Matt Garza SP for Tampa is often said to have the best stuff in the Rays rotation, but as current records indicate he is average ERA of 3.83 with record of 4-5. When Matt takes the ball Rays have 6-8 record. He does have winning edge at home 3-2 with team record of 5-3. Does that earn -170 ML? The Odds makers have been on the mark. Most recent big number was against the Nats at home 6/12 at -250 ND Rays win. Before that was -191 home against A's 5/21 ND Rays win. 5/16 was home against Indians -175 recorded win, 5/5 Baltimore at home -184 recorded win. So he/Rays has been tough at home laying the number. Rays are also good in closing out games. Except Rays have some problems with Phillies dating back to last World Series and what happened last night? 10-1 not exactly a revenge battle? This spot is looking very tempting to take the road dog when the dog is the best road team in the Majors and Blanton 4-3 is also a road warrior with 3 of the 4 wins coming away, but don't cast judgement on Matt Garza based on what Pierce gave up. Joe Blanton has logged 3 ND in a row longest of this season and given up HR's in every June start. I think Joe will be good today, but Tampa holds late inning edge. Like I said the ML dog is tempting, but if you must choose sides take the +1.5 runs. I will take the play on Under as both pitchers are poised to improve and Rays power outage holds advantage over sides.
UNDER 9 at +103 for 1 unit(W)
That was a bit interesting towards the end 1-0 +1.03 units
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