Wednesday, August 07, 2013

MLB Wednesday

45-27 +22,470

Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres
A day game at Petco Park you should be there. It'll be some cloud coverage, but sunny mild about 72 degrees with little breeze. Shorts and T-shirt with a hat kind of day. Also a good pitching day. Baltimore Orioles have declined in the race and money. Going 5-5 in last 10 games however at the hefty price tag they carried through Houston and Seattle series the wins were marginal and losses were heavy. Now on the road they managed to pull ahead in game 1 of San Diego inter league series, which Baltimore continues as favorites, sending Miguel Gonzales, 8-5 winning pitcher, who wins more at home then away. He bombed out in last two starts and does come in a spot to improve. Miguel does much better in day games where his WHIP drops to 1.14 and though he does not have the wins to go with his quality road starts he is 70% quality on the road. The Padres will send their veteran Eric Stults with 8-10 record overall, but 5-2 at home with team record of 8-2 and his WHIP at home is a nasty 0.94 pitching 80% quality starts.  These teams are not exactly Under trending teams, they both play slightly Over, and Petco Park is not the pitcher friendly park it used to be, but given these two teams are not that familiar with either pitching and both pitchers coming in a spot to improve in performance. Inter league Under for Baltimore road games 7-2, 13-6 in last 19 overall. San Diego is Under 5-2, with Total at 7 to 8.5 is Under 6-2 in last 8.  Back the UNDER.

GAME TOTAL UNDER 7.5 at -125 for 1 unit(L)

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