500

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks
We have two lefties on the mound today. Jonathan Sanchez for the Bucks against Wade Miley. Sanchez has been a "fade" pitcher dating back to last season and he dropped his last start at L.A., but his command was there only walked one, got grounders and struck out 4. On the other side Miley looked good in his last start in Milwaukee. Scattered 5 gave 1 run via the home run ball, but that was it Arizona put up 3 and Wade held it. The Diamondbacks are hitting the ball, 3rd in NL also 3rd in OPS, last April the Diamondbacks went O/U 9-3 at home. They are in salvage mode dropping the first two as a home favorite and many are on the Snakes to take the third game. The price is pretty high at -177, but considering the unusual scoring out burst from the Pirates in the first two games and two lefties on the mound. The Under maybe the better low profile play. D-Back games are slightly higher total with expected production of runs in the desert, but not quite hitting the Overs like last season. Maybe the Zona games will sail Over in the summer, but so far it's been coming up short. Besides Pittsburgh is not going to help the Over cause with Miley facing them down.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES at ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Game Total UNDER 9 at -103 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Tuesday

3-2 +1,500

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
The NL west will be the featured game today. Got a couple of familiar pitchers taking the mound, Josh Beckett for the Dodgers and Clayton Richards for the Pads, in a home opener for San Diego. Both of these clubs are showing up at the bottom of MLB scoring and as the history goes pitchers control the game at PetCo Park and both of these clubs are known for pitching, right? Well, both pitchers did start a bit shaky and we do have a very low total of 6.5 on the board. But the other factor here is maybe San Diego is forcing some changes to this pitcher friendly confines. This park has been reconfigured to make it a bit easier for the ball to get out. Like the idea? let's see if the theory holds up in real game situation. Richards is a home run pitcher and Josh is not going to over power hitters. Taking advantage of the smaller park.
This is the new PetCo Park.

• The distance down the right-field line will remain the same at 322 feet.
• From the right-field porch to the right-center field gap, the fence will be moved in 11 feet and lowered to match the sub-eight-foot height in left and center field.
• The out-of-town scoreboard will be relocated.
• At right-center field, the distance will decrease from 402 feet to 391 feet.
• The distance at straightaway center field will remain the same at 396 feet.
• The deepest portion of the left-center field gap will be decreased from 402 feet to 390 feet.
• The home bullpen will be reconfigured to allow for the visitors' bullpen to be relocated from the field to the area behind the home bullpen.
• The dimensions from left-center field to the left-field foul line will remain the same.
• The distance at straightaway left field will remain the same at 357 feet.
• The distance down the left-field line will remain the same at 336 feet.

Going Over for the Opener in San Diego.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS at SAN DIEGO PADRES
Game Total OVER 6.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)
3-9 San Diego, hows that for going Over!

MLB Monday

2-1 +1,320

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians
The pitchers on the mound for NY is Hiroki Kuroda, stable No#2  who will try to follow up on CC's strong outing. Kuroda coming off a short game due to a line drive hitting his hand. He's been cleared to pitch and has expressed some discomfort, but a true warrior he will take the ball. How effective is still to be seen, but importantly 2-4 Yankees are looked upon as a battered underdog. Which is true with all the injuries to their star players, but this is deep pocket Yankees and fill in guys like Vernon Wells, Kevin Youkillis and Travis Hafner are performing. Yanks still have Cano, Overbay and Ichiro enough to over come any short coming. Cleveland Indians are feeling good with a retooled team not much memories of dreadful 2012 and coming off a game crushing Tampa and their ace. Although dropping the Tampa series the Indians are 3-3 taking the Toronto series all on the road. Coming home to take on the Yankees will be euphoric eruption from the Cleveland baseball fans, tickets sold out in first 6 minutes, and there's good things to expect for 2013 Indians. Ubaldo Jimenez will take the ball in this Cleveland opener and he was solid against the powerful Blue Jays line up. As the build up of this game goes Indians are favored, but the line is shrinking. We are backing the Yanks as a dog in early going as this team is likely to return to .500 and they will feast on Central division teams other than the Tigers.

NEW YORK YANKEES +118 for 1 units(W)
Yankee bats come alive 11-6 NY


Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Kevin Correia for the Twins against Ervin Santana. Kevin is coming off 7 solid innings against the powerful Tigers line up and Twins stole that game in the 9th. Ervin took the loss against the White Sox and he hopes to turn it around in pitcher friendly Kauffman stadium. However Ervin's change from LA to KC may not help his decline. The early season has been telling and Santana failed miserablaly last early season while Kevin Correia is a fast start pitcher. The Twins finished bottom of AL, but the Royals was also slow out of the gates and this differential is too big for KC.

MINNESOTA TWINS +126 for 1 unit(L)
Kevin was solid, but 3-1 Kansas City. 

1-1 +180 day.   

MLB Wednesday

Regular Season 1-0 +1,320

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox
To the South side of Chicago for a match up between the Royals and the White Sox.  The pitchers today is Ervin Santana, his first season with the Royals, and the battle tested Jake Peavy.  If you recall the past appearances of Peavy on the mound you know he was often the quality pitcher on the mound getting no run support and taking the single run loss. Peavy in 2012 got off to a fast start pitching 7 quality games in a row. In contrast Santana dropped 6 in a row only pitching 1 quality game in April 2012. Chicago holds the better card and playing at home, but in Spring baseball KC bats were the hottest in Phoenix. Also Peavy has struggled against the Roylas dropping all of his starts against KC last season with 5.68 ERA and the Royals will return most of their 2012 players.  We are looking to take this game Over as the anticipated 7.5 is a low American League Total.  This game may trend Under, but  looks very reachable. 

KANSAS CITY ROYALS at CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Game Total OVER 7.5 at +105 for 1 unit(L)
2-5 White Sox

Late game.
San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodogers
NL West premier match up the World Champion Giants visit the new management, free spending with big bucks Dodgers. Block out all the noise and tonight's pitchers need to prove quality or even in the pitcher friendly confine of Dodger's Stadium scores will come.  Timmy Lincecum April and May 2012 was absolute Over and went 2-12 in first 14 starts.  Josh Beckett made the AL to NL move last season returning to the pitchers league, but his quality game diminished. Cactus League numbers are mediocre for both pitchers.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS at LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Game Total OVER 7 at -103 for 1 unit(W)

Split the games.

MLB Tuesday

Last season Seattle opened against Oakland with Felix on the mound against Brandon McCarthy in Tokyo resulting in 3-1 10th inning Seattle win. Seattle went on to split that series in Tokyo than took 2 games back in Oakland.  2011 was another Seattle series opener in Oakland with Felix taking the first game and finishing the series 2-1 Seattle.  Overall the A's performance at home in the first half was patchy at best. They were rarely favored making their sub .500 performance still profitable. This year same two teams opened in Oakland with the A's Brett Anderson starting against Felix and the result was same Seattle winner, 2-0 (we won that game and that opener in Tokyo). Why should the A's be favored this much on game 2 ? Yes, Mariners lose on the road, Oakland has not been kind, but the difference is April baseball.  Hisashi Iwakuma on the mound for the M's and this pitcher is on the rise, maybe a breakout year, looking impressive in late spring.  Jarrod Parker No#2 in A's rotation may not be up to form, yet. Jarrod got 29 games 181 innings last season and Oakland pitchers are always dangerous. However this is a Oakland fade simple as it maybe we are going Mariners in early season getting plus money.

SEATTLE MARINERS +132 for 1 unit(W)
 (Got it at +132 last night it's +120 now at 5dimes)
Oakland only got 3 hits and Iwakuma was spot on 7-1 Mariners

MLB 2013 Opening Day

Hey guys, all warmed up going perfect in the Spring! 5-0 +5,330

Here we are Opening Day a brand new season full of hopes, dreams and new stories to be told. We'll see old and new faces, but the game will remain the same. Each respective teams will send their Aces to challenge the best bats in the world and however tempting it is to lay the money on those classic match ups, like Boston Yankees or LA SF, keep your money in your pocket for those game and enjoy the match up.

Los Angeles Angels at Cincinnati Reds
The Angels coming off very poor Cactus League, last in Arizona,  now taking the show on the road to face the Reds. Jered Weaver against Johnny Cueto. The line is pretty tight and many are not sold on the Angles, yet. Cincinnati also an expected contender, but they too lacked in Spring. The Angels holds value.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS +106 for 1 unit(W)
3-1 Angels in 13 innings

Got a 2nd play.

Seattle Mariners at Oakland A's
Got King Felix opening on the road against Brett Anderson. Looking for Seattle to threaten the West and always like Felix on the mound. Oakland may contend, but they're usually not that good in early season.

SEATTLE MARINERS -102 for 1 unit(W)
In case you guys didn't notice this line has moved towards Oakland, so let's add another unit.

SEATTLE MARINERS +110 for 1 unit(W)
2-0 Mariners !!!

MLB Thursday

5-0 +5,330
Seattle Mariners at Chicago Cubs
Heading out to Mesa, Arizona for the Cubs final Cactus game at Hohokam stadium. Very nice park with 13,000 plus capacity and the most popular stadium. Today visiting Seattle will send their #2 pitcher Iwakuma who is off to a excellent spring start. Chicago will go with Carols Villanueva who was at his best in last start. Carols in previous two seasons with Toronto logged outstanding Spring records, but he's struggled at home.. His last two home games, Texas and White Sox, took the loss. The Cubs have historically done well here at Hohokam, but they are still tinkering and late inning can be costly. Take the Seattle club looking to improve this season.

SEATTLE MARINERS +103 for 1 unit(W)
6-4 Mariners!

MLB Grapefruit League Tuesday

4-0 +4,300
Closing in on Spring Training camp.  The match up today is the day game in Lakeland, Fl. .where the Tigers will host the visiting Braves.

Atlanta Braves at Detroit Tigers
High expectations for this Detroit team. They have the power line up, good rotation and if they can get off to a fast start, unlike last season, the Tigers can run away with the Central.  On the other side the Atlanta Braves, a team you don't underestimate, quietly surging in Grapefruit League.  The projection for this game is for the Braves to edge the Tigers. Atlanta will take their regular line up today whereas Detroit will continue to look at pitchers. Jim Leyland still making adjustments before the opener testing his player against  pretty much full strength Atlanta team.

ATLANTA BRAVES at +101 for 1 unit(W)
6-5 Bravos

Spring Training Camp Monday

3-0 +3,290
It's been a busy spring with WBC clashing with preparation of MLB. I can't remember who said it, but I agree with the guy who said, "WBC has it's heart in the right place, but it's not the right time of the year." and there's really no slot of time available in a year to actually get the best of the World to play this game in their peak performance. There's a feel of a "side show" which it shouldn't be and it leaves you wondering what if the World's best took the field?

Back in Florida the Detroit Tigers will travel to Space Coast Stadium in Viera for a rematch with the Nationals. The starting pitchers looks like a pretty good card, but don't let it fool you. This game like yesterday will take a look a number of comers unknown to most. The biggest concern will come from the fresh arms. Both of these teams put up crooked numbers yesterday. The Tigers with split squad games happening in Lakeland makes this visiting squad somewhat limited, but diluted Tigers on the road can still pull this one out. This is Spring Training prospects countdown and the regulars will start taking over going forward.

DETROIT TIGERS +104 for 1 unit(W)
5-1 Tigers

MLB Grapefruit League Wednesday

2-0 +2250
Got another spring training game. WBC under way and it's causing some changes to MLB match ups. Basically Toronto is giving bunch of guys a day off and Tigers should have a field day.

DETROIT TIGERS RL -1.5 at +115 for 1 unit(W)
4-1 Tigers

Cactus League Friday Baseball

1-0 +1100
SF Giants at Oakland A's
Phoenix municipal stadium afternoon game  where the A's will send Jarrod Parker, last year's young gun, for his first spring mound. Visiting Giants will send their proven star Bumgarner, but keep in mind it's the latter half of the game which decides the spring outcome. There are number of variables that changes through the course of camp and seems the Giants are already set on having the rotation work on pitch count which allowed Volgelsong to go 3 innings may have Madison go similar distance. Still it's way too early to take on a pitching angle so we'll tread carefully and take SF on 1-2-3 in spring. Could of taken those 3 tie games. Oakland usually is a slow starting team so for the first take on 2013.

S.F. Giants +110 for 1 unit(W)
Always nice to get a winner out of the gate.

2013 Pre-Season Open

What's up gang? Hope everyone is doing well. I'm sure you've been keeping busy off season there's been plenty of action on the gridiron, hard court and ice it's all never ending. I look at the entire sports day every day, but my favorite game is baseball  I usually travel to Phoenix, sometimes Florida, this time of the year and scout all the teams. I'm staying home this year I have enough contacts to find out whats happening on site and information is pretty much instant I don't see the edge in going to the camp. Although it is nice to be under the sun. The Boys of Summer are warming up and tune up games will be happening in Arizona and Florida. We're not quite ready to start backing these guys, but stayed tuned to our hot angles.

MLB Season 2012 is done

Giants win the World Series. Just like 20 of the 23 teams that lost 3 straight games Detroit Tigers make it 21 out of 24 teams to get swept. Thanks for following along.  It's been a great handicapping season as we have won 7-2 in post season gaining 6,720 and 98-65 regular season gaining 41,505 for total winnings of 48,225, didn't quite get to 50K, but not bad for  7 months of work. Just because baseball season is ending doesn't mean it time for vacation  Football season is under way. NHL is in holding pattern and I'll be switching over to NBA at moneyplaysnba.blogspot.com as the hard court will kick off on Halloween.
Looking forward to seeing all of you court side

How much did we make again? Cool 48,225 match sticks !

World Series Game 3

I'm being selective on my plays. I liked the Tigers in game two with homeboy Fister taking  the mound, but fortunately couldn't go against the hot home team. Took a pass on that bullet and the Under was bit over priced for my taste.

Here's a thought shared by many, the Tigers down 2-0 will rebound at home, and it's a situation with 50 sampling showing 0-2 team winning 27 out of 50. Detroit may have been slow to warm up, but in this spot they better heat up fast or else they may end up like the 23 teams that lost game 3, 20 out of 23 got swept. However out of 27 winners majority took the series to 6 games. Desperation is a motivator and we've seen plenty of those in this year's playoff, but anticipated win is a dangerous thing. The way I see this game or the sequence of games, after Zito's game 1 win was Detroit winning with Fister pitching quality in low scoring game which did not go Tiger's way,  leading to Ryan Vogelsong  and Anibal Sanchez. Both pitchers are having strong post season, but as larger sample show Ryan's performance drops away from the Bay and Anibal coming into a decline spot. Despite Anibal's knowledge of the Giants from his NL days, his numbers against them are good, I fade him after coming off a game giving up no runs. If the situation holds true this game will go Over 7. The Giants go Over away better than 62% clip and back the Giants based on pitchers money standings. Vogelsong second in money with S.F. rotation while Sanchez is a money losing pitcher at the bottom of the Detroit rotation.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +140 for 1 unit(W)
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS at DETROIT TIGERS
Game Total OVER 7 at -110 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.30 units
Funny how these games turn out. I should of lost the side and won the Total, but that's baseball.

World Series Game 1

It's come down to these two teams and looking at it from a wagering perspective the odds for the series is the Giants +150 and the Tigers -170. Even with the magic of Zito and the surging Giants at home game 1 is Giants +156 to Tigers -166 with Justin Verlander. If you stumbled upon MLB in it's final series and read all the baseball talk Justin is invincible and the Giants will not stand in the way of Detroit Tigers championship.
I'd fade that thought. Justin Verlander has been good of a pitcher as can be in post season, but his woes have come on the road. His sequence of extended quality starts doesn't have much higher to go meaning performance decline is inevitable. Barry Zito has history of disappointments and it's as though his performance is not registering like an anomaly waiting to return to mediocrity. The Giants have fed off that same sentiment throughout the post season and I will play the home dog.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +156 for 1 unit(W)
Hows that for rockin start of World Series game ONE! Yeah Kung Fu Panda! Zito quality!

MLB Sunday

Coming off a very exciting finish taking the Over in bottom of 9th in dramatic post season fashion. We're back in business for another game in Bronx.

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees
We bucked the Under trend yesterday, but it was not easy. The total has let off the down ward trend and come back to a reasonable number. Still it's a low number between two power teams capable of putting up crooked numbers. The difference will be Hiroki Kuroda, high quality home pitchers, for the Yankees going against Anibal Sanchez, high quality road pitcher, and these two pitchers have excelled in matching up Under.
The trend still moving Under though not as strong as yesterday. Backing the game to stay below.

DETROIT TIGERS at NEW YORK YANKEES
Game Total UNDER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Saturday

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees
ALSC series Tigers are peaking at the right time and this is the team everyone was expecting the whole season. New York battled the tenacious Baltimore team and won in 5 games. It was some battle indeed and it may have taken quite a bit out of the star studded Yankees making this a interesting first game. Doug Fister taking the ball for the Tigers. He is a middle of the pack, bit on the red in money, pitcher coming off a quality win against Oakland. He has been very good in September and October with only 2 non quality losses. He is a home pitcher and road record is 4-7 with higher ERA and WHIP. New York will send veteran Andy Pettite who is also an middle of the pack pitcher, but on plus side of money. He got little run support in recent two losses, but normally gets healthy dose of runs. Andy 6-1 at home despite going 7 innings only once in last 6 starts. He is also trending Under at home 1 over to 6 under and New York stadium games going Under has been the case for many games this season. However the line has come down to 7.5 which is really low here. One of the key fact of New York Under trend was backed by the high total, but that's not the case today. Looking for this one to buck the trend.

DETROIT TIGERS at NEW YORK YANKEES
Game Total OVER 7.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
Baseball Gods showing me some love! 4 run 9th puts this one Over 6-4 Tigers.

MLB Monday

Washington Nationals at St Louis Cardinals
Looking around getting a feel for this game and St Louis at home is the perception by the majority. The Cards have not lost a back to back since mid September, their strength is at home, these two teams have matched up 24-8 Cardinals in last 32 game played in St Louis. However this year has favored Washington and the play is to follow the money team Washington. Zimmermann has been quality and though with extended wins will be entering uncharted territory he has been bank. Jamie Garcia is money loser in St Louis rotation. He is stronger at home, but not by much. Taking the Nationals.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS -104 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Sunday

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
It's feeling like October baseball. C.C. Sabathia on the hill for the Yankees going against Jason Hammel coming off a DL for Baltimore. Both pitchers have been money however Jason has not pitched in a month. He says he's not concerned with his knee and the O's are playing good ball so we'll track his play. Both of these teams have played Under for their season and games are expected to get tighter in October, but today's line has dropped quite a bit from the opening 8.5 to 7.5 and games these two teams played in New York has favored Under, but Camden has been Over. Hammel trends Over at home 6-3 while Sabathia is Over 11-3 away. Taking the game to go Over in Camden Yards.

NEW YORK YANKEES at BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Game Total OVER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Had you guys sweating it out all the way to the 9th inning. Have no fear it ain't over till it's over.

MLB Saturday

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
This is a match up of similar teams. The Reds are 47-34 away and the Giants are 48-33 at home. The Reds with pitcher Johnny Queto on the mound are 22-11 and the Giants with Matt Cain 21-11. Queto 2.78 ERA, Cain 2.79 ERA and though S.F. Giants are going up in price as the betting window is near close the take here is the Reds. Cincinnati have played well against the Giants this season beating Cain twice. AT&T park has been neutralized. Taking the Reds and playing the reverse run line.

CINCINNATI REDS +115 for 1 unit(W)
CINCINNATI REDS -1.5 rRL +175 for 1 unit(W)
Post season grip! 2-0 +2,900

MLB Friday

TGIF people.

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers
Darvish has made a point as a Major Leaguer and he can very well perform at this level plus some. However Texas Ranger reeling and now in the corner. Can they pull this one out at the Ballpark in Arlington? As a heavy favorite the wagering public says "Yes" But in a close game, a tight game, Baltimore has done it timeafter time. Lefty Joe Saunders will help guide the Birds in this sure to be exciting match up. Backing the O's as the big dog

Baltimore Orioles +187 for 1 unit(W) 

MLB Wednesday

97-65 +40,505

New York Mets at Miami Marlins
This is another under the radar type of game. Not much attention two pitchers with little fan fare. Not much to gauge the pitching range so little to predict the direction of their performance. However I would give this one to Jeremy Hefner with 86 innings under his belt. He doesn't have much of quality starts and he's been banged around, but he did go 7 innings of 3 hit no run game with 7 punch outs. I don't think he will exceed that today, but he did string 2 quality games the last time, he followed an 8 innings 1 run game against Houston with 6 inning 2 run game at Miami, both games winners. Maimi Marlins starter Tom Koehler, from what I see so far, is a road pitcher and he labored in last 2 relief appearances, one of them against the Mets, and I expect more of same. The Marlins struggle against losing teams to continue as the pick today is New York Metropolitans to roll.

NEW YORK METS +100 for 1 unit(W)

This concludes 2012 regular season MLB picks. Just about equaled Washington Nationals win & loss record and made more money than Oakland Athletics. Don't go away Post Season coming up!

SEASON RECORD 98 wins & 65 losses
Money +41,505 

MLB Tuesday

96-65 +38,895

S.F. Giants at L.A. Dodgers
Love the rivalry L.A. hanging by the skin of their necks. The game today with L.A. season on the line at the Chavez Ravine the wagering public has that "No way will the Dodgers lose today" feel. The line has risen towards the Dodgers all morning even though the line was already pushing Dodgers at the Open! There is absolutely no value in taking the Dodgers. Not in money line or run line as this game promises to be close most likely a one run difference. I think Zito has risen in late season while Capuano has declined and as much as L.A. wants this game it doesn't make it so. Going against the climbing line with San Francisco Giants at a good size dog.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +161 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Monday

96-64 +39,895

Had some problem with "MLB Sunday" I did have a winner with S.F. Giants, but the write up did not post as scheduled. It was most likely my error. Hope to make it up today.

Cincinnati Reds at St Louis Cardinals
St Louis is magic number 2 away from getting into the post season and they are making a charge. Just won the Nationals series to open at home and those two wins were crushing 12-2 & 10-4. That's against the top team from NL East, but the Cardinals urgency combined with offensive outburst has increased the price as a favorite maybe much higher than where it should be. Jaime Garcia pitching for the Cardinals is in a spot to decline as Bronson Arroyo is in a spot to improve. The Red are looking to take the top seed in National League and they're not laying down here.

CINCINNATI REDS +150 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Saturday

95-64 +38,705

 Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
  This is the game of No#4 and 5 in AL Central. Not much attention on this match up there's other games with urgency more importance. I see most players have passed on this one, but if you had to gauge it Cleveland at home, winning 2 straight from Kansas, gets the vote, the public vote. Jeanmar Gomez will take the mound for the Tribe and he is a ongoing project. Back from the pen to fill the rotation he is good on relief, but has given up tons as a starter. Jake Odorizzi debut in that 15-4 loss against Cleveland responsible for 3 of those runs going 5 innings and took the loss. You can't really hold Jake to that one sided game. Fading Jeanmar and the Tribe tonight. Kansas City to stop the bleeding and 3 straight wins for Cleveland has come to a peak.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS +119 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Friday

95-63 +39,795

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
The Ballpark at Arlington has produced 49-29 record for Texas. The Rangers just split the series with Oakland 2-2 and today welcome the Angels with Jered Weaver taking the mound. He has been outstanding with the Angels going 22-6 by far the biggest money winner in Angels rotation. Ryan Dempster going for Texas is the no#2 money pitcher in the Ranger's rotation. He was killed just 2 starts ago against Weaver and the Angels, but that seems to be an anomaly. Ryan regained form in last start against Seattle getting a quality win. These two pitchers able to go through 7 innings plus on any given start shutting down their opponent yet the Total have typically under estimated the game. We have this one holding at 9 with money slightly Under. Both pitchers come into this spot with room to improve and this one should go Under.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS at TEXAS RANGERS
Game Total UNDER 9 at -109 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Thursday

95-62 +41,085

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
The Jays will have a say in the out come of AL East. They've already split the series against the O's and now they welcome New York Yankees starting Ivan Nova back at Rogers Center in Toronto. The problem is the two games they won at Baltimore were the only 2 games they won in their 10 game road trip. Toronto even failed against two sub .500 teams prior to their long road trip, against Seattle and Boston, and as much as a road trip bounce back game should come into consideration. There is an stronger angle with Toronto coming off a loss giving up double digit runs which is a absolute fade against the Blue Birds. Take Super Nova on the road and fade Toronto on their revenge play.

NEW YORK YANKEES at -129 for 1 unit(L) 

MLB Wednesday

95-62 +39,955

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Back to Petco for more Dodgers Padres. Today L.A. will start Aaron Harang 9-10 with the Dodgers recording 12-17. He has yet to win in September and the Dodgers have lost 5 straight Harang starts. However Aaron performs much better on the road and though he's not pitching deep the runs are holding 3 or less. Padres Clayton Richards has been winning games 5 out of last 6 with Padres winning all 6, but the hits are mounting and today the balls may get through. Looking for the Dodgers to take this at Petco Park.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS +113 for 1 unit(W)
Picked up the Dodgers at their best price and we are over 40K  yeah baby!

MLB Tuesday

94-62 +38,955

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
The Padres are winning team at home with 40-35 record. That also holds true to San Diego starter today Edinson Volquez splitting 30 starts 15 away 15 at home and while his road ERA is 5.60 at home it's 3.11  much better 9 quality starts with 1.26 WHIP. San Diego returning from 2-4 road trip will be happy to be back at Petco Park. The visiting Dodgers are still clinging to their playoffs hope sending Josh Beckett to the mound. His last start Beckett pitched over 7 innings though getting a ND the Dodgers got the win at Washington. Beckett has shown flashes of his past, but he only has 2 quality starts in last 7 with Dodgers going 2-7. His road record is 3-8 with 5.07 ERA and 1.37 WHIP making Padres home Under dog a tempting play. However both of these pitchers are in a spot to improve. Looking for tough scoring game. 

LOS ANGELES DODGERS at SAN DIEGO PADRES
Game Total UNDER7 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
1-2 Padres and the game is Under.

MLB Sunday

93-61 +38,965

We have been rocking the bases as of late, for the last week to be exact, the blog has gone 7 out of 7 since last Saturday and looking forward to upcoming post season. Sunday day games are the games we enjoy. Going out to Flushing Meadows in Queens for the Marlins at N.Y. Mets

Miami Marlins at N.Y. Mets
Ricky Nolasco for the Marlins is 12-12 the Fish has gone 14-15 with Ricky on the mound. He is looking strong in last 4 starts going 3-0 with 1.20 ERA and what's been consistent is grounders to fly ball ratio working around 1.80 that's working out to 13 or 14 pitches per inning. Nolasco should improve here. The New York Mets will send Chris Young 4-8, but also looking better of late. He's pitched 2 quality game losses and 1 win in September. That win was at Miami pitching 5 innings of 1 run game to take it 5-1 marking 4 straight wins against Miami.The Mets have won 6 straight against Miami now.  However Young is not a good bet at Citi Field and his performance may decline today. No sweep in New York taking the Fish to stop the slide.

MIAMI MARLINS -101 for 1 unit(L)

MIAMI MARLINS at N.Y. METS
Game Total UNDER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 today. Final score 1-2 NY

MLB Saturday

92-61 +37,965

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
Pat Corbin is a 50% quality, 50% winner meaning he's holding his own in his rookie season. Arizona crushed Drew Pomerantz in 3 innings, Alex White got chased giving up 5 runs in 15-5 easily defeating Colorado. There is little doubt with Arizona in this second game. However Colorado will send their best pitcher in late season Jhoulys Chacin. He is lacking wins, but the Rockies are coming up shy of a run in last 3 starts, 2 losses and 1 ND, while giving up less then 2 runs 5 out of last 6 games. Jim Tracy ball has been risky in late inning so going with the first 5 innings of this match up.

COLORADO ROCKIES 
First 5 Innings -104 for 1 unit(W)

Private members also got OVER 10.5 on this game!
 

MLB Sunday

96-64 +39,895

Hello gang. Looks like another nice Sunday for Baseball. Took a hard fought game last night and for those who did not follow the game, it went down to the wire. Lucky or good I will take it.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
So the Giants are already in the Post Season race and the Padres are ready for off season. The Giants are tough on the road, 44-33 which is better than San Diego home record, and they are winning, 7 out of last 10,  The Padres were skidding 4 losses in a row until Stultz went 8 innings for last night's win. Today the Pads send Edinson Volquez 11-11with 4.13 ERA who is coming off 7 innings 6 hit shut out ball against the Dodgers, but as the record indicates he has his ups and downs. The Giants will go with Tim Lincecum 10-15 with 5.15 ERA who was rattled in last start against Arizona, 4 innings 5 hits 7 runs and 4 walks, but he was pitching quality games up to that point, 4 quality starts in a row, and should recover at pitcher friendly Petco.
Despite the Giants position to preserve their players for post season and San Diego's position to win it out at home especially against the division winner the play is on San Francisco with Lincecum in a spot to improve and Volquez in a spot to decline. The line has also moved in opposite direction to my advantage.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +110 for 1 unit

MLB Friday

90-61 +35,635

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
Here we go boys and girls this series knotted up one each. We have Zach Greinke for the home Angels against visiting Yu Darvish for the Rangers.Greinke has been pitching quality games 5 out of last 7 with L.A. going 5-2 he has not lost since 8/19 against Tampa. He is coming off a ND team loss, but pitched 8.3 innings of quality ball. Zach is in a spot to decline from his last game still the runs may come in low. Yu Darvish is 5-7 on the road and Texas is 7-7, but he too has been pitching quality games, 6 out of last 7, looking strong in September. As the saying goes do not chase the line play against it.

TEXAS RANGER +133 for 1 unit(W)

TEXAS RANGER at LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Game Total UNDER 7.5 at -120 for 1 unit(W)

Delivering side & total for 2-0 day! Add another 2.33 to the piggy.      

MLB Tuesday

89-61 +34,625

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals
It's one of those contender against a spoiler game and these are dangerous as it can be KC has matched up well against the White Sox all season. Luke Hochevar 8-13 has yet to pitch a quality game in September although the Royals put up 10 runs at Minnesota to notch a win 10-5 on Sept. 12th. Luke's game is hard to say if it'll improve I think it'll stay around 6 innings of work 3 or 4 runs. He walked 4 last time maybe that number will go down, but he gave up no long ball so there's a good chance of a HR today. Chicago's Gavin Floyd is a home pitcher and he has not done well on the road, but the White Sox are on winning track. Gavin's ND's are coming out roses. the White Sox 4 out of last 5 when Floyd starts and he has been winning the tight lines. Going with Chicago as a very slight Under dog.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +101 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Monday

88-61 +33,275

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Hector Noesi has been piling losses 2-11 with Mariners 5-12 and 5 losses in a row. He should of won at least one of the last 3 games, that's how the odds makers saw it, but he dropped all three with tight line. Noesi in a spot to improve for a quality start however I'll go against the Mariners on their return to Safeco with Chris Tillman and the Baltimore Orioles.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES RUN LINE -1.5 at +135 for 1 unit(W)
Didn't it rock your world?

MLB Saturday

86-61 +30,275

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
The Rangers are leading AL West while Seattle is at the bottom of West. The Rangers have taken the first game 9-3 Texas with best home record in AL will take Jason Vargas on this second game of the series going with Scott Feldman. As much as it's obvious how tall this order is for Seattle this game was played out back in May when Feldman was crushed by the Mariners at home. Don't forget we don't follow winning teams we follow teams making money and Texas in contrast to Seattle does not make much money. I like Seattle in Texas they have played them well. Even yesterday's game was not so one sided until the 7 run 8th inning. Take the value with Seattle and Vargas. Take this game to go Over 9.5

SEATTLE MARINERS at TEXAS RANGERS
Game Total OVER 9.5 at +110 for 1 unit(W)

SEATTLE MARINERS +190 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Friday

85-61 +29,275

S.F. Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
The Giants are inching closer to the top of NL West. Matt Cain going for the Giants is 13-5 very good on the road 7-2 and S.F. has won 10 of his 15 road starts. Opposing home pitcher is Tyler Skaggs with 20 innings pitched in 4 starts. He got banged around in his last start at San Diego, but should be better at home. 
Keep in mind Skaggs is likely to improve, but with 20 innings under his belt the pitching angle is better judged by Matt Cain's projection.  What stands above his team's road win is the Over trend displayed in this spot. Cain a quality pitcher is absolute Over on the road at 10-5 in opposing contrast to his home games . Will this hold true today? There are interesting stat to note which is Cain's average pitches per inning from Aug. 11th has steadily climbed from 12.3 to 18.2 in Sept.2nd, 4 road games, and dropped abruptly on Sept. 8th back at home to 14. This abrupt change in pitches per inning is most likely to rise back on the road in Arizona. What this mean is pitches above 14 per inning is in danger of allowing runs and or short outing. The high Total with Cain on the mound is justifiable. The trick is to play the angle on Cain and take the risk away from the bull pen. Play the First 5 innings.

S.F. GIANTS at ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Game Total OVER 5 FIRST 5 INNINGS at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Wow full game goes Under bucking the trend, but we win!

MLB Thursday

85-59 +31,435

Oakland A's at Los Angeles Angels
Sorry folks didn't have time for a write up this morning. 

OAKLAND A's at +136 for 1 unit(L)

Both teams were putting up zero's, but the Angels exploded in the 7th.

We have a rare double wager on tonight's late game.

St Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Are you getting that sinking feeling in L.A.? The Dodgers have 3 losses in a row it's 6 losses out of last 7. The fans maybe worried, but St Louis has done just the same 6 losses out of last 7. Lance Lynn is back filling in for Jake Westbrook. He was removed from the rotation back in Aug, but his record stands at 13-5 with the Cards going 17-8 the problem is he lost a lot of mustard quality starts declined and runs are coming in. Lynn's game has under performed on the road. Josh Beckett looking much better as a Dodger will look to snap the Dodgers skid. Beckett in a spot to improve and Dodgers are the play.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -116 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Wednesday

83-59 +29,225

Oakland A's at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
The battle continues in AL West with Texas walking away on top the A's and the Angels will fight their fight to keep their respective position alive. After the Angels swept Oakland in Oakland the A's are looking to pay back the favor. It will be Ervin Santana getting in the way of Oakland tonight. Santana is not the same pitcher who started this season with 6 straight losses. Ervin 2-1 in August with the Angels winning 4 out of 5 and winning both September games. He will be a force to be dealt with as his game is consistent and coming off a 10 strike out game. Ervin should be good for another quality start against AJ Griffin 5-0 Oakland phenom. Griffin is quality and top money pitcher for Oakland. No other pitcher in the A's staff is hotter and Griffin is sporting better number on the road. He comes into this game in a spot to improve. Yes, he only gave up 1 run, but still under performed his innings percentage and I expect him to go deeper. This game is absolutely Under and taking the better pitcher in AJ Griffin with plus money.

OAKLAND A's at +116 for 1 unit(W)

OAKLAND A's at LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Game Total UNDER 8 at +105 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Tuesday

82-59 +28,195

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
Here is a interesting match with Tim Hudson going for the visiting Braves. Hudson 14.5 is a force on the mound with Braves taking 18-6 record. He is good home and away, but slightly stronger on the road. Tim is coming off a 6 innings no run game against Colorado. I look for Hudson's performance to decline today in Miller park.  The Brewers have won 7  of last 10 and they are slight favorites as visitors. However the Brewers at home will be a test to be seen. Marco Estrada maybe 2-6 with 112.2 innings of work, Milwaukee losing 10-15, the Brewers still hold a winning record at home 7-6 and Marco is getting better. He's in a spot today to improve. It's going to be a baseball kind of day at Miller Park and the Brewer will not be denied.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS at +103 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Monday

82-58 +29,275

St Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
You know what the Padres have done? they went over .500 at home 35-34 coming off a home series win against Arizona. Quite impressive considering their start . They have won two series in a row and as the record indicates they are tough at home. Add Eric Stults to today's start and San Diego looks pretty strong. Stults pitching quality games, beat  LA ace Kershaw  and the Dodgers in last start as +200 road dog, blanked Atlanta before that. Winner of 4 out of 6 and Padres are 5-1 in his start. St Louis is in the hunt, 2nd in NL Central 8.5 behind the Reds, and window of opportunity is quickly closing. Jamie Garcia taking the ball for the Red Birds coming off a quality win, but alternating quality games. He does not fair well on the road and so is the Cardinals at 32-36. Today's line has quickly narrowed, but I think the San Diego play is over done, Stults is pitching good games, but I think he's weaker at home and not relying on Garcia to shoulder the game, but he does have a win over San Diego and matches well against NL West. St Louis 19-10 against the West and dominates San Diego. Take the slight favorite St Louis on the road. 

ST LOUIS CARDINALS at -108 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Saturday

82-58 +29,275

Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels
We have two winning pitchers on the mound with Justin Verlander for Detroit and CJ Wilson for L.A. The Tigers pitcher Verlander is 13-7 his ND's are split 4-4 coming off a quality win against Chicago. His road starts are lacking 6-5 with inflated ERA and WHIP making Detroit at Angels home turf not so convincing as a dog. CJ Wilson 11-9 has better benefit of run support his ND's are 6-3, but the problem is Wilson being hittable as of late. This game in question is Over waiting to happen. Looking for the runs to build up.

DETROIT TIGERS at LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Game Total OVER 7 at -115 fir 1 unit(Push)
Did you guys see that, Prince Fielder robbed of a home run to end the game 6-1 Angels.

MLB Thursday

82-58 +29,275

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals
Scott Feldman up for Texas he has not been pitching well, 1 quality start in last 5 all Texas losers, looking to bounce back in KC. The Royals will go with Luke Hochevar got shelled in 1.2 innings of work. Both pitchers with losing record yet the UNDER has been 4 out of 5 for Luke and Scott is 9 out of 10. The strong Under trend had me leading that way, but this number seems a bit low and it dropped 0.5 making the Over the attractive choice. That Under trend line looks to break and that's what the play is.

TEXAS RANGERS at KC ROYALS 
Game Total OVER 9 at -122 for 1 unit(Push) 
You know when it went to 4-4 there was plenty of time to push it Over and we couldn't lose. It happens.

MLB Tuesday

82-57 +30,275

Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins
The Brew crew did the quick 3 game home stand against Pittsburgh promptly taking all three games and then dropped the first game away at Miami. Here we are with game two with Shaun Marcum coming off a ND loss at Chicago. He does not fair well on the road the Brewers have lost his last 3 starts all on the road. It's not the quality of his starts he can very well bounce back, but Miami Marlins matches well. They've split the last meet in Milwaukee losers coming only by a run. Sound win yesterday sending Fiers out in 3 innings.
Marlin money has been rising although the majority public is on Milwaukee. Take Miami as a home dog  fading Milwaukee and Marcum on the road.

MIAMI MARLINS at +111 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Sunday

80-57 +27,920

New York Mets at Miami Marlins
This game will feature NY losing pitcher Chris Young, 3-7 with NY 4-11, going against Mark Buehrie 12-11 with Miami 13-13 logged twice the innings as Young with 166 coming in hot. Buehrie has 3 winners in a row declining ERA and WHIP. Mark pitching this season Miami winners have come in successions he only has one isolated win all the rest are clustered.  He has yet to lose the 4th game in a row and facing Chris Young looks like a good thing for Buehrie  and the Marlins. Chris Young coming off a non quality rare Mets win has given up 5 runs or more 4 times out of last 10, 6 recorded losses and Mets have lost 8 out 10. But if there is chance for the Mets with Chris it's more likely on the road. Young is also in a bounce back spot after allowing 5 runs or more and Mets are playing good ball winning 6 out of last 7. Looking for Mark Buehrie to take a step back. after pitching less then 6 innings. Taking the road dog with New York.

NEW YORK METS + 133 for 1 unit(W)
*Mets Alternate Run Line -1.5 at +205 for 0.5 units(W)
Mets 5-1 that's +2.355 unit gain for the day.  

MLB Saturday

80-56 +29,020

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
You know the Brew crew is showing strength at 8-2 for last 10 games. Their true color is the home blue reminiscent of 2011 Brewers which was the best home team in baseball at 57-24 this team has been playing pretty tough at home 38-29. Had a 9 game home winning streak from July 30th to Aug. 17th and went 5-2 in their recent road trip which included winning the Pittsburgh series 2-1. The Pirates have lost the first game of this series with Karstens getting lifted in the first. AJ Burnett getting the call for game 2 has strung 4 non quality games with the Pirates going 1-3. He should improve here, but Milwaukee bats have been hot I don't know if AJ can contain them. Marco Estrada for Milwaukee has back to back win and 3 straight wins for Milwaukee I'd look for him to decline a bit here and give up few runs. My expectation is for one or both of these pitchers to come out with a ND and both teams to put up some runs. Over 8 runs to be exact. 

PITTSBURGH PIRATES at MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Game Total OVER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Friday

79-56 +28,020

Looking into the crystal ball getting a glimpse of the future and reading the outcome doesn't always turn out that way. Future is a ever changing thing and only parts come to vision like a clue you need to piece together for the big picture. It's all an process of what's likely and what's not nothing psychic about it. 

Hitting some bad games, but it's the nature of the game. Playing 5 innings today see if we can improve here.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
The Orioles are on the rise, 7-3 in last 10, closing in on division leading NY Yankees. The Yankees 4-6 in last 10, but will be sending their top home pitcher in Hiroki Kuroda 9-4 with 2.22 ERA. He is coming off a quality start loss at Cleveland 1-3 which was rare for the Yanks not to take advantage of Kuroda's quality start pitching deep into 8 inning. Kuroda in this sequence is not likely to pitch deep as he did in Cleveland, but his performance is steady Orioles will not be getting much runs Baltimore countering with Miguel Gonzalez, reliever turned starter, coming off a non quality loss, but has been pitching well to that point.
The Under seems like an obvious play and the money is 9O, but I staying Under. There seems to be some bull pen discrepancy with Randy Wolf coming into Baltimore reliever corp likely to make a appearance which can be concerning. Let's keep it to the first 5 inning.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES at NEW YORK YANKEES
First 5 innings Game Total UNDER 5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Yes!

MLB Thursday

79-55 +29,170

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Rick Porcello  9-9 with 4.60 ERA on a losing streak of 3. Although he has 4 quality games out of 11 on the road his record is 5-4 with Detroit winning 6-5. Jeremy Guthrie is 5-11 with 5.85 ERA and he is having trouble on the home mound, but his performance has been climbing. Jeremy coming off a non quality no decision. This game will match up closer than it looks. Royals on bounce back scoring Over is11-4 after scoring 2 runs or less. Porcello is Over 24-7 after coming off a game allowing 2 runs or less. Over 20-6 following a game where opponents score 2 runs or less.

DETROIT TIGERS at KANSAS CITY ROYALS 
Game Total OVER 9 at -115 for 1 unit(L)
Baseball gods don't like my play!

MLB Wednesday

79-54 +30,220

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins
The Twins down fall started around Aug. 10th and Minnesota has been getting killed since.  The losses between win since Aug. 10th is 4, 5 and 5 now in midst of 2 losers in a row. The Twins will send Samuel Deduno with 51 inning of work winning 4-2.  He is coming off a non quality loss, second loss in a row, but he has been pitching well up to that point and has bounced back from bad starts before. The problem  is Deduno's walk number which I think the Mariners will capitalize on. Jason Vargas also coming off a non quality loss, but he's pitched 10 quality games before that Mariners winning 8-2. Vargas is the top Seattle money pitcher this game again to the Mariners.

SEATTLE MARINER -105 for 1 unit(L)

MLB Tuesday

79-53 +31,220

Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
Contenders go at it tonight with James Shields for Tampa against  Yu Darvish for Texas. This match up has Texas, #1 in West, heating up at Arlington winning Minnesota series 3-1 and Baltimore before that 2-1 needing one more win for a victory to take the Tampa series making a successful home stand before heading out to Cleveland.  On the other hand Tampa Bay 3rd in AL East locked in with Baltimore for 2nd place. Tampa in range to catch the Yankees on top, but taking a dip on 3 game slide losing yesterday with their top pitcher David Price. This team still does it with good pitching and can't afford to give up 6, 4 and 5 runs like they did in 3 losing efforts.10 game samples prior show allowing 3 runs or less 9 out of 10 and 17 out of 20. So the Rays need a quality start from James Shields. Price  is the top winning starter for Tampa, but Shields is the top money pitcher and here he is again in underdog situation.  The perfect stopper of 3 game skid. James is stronger on the road and he is already looking like he's in post season form. Rangers too have a winning pitcher on the mound with Yu Darvish, 12-9, coming off a quality game loss at Toronto 2 quality starts in a row, but his performance is inconsistent. He's had tremendous run support with Rangers going 9-2 at home however his 11 home starts have only 5 quality games. This is a decline spot for Darvish. Looking for James Shields to post a quality win.

TAMPA BAY RAYS +120 for 1 unit(L)
James pitches quality, but Tampa gets shut out!

MLB Daily Picks

Hey Everybody,
I want to welcome some new viewers. The MLB season is going into it's final stretch, but plenty of games left to take more winners. Matter of fact baseball wagering takes a little dip around this time of the year with money migrating to NFL, but don't take your eyes off the bases Boston is down shifting out of the race, the Dodgers cranked up their offense,  implications are many, but only one will make it to the top.

I didn't pick the late game with Atlanta at SFG. both with similar record, because I like Hudson going for Atlanta, but I think the Giants are the hot team at home and basically cancelled out this game. Maybe the Giants will win, but in order to manage your games my philosophy is to narrow your choices. Give it your best shot and if it doesn't come through you live to fight another day. The beauty of this game is that the choice is yours. If it doesn't look just right don't buy it

7-1 Atlanta. Hudson did bring his "A"game and the win was a big margin, but did I miss a opportunity?  I don't think so it just means I'm still on hot money.

MLB Sunday

78-53 +30,220

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers are a winning ball club. Despite their winning ways Detroit lacks money making starters, but that's not the case today. Max Scherzer taking the ball he is 13-6 with 147.2 inning of work. Detroit's record with Max on the mound16-9 splitting the ND and he is in fine form logging 3 straight quality wins. Ervin Santana will start for the Angels. He too is pitching well his August games 2 quality wins and 2 ND both wins. I think the pitcher are both going to improve and this one is going Under.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS at DETROIT TIGERS
Game Total UNDER 9.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
If you were wondering how I got 9.5 at -105? Last night's 5Dime over night reduced line.

MLB Saturday

77-53 +29,220

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Here's a good pitching match up. Club leading winner Gio Gonzales 16-6. He's pitched 3 winners in a row 2 of them quality and the complete game in Houston. Doc Halladay coming off a non quality win with 12 runs to over come 5 runs he allowed. Though Washington is the popular pick today I'm going with Philadelphia as a small home favorite. Philadelphia has matched up well against the Nationals despite 18 games difference. The WHIP on these two pitchers are moving in opposite direction and the Phillies have a good chance here to win this series after splitting with the Reds. 

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES at -105 for 1 unit(W)

MLB Thursday

77-52 +30,220

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Texas since losing the Yankees series are back to their winning ways. They won the Toronto series at the end of their road trip and won the Baltimore series back in Arlington. Now the Twins are struggling. Their road trip has only produced one win. Got swept in Seattle and lost the Oakland series only winning 2 of last 8 games. However Roy Oswalt is lacking quality game and this match should be interesting with Scott Diamond pitching in a spot to improve. Lets see if the Twins can get to Oswalt.

MINNESOTA TWINS +155 for 1 unit(L)