MLB Thursday

1-0 last selection. YTD 70-53-2 +34.25 units

When you think of Washington Nationals what comes to your mind? This team is on pace for worst of the worst in MLB and right now in mid of 12 game losing streak. They bleed red in every money situation and this team is a money making fader.

Has anyone not caught on? The deal here is like a hot crap table over filled with chips and if you are trying to get on the train late there's a chance it'll crash as the chalk thickens

Let's tread carefully and take a look at the red inked stats.

Home 23-39 Away 21-44 going bad to worst. 16-29 against division opponents.

August started hot with 4 wins then 6-1 in first 7 games, but they have been sliding ever since with only 4 out of next 12 cashing on +1.5 runline.

Runline winners have been followed by couple of big losers.
Moneyline 107 games logged Underdog, 10 games better than +200 dogs with 7 of those coming in August.

How many big dogs have they cashed? 3 out of 10 with 2 winners in August.


They will be facing a winning lefty pitcher at Philadelphia, Jamie Moyer 11-7 with 3.64 ERA, He's already won them twice and one ND with Phillies winning all three this season.

He has 6 quality start out of last 7 with 2.45 ERA

Also recorded a recent win, 7/30, against Redding at Washington.



Does all this justify laying the big chalk or runliine or maybe even give up -2 in search of better value? I'm starting to see it the other way. Moyer as good as he is right now is coming off a 7 inning 3 hit no run game at San Diego which is high end performance in terms of Jamie's average. I expect some down grade here and he has been weaker at home with 5 quality starts out of 12. Phillies are also in a bit of funk and the teeth of the line up is slumping.

The visiting Nationals willl send up Tim Redding and though he has been getting knocked around in his last two starts he is the top money pitcher for the Nats. He's supported by winning team record home and away. Nats are coming off a shut out in the hands of Bret Meyers which calls for some kind of response from Manny Acta's boys.

NATIONALS +248 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +2.48 units