Tuesday, July 31, 2007

MLB Tuesday

0-1 last selection YTD 59-42 +23.36 units

Cook and the Rox are in Florida facing Olsen and the Marlins. Olsen will probably do better than his last outing maybe work 6 innings or so and keep things interesting. Cook on the other hand is coming off a gem and duplicating his last outing would be a tall order, but he is throwing with sinking action that's producing ground outs in bunches. I love ground ballers and Rox are hitting pretty good right now too.

COL +104 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.04 units

Monday, July 30, 2007

MLB Monday

0-1 last selection YTD 59-41 +24.58 units

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Listed Pitchers: TB Andy Sonnanstine (RHP) team record 1-6.
Last outing: (L) Against Baltimore allowed 5 runs and seven hits in 6 innings, struck out 4 and walked three. His team has recorded 9 losses and 1 win in his 10 starts. Devil Rays have not supported Andy on the mound though he is eating innings, 6 to 7 innings pitched in 9 out of 10 and pitching quality 50% 5 out of 10. This pitcher does pose threat to Toronto, but hard luck pitcher on a hard luck team with bull pen that will cough up runs is tough to back.

Listed Pitcher: TOR Dustin McGowan (RHP) team record 8-7
Last Outing: (W)Against Minnesota pitched a gem allowed no runs with 4 hits in 7.1 innings issuing three walks and 5 strike outs. He was encouraged to mix all of his pitches to keep hitters off balance and strung two wins since making adjustments. He does have 5 games giving up 5~6 earned runs in his seven of his losses to go with 9 quality outings.

I think this will be a late inning game. The play is very popular Toronto Blue Jays with 7-3 record in last 10 games Tampa Bay Devil Rays playing 2-8 in last 10 games. Jays are out scoring their opponents by 4.2 runs in last 7 games while D-Rays are losing by 5.3 runs in last 7.

TOR -122 for 1 unit(L)

What a loss! Had the game in the bag and Jays gave it away.
0-1 -1.22 units

Saturday, July 28, 2007

MLB Sunday

1-0 last selection YTD 59-40 +25.58 units (Took Saturday off)

So do you guys like the listed pitchers to start the breakdown? I always figured numbers are all public information and you don't need to get them from me, but putting the perspective into a page is helpful. I'm a bit short on time so I'll get to the point.

Yankees at O's
You know when the Yanks beat teams by +10 runs and go on a winning streak they really look unbeatable. It's that two horse race in AL East and I have a feeling Yanks will be sticking around. With all the Boston & New York attention it's easy t0 over look losing division rivals so when Yankees match up with Baltimore most will take Yanks with money man Wang, but if NYY have a seasonal nemesis this year it's Baltimore. Take a close look at Wang's ground ball to fly ball ratio he's not getting as many to roll outs like he's was doing and elevating his pitches. Cabrera had his stuff going last outing and O's bats are coming around.

Taking a good size home dog in today early game.

BAL +172 for 1 unit(L)

Should of played the over.
0-1 -1.00 unit

Friday, July 27, 2007

MLB Friday

1-0 last selection YTD 58-40 +24.58 units

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox
Listed Pitchers: TOR Josh Towers (RHP) team record 6-6
Last outing: (W) Against Seattle allowed no runs and three hits in 6.2 innings, struck out 4 and walked two. His team has recorded a loss and 4 wins in five prior starts. Blue Jays have been impressive with Towers on the mound going 5-1 in last 6 games. Fast working pitcher is either on or off and not much in between and he has recorded 50% quality starts in those 6 games. Going beyond past 6 games his team has recorded 3 wins out of 12 games.

Listed Pitcher: CWS Jon Garland (RHP) team record 7-13
Last Outing: (L)Against Red Sox on the road allowed six runs in just 4 2/3 innings after issuing five walks and surrendering a pair of three-run home runs. He was looking to win one game prior when Jenks gave up the winning run to Cleveland, did win 2 prior to Baltimore but pen almost blew that one too and a melt down at home against Minnesota. Throw out 2 clunkers and Garland is pitching strong 13 quality starts out of 18, 5 quality outing out of last 7.

I know Blue Jays are rolling right now looking balanced with good pitching and timely offense but I not sold on Towers bring his "A" game today. Being on the road is another minus.

Rolling the dice with Chicago White Sox.

CWS -105 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Thursday, July 26, 2007

MLB Thursday

0-2 last selection YTD 57-40 +23.58 units
I know I was going to take the day off. Oh well.

San Diego Padres at Houston Astros.
Listed Pitchers: SDP David Wells (LHP) team record 9-10
Last outing: (L) Against Phillies allowed seven runs and seven hits in 4 1-3 innings, struck out one and walked two. His team has recorded wins in four prior starts. Wells finds quality pitching hard to come on the road with 8 games he has registered only 1 quality start while recording winning percentage of 50%.

Listed Pitcher: HOU Wandy Rodriguez (LHP) team record 9-10
Last Outing: (L)Against Pirates on the road allowed 6 runs on 7 hits 4 earned struck out 6 walked one and no home runs. He was crushed one game prior in Chicago but 2 wins in 2 strong outings at home before Chicago. Rodriguez is a home pitcher recording 7 quality starts out of 9 home starts. His record at home is 5-2 with team record of 7-2.

I suspect the numbers will catch up with David Wells today. Padres pitching strength is diminishing getting hit by the Phillies at home series and getting hit at Colorado on the road series.

Houston is surging taking the series at home against the very good Dodgers and a rare road series win against the Pirates before that.

HOU -115 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

MLB Wednesday

0-1 last selection YTD 57-38 +26.58 units

Alright I'll take my lumps nothing is simple in this game.

San Diego will send Germano to the mound to face Colorado with Cook. Backing the visitors as Germano is a road warrior with Cook having troubles at home. Rox are not hitting right hand pitching and Padres are loaded with them.

SDP +127 for 1 unit(L)

Another game where my team score first and lose the lead.

If this addition doesn't work out I'll be taking tomorrow off.
Atlanta at Giants. I'll take the good road team.

ATL +104 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -3.00 units

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

MLB Tuesday

0-1 last selection YTD 57-37 +27.56 units

Sometimes simplicity is refining. Dodgers to roll on in Houston with Too Tall Hendrickson throwing whiffle balls and keeping Astros off balance. Jennings no match against hot hitting Dodgers.

LAD +101 for 1 unit(L)

Another loss on a game where my team scores first and ends up losing

0-1 -1.00 units

Monday, July 23, 2007

MLB Monday

No selection on Sunday.

Florida at Arizona. Snakes are back in the desert and fishes are out of the water, sounds good, but that's not how this game will play out. Diamondback's pitching came through in Chicago taking 2 out of 3, but they are toothless against left handed pitching. Marlins bats are heating up and D-Train is smoother on the road.

FLA +109 for 1 unit(L)

This was one of those game that had a bad feeling after the game started. Even with 2-0 Marlins lead in early game the tone of the game had Diamondback feel to it.

0-1 -1.00 unit

Sunday, July 22, 2007

MLB Sunday

1-0 last selection YTD 57-36 +28.56 units

Drays at Yanks. I lost this match up back in July 12th as Yanks blasted 3 long balls off of James Shields that was more than enough even with Andy Pettitte lasting only 5.2 innings. Both starters coming off good games. Yanks schooled Drays on Saturday in day night double header with second game being no contest also lost Crawford for Sunday. Yanks once again poised to take the series but my contrarian stance will be a selection on the Underdog.
Placed offer for Drays +188. Check back before game to see if I get this.

Sorry for late return. I guess you know this line dropped 10 points and didn't get a nibble at +188. Money chased this line and people got burned. That's a lucky break for me and never chase fast moving lines.

St Louis at Atlanta will feature Live betting on MatchBook so I will keep tab and post plays most likely on Underdog propositions. 20:05 EST game time. I like Atlanta and Under 9.5 but we shall see.

There was nothing I liked so there was no play. Good game though.

Saturday, July 21, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-0 last selection YTD 56-36 +26.54 units

Did you like the Twins yesterday? I did and backing them again today.

MIN +101 for 2 units(W)

Back to back double units works for me.
1-0 +2.02 units

Friday, July 20, 2007

MLB Friday

1-1 last selection YTD 55-36 +24.00 units

Angels at Twins. I like Lackey he is a workhorse able to keep his team in a game, but Angels are playing sluggish ball dropping 3 road series dating back to 6/29 than played uninspired ball at home against Texas before dropping another road series to Tampa Bay. Good thing Escobar was able to shut down the Rays in their last game of the series or they would of got swept.
Yes, Twins did get swept by Detroit at home, but play level of games was much higher and all one run ball game. Minny hungry for a win at home will be too much for Angels lacking offense.

MIN +127 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.54 units

Thursday, July 19, 2007

MLB Thursday

0-1 last selection YTD 54-35 +24.08 units

Bad catcher indifference example with Texas yesterday. DiNardo and Suzuki was experienced battery from days at the minors, but Yankees lose today as heavy favorites with Posada getting a rest. Moving on.

Did Lowe look OK to you at SFG? Matter of fact he has not looked OK in last 4 starts and has not gone 7 innings plus in 6 starts. Glavine coming off one of his gem and he has been looking strong, but Dodgers still swinging hot bats.

NYM/LAD OVER 8 at +100 for 1 unit(W)

Back on Texas game with Indians in town. Playing this one by the book.

CLE/TEX UNDER 10 at -108 for 1 unit(L)

1-1 -0.08 units

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

MLB Wednesday

0-1 last selection YTD 54-34 +26.08 units

Closing in on game time for me. Let's do this!

Not a complete Oakland fade, but fade all the same. I wouldn't chase the Under 9 today that's very suspect IMO.

One subject I've been talking to some close friends is the impact of a Catcher indifference. When a regular team catcher takes a day off or when there is team catcher problem it creates a overcasting change to the outlook or consistency in Pitching, this is the case for A's today using Suzuki, which is huge when you consider how much pitcher is considered in a game. Unfamiliar battery will collapse a pitcher who has strung good games. A's dealing Kendall to Cubs and gambling on Suzuki is a turning point that will bury this season, you know they're counting on Piazza to be healthy for the 2nd half, IMO. I will admit overlooking the catcher indifference yesterday. And look what happened to the Dodgers too.

TEX +113 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.00 units

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

MLB Tuesday

1-0 last selection YTD 54-33 +27.18 units

I'm fishing the over night line. Check back later to see if I got it.

It's 10:50 PST Tuesday morning and all I got was a nibble not enough to buy a hamburger. Who bets these amount? Mind as well buy a lottery ticket instead. I'm not ready to buy at market yet making some adjustments and fishing some more.

It's 13:50 PST now playing cat and mouse with the line. I'm going to keep watch but running out of time to publish the play. I was looking to take 2 units and now the price has gone up.

Many are well aware of Oakland woes going 1-9 in their last 10 with 8 consecutive losses A’s bats have gone cold. Oakland faders have been rolling, but Texas 18-30 record on the road might be getting second thoughts. Robinson Tejada is second biggest money loser in Rangers pitching staff and he will come in with a hefty 1.74 WHIP
Oakland A’s in need to stop the bleeding will send their top money maker Chad Gaudin. He may not be their best pitcher (10 quality starts out of 19) but his team is 13-6 when he takes the mound.
So am I taking Oakland? Well no, although this looks to be a good spot I need to see some offensive life from Oakland. Texas is 7-3 in their last 10 playing against very strong opponents.
My selection today is the Under 9 in this game. Texas O/U 2-9-1 in July with bull pen looking strong.
Tejeda O/U 6-10 Oakland have not scored more than 3 runs in 11 straight games. Gaudin Under record better than his team wins at O/U 2-14

TEX/OAK UNDER 9 at -110 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.10 units

Monday, July 16, 2007

MLB Monday

0-1 last selection YTD 53-33 +26.18 units

Phillies at Dodgers with veteran lefty Moyer for the visitors and big bad Brad Penny in for the Dodgers. As good as Penny has been the other reason is Dodgers bring their hot bats when he's on the mound at Dodger Stadium. It maybe a bounce back spot for Penny and maybe he's over his blister, but Phillies are hitting healthy .319 against right handers (.354 against left). Penny sports 7-3 O/U last 10 starts, Totals at 8 or higher are 3-0 in last 10 starts.
Phillies have been wearing out pitchers Wainwright going 7 innings last night other opponents have not gone that deep in 6 prior games. Phillies 7-2-1 O/U last 10 games.

PHL/LAD OVER 8 at -106 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Sunday, July 15, 2007

MLB Sunday

1-0 last selection YTD 53-32 +27.18 units

Going with a rare Run line, I think it's the first publishing for this season. The game is San Diego at Arizona. Rolling the dice with Diamond Backs and Webb looking to rebound. No punch offense shows pitching has to be perfect to contest their opponent. It's the wild wild west baby.

Bad choice!

ARZ RL -1.5 at +165 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Saturday, July 14, 2007

MLB Saturday

1-0 last selection YTD 52-32 +26.18 units

I thought Giants might of had some chance to take the first game against Dodgers. Glad I didn't feel strongly enough to put money on them. Dodger pounded the Giants late in the game and I don't think they'll wait that long today.

That was easy, NOT! But won it anyway.

LAD -123 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Friday, July 13, 2007

MLB Friday

0-1 last selection on night before Friday 13th YTD 51-32 +25.18

Not making a last minute play this is the late game.
Texas at Anaheim with Milwood not giving up the long ball and pitching well. Escobar coming into form and his stuff is very good. Both pens are doing their jobs.

TEX/LAA UNDER 8.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Thursday, July 12, 2007

MLB Thursday

We are back to MLB on Thursday. Current 51 wins - 31 losses winnings total +27.18 units

The game I'm playing is Oakland A's at Minnesota Twins with two young promising pitchers Gaudin and Baker. Given the recent outlook Twin & Baker is getting the money for sides and it's picked up steam this morning. I made a offer on the overnight for A's +120, which was way outside the trading range, and got a hit this morning. Why Oakland? Pen is shaky and if decided in the late inning Twins have advantage or if A's are trailing late there's little chance. Edge in key areas all point to Twins, but A's are my pick today. I look for Baker to run out of gas early and though he has excelled he does not have the out pitch and stamina. I also think Oakland players are progressing under the radar as they have done in the past.

OAK +120 for 1 unit(L)


OAK +127 for 1 unit(L)

A game I didn't pull the trigger but did have a look of play is New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays. Tampa is playing basement ball but their talent pool should perform better than what they've shown. Now Shields on the mound for D-Rays is their No#1 guy which may not mean much with Yankees in town but his opposition Andy Pettite has some steroid speculation swirling around him. There are no proof but his growth sprout along with his wins combined during the steroid years are spreading the rumors. I guess there's some sort of crash coming off the stuff, which is another speculation coupled with Andy's pitching woes, and his pitching does not look like the stuff he's always had. I'm sure this is not just me watching with betting eyes there is noticeable decline. Tampa is so pesky against the Yankees but under +150, I did fish for it with +147, is no play.
I will keep tabs on Andy.

0-1 -2.00 units

Monday, July 09, 2007

MLB All Star Break

1-0 last selection YTD 51-31 +27.18 units

Taking a break on a up tick. Not exactly on fire, but pacing some of those so called touts charging $125 a week. Here's how my July plays turned out.

7/08 TEX ML (W) +2.00 units
7/06 MIN/CWS U 9 (L) -1.00 unit
7/05 CUB ML (W) +2.00 units
7/05 TEX ML (L) -1.00 unit
7/04 PHL ML (W) +2.00 units
7/03 MIN/NYY U 9.5 (W) +1.00 unit
7/02 CWS ML (L) -1.00 unit
7/01 SLC ML (W) +1.03 units

July 1 ~ All Star Break 5(W) - 3(L) +8.03 units

I'll be back when the season resumes. Good luck to players playing the All Star.

Sunday, July 08, 2007

MLB Sunday

I'll update my record later but last one was a laugher, on me!
0-1 last selection YTD 50-31 +25.18 units

Allow me to elevate. I like this match up with Baltimore at Texas. Veteran Milwood will take on the wild and hard throwing Cabrera. Milwood is pitching much better I think he'll give Rangers a chance at the Ballpark in Arlington. Cabrera throwing strikes is very dangerous but question is will he be throwing strikes? Texas bats are hungry after a shut out and if they can get into hitters count this should be Rangers game.

TEX -109 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Friday, July 06, 2007

MLB Friday

1-1 last selection (I count Cubs ML as one wager with 2 units) YTD 50-30 +26.18 units

Looking for good pitching with Garland and Baker. That's Minny and Chicago South siders in early match up both pitchers throwing under 1.00 WHIP and eating innings in last three games.
Keep the ball down boys.

I turned the game off after the 3rd inning.

MIN/CWS UNDER 9 at +102 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Thursday, July 05, 2007

MLB Thursday

1-0 last selection YTD 49-29 +25.18 units

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals. Pitching for Cubs Marshall good numbers on the road in a rebound spot. Pitching for Nationals Bergman came out early with limited pitch count in Atlanta 6/25 and got knocked out in Pittsburgh 6/30 with command issues. I wouldn't bet on him to be well today although I don't think the starters will get the decision. Cubs are still surging and getting closer to Brewers. Brew are failing in Pittsburgh as I write. Chicago Cubs takes this match.

CUBS -118 for 1 unit(W)

Caught a good price at Matchbook.

CUB -112 for 1 unit(W)


Angels with Escobar at Rangers with Tejeda. Watch out for this game I think Rangers are a live dog. Angels have been playing tired baseball as I watched them play mediocre ball through Kansas, Baltimore and now Texas. I like Kelvim he's one of top starter for Angels, but he fell apart in his last start and Ballpark at Arlington has always given him trouble. Tejeda has been a costly proposition but he does fair OK against the Halos.

TEX +154 for 1 unit(L)

1-1 +1.00 unit

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

MLB Wednesday

Happy 4th of July!
1-0 last selection YTD 48-29 +23.18 units

Going to BBQ party at a friend's place. I'm taking Phillies with Cole Hamels on the mound against Chris Sampson and Houston Astros. Astros are hot right now and Sampson has been holding his own granted bats are supporting. Cole in search of his 10th win after not going past 5 innings in his last 3 starts I expect his "A" game today.

Bagged a double wager for the fireworks.

PHL -118 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

MLB Tuesday

0-1 last selection YTD 47-29 +22.18 units

Coming off a disappointing night but that's the nature of the beast. Crunch the games right and after the long haul you should be in the plus and I say should because it doesn't hurt to have some luck too.

Minny at Bronx with two groundballers taking the mound, Wang and Silva, Yanks look to regain their footing. Wang is NY's best starter he had the ND rain out game in Baltimore and ND Yanks loss to Giants, but now he's back in Bronx where he last beat the Mets 6 hits 2 runs over 8 innings getting everything in the ground. Silva has been showing flashes of his sinker ball talent and it's ever more evident after coming off a mediocre outing.

MIN/NYY UNDER 9.5 at -108 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.00 unit

Sunday, July 01, 2007

MLB Monday

1-0 last selection YTD 47-28 +23.18 units.

July baseball sizzles on. What's on my menu today? The blue plate special is Baltimore O's Birds at Chicago White Sox. Baltimore pitcher Erik Bedard comes in 2-0 in last 3 starts with very good 0.70 WHIP and 1.80 ERA bats are coming alive batting .376 against lefties. Looking back O's took the series from failing Yankees and played tight against Major leading Angels. The problem here with the O's for me is that they will finish the first half on the road (16-24) O's top weapon Mora was out at the plate in final game against Angels getting a bruised left foot on that play, Tejada's been out since 6/22 and good as Erik has pitched his team record is 9-8, 4-1 away record also misleading as team has lost 3 out of last 5 away starts. First match up with White Sox after such valiant Baltimore effort against Angels may lead to today's let down spot. I will acknowledge Chicago 15-21 at home but they seem to have turned the tide on the road. White Sox have a bit of a momentum beating KC series and Tampa sweep. Mark Buehrle has been strong and pitching deep. White Sox are 10-5 with Buehrle on the mound and Mark is 4-1 in 7 career start against Orieoles.

CWS at +101 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

MLB Sunday

0-1 last selection (Never thought Tomko would get the ball at the end for Dodgers)
YTD 46-28 +22.15 units

I will try to update this game between St Louis and Cincy. All I can say for now is fundamental baseball takes this game. May not be much to watch but that's what I'm hoping for.

So much for update and game is well under way. Forget what I said about fundamental baseball just throw your hands up in the air and swing the bats like you just don't care.

SLC +103 for 1 unit(W)

1-0 +1.03 units