MLB Sunday

0-2 last selection. YTD 85-65-2 +41.98 units

Tonight is a historical night as Yankee Stadium, the 3rd oldest of current active ball parks, will close it's doors after tonight's home stand against Baltimore. Andy Pettite getting the ball is appropriate and there seems to be no doubt about Yankees taking this game. Consensus +70% are laying the thick chalk so the alternative is to look at the Run Line? To be clear Pettite comes in pitching 4 non-quality starts out of last 5, lone quality start was still a loser making all of last 5 starts team losses. Yanks are 1-9 in Andy's last 10 starts his home record is much worse than on the road 5-8 with team record 6-10. Still Andy is not all to blame as Yanks bats scored no more than 3 runs in any of those 5 straight losers total of 10 runs in 5 games. That's also adding to his huge Under bias O/U 9-23
Chris Waters barely got his feet wet with 53 innings, but coming off a shut out of Blue Jays.
I don't see that as a good sign as Waters got rung by Texas back in August after shutting down the Angels for 8 innings. He has followed a quality start with a stinker twice in his 9 starts. O's do back up Waters on the road and team is 3-1.
I think Yanks will take the game, but expect O's to give them a game. Don't be surprised if O's take the lead going into late inning only to have it slip away.

BALTIMORE +1.5 at +112 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit