Wednesday, July 31, 2013

MLB Wednesday

40-27 +15,990

Sup fellas? Mid week baseball is for the purest. Not much fair weather fans putting action on their game. Makes you want to go for the line movers like Baltimore, Cleveland, Tampa or Oakland, but it's not about what's on the surface and there are no easy days. We do the heavy lifting so you don't have to.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
The Royals with cheese is looking good these days. KC rolling, 7-0 last 7 games, sending Jeremy Guthries on the visitor's mound and he has been good, 16-4 last 20 following a quality start. Minnesota is reeling, 7-16 after the opponent scores 5 runs or more. Kevin Correias 1-5 last 6 as a under dog and against right hand starters. Obviously the line has moved to favor Kansas, but it opened much tighter closer to even money. Kevin Correias at home is 5-1 with the Twins going 7-3 and he's pitching in a bounce back spot after bombing out at Seattle. Looks like a tight game coming up. We are backing the Total to go Under 8.5 today.  KC  Under 4-0-1 last after allowing 5 runs or more, 5-1-1 last 7 following a win, 7-2-1 last 10 after opponent scores 2 runs or less, 4-1 in Guthries last 5 road starts, 6-2 last 8 following a quality start.  Minnesota Under 12-5 last 17 overall, 8-1 last 9 against teams with winning record, 6-2 last 8 following a loss, Correias Under 6-0 last 6 against teams with winning record, 5-2 last 7 after opponent scores 5 runs or more. 5Dimes has the best line for this game.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 8.5 at -107 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Tuesday

39-27 +14,990

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
First of the double header. The Brewers took care of business last night and we're back on a short rest to kick off the early game. As the Brewers have dominated against the Cubs these two teams also play Over. The power out trend has Chicago going way Under 7 four times in a row, but today that number has gone to 8 seeing some 8.5 with today's pitchers looking very much Over.  Charlie Villanueva is Over 8-6 which is not a big edge, but average score in double digits. Yovani Gallardo Over 14-7 lasted 4 innings against the Cubs in last match up, June 26 going Over, didn't look good in last game against San Diego. You'd think Gallardo will improve here, but last time he threw a clunker at home followed by a road start he did not bounce back.
Match up Over is 26-12-2.

GAME TOTAL OVER 8 at -115 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, July 29, 2013

MLB Monday

38-27 +13,860

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Chicago is playing hot coming off a winning West Coast road trip, sweeping the Giants to finish their road game and returning home to take on the weak road team Milwaukee Brewers. The Cubs will send Jeff Samardzija and the Cubs won both of his recent road starts, but he labored in Arizona getting a ND after 5  2/3 innings and last two home stands Jeff got knocked out by the Angels and Pirates. The Cubs may have edged the Giants, but they're still not hitting much and Milwaukee's line up is starting to put up some runs. Kyle Lohse getting the ball for the Brewers. He is pitching in mid season form and was solid against the Cubs back in 6/25. Lohse is pitching 1.09 WHIP on the road, July games 4-1. Cubs 6-16  last 22 after allowing 2 runs or less, 16-37 last 53 with Total set at 7 to 8.5 at home, 26-57 last 83 against pitcher with WHIP less than 1.15, Samardzija 2-6 at home with Total set at 7 to 8.5 and 2-6 in his last 8 starts against NL Central. The Brewers hold 25-9 advantage over the last 34 match up.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS +113 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, July 28, 2013

MLB Sunday

37-27 +12,860

Sunday night baseball.

St Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
The Cards are in a sweep situation, a spot where they have not lost in quite sometime, but if anyone can take out the Cards with an sweep the Braves are poised to do so at home. Shelby Miller is having a fine season for St Louis at 10-6, 13-6 team record, but he is a bit weaker on the road at 4-4.  Atlanta sending Kris Medlen, 6-10, 9-11 team record, who has pitched 3 non quality starts in a row. Three sub par starts for Medlen is out of the norm. He should improve here at home, especially in this match up against the Cardinals where the runs have come at a premium. We look for continued championship type game where the game will be tight and scoring will be minimal.  Going Under in Turner Field.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 7.5 at -120 for 1 unit(W)
5-2 Atlanta, very impressive sweeping the Cardinals.

Saturday, July 27, 2013

MLB Saturday

37-25 +14,860

Let's get this party started early.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals
In the National League East Washington Nationals have fallen below .500 and now trail Atlanta by 8.5 games. 3-7 in last 10 games. They managed a 1 run win over the Mets yesterday. The Mets are 4th in the East and 10.5 back of Atlanta, but right on back of Philadelphia and nipping on Washington's heels.
Dan Haren has been a bust this season at 4-11, team record 4-14, and it might be little better with home team record 3-5, but Mets are hot and Dillon Gee is pitching well. Beat Pittsburgh away, quality at Atlanta and only gave up 1 run last time he was in Washington in 10-1 win. The Mets 7-1 last 8 after scoring  2 runs or less, 7-2 last 9 as the under dog +110 to +150, 13-3 last 16 following a loss, 7-3 last 10 against teams with home winning record, Nationals 1-4 as favorite -110 to -150, 3-8 against right hand starters and 2-7 with current total.  Fade Haren and the Nationals. Going with the road dog.

N.Y. METS at +130 for 1 unit(L)

Milwukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies
The Brew crew had been climbing by sweeping Miami, but took a set back against San Diego and away from Miller park they are one of the worst road team in the league.  Tom Grozelanny for the Brewers,  1-4 team record 14-22, last 2 out of 3 was excellent. But the high altitude has not faired well and Rockies 20-6 last 26 against Milwaukee at home.

COLORADO ROCKIES -120 for 1 unit(L)

Friday, July 26, 2013

MLB Friday

36-25 +13,860

We are rocking the books. Stay thirsty my friends.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins
The Pirates are still the top money team in the game, double the winnings over number 2 Oakland. They are getting pricey these days. The Bucs sending their top ERA and WHIP pitcher to the mound, Jeff Locke, and he is solid on the road. 8-1 after a quality start. But Miami is bit of a sleeper with winning RL record 56-44 and they are very good at back to back wins. The last isolated win was back in June 14th against St. Louis and from that point the Marlins have strung 2 or more winners. Henderson Alvarez, 24 innings and 4 games with Miami, is coming off a quality start making it two in a row. Gave up no runs in Milwaukee working 7 economical innings. Both of these teams are top Under teams in the league with surge in pitching. Head to head Under 20-6 in last 26 match up. Take the Under

GAME TOTAL UNDER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Oops I did it again.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

MLB Thursday

35-25 +12,860

We're not trying to be perfect it just happens sometimes. Perfecto since All Star break looking for more.  Hey Ken, register with 5Dimes thru my site and we'll help you builder up your bank.  Top handicappers with decades of experience are crunching these lines. Sign up for 30 days of free picks.

New York Yankees at Texas Rangers
We got two power house teams that are not much power this season. The Yanks and the Rangers are in the hunt, NY is 7 games behind the leader Boston playing above .500 in the toughest division, Texas is second behind Oakland in two horse race, but both of these teams are in a rut. The Yankees are 4-6 in last 10 and 2-6 in current road trip. The Rangers are 3-7 in last 10 and 2-6 at current home stand. Both Texas home wins are against NY in current series. What stand out in this match up is inability to bring home the runs. Both teams are strong Under teams this year and today's pitchers, Hiroki Kuroda for NY Under 14-4 and Derek Holland Under 11-8 (8-1 at home), are in mid season form pitching quality games going deep. We have a sliding Total moving fast. We are in at Under 8.5 down at Ballpark in Arlington.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 8.5 at -120 for 1 unit(W)
We're stylin!

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

MLB Wednesday

34-25  +11,860

Coming off a slug fest winner in Toronto. Maybe the Jays were suppose to win that one, but let it get away.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays
The Jays are a dangerous team that's out of sync and they are capable of putting up crooked numbers, like last night, out scoring their opponent. They didn't score enough last night. The line is tight again and the books see Ricky Nolasco as a weak link with 6-9 and 3-3 on the road. The Jays do play inter league games well at home, 9-3, and today's pitcher Esmil Rogers is their top money guy. At 2-2 record with Rogers the Jays are 6-3. The problem with Rogers is that he's a road pitcher at 4-1 team record.  He does not pitch quality at home, 1 quality start out of 4 and team record of 2-2, and the pen was rocked by the Dodgers last night. We have white hot Dodgers with Ricky Nolasco, playing solid in Dodger blue, against the Jays with depleted pitching squad, a starter unlikely to go deep and just look at the trend from yesterday's write up. Stay on L.A.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -103 for 1 unit(W)
Again the Jays had the game, but gave it back to L.A.

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

MLB Tuesday

33-25 +10,860

Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays
Here's a game with two teams heading two different directions. L.A. is 21-5 over the last 26 games, 13-3 over last 16 road games. The Dodgers hit right hand pitching very well at 11-1 over last 12 road games. The Jays are 5-16 over last 21 games against teams with winning record, 3-7 over last 10 against pitchers with WHIP greater than 1.30 and 2-6 after scoring 5 or more. The Jays are 2-8 last 10 games. Todd Redmond going for the Jays have little over 16 innings of work and Toronto has 2 wins behind him. Todd kept the Jays in game against Baltimore with 4 innings of work. Expect Todd to extend his innings today, but I don't see Jays winning this one. The Dodgers sending Chris Capuano who is coming off a 6 innings no run game against Colorado. Chris is lacking in road quality starts, 2 out of 5, but his WHIP is an impressive 1.06 and he doesn't give up much runs. He also blanked the Yankees for 6 innings in his only other AL East match up.
Go with the Dodgers.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -103 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, July 22, 2013

MLB Monday

32-25 +9,860

Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners
Seattle on a surge right now, 11-5 in July. The Mariners will send veteran right hand pitcher Aaron Harang to the mound. He has been up and down, more down, at 4-8. The Mariners are 5-10, but 4-5 at home giving him some fighting chance. Aaron is coming off a game against Boston giving up 7 runs in 5 innings, and in a spot to improve. Cleveland going with Ubaldo Jimenez 7-4, Indians are 13-6. However his quality starts are far and few in between. Jimenez does not pitch the distance and Cleveland as a slight road dog is 4-10 this season. Go with the M's

SEATTLE MARINERS -111 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, July 21, 2013

MLB Sunday

31-25 +8,670

Going down south to the Ballpark in Arlington, Texas. It's the power teams Baltimore at Texas and what's unfolding is the Orioles 7 out of last 10 looking for a sweep with their top pitcher on the mound, Chris Tillman 11-3, whereas Texas Rangers 4 out of last 10 looking to salvage this series and stop the bleeding. This is the second time in short 7 games where Texas faces losing 4th game in a row.  One of the amazing thing the Rangers had been doing was bouncing back off losses. Maybe short as before June 13th Texas was the best after a loss maybe two losses.  Three losses was like blue moon and four was like a lightning strike, it happened in Rangers 6 game losing streak, but otherwise has been stopped at three. The last time Texas got swept at home, Toronto 6/13-6/16 four game sweep, during the 6 game losing streak.  Again very rare up to this point, but Texas showing struggles at the plate and pitchers getting tagged we're going to take the O birds to continue rolling through Texas.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES +119 for 1 unit(W)

Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Saturday

29-25 +6,670

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Coming off offensive outburst and continuing to power over the Mets, Philadelphia enters game two of the series with veteran lefty Cole Hammels.  Holding 3.52 ERA over 61 innings on the road Cole is a losing pitcher. However he is heating up and his recent 3 starts have his WHIP below 1.00 in domination and Mets are not hitting lefties. New York Mets sending Zack Wheeler with 28 innings is holding his own and is a winning pitcher, so far, making a case for the home dog Mets. However Philadelphia Phillies are playing at their best. What went under the radar is the fact Mets too are hitting. Going against the grain with the Total Over

Game Total OVER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals
This is the regular time match up with two good pitchers facing off.  This one looks to be your old school National League style game. Zack Greinke is the top money pitcher for the Dodgers. Despite his winning ways his quality games are lacking and on the road the number is 2 quality starts out of 7, team record 4-3. Zack has minimized damage, outside of Colorado, and his form has improved significantly. The Nationals countering with Gio Gonzalez who is the 2nd money winning pitcher in the staff. He has been consistent with 14 out of 19 quality starts and perfect 7 in last 7 games. However the number is a bit weaker at home 6 out of 9 and the Nationals have 5-4 record.  Gio is 10-4 as a favorite and perfect 4-0 against the West. The Total here at 7.5 with good pitchers in not so good pitching spot deserves a Over consideration, but Cooper behind the plate this one will likely edge Under. The Opening Under at -115 had moved all the way to -107, but now back to -110.  Backing the Under.

Game Total UNDER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Friday, July 19, 2013

MLB Friday

28-25 +5,670

Yeah, I skipped the All Star hoopla, but I'm back on the second half and taking the late game.

Oakland A's at Los Angeles Angels
This is a good one in the battle of AL West. If the Angels are to improve they better take care of Oakland. Weaver taking the ball for L.A. He has been in mid season form last 3 out of 4 although the last game in Seattle was rough. Weaver pitches better at home with nasty WHIP of 1.19 and strong Under at 5-1. Oakland will counter with AJ Griffin  He is coming off 8 inning no run ball against Boston and is very good at home, but no so on the road. . Griffin also trends Under at 12-7 however his road average is in the 9's and he comes to L.A. in a spot to regress. Love the Angels to take out the tough Oakland team.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS -117 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, July 14, 2013

MLB Sunday

27-24 +5,670

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers
Detroit's ace Justin Verlander is taking the ball on this rubber match. Justin and Max Scherzer are the top two winning starters, but the Tigers team record only has rewarded Scherzer (15-3) Verlander at 10-9 is nowhere close to being in the black. Matter of fact he has lost the most money in Tigers rotation. The Rangers will send left handed starter Martin Perez. Martin is pitching well since being recalled from Triple A Round Rock and is poised to keep the Rangers in game. It will not be a easy task at Comerica where the Tigers are 28-19 and rarely drop back to back games at home, only happened 3 times this season, and Verlander in a spot to improve after giving up 12 hits and 5 runs against the White Sox. Justin in his prior game shut down the powerful Toronto line up on the road and I do feel Verlander's form will return here. However is money line differential is pretty substantial with Texas having winning road record, slightly better record in day games, left handed pitching advantage and better bull pen, shutting down games better than 90%. This looks closer than what the line suggest, even with Verlander at home on a rubber match, with good chance of starters not factoring into the results.
This game also looks to fall Under. Texas Under 16-4-1 last 21 games against AL Central. 12-4-1 last 18 games when opponent allows 5 runs or more. 13-5-1 last 19 games against pitcher with WHIP greater than 1.30 Under 19-9-2 last 30 games when opponent scores 2 runs or less. Under 20-7-2 last 29 games against right handed pitching.  Detroit Under 5-2-1 last 8 games against winning teams. Verlander Under 5-2-1 after scoring 2 runs or less,  11-1-1 in Verlanders last 13 games when he starts third game of series and his Sunday starts have gone 20-8-2. Tim Weike behind the plate has Under 19-7 in last 26 games against Texas and Under 8-3-1 in last 12 behind the plate.

TEXAS RANGERS at +161 for 1 unit(L)   

GAME TOTAL UNDER 8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(W)

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

MLB Wednesday

26-24 +4,670

L.A. Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are looking very strong with excellent production from the middle of the order and the pitching is shutting down opponents. Looking to catch the Diamondbacks in the NL West L.A. is nipping at their heels. The desert snakes looking to get some traction against the Dodgers, they have only scored 2 runs in 2 games so far. Arizona will send Tyler Skaggs to the mound where he has pitched  24.2 innings and 4 games. He pitched well at home against Texas and Colorado, but no so against S.F. and at St Louis. Arizona has won 3 out of 4 behind him and he's coming off his best start, 8 inning no run game against Colorado.  Look for Skaggs to regress here. Hyun Jin Ryu for the Dodgers have been on a roll. At 11-6 record he is coming off a win against the Giants at S.F. pitching 6.2 innings throwing 107 pitches. In line with how he's been pitching, but could improve tonight in Phoenix. This is a much different match up than what we saw in L.A. back in June 12th. The Dodgers started their terror from June 21st while Arizona has gone 8-10.  Backing the rising Dodgers in Arizona for the sweep.

L.A. Dodgers at -101 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

MLB Tuesday

25-24 +3,570

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians
This is a match up of Cleveland, in the hunt for post season, against Toronto, in search of lost power. The pitchers on the mound are Josh Johnson, string of  poor starts, for Toronto against Ubaldo Jimenez, has not lasted more than 5 innings in last 6 starts. However both of these right handers come in on a bounce back spot with a Total set at 9. Jimenez Under 9-3-1 in last 10. He is Under 18-5-3 in last 26 starts with current Total, 6-1 when he pitches at home. At current total Indians are Under 18-8-1 in last 27 home games.  Josh Johnson has been excellent after allowing 7 hits or more. Jays Under 13-3 after scoring 5 runs or more in last 16,  Under is 9-2 in last 11 road games, 17-8 against pitcher with WHIP greater than 1.30 last 25 games, 14-5 as Under dogs in last 19. Like the UNDER.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 9 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Monday, July 08, 2013

MLB Monday

24-24 +2,670

Chicago Cubs at White Sox
The cross town rivalry has been all North this season and the Cubs look to continue their dominance over the South for today's match up. The Sox will send left hand pitcher Hector Santiago. He does pitch quality at home, 3 out of 4, but the Sox are 1-3 in those starts. White Sox 3-7 at current moneyline, 5-11 at current Total, 18-32 after a loss, consecutive 3 losses or more 7-11 and inter league record 5-8. White Sox are 2-8 in last 10 games.  The Cubs Matt Garza is the top money pitcher in their rotation. His last 4 starts have all been quality and the Cubs are 5-2 in his last 7 starts. They are also 11-6 in inter league games. Cubs are rolling winning 4 series out of last 5, the only losing series against the tough Oakland team was both 1 run losses,  the Cubs have momentum going. Go with Garza and the Cubs

CHICAGO CUBS +110 for 1 unit(W)

Sunday, July 07, 2013

MLB Sunday

23-23 +2,690

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians
Doug Fister going for the Tigers. He is 6-5 with 3.80 ERA and his games have been trending Under. Doug's last 10 games have gone O/U 3-7 and he is pitching quality games 12 out of 17.  However the Tigers are not hitting behind him and much of his quality starts have ended in ND's and losses. The Tigers may have better luck at Cleveland against Corey Kluber with 6 quality starts out of 13 and O/U 9-4. Kluber is also O/U 4-2 against AL Central and O/U 6-3 as Underdog. 

OVER 8.5 at -115 for 1 unit(W)

Oakland A's at Kansas City Royals
A's pitcher A.J. Griffin on the mound. Coming off a non quality start no decision and a rare Over on the Total. Griffin has been excellent bounce back pitcher and on the road pitching O/U 3-6, overall O/U 6-11 and last 12 starts have gone O/U 2-10. The Royals pitcher Luis Mendoza is overall O/U 6-7, at home 3-4, but O/U 1-3 against AL West and O/U 0-2 in day games.  Luis is also coming off a poor non quality start with likely improvement in this start.

UNDER 9 at -102 for 1 unit(L)

Saturday, July 06, 2013

MLB Saturday

22-23 +1,580

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
The Pirates are rolling with best win record and top money team in baseball by far. Pittsburgh has made twice as much money as second best Boston and close behind Oakland. The numbers show Pirates win with pitching, no#1 in starters and no#4 in bullpen, however their hitting ranks #23 just a notch above the Cubs. Chicago Cubs getting money on today's line with numbers getting tighter toward game time. Take the early line on Cubs as the small home dog.

CHICAGO CUBS +111 for 1 unit(W)

Thursday, July 04, 2013

MLB 4th of July

22-22 +2,650

Happy 4th everybody.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
We got 2 lefties going on the mound. The O's will send  Zack Britton, he's pitched 4 games so far without a quality start, but O's are 2-2.  The Sox will go with Jose Quintana who is a better road pitcher and should be faded at home. Jose does look to improve today, but don't think he'll get the decision. 3 quality games out of 8 starts and Chicago is 2-6 when Quintana takes the mound. Baltimore 26-18 as favorites. The O's score almost 2 runs more per game off lefties then Chicago.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -107 for 1 unit(L)

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

MLB Wednesday

21-22 +1,650

Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals
The Brewers stopped their bleeding and came up big against Nationals, after the departure of ace Stasburg, as +240 Underdog. As it was an unexpected win in game 1 this one has a bit more edge with Milwaukee pitching, but more so than taking Milwaukee on moneyline consider the Total set at 8. Kyle Lohse is very much in form coming into July. A proven work horse of a pitcher able to get deep into games. Russ Detwiler for the Nats is not nearly as good as Lohse, but considering the home field and the Brewers not hitting well may very likely keep this a low scoring affair.

Game Total UNDER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

MLB Tuesday

21-20 +3,820

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays
As the Tigers fall behind Cleveland in AL Central Toronto notched their 7th consecutive home win regaining their record to .500. The Tigers hope to bounce back behind Doug Fister on the mound. Fister has been absolute quality with 12 strong starts out of 16 and the results are same at home and away. However team wins have eluded the Tigers with Fister. Doug Fister is one of the biggest money loser in Detroit rotation and road numbers at 37% is not good at all.  Toronto with send Chien Ming Wang who was knocked out in Boston. Wang with limited innings is a fill in who was promised one start with the rest pending performance and here he is making his 5th start. He is 2 quality starts out of 4, but the Jays have gone 3-1 losing the last one. Though Wang is still a hard read and Fister is a tough customer the strength of Toronto at the Rogers Center just seems over powering to any comer. The Tigers have been sliding 3-7 in last 10 games playing below .500 away from Comerica. Toronto 23-17 at home, 23-11 when total is 9 to 9.5 go with the home dog Toronto Blue Jays.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS at +128 for 1 unit(L).

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox.
Interesting line with the South Siders as a slight Dog or is it O's as a slight Favorite. Chicago sending John Danks returning from arthroscopic shoulder surgery last year has gone 7 games with 1-5 record (2-5 team record), but he is pitching strong at home. He's pitched 3 games at home with 1-1 record 211 ERA and 0.073 WHIP.outstanding number.  Baltimore's Jason Hammel is 7-4, but not nearly as strong as Danks pitching at home. I don't think Danks will contain Baltimore he pitching in a declining spot. Chicago is a fade team and Hammel is much better away from Camden Yard. Chicago White Sox 1-7 after a shutout. Go with the O's lay the small juice.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -117 for 1 unit(L)