Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
L.A. dropped 3 in a row, at home, to their cross town rivals and they are looking for some relief. Relief in Great American Ballpark is not a bad thought. Dodgers have been kicking Reds around for some time and last time these two pitchers met back in April 6-14 Dodgers blow out at Great American Ballpark. Harang has tough time with L.A. and Hiroki Kuroda is one of the Dodgers top money pitcher with Dodgers taking 8-4. All that and Dodgers are only -115, what do you say? A good bounce back spot after a three game loss by L.A a team with 36-27 record and with a day off. Both are bad situation with negative stats for L.A. and though L.A. does hold edge over past record Reds are very similar this season at 36-28 record, 22-15 at home, with excellent 0.8 win margin. I also think Dodgers are a risky proposition where single run games have turned against them over the course of last 10 games.
CINCINNATI REDS +105
Monday, June 14, 2010
Saturday, June 12, 2010
MLB Saturday

Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins
First game of this series was a pitching duel with both starters going 8 strong innings. Tonight the match up will feature good pitching again with Derek Lowe for the visiting Braves, 8-5 with team record the same. He's been getting good run support and has been money. You also need to understand the Braves road record of 16-21 is not reflective of Atlanta's current state. Eliminating their early slump Braves are playing even away, splitting Arizona and L.A. series on the road before that sweeping the Phillies, Pittsburgh at home before that winning on the road and their winning ways started before that. Yes, Atlanta Braves are good team to back right now. Cutting to the chase, I like the Twins and Nick Blackburn. They are perfect at home. Yeah, Nick threw 2 forgettable starts out West, but back to the friendly fields in Twin city I expect different.
MINNESOTA TWINS -116 for 1 unit (L)
Late inning loser
Friday, June 11, 2010
MLB Friday
New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles.
The interleague games are upon us again. Not really big on uncharted matches, or minimal history at best type games, but playing hot so let's keep it rolling. NY Mets are playing well lately, 7-3 last 10, best in the East as a matter of fact. They will make the short trip to Baltimore and give 17-43 Orioles a shot. O's are 22 games behind Tampa, 17 games behind 4th place Toronto and gone 2-8 in last 10.
R.A. Dickey getting movement on his knuckler and all systems look set for New York. However O's showed some fight against the Yankees and despite their losing record last 5 games has signs of rising performance leading to last nights win. Jermey Guthrie has pitched well and his team wasting his last outing must weigh in. Baltimore 11-18 at home is pretty bad but, Mets are worse 8-18 away, regardless how short road trip. Backing Baltimore at Camden. Dickey is a familiar pitcher in AL and a known 5th option at that.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES -113 for 1 unit(L)
Oh crap! Moving on.
The interleague games are upon us again. Not really big on uncharted matches, or minimal history at best type games, but playing hot so let's keep it rolling. NY Mets are playing well lately, 7-3 last 10, best in the East as a matter of fact. They will make the short trip to Baltimore and give 17-43 Orioles a shot. O's are 22 games behind Tampa, 17 games behind 4th place Toronto and gone 2-8 in last 10.
R.A. Dickey getting movement on his knuckler and all systems look set for New York. However O's showed some fight against the Yankees and despite their losing record last 5 games has signs of rising performance leading to last nights win. Jermey Guthrie has pitched well and his team wasting his last outing must weigh in. Baltimore 11-18 at home is pretty bad but, Mets are worse 8-18 away, regardless how short road trip. Backing Baltimore at Camden. Dickey is a familiar pitcher in AL and a known 5th option at that.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES -113 for 1 unit(L)
Oh crap! Moving on.
Wednesday, June 09, 2010
MLB Wednesday
SF Giants at Cincinnati Reds
Love both of these teams, not as a fan, money line seem to feel the same. Giants will go with Jonathan Sanchez, he has been money on the road 3 quality starts out of 5 with hair above 1.00 WHIP. On the home front, Aaron Harang who is eating innings as usual, but bottom of ranks in rotation. He comes off a ND in Washington with Reds taking the loss in a game where he failed to reach 6 innings for the first time in over a month. Although Reds are bleeding with their veteran on the hill, handicappers know it and June suites better for Giants than Reds, I rather take the game after a shut out situation for Reds at home. Also a bounce back spot for Harang. Giants after 3 or more wins in a row has dismal win percentage and they are on the road.
CINCINNATI REDS -114 for 1 unit(W)
Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals
All this movement here has caught my attention. I understand the Bucks suck on the road, what are they 9-20 away?, and they will test the water with Brad Lincoln the triple A call-up, but lets look at what we know at this level. Nats going with Lannan. He is among the money makers of the rotation and even with sub .500 record, 2-3, his team has logged 6-5 with 3-1 record at home. The Bucks woeful road record is coupled with 2-7 record against NL East. OK this is bad why in the world would you take the Pirates? Did you know despite their 23-35 record they are Black in money? Also these two teams match up close with Bucks slight edge and the money line is moving away. Lannan has not been quality at home, he's logged only one, and 4.91 ERA with 1.68 WHIP. Give me the Pirates for FIRST 5 INNINGS.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES *First 5 Innings +129 for 1 unit(PUSH)
Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics
Joe Sanders will take the ball and he is rolling right now, 3-1 in last 5 lowered his ERA to 3.24, going for more. He's also 10-4 career against the A's. Top it off Dallas Braden for the A;s have not won since throwing a perfect game on May 9th. But give him credit at home with 6 quality starts out of 7, 2.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. What this match up holds for Dallas and the A's are the O/U 1-6 and these two teams match up UNDER at better than 60% in Oakland. So I look for good pitching and maybe for this line to move up 0.5 runs, but I'll go ahead with the current 8.
UNDER 8 at +111 for 1 unit(PUSH)
How often do you see 2 pushes out of 3. Six published winners in a row. Like that?
Love both of these teams, not as a fan, money line seem to feel the same. Giants will go with Jonathan Sanchez, he has been money on the road 3 quality starts out of 5 with hair above 1.00 WHIP. On the home front, Aaron Harang who is eating innings as usual, but bottom of ranks in rotation. He comes off a ND in Washington with Reds taking the loss in a game where he failed to reach 6 innings for the first time in over a month. Although Reds are bleeding with their veteran on the hill, handicappers know it and June suites better for Giants than Reds, I rather take the game after a shut out situation for Reds at home. Also a bounce back spot for Harang. Giants after 3 or more wins in a row has dismal win percentage and they are on the road.
CINCINNATI REDS -114 for 1 unit(W)
Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals
All this movement here has caught my attention. I understand the Bucks suck on the road, what are they 9-20 away?, and they will test the water with Brad Lincoln the triple A call-up, but lets look at what we know at this level. Nats going with Lannan. He is among the money makers of the rotation and even with sub .500 record, 2-3, his team has logged 6-5 with 3-1 record at home. The Bucks woeful road record is coupled with 2-7 record against NL East. OK this is bad why in the world would you take the Pirates? Did you know despite their 23-35 record they are Black in money? Also these two teams match up close with Bucks slight edge and the money line is moving away. Lannan has not been quality at home, he's logged only one, and 4.91 ERA with 1.68 WHIP. Give me the Pirates for FIRST 5 INNINGS.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES *First 5 Innings +129 for 1 unit(PUSH)
Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics
Joe Sanders will take the ball and he is rolling right now, 3-1 in last 5 lowered his ERA to 3.24, going for more. He's also 10-4 career against the A's. Top it off Dallas Braden for the A;s have not won since throwing a perfect game on May 9th. But give him credit at home with 6 quality starts out of 7, 2.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. What this match up holds for Dallas and the A's are the O/U 1-6 and these two teams match up UNDER at better than 60% in Oakland. So I look for good pitching and maybe for this line to move up 0.5 runs, but I'll go ahead with the current 8.
UNDER 8 at +111 for 1 unit(PUSH)
How often do you see 2 pushes out of 3. Six published winners in a row. Like that?
Sunday, June 06, 2010
How do you like me now?

How do you like the new layout? I thought it was kind of cool. Baseball selections have been doing well. Started out in the hole, but turned things around and we are back in BLACK.
You know I don't write much besides game angles and I don't think I'm much of a writer. It's something I do to break from daily responsibilities it keeps your soul alive. If your passion dies than so too will your soul and you'll become nothing more than a dead soul inching along the freeway in a iron casket. There are two reasons for me to do this. Because I like it and it makes money. Money part is important too not because it's money, but because it's a gauge of how your doing. It's like points and for me I rather have higher points than wins. Game wins go hand in hand with money won, but the degree of wins or amount of money wins are different so 21-15 winner picking favorites may not differ much from 18-18 winner taking dogs. I also like the fact this game does not discriminate and good players will rise like cream. I've seen a lot of guys come and go, but the good ones, the one's who are truly skilled, are still standing knocking down games year after year.
If you do it long enough you should know and remember situations that have come before meaning your skill to predict the outcome have to become sharp or you will not survive in this game. The nature of zero sum game is winner takes it all. Mistake in reading the game will cost you. Most likely the risky proposition is not for the majority or maybe your just a fan rooting for your team with $50 riding to make it exciting. If this is you then your not in my world. Published plays are $1000 per unit a.k.a. Dime plays. I post them as I see them. Do you have the skills? I'd like to know. Leave me a comment or PM directly.
Saturday, June 05, 2010
MLB Sunday

This is my town. I'm in L.A., but my forecast calls on "Show Me" State game.
I know everyone here is tuned in on NBA Finals from Staples Center. It's nothing personal it's business.
Milwaukee Brewers at St Louis Cardinals
What's cooking? Sunday BBQ's in the plan and nothin goes better then ribs, chicken, hot links with that MLB game.
Did I notice a lefty lefty match up in St Louis? Yes I did, Jamie Garcia and Manny Parra going at it. You know the Cards are the contenders and Brewers are the under achievers. Manny's pitching a fill in role and Jamie is pitching some impressive games. Not much to think about pulling the trigger on St Louis? Right off the bat Jamie, as good as he maybe, is a 50-50 proposition. Now ask yourself if that's a risk worth taking? OK, you say it doesn't matter because Brewers aren't going to win. Well bad as it looks for the Brewers I see it as not as good for the Cards. And like I said in the beginning it's a lefty lefty match up that trends toward Milwaukee.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +200 for 1 unit(W)
Friday, June 04, 2010
MLB Friday
Cincinatti Reds at Washington Nationals.
Reds are playing well at 31-23 so far and backers are making money. They have cooled a bit dropping the St Louis series, but very strong home stand before that going 5-2. Today Reds call on Aaron Harang (4-5 & 5.48 ERA) coming off a 7 inning 1 run schooling of Astros. Harang coming into mid season form maybe trouble for 26-29 Nationals. Livan Hernandez has not won since early May and Reds bats are pretty hot over their last 10 games. However Money line telling a different story with opening favoring the home team. Hernandez despite cooling in May still 4 quality starts out of 5 with 1.51 ERA & 0.98 WHIP at home. Nationals won't roll over tonight.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS -108 for 1 unit(W)
Reds are playing well at 31-23 so far and backers are making money. They have cooled a bit dropping the St Louis series, but very strong home stand before that going 5-2. Today Reds call on Aaron Harang (4-5 & 5.48 ERA) coming off a 7 inning 1 run schooling of Astros. Harang coming into mid season form maybe trouble for 26-29 Nationals. Livan Hernandez has not won since early May and Reds bats are pretty hot over their last 10 games. However Money line telling a different story with opening favoring the home team. Hernandez despite cooling in May still 4 quality starts out of 5 with 1.51 ERA & 0.98 WHIP at home. Nationals won't roll over tonight.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS -108 for 1 unit(W)
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
MLB Wednesday
Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals
KC is a tough sell again at 18-28, but then it's anticipated to happen. What caught my eyes is RL in BLACK. True to their stats Tuesday's Texas game ended 8-7 KC one run loss. Take a Que here fellas the pitching match up works in Royals favor at home.
Take the Run Line, but Money line is worth the risk. ML & RL(W)
KC is a tough sell again at 18-28, but then it's anticipated to happen. What caught my eyes is RL in BLACK. True to their stats Tuesday's Texas game ended 8-7 KC one run loss. Take a Que here fellas the pitching match up works in Royals favor at home.
Take the Run Line, but Money line is worth the risk. ML & RL(W)
MLB Tuesday
Oakland A's at Baltimore O's
Are you fading Baltimore automatically? It's working out and you plan to ride on, well good for you! Athletics are in town after sweeping the Giants in inter league series and the A's put on a pitching clink allowing 1 run in 27 innings with 3 starters eating 20 of those innings. Meanwhile O's went to DC and dropped 2 out of 3 Baltimore did make it interesting with 2 losses coming at 1 run difference, but still losses on the moneyline. So if your on the Baltimore "F" train you must be feeling alright after all it's house money at this point. What might be puzzling at this late hour is why is moneylne price come out nearly even on Baltimore? Even favoring them at one point before returning? If you asked yourself this question you may realize the nature of Oakland exceeding 3 wins in a row is a low percentage play. On the road makes it tougher. Also today's starter for the A's, Dallas Braden who has shown Major league skills with 7 quality starts out of 9, has been bit erratic on the road. Orioles will go with Jeremy Guthrie. He too has been pitching well with 7 quality starts out of 9, but difference is Guthrie showing better stability on all outing and his home starts brings outstanding 0.92 WHIP. His record is deceiving 2-4 and team record should be better than 2-7. Good spot for Jeremy and the O's to win one in Camden.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES +104 for 1 unit(W)
Are you fading Baltimore automatically? It's working out and you plan to ride on, well good for you! Athletics are in town after sweeping the Giants in inter league series and the A's put on a pitching clink allowing 1 run in 27 innings with 3 starters eating 20 of those innings. Meanwhile O's went to DC and dropped 2 out of 3 Baltimore did make it interesting with 2 losses coming at 1 run difference, but still losses on the moneyline. So if your on the Baltimore "F" train you must be feeling alright after all it's house money at this point. What might be puzzling at this late hour is why is moneylne price come out nearly even on Baltimore? Even favoring them at one point before returning? If you asked yourself this question you may realize the nature of Oakland exceeding 3 wins in a row is a low percentage play. On the road makes it tougher. Also today's starter for the A's, Dallas Braden who has shown Major league skills with 7 quality starts out of 9, has been bit erratic on the road. Orioles will go with Jeremy Guthrie. He too has been pitching well with 7 quality starts out of 9, but difference is Guthrie showing better stability on all outing and his home starts brings outstanding 0.92 WHIP. His record is deceiving 2-4 and team record should be better than 2-7. Good spot for Jeremy and the O's to win one in Camden.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES +104 for 1 unit(W)
Friday, May 14, 2010
MLB Friday
Houston at San Francisco
Recent results will show Astros finishing 4 game sweep of St Louis. Suddenly looking formidable where as Giants losing 3 in a row, 4 losses in last 5 with 4 of those in 1 run games, seem over priced as home favorite. Maybe so, but I do have problem with Felipe Paulino, 0-5 out of 6 starts and 1 quality start, not cutting it. You say Todd Wellemyer is about the same? He held his own against the Phillies at home and home is where G-Men are 10-8, against righty 12-8, as favorite 13-8 and play the NL Central very well 7-2. SFG at home.
GIANTS -142 for 1 unit(W)
Recent results will show Astros finishing 4 game sweep of St Louis. Suddenly looking formidable where as Giants losing 3 in a row, 4 losses in last 5 with 4 of those in 1 run games, seem over priced as home favorite. Maybe so, but I do have problem with Felipe Paulino, 0-5 out of 6 starts and 1 quality start, not cutting it. You say Todd Wellemyer is about the same? He held his own against the Phillies at home and home is where G-Men are 10-8, against righty 12-8, as favorite 13-8 and play the NL Central very well 7-2. SFG at home.
GIANTS -142 for 1 unit(W)
Monday, May 10, 2010
Tuesday MLB
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
Looking at two early division lagers Mariners are the obviously in better position at 6 games behind the AL West leader Texas. Most would agree Seattle will have better product on field not even getting into pitching. Baltimore is clawing from the bottom depths of AL East which arguably is considered the toughest in Baseball, but 9-23 and 12.5 behind Tampa is truly looking disastrous. Now take the pitching match up with Cliff Lee getting the ball for Seattle.
He's got two starts so far already threw 7innings then 8innings looking very much like the work horse he is. O's counter with David Hernandez, the guy who was knocked out by the Yanks in last outing, he is 0-4. There's not too much to dig here? I do happen to have a wrench with O birds showing life, which might be short lived, but Mariners still on down trend playing on the road. Isn't that like a double negative. Watching this line a bit see what takes shape. (+137 as of this writing)
Little after lunch on game day and I read the movement correctly. Public has been pushing Seattle all day. Baltimore has improved nicely for those who waited. Playing the weak team on road fade angle.
BALTIMORE +152 for 1 unit(L)
I tell you this continue to fade Mariners for remainder of series.
Looking at two early division lagers Mariners are the obviously in better position at 6 games behind the AL West leader Texas. Most would agree Seattle will have better product on field not even getting into pitching. Baltimore is clawing from the bottom depths of AL East which arguably is considered the toughest in Baseball, but 9-23 and 12.5 behind Tampa is truly looking disastrous. Now take the pitching match up with Cliff Lee getting the ball for Seattle.
He's got two starts so far already threw 7innings then 8innings looking very much like the work horse he is. O's counter with David Hernandez, the guy who was knocked out by the Yanks in last outing, he is 0-4. There's not too much to dig here? I do happen to have a wrench with O birds showing life, which might be short lived, but Mariners still on down trend playing on the road. Isn't that like a double negative. Watching this line a bit see what takes shape. (+137 as of this writing)
Little after lunch on game day and I read the movement correctly. Public has been pushing Seattle all day. Baltimore has improved nicely for those who waited. Playing the weak team on road fade angle.
BALTIMORE +152 for 1 unit(L)
I tell you this continue to fade Mariners for remainder of series.
Monday MLB
Washington Nationals at New York Mets.
John Main taking the home mound. History show he has pitched some of his best games against the Nats, but this season so far the fastballs are very hittable. His 7th start, 4th at home with 1 quality start. SO numbers are rising, but long ball has been served in every game except one. Luis Atilano pride of San Juan coming off a bad game, but very capable of hanging in with Maine and given their identical record and Nationals even game on the road makes this a fair game with value to the visitors.
NATIONALS +152 for 1 unit(W)
John Main taking the home mound. History show he has pitched some of his best games against the Nats, but this season so far the fastballs are very hittable. His 7th start, 4th at home with 1 quality start. SO numbers are rising, but long ball has been served in every game except one. Luis Atilano pride of San Juan coming off a bad game, but very capable of hanging in with Maine and given their identical record and Nationals even game on the road makes this a fair game with value to the visitors.
NATIONALS +152 for 1 unit(W)
Thursday, May 06, 2010
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
MLB Thursday
Baseball handicappers, How are you all doing? It's about time to get this show under way. I'm late as it is and time is money. I've been busy putting a list of who's who in the handicapping world. Hopefully I'll have enough to put something up in few months.
Moving on to Thursday getting a little warm up before the weekend.
Atlanta Braves at St Louis Cardinals. Take listed starters Jair Jurrjens vs Adam Wainwright. With Braves losing 8 straight and one shy of getting swept by St Louis who doesn't like the Cards? I don't not at -179 with Wainwright stock hitting a high while Jurrjens laking recent wins still showed pretty good pitching. Braves makes the value play with Jair on the hill. If you like the Over that's what the books want you to take. There's pressure to move the O/U to 7.5 from 7 so if you must make the move early, but I think the Under at 7.5 is the correct total.
BRAVES +181 for 1 unit(L)
Moving on to Thursday getting a little warm up before the weekend.
Atlanta Braves at St Louis Cardinals. Take listed starters Jair Jurrjens vs Adam Wainwright. With Braves losing 8 straight and one shy of getting swept by St Louis who doesn't like the Cards? I don't not at -179 with Wainwright stock hitting a high while Jurrjens laking recent wins still showed pretty good pitching. Braves makes the value play with Jair on the hill. If you like the Over that's what the books want you to take. There's pressure to move the O/U to 7.5 from 7 so if you must make the move early, but I think the Under at 7.5 is the correct total.
BRAVES +181 for 1 unit(L)
Friday, January 01, 2010
Happy New Years
2010 you'd better come out like a Tiger!
Hey Handicappers allow me to give a toast. To another great year regardless of our State's economy. Let our skills and knowledge guide our destiny. Live long and Prosper.
It's a quiet evening at my house on this New Years Day. It was a beautiful day with L.A. sunset painting the Pacific ocean. Air was clear and crisp sunny December day.
You get good visions on days like this with little peace and quiet. I took a drive down town. Businesses closed on New Years Day the place had rid of all the hustle and bustle of a normal Friday. It felt festive with live music and streets were filled with downtown residents and tourists roaming around. What a perfect day to clear your mind. I came home and went 3-0 in NBA.
It'll be awhile before the Baseball get active, but I wanted to make a entry today. If you've stumble across this blog you might want to read on even if you don't understand what I'm writing about our goal is to make MONEY. Not some kind of sales or ponze scheme you don't need to buy anything.
Consider Sports wagering as to Commodities Future market. You have a given period of time when the price is dictated by supply and demand. You can take actual position and adjust changes during the given time. There is no limit to the upside and loss is limited by what you supply. The point is I consider it high risk high return investment. But as with all investment you need to do your home work. The old rule still applies...If it's too good to be true... you know?
It's not for everyone, there are fly by night outfits and there are dark tales of addiction. But the bottom line for people in this Business is they make money. If you're a working person getting beat by the economy and your money's not making any meaningful return and you thought about all those wonderful 'make millions from home' deals. Take this advise from someone on the inside. Open a off shore account starting at minimum $2000 and you want to limit your position to about 5% or less.
If you want to see how you would do simulating your investment, there are sites like covers.com, by using live odds noting picks and recording wins and losses. If you choose to log it yourself start with a bankroll of 100K and 1% as 1 unit. Look at your daily sports page and you shouldn't have to read corner from corner much of it is useless. Go through the off shore odds, form opinion and pick sides or total. If you follow sports daily it shouldn't take long to form your opinion don't spend hours and hours. I also wouldn't recommend you sitting around watching & listening to games all day. It will isolate you from others and you'll get nothing done. I do enjoy watching games, but I don't sit through 5 games in one day. Sometimes your money is locked in and there's nothing you can do, but the important thing is to balance your perspective and keep in mind that it's a investment not action on game to get you all hopped up. Stay cool and make your money work. That's what we're all about.
Hey Handicappers allow me to give a toast. To another great year regardless of our State's economy. Let our skills and knowledge guide our destiny. Live long and Prosper.
It's a quiet evening at my house on this New Years Day. It was a beautiful day with L.A. sunset painting the Pacific ocean. Air was clear and crisp sunny December day.
You get good visions on days like this with little peace and quiet. I took a drive down town. Businesses closed on New Years Day the place had rid of all the hustle and bustle of a normal Friday. It felt festive with live music and streets were filled with downtown residents and tourists roaming around. What a perfect day to clear your mind. I came home and went 3-0 in NBA.
It'll be awhile before the Baseball get active, but I wanted to make a entry today. If you've stumble across this blog you might want to read on even if you don't understand what I'm writing about our goal is to make MONEY. Not some kind of sales or ponze scheme you don't need to buy anything.
Consider Sports wagering as to Commodities Future market. You have a given period of time when the price is dictated by supply and demand. You can take actual position and adjust changes during the given time. There is no limit to the upside and loss is limited by what you supply. The point is I consider it high risk high return investment. But as with all investment you need to do your home work. The old rule still applies...If it's too good to be true... you know?
It's not for everyone, there are fly by night outfits and there are dark tales of addiction. But the bottom line for people in this Business is they make money. If you're a working person getting beat by the economy and your money's not making any meaningful return and you thought about all those wonderful 'make millions from home' deals. Take this advise from someone on the inside. Open a off shore account starting at minimum $2000 and you want to limit your position to about 5% or less.
If you want to see how you would do simulating your investment, there are sites like covers.com, by using live odds noting picks and recording wins and losses. If you choose to log it yourself start with a bankroll of 100K and 1% as 1 unit. Look at your daily sports page and you shouldn't have to read corner from corner much of it is useless. Go through the off shore odds, form opinion and pick sides or total. If you follow sports daily it shouldn't take long to form your opinion don't spend hours and hours. I also wouldn't recommend you sitting around watching & listening to games all day. It will isolate you from others and you'll get nothing done. I do enjoy watching games, but I don't sit through 5 games in one day. Sometimes your money is locked in and there's nothing you can do, but the important thing is to balance your perspective and keep in mind that it's a investment not action on game to get you all hopped up. Stay cool and make your money work. That's what we're all about.
Tuesday, November 03, 2009
World Series Game 6
Back for game 6. Phillies stays alive and here we are back in New York. Andy Pettitte top MLB playoff pitcher on record. No losses this season 3 wins out of 4 starts. He will make his 5th appearance repeating 2003 feat. Second against the Phillies first time resulted in first playoff non quality start giving up 4 runs on 5 hits in 6 inning, giving up 2 homers. It didn't matter with Yankees scoring 8 Andy got the win. Pedro Martinez knows the Yankees well he's kept his poise and hitter off base. Last start at Yankee stadium 3 runs on 3 hits going 6 inning, he too gave up 2 long balls. Too bad Phillies had only 1 run to support making Pedro the loser.
So tale of two veteran pitchers with different outcome come together. We have a lot of power at the plate and 2 games have gone over in a row. This one falls Under with Andy in bounce back spot and Pedro to keep rolling. I'm not sure if Phillies will force game 7, but I do think the score will fall Under.
PHL/NYY UNDER 9 at -101 from Pinnaclesports
So tale of two veteran pitchers with different outcome come together. We have a lot of power at the plate and 2 games have gone over in a row. This one falls Under with Andy in bounce back spot and Pedro to keep rolling. I'm not sure if Phillies will force game 7, but I do think the score will fall Under.
PHL/NYY UNDER 9 at -101 from Pinnaclesports
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
World Series Game #2
Game #1 pitchers battle plays out with Cliff Lee going 9 with no earned run looking sharp taking out the meat of Yankees line up. It was pretty close, but late inning was all Phillies. On game #2 Pedro Martinez against AJ Burnette. Reminds me of old Yankees Stadium when Pedro wore a Red Sox uniform as visitors and the crowd jeered "Who's your Daddy!". That was wild, how long ago was that? I haven't made a visit to the new Yankee Stadium, but the Bronx crowd is not going to change.
AJ got hit by the Angels in his last post season appearance and Pedro is coming off a very good outing so Phillies on short dog seems reasonable, but AJ at home is where he performs. Take the Yanks to put the series back to square.
YANKEES -118(W)
AJ got hit by the Angels in his last post season appearance and Pedro is coming off a very good outing so Phillies on short dog seems reasonable, but AJ at home is where he performs. Take the Yanks to put the series back to square.
YANKEES -118(W)
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
NLCS Game #4
Freeway World Series? That notion is melting like ice on scotch. Is there any flicker, any sign at all for one of these L.A. team to keep playing? I'd like to think so Dodgers are due up, do or die, with their best post season pitcher Vicente Padilla. He's pitching aggressive staying ahead and winning games. Dodgers have won all three October starts last game Vicente went toe to toe with Pedro for 7 inning 4 hit 1 run ND. 4 quality start out of last 7 with 4-0 record Dodgers have won 6-1. Cole Hamel stopped his losses against the Dodgers, but it wasn't like cutting butter. He gave up 2 HRs going 5.3 inning 8 hits 4 runs. Cole has only 2 quality start out of last 7 with record of 3-3, Phillies have 3-4 record. So Dodgers have a shot here! They were right there in last game they will sent this series back to L.A....I'd like to think so, but I ain't playing that. I will go against the losing team coming off a blown save playing on the road. Head to head match up in Philadelphia in recent season is undisputable and Phillies have got to the Dodgers twice, when their starting pitcher was rocked and when trailing late. I'd say there's good chance this comes to finish in the city of Brotherly Love. The consideration for possible elimination and strength of Padilla's road start will go to the Under.
PHL -136
UNDER 8.5
PHL -136
UNDER 8.5
Monday, October 19, 2009
MLB Monday
ALCS Yankees at Angels Game #3
New York sits in a Cat Bird Seat and send veteran Andy Pettitte who has been a long time regular in post season appearance. More importantly for New York Andy wins many of them. Outstanding on the road and he will keep those base runners honest with one of the best pick off move in the Majors. It also neutralizes one aspect of Angels weapon. Andy will also face Angels in offensive slump with surging LOB number and runs becoming a rarity. Yanks aren't hitting all that great either, but they are winning 2-0 in best of 7 series that puts all the pressure on Angels. Does the road dog Yankees look tempting? Before you lick your chops Angels starter Jered Weaver has shown his nasty side and it is very prone at home. The other is Angels home field and head to head match up in Anaheim all back by strong numbers for the Halos. The most compelling is still the Under and conditions looks good for this trend to extend today.
Andy Pettitte 11 quality start out of 17 away with excellent team record 12-5. 2-2 last 5 Total 1-4 O/U. Away games O/U 4-11, against the West 1-3, as a Underdog 1-3-1, in Day games 2-6-1.
Last start at Minnesota went 6.3 inning 3 hit 1 run with 1 BB and 7 SO.
Jered Weaver 13 quality start out of 17 home with just as good team record 12-5. 1-4 last 5 Total 0-5 O/U. Home games 6-9-2, Last home start went 6 inning 6 hits 2 runs with 3BB and 1 SO. Numbers may not be as pronounced as Pettitte, but WHIP is stingy 1.06 for Jered at home. Yankees 5 straight Under, Angels 4 Under out of 5.
NYY/LAA UNDER 8.5 at 100(L)
Jorge Posada routine line drive keeps going for a HR in late inning?
New York sits in a Cat Bird Seat and send veteran Andy Pettitte who has been a long time regular in post season appearance. More importantly for New York Andy wins many of them. Outstanding on the road and he will keep those base runners honest with one of the best pick off move in the Majors. It also neutralizes one aspect of Angels weapon. Andy will also face Angels in offensive slump with surging LOB number and runs becoming a rarity. Yanks aren't hitting all that great either, but they are winning 2-0 in best of 7 series that puts all the pressure on Angels. Does the road dog Yankees look tempting? Before you lick your chops Angels starter Jered Weaver has shown his nasty side and it is very prone at home. The other is Angels home field and head to head match up in Anaheim all back by strong numbers for the Halos. The most compelling is still the Under and conditions looks good for this trend to extend today.
Andy Pettitte 11 quality start out of 17 away with excellent team record 12-5. 2-2 last 5 Total 1-4 O/U. Away games O/U 4-11, against the West 1-3, as a Underdog 1-3-1, in Day games 2-6-1.
Last start at Minnesota went 6.3 inning 3 hit 1 run with 1 BB and 7 SO.
Jered Weaver 13 quality start out of 17 home with just as good team record 12-5. 1-4 last 5 Total 0-5 O/U. Home games 6-9-2, Last home start went 6 inning 6 hits 2 runs with 3BB and 1 SO. Numbers may not be as pronounced as Pettitte, but WHIP is stingy 1.06 for Jered at home. Yankees 5 straight Under, Angels 4 Under out of 5.
NYY/LAA UNDER 8.5 at 100(L)
Jorge Posada routine line drive keeps going for a HR in late inning?
Friday, October 16, 2009
ALCS Friday
Finally the line has moved and mind as well wait for the closing minute to take the visiting Angels. It just doesn't sit right when NYY this high on public list and C.C. get's lower than normal ML at home.
LAA +167(L)
LAA +167(L)
Saturday, October 10, 2009
MLB Playoff Saturday
Dodgers are tough at home and they proved it against their nemesis St Louis Cardinals who in past 100 match ups won 62%. Looking at more recent samples last 14 head to head in St Louis is better than 78% amazing number reflecting domination. Cardinals are backed into a corner do or die and La Russa will pull no punches. Piniero goes for the home team in crucial game 3. He's getting some bad media write up with losses mounting since September, but able to get 6+ inning in 5 out of last 7 and home WHIP 1.093 last faced the Dodger in July 29th going 8 inng pitchers duel against Kershaw giving up 1 run, striking out 7 in No Decision, Cardinals victory 3-2. He was ND Cardinal loss in last start against Milwaukee Oct 4, but likely spot to improve and should produce good number of ground outs. Dodgers will start Vincent Padilla who has paid dividends and wins on the road. Although Padilla's last 7 starts have resulted 6 Dodgers wins he's pitched quality in only 2 out of last 7 and his road WHIP of 1.260 has ballooned to 1.400 in last 3. He's providing around 5 inning and not tested outside of NL West, except Washington with ND gave up 4 runs in 5 inning, and lately not inducing grunders entering hostile territory. Pretty tall order for Dodgers to sweep St Louis, but that's what I'm going to back with wagering public over whelming St Louis. Despite the odds and opinion Cardinals will pay dearly for game 2 that got away. Padilla does not shoulder the weight he doesn't need to go further than 5 with L.A. bull pen not giving an inch. You know the Dodgers have outscored their opponents early to the tune of 121-54
LAD +153(W)
Dodgers roll!
LAD +153(W)
Dodgers roll!
Thursday, October 08, 2009
MLB Post Season Friday
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Now that division series hangover has eased maybe Twins will make a game of this? But what's the excuse for 7 other losses handed by the Yanks. You know the cliche post season is a whole new animal so along with perfect losing season, Yanks home wins, past post season wins all get a wash? I'm not basing anything on match up intangibles Yankees are clear favorite, but will they win Friday? Blackburn is coming in very much improved with contracting WHIP from 1.091 last 7 to 0.905 last 3 compared to Burnett's WHIP which has climbed to 1.488 last 7. Burnett pitched against Twins twice this season 1 win 1 ND both 1 run games both when Minnesota was still mediocre. Blackburn went against Yankees once ND at Bronx going deep and had the Twins right in there. That might not be enough, but good enough to take Twins +1.5
Taking Under as well with Burnett home O/U 5-11, against AL Central 1-5, Blackburn away 3-13-1, against AL East 1-3-1, against RH starter 7-13-1. Last 15 Twins match up in New York 4-8-3.
MINNESOTA +1.5 at +130(W)
MIN/NYY UNDER 10 at +100(W)
Good night
Now that division series hangover has eased maybe Twins will make a game of this? But what's the excuse for 7 other losses handed by the Yanks. You know the cliche post season is a whole new animal so along with perfect losing season, Yanks home wins, past post season wins all get a wash? I'm not basing anything on match up intangibles Yankees are clear favorite, but will they win Friday? Blackburn is coming in very much improved with contracting WHIP from 1.091 last 7 to 0.905 last 3 compared to Burnett's WHIP which has climbed to 1.488 last 7. Burnett pitched against Twins twice this season 1 win 1 ND both 1 run games both when Minnesota was still mediocre. Blackburn went against Yankees once ND at Bronx going deep and had the Twins right in there. That might not be enough, but good enough to take Twins +1.5
Taking Under as well with Burnett home O/U 5-11, against AL Central 1-5, Blackburn away 3-13-1, against AL East 1-3-1, against RH starter 7-13-1. Last 15 Twins match up in New York 4-8-3.
MINNESOTA +1.5 at +130(W)
MIN/NYY UNDER 10 at +100(W)
Good night
MLB Playoff Thursday
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Anaheim is a tough place for opposition and head to head home team holds definate edge. Angles 49-32 home. They are also returning big 37-17 against LH starter with 22.5% ROI 26-17 against AL East with 22% ROI. The problem is John Lackey 42% at home 7 quality out of 13 with Angels 6-7 losing 2 ND's 4 quality out of last 7 with 3-1, team record 4-3 reflecting ND to Loss at 3:1 clip.
Red Sox are solid and built for Post Season. If any weakness are found maybe 39-42 away, 13-21 vs American League West, but Jon Lester is the top money pitcher for Boston. 13 quality out of 18 road starts, 6 quality out of last 7, 17-6 against RH starter with 18 quality starts and 22-8 as favorites with 21 quality. I will take Boston to steal one and take the Total Under.
Anaheim is a tough place for opposition and head to head home team holds definate edge. Angles 49-32 home. They are also returning big 37-17 against LH starter with 22.5% ROI 26-17 against AL East with 22% ROI. The problem is John Lackey 42% at home 7 quality out of 13 with Angels 6-7 losing 2 ND's 4 quality out of last 7 with 3-1, team record 4-3 reflecting ND to Loss at 3:1 clip.
Red Sox are solid and built for Post Season. If any weakness are found maybe 39-42 away, 13-21 vs American League West, but Jon Lester is the top money pitcher for Boston. 13 quality out of 18 road starts, 6 quality out of last 7, 17-6 against RH starter with 18 quality starts and 22-8 as favorites with 21 quality. I will take Boston to steal one and take the Total Under.
Saturday, October 03, 2009
MLB Saturday
Late season games at it's best. Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers on slate tonight with 16 game winner Jorge De LaRosa pitching against young Clayton Kershaw. As many L.A. faithfuls gave high fives when Dodgers crushed the Nationals to start their road trip back on 9/22 that's all history it's all gone down hill from there, 2-6, dropping the series in Pittsburgh who Dodgers have owned forever and getting swept in San Diego with no offense in sight. Back to L.A. with Wolf also failed and now it's very interesting. Clayton was brilliant in first half, but this is a different pitcher on the mound who is win less in last 10 starts, Dodgers only cashed 1 ND, and now under 50% quality at home. Rockies come to play with De La Rosa on the mound winning 20 games behind him. He's also the Rockies top money pitcher with 69% money away. How can you blame me for taking this dog.
ROCKIES +131(L)
ROCKIES +131(L)
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
MLB Wednesday
Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves. Considering Braves position and Javier Vazquez's impressive September pitching you have to go with Bravos here, right? Ricky Nolasco is ok, but over matched, last 7 starts 3-1 with Marlins failing his ND's 3-4, facing Atlanta line up beating opponents by nearly 3 runs in last 7 games. It's understandable to pay the price or give the runline, but if you follow the backers profit you'll see Javier despite his 2.83 ERA and 1.02 WHIP has accumulated zero, little below zero. where Ricky has banked. Marlins have done more than ok when Ricky starts the game on the road at 10-6. Take the dog money.
MARLINS +183(W)
If you didn't see it check out the game wrap. This was a give me.
MARLINS +183(W)
If you didn't see it check out the game wrap. This was a give me.
Monday, September 21, 2009
MLB Monday
Andy Pettitte and the NY Yankees at Anaheim matched up with best in the West. Angels at home winning 62% 44-27, against the East 62% 25-15 and kills lefty starters 68% 32-15. Head to head Angels 2 seasons is 11-6 and at home 8-1. Joe Saunders (13-7) 5-1-1 last 7 and he has been money. Angels crushing Texas in final of series and extend their lead comes home with offense heating up. Yankees failed to take Seattle series with this tougher opponent coming up. All this said I like the Yanks tonight. Andy Pettitte has excelled away and he is 8-2, Yankees 11-3, his last 7 is 4-0 with NY 6-1 while Joe Saunders 13-7, Angels 17--11 has been winning at home, but home or away lacks quality. Joe has his games, but it's not consistent enough and I don't see the Yankees line up being forgiving.
Taking NY Yankees -104(L)
Taking NY Yankees -104(L)
Saturday, September 19, 2009
MLB Saturday
September 19
MLB Saturday
Big Bad Penny wearing a Giants uniform makes his way back to the scene circa 2006. The former Dodger, Red Sox reject, is once again looking like a warrior in NL bringing 3 straight quality starts all wins including one against the Dodgers at the Bay. Here we go for round two.
NL West division rivals are all at each other except San Diego at Pittsburgh. Rockies has lost it's grip on the road and for the Giants playing the Los Angeles series will need to win it if not win it all.
First game both teams nearly emptied everything they had and it was pretty tight until Billingsley entered as a reliever. Chad now moved out of the rotation which will most likely benefit the Dodgers for now. Jon Garland, ex-Diamondback, will get this spot and Jon has not lost as a Dodger, 2 wins and 1 ND, looks like a must watch, but many will sit out on taking stake. I'll play the Dodgers in L.A 60% winners at home, 64% winners against division while Giants are 43% away, 45% under dog and 50% against division. Plus looking at how much pitchers both teams burned last night that's going to hurt Giants more than Dodgers.
LA DODGERS -139 (W)
Rockies on the ropes at sea level. Started on road winning game 1 at San Diego, but it's been down hill from there going 1-6. Jason Hammel get the ball and he has been quality of late, but again Rox mirror two opposite side at home and away with Jason on the mound.
Max 9-9 with Snakes 15-13, winner at home 6-4, team 9-5, and that's what I'll take.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -111
MLB Saturday
Big Bad Penny wearing a Giants uniform makes his way back to the scene circa 2006. The former Dodger, Red Sox reject, is once again looking like a warrior in NL bringing 3 straight quality starts all wins including one against the Dodgers at the Bay. Here we go for round two.
NL West division rivals are all at each other except San Diego at Pittsburgh. Rockies has lost it's grip on the road and for the Giants playing the Los Angeles series will need to win it if not win it all.
First game both teams nearly emptied everything they had and it was pretty tight until Billingsley entered as a reliever. Chad now moved out of the rotation which will most likely benefit the Dodgers for now. Jon Garland, ex-Diamondback, will get this spot and Jon has not lost as a Dodger, 2 wins and 1 ND, looks like a must watch, but many will sit out on taking stake. I'll play the Dodgers in L.A 60% winners at home, 64% winners against division while Giants are 43% away, 45% under dog and 50% against division. Plus looking at how much pitchers both teams burned last night that's going to hurt Giants more than Dodgers.
LA DODGERS -139 (W)
Rockies on the ropes at sea level. Started on road winning game 1 at San Diego, but it's been down hill from there going 1-6. Jason Hammel get the ball and he has been quality of late, but again Rox mirror two opposite side at home and away with Jason on the mound.
Max 9-9 with Snakes 15-13, winner at home 6-4, team 9-5, and that's what I'll take.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -111
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
MLB Tuesday
Today I like John Lackey and the Angels matching up with Daisuke Matsuzaka in Fenway.
I understand it's Fenway in September, but it's also Lackey in September and Dice K is a long shot. Maybe not a long shot he does get the big pay check, but I'll go with what's now and no one is leading the way like John Lackey is for the Angels. Can't say the same about Dice man.
Angels -118 for 1 unit(L)
I understand it's Fenway in September, but it's also Lackey in September and Dice K is a long shot. Maybe not a long shot he does get the big pay check, but I'll go with what's now and no one is leading the way like John Lackey is for the Angels. Can't say the same about Dice man.
Angels -118 for 1 unit(L)
Monday, September 14, 2009
MLB Monday
Wandy Rodriguez has been pitching well he's 13-9 and Astros are 18-11. Wandy has been quality 4 out of last 5 breezing through 7 inning with only 85 pitches in his last start. Astros also playing winning ball 7 out of last 10 going tonight in Cincy the Reds are 1-6 in last 7, has not scored more than 4 runs except once in that span, scored 4 once and five times 3 runs or less it looks all good for the visitors, but that nice record by Wandy holds true at home not away. His most recent 4 road trips have resulted in loss or ND leading to Astros loss. Bronson Arroyo going for the Reds and deserves much better than current record. Tonight the Reds are back home coming off 2 consecutive 10 hit games maybe Arroyo gets his much needed run support. Play against Houston away with Cincinnati home dog.
REDS +118(W)
REDS +118(W)
Friday, September 11, 2009
MLB Friday
Twins are back home for 9 and surely there's a sense of urgency, isn't there? The window of opportunity hasn't completely trade Clayton Mortensen. He debut with St Louis back on 6/29 vs the Giants who promptly pounded him for 6 runs in 3 relief innings of work. Clayton debut with A's on 8/8 vs KC 8 runs in 4 inngs of work. Match up record in Minnesota where A's are 2-11 going back to 2006 there's not much expected today. Nick Blackburn getting his game in order at home he's 6-3 with team record of 8-5 only thing your pondering is taking -1.5 RL or laying the juice. The problem with taking Twins at this price with a losing pitcher, however improved, and uninspired games is asking for some hurting. A's with their losing record has the better money record and isn't that what we're after.
A's +191(W)
A's +191(W)
Thursday, September 10, 2009
MLB Thursday
Los Angeles Angels is the team to beat in AL West and they got Texas hot on their heels. Backers are fairly comfortable with Iron man Big John Lackey taking the mound against Ryan Rowland Smith and Seattle Mariners. Why not when Anaheim has been tough on visiting opponents Halos taking 60% of home games at 41-26.
John Lackey coming off a impressive pitchers dual in KC going 9 innings allowing 1 run. He has been quality 5 out of last 7 starts. On Mariners side Rowland Smith has 3 quality starts in a row also 5 out of last 7 and Mariners have played the Angels toe to toe this season 10-9, of those games 8 with one run difference. Are we in for another tight pitching low scoring game? I don't like tonight's pitching spot. Lackey's last 7 with 5 quality starts Angels logged 3-4, he's logged 333 pitches in last 3 and his backers are losing money 12-10 team record not enough to cover the juice. Seattle's Rowland Smith went 8 innings in last start scattered 4 with 3 ER looked good, but away games are going Over and he's thrown 327 pitches in last 3. This is a likely regression spot for one or both pitchers and the Total is 8. Angel Compos behind the plate has a pretty good strike zone, but he's averaging 9 runs. L.A. is nearly 59% Over at home and facing LHP is 57% Over
OVER 8(L)
John Lackey coming off a impressive pitchers dual in KC going 9 innings allowing 1 run. He has been quality 5 out of last 7 starts. On Mariners side Rowland Smith has 3 quality starts in a row also 5 out of last 7 and Mariners have played the Angels toe to toe this season 10-9, of those games 8 with one run difference. Are we in for another tight pitching low scoring game? I don't like tonight's pitching spot. Lackey's last 7 with 5 quality starts Angels logged 3-4, he's logged 333 pitches in last 3 and his backers are losing money 12-10 team record not enough to cover the juice. Seattle's Rowland Smith went 8 innings in last start scattered 4 with 3 ER looked good, but away games are going Over and he's thrown 327 pitches in last 3. This is a likely regression spot for one or both pitchers and the Total is 8. Angel Compos behind the plate has a pretty good strike zone, but he's averaging 9 runs. L.A. is nearly 59% Over at home and facing LHP is 57% Over
OVER 8(L)
Wednesday, September 09, 2009
MLB Wednesday
The new Yankee stadium has been referred as a home run friendly park and the Bronx Bombers certainly fit the bill especially in AL, but that kind of label also drives the O/U Total toward public perception bringing the Yanks home 0/U record to 31-34. You know the Rays are playing Under to the tune of 0/U 29-40 away from Trop, 11-22 as Underdogs and Jeff Neimann (12-5) has been lowering his WHIP down to 1.08 in last 7 starts. New York's Joba Chamberlin is no doubt pitching Over, but he did blank Tampa in 8 innings of work. Chamberlin's only thrown 190 pitches in last three starts combine a generous strike zone from Fieldin Culbreth and take the UNDER 10.
TAM/NYY UNDER 10 at -110 for 1 unit
TAM/NYY UNDER 10 at -110 for 1 unit
Saturday, August 22, 2009
Dog Days of Summer Saturday MLB Pick
Can't keep me away too long. There's a quiet battle going on shadowed by Yanks at Red Sox. The game is SF Giants at Colorado Rockies. Keep your eyes on two teams playing the hot track. Giants take round one with Rox losing more than the game. They lost key pitcher Aaron Cook. Now they'll send Jorge De La Rosa 135.2 innings of work with excellent results, 8-1 for last 10 and Rockies winning 9 of 10. Tonight Jorge comes in with 20K's in last 13.1 innings over 2 games this is out of his norm. He also threw too many pitches and benefited from strong offense.
The other side is Joe Martines who is lacking seasonal data and he does labor on the mound showed his most effective start against the Mets. The out come looks closer than indicated by the odds and these two Over trending pitchers will get Bill Miller with O/U 8-17
SF GIANTS +188 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
The other side is Joe Martines who is lacking seasonal data and he does labor on the mound showed his most effective start against the Mets. The out come looks closer than indicated by the odds and these two Over trending pitchers will get Bill Miller with O/U 8-17
SF GIANTS +188 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
MLB Monday
I have some interest in Chicago Cubs today facing the visiting World Champions Philadelphia Phillies. Purely a pitching speculation, but I think Harden will out do Happ. Keep in mind it's just a thought this match up on paper says Phillies and Happ will take the game, but odds makers are pointing to the Cubs. The problem is the risk of Phillies comeback in late inning. Take the short game.
CUBS First 5 innings*(PUSH)
CUBS First 5 innings*(PUSH)
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Mid Summer Baseball
Don't you guys love it. When hot lazy days under the shade calls for boys of summer to take the field that familiar sound of Rawling in the air. Snap of the leather, crack of the bat it take you back to a place and time only you remember. Maybe in Birmingham, Tulsa, Albuquerque or somewhere where there's a field and young men with dreams of MLB. I will be watching, following and wishing you well.
Catch me on the flip side.
Catch me on the flip side.
Sunday, August 02, 2009
MLB Sunday
Mariners at Texas
Ian Snell was a bust as a Pirate before the trade to Seattle this season. I don't know but, sometimes your not happy where your at and it shows on your performance. Let's give some credit to 4 quality out of last 5 and showed ability to bounce back from poor outing. Keeping good pitch count per inning giving up no HR's has been the key. He's not going to mow them down and the pen should get some play time. Feldman for Texas has been doing it all season, but I see him as a road warrior with less impact at home. Doesn't mean he can't get the job done I just like these two team to end below the Total. Both teams tops in AL West Under's. Here we go.
UNDER 9.5
Ian Snell was a bust as a Pirate before the trade to Seattle this season. I don't know but, sometimes your not happy where your at and it shows on your performance. Let's give some credit to 4 quality out of last 5 and showed ability to bounce back from poor outing. Keeping good pitch count per inning giving up no HR's has been the key. He's not going to mow them down and the pen should get some play time. Feldman for Texas has been doing it all season, but I see him as a road warrior with less impact at home. Doesn't mean he can't get the job done I just like these two team to end below the Total. Both teams tops in AL West Under's. Here we go.
UNDER 9.5
Saturday, July 25, 2009
MLB Saturday
New York Mets at Houston Astros.
Mets are sending Jon Niese making his sixth appearance. I remember reading about Niese making improvements in the Minor, but I also recall the chance of him coming up was good as a full lunar eclipse. How things change with few pitchers going down and it does look like a case of hot pitcher getting the call. However Mets are reeling on the road and one big motive operendi is surging Astros in the 2nd half.
HOUSTON -130 for 1 unit
Mets are sending Jon Niese making his sixth appearance. I remember reading about Niese making improvements in the Minor, but I also recall the chance of him coming up was good as a full lunar eclipse. How things change with few pitchers going down and it does look like a case of hot pitcher getting the call. However Mets are reeling on the road and one big motive operendi is surging Astros in the 2nd half.
HOUSTON -130 for 1 unit
Friday, July 24, 2009
MLB Friday
Sometimes there are too many rainy days. Aaron Harang with 121 innings completed throwing 104 K's to 29 BB's is having those rainy days. The pride of San Diego State has regressed since going 16-6 two seasons ago and has not recorded a W since 5/25, that's 11 starts ago. Consecutive starts going 7 innings or better has not happened since 6/4 & 6/10 meaning 7th innings of performance has been followed by a declined outing. He does keep the Reds in striking range as indicated by the team record of 9-11, but when Cincy takes the road Aaron is 1-6 with team record of 3-7 with loss margin of 1.6 runs. Cubs will take the home field with Randy Wells on the mound. At 5-4 record & 7-6 team record seems unassuming, but he is progressing. From 6/21 to 7/6 he strung 4 wins in a row all quality starts. He has 5 wins in last 6 starts with excellent run support comes to play 4-1 under the sun.
CUBS -146 for 1 unit(W)
CUBS -146 for 1 unit(W)
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
MLB Wednesday
I feel tonight's going to be a good night. Coming into to late season form St Louis Cardinals come to play at Minute Maid park. You know Houston will be toasting in blazing Texas sun, but the game will come in climate controlled park with funny angles and center field mound with a pole. Keeping in mind Redbirds are reeling, but will put their faith in Chris Carpenter (8-3, 2.26 ERA & 0.88 WHIP) undefeated in July looking very much the Ace. On the home front Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.65 ERA & 1.18 WHIP) coming off a 1 run complete game and also undefeated in July. This match up dictates the low 7.5 total dropping to 7 though the pitchers do not trend strongly the teams do.
UNDER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
UNDER 7.5 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
Sunday, July 05, 2009
MLB Sunday
Looking at Cards at Reds I see very similar teams, but Cards hold the pedigree. All eyes will be casted on Carpenter match up against Arroyo. Now Bronson has been terrible to this point Carpenter's failure are rare and seen as anomaly. So how do I break it down? Chris Carpenter was touched up by the Giants last Tuesday and most likely Chris will come ready to play. As La Russa said Giant's didn't give up contact for six runs, but they hit some well placed balls. The trend is Carpenter as good as he is he's given up at least 3 runs in 4 out of 5 starts meaning his dominance is cooling. Bronson Arroyo made no secrets about having offseason surgery to repair the carpal tunnel injury in his right wrist, but he's been working on cortisone shot and claims it's been pretty good. 6 runs he gave up the first 3 runs are tied into error throw to First, but he did give up a back to back home runs, one to Dan Harren the opposing pitcher. Anyway both pitchers are in a spot to improve and the books hung a 7.5 total which quickly drove up to 8. We are looking at Sunday baseball under the Sun, it's cloudy in Cincinnati, at he Great American Ballpark and even with pitchers improving the number looks a bit low for this hitter friendly ball park. I agree with the direction of this Total and recommend taking OVER the current Total of 8.
OVER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
It was one sided, but I'll take it! 0-1 +1.00 unit
OVER 8 at -110 for 1 unit(W)
It was one sided, but I'll take it! 0-1 +1.00 unit
Saturday, June 27, 2009
MLB Saturday
Shairon Martis starting for Washington Nationals is coming off a loss against Toronto and his team has strung 5 losses in a row with Martis on the job. He is lacking quality outing only logging one in four June games. His last win was 5/13@SFG and last team win was 5/24 BAL. Things look pretty gloom for Nationals on the road against O's, but let me list some positives. Martis out of 14 games started 11 was Underdog and all six of his quality starts came in Underdog situation with Nats going 5-6 and 50% against Righty. Another indicator is his game leading to a quality has come after a rocky outing just as his last one. On the O Birds home mound Jeremy Guthrie will take the ball and despite having 5 quality starts out of last 7 the O's are only 2-5. Overall Guthrie's starts have yeild 5-10 record absolutely burning backers money. Allow me to take the good size road dog on Martis turn around spot.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS +170 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
WASHINGTON NATIONALS +170 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
MLB Wednesday
Matt Garza SP for Tampa is often said to have the best stuff in the Rays rotation, but as current records indicate he is average ERA of 3.83 with record of 4-5. When Matt takes the ball Rays have 6-8 record. He does have winning edge at home 3-2 with team record of 5-3. Does that earn -170 ML? The Odds makers have been on the mark. Most recent big number was against the Nats at home 6/12 at -250 ND Rays win. Before that was -191 home against A's 5/21 ND Rays win. 5/16 was home against Indians -175 recorded win, 5/5 Baltimore at home -184 recorded win. So he/Rays has been tough at home laying the number. Rays are also good in closing out games. Except Rays have some problems with Phillies dating back to last World Series and what happened last night? 10-1 not exactly a revenge battle? This spot is looking very tempting to take the road dog when the dog is the best road team in the Majors and Blanton 4-3 is also a road warrior with 3 of the 4 wins coming away, but don't cast judgement on Matt Garza based on what Pierce gave up. Joe Blanton has logged 3 ND in a row longest of this season and given up HR's in every June start. I think Joe will be good today, but Tampa holds late inning edge. Like I said the ML dog is tempting, but if you must choose sides take the +1.5 runs. I will take the play on Under as both pitchers are poised to improve and Rays power outage holds advantage over sides.
UNDER 9 at +103 for 1 unit(W)
That was a bit interesting towards the end 1-0 +1.03 units
UNDER 9 at +103 for 1 unit(W)
That was a bit interesting towards the end 1-0 +1.03 units
Saturday, June 20, 2009
MLB Saturday
Is Johan Santana OK? You have to ask yourself before pulling the trigger on Tampa Bay at New York Mets. Maybe your looking at stats see Tampa's James Shields having hard time on the road (1-3 and team 1-5 away) against Santana's stellar 5-1 home record. Mets are also 8 games above .500 at home vs Tampa 14-22 away. But coming back to my first question is Johan Santana OK? He's got off track 2 starts ago and last one against the Yanks was a doozy. The money has been going toward the Mets and I'm not convinced of Santana's shape. Shields still eating innings and Rays pen has been good.
TAMPA +116 for 1 unit(W)
Johan back on his game, but James is bringing it too. We have a pitchers battle and this one might get called with this delay lasting any longer. It'll be too bad because true to Santana's form the long ball was launched by Pena giving the Rays 2-1 lead. We are in a delay in the 8th.
Maybe try another.
New York Yankees at Florida Marlins.
A.J. Burnett against Josh Johnson I like both of these pitchers and this season a big fan of JJ. The big righty has compiled 98 innings going 6-1. 2.76 ERA which improves to 3-1, 2.02 ERA at home. With JJ working on the mound the Fish are 11-3 an impeccable record. The visiting Yanks with A.J. Burnett is a force to reckon with they disposed Johan Santana and the mets by score of 15-0 the last time. A.J. is a warrior, but maybe not in the same groove as JJ with 5-3 record and Yanks going 8-5. On the road Yanks have gone 3-3. I like the Fish here, but I'm going to roll with the UNDER with this Interleague game being played at National League park and although A.J. has been involved in some high scoring games it's not because off A.J. Yankees also trending Under. Marlins play Over at home, but I'll take exception with Jeff kellogg behind the plate with a generous strike zone.
NYY/TAMP UNDER 8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
There you go 2-0 +2.16 units
TAMPA +116 for 1 unit(W)
Johan back on his game, but James is bringing it too. We have a pitchers battle and this one might get called with this delay lasting any longer. It'll be too bad because true to Santana's form the long ball was launched by Pena giving the Rays 2-1 lead. We are in a delay in the 8th.
Maybe try another.
New York Yankees at Florida Marlins.
A.J. Burnett against Josh Johnson I like both of these pitchers and this season a big fan of JJ. The big righty has compiled 98 innings going 6-1. 2.76 ERA which improves to 3-1, 2.02 ERA at home. With JJ working on the mound the Fish are 11-3 an impeccable record. The visiting Yanks with A.J. Burnett is a force to reckon with they disposed Johan Santana and the mets by score of 15-0 the last time. A.J. is a warrior, but maybe not in the same groove as JJ with 5-3 record and Yanks going 8-5. On the road Yanks have gone 3-3. I like the Fish here, but I'm going to roll with the UNDER with this Interleague game being played at National League park and although A.J. has been involved in some high scoring games it's not because off A.J. Yankees also trending Under. Marlins play Over at home, but I'll take exception with Jeff kellogg behind the plate with a generous strike zone.
NYY/TAMP UNDER 8 at -105 for 1 unit(W)
There you go 2-0 +2.16 units
Monday, June 15, 2009
MLB Monday
If your having some late thoughts on Baseball you should know money has pushed Cleveland Indians at home and Los Angeles Angels visiting San Fransisco Bay. That's it a small card and a quiet night after the Lakers win NBA Championship. Kind of like sports wagering intermission "We will return after a day of rest" is the sign posted. Hell with that! Big John Lacky and the Halos are playing at the Bay. Zito and the G-Men will need to force Angels hands and get Lacky out the game. Rooting for the home team at the Stick, yeah it's some telephone company name on the stadium sign, but to me it's still the STICK.
SFG +119 for 1 unit(L)
LAA/SFG OVER 8.5 for 1 unit(W)
MIL/CLE OVER 9.5 for 1 unit(W)
2-1 +2.00 units
SFG +119 for 1 unit(L)
LAA/SFG OVER 8.5 for 1 unit(W)
MIL/CLE OVER 9.5 for 1 unit(W)
2-1 +2.00 units
Friday, June 12, 2009
MLB Saturday
Inter league games are different animal. Tigers at Pittsburgh. Armando Galarraga 3-6, 5.19 ERA coming off 3 consecutive quality games pitching 20.2 innings. Armando is a hard luck pitcher who's lacking a win since April 26th nine games ago, but last game in No Decision Tigers picked up a win. Pirates will send Zack Duke 6-4 with 3.07 ERA and tough at home, 4-2 with 2.66 ERA. Zack did not have it in his last game @ATL 6/8 going 6 innings giving up 11 hits and 6 runs, not since April 19th did he give up double digit hits funny thing is that was against Atlanta too. This game by virtue of pitching match up and Pirates being simply under estimated at home makes Pittsburgh a interesting thought. The line has gone exactly that way towards Pirates from opening while Detroit is the slight public favorite. So do you take the sharp move with home team? I'm not doing that here. Detroit Tigers 6th in MLB money team takes Bucs who are above .500 at home. I'd rather take the money line dogs and sinking Under
DETROIT TIGERS +102 for 1 unit(L)
UNDER 9 for -108 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.08 units
DETROIT TIGERS +102 for 1 unit(L)
UNDER 9 for -108 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.08 units
Thursday, June 11, 2009
MLB Thursday
Kansas City Royals are playing at Jacob, no it's Progressive Field, sending Zack Greinke, 8-2 with 1.55 ERA. This righty stud has completed 87 innings with a stingy WHIP 0.97 his last game 6/05 @TOR was a rare non-quality start after stringing 9 consecutive quality games and first game to give up 2 HR's, matter of fact he had not given any homer up to that point, all in all a off game. Majority will agree he should be back on his game today. On the flip side home town Cleveland Indians with Jeremy Sowers, 1-3 in 25 innings 5.40 ERA that's 5 tries the lone win comes as a relief appearance 5/25 against Tampa, but he did throw quality last time 6/06 @ CHW in a losing game. Obviously KC will have the pitching advantage, but Sowers improvements are under estimated compared to Zack's success not always getting wins, 1-3 last 4 & 2-4 last 6. Zack's strength is also at home and his schedule has missed most road games so far. Royals themselves are 10-18 away. Since the start of this road trip 6/02 Royals have played 8 games and won 2. I'll look for another hard luck game for Zack and the Royals.
CLEVELAND INDIANS +122 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah Baby! Talk about hard luck Royals. The ball flattened a low-flying gull in the 10th inning and rolled past Kansas City's center fielder and Mark DeRosa scored from second base to give the Cleveland Indians a 4-3 win over the Royals on Thursday night.
1-0 +1.22 units
CLEVELAND INDIANS +122 for 1 unit(W)
Yeah Baby! Talk about hard luck Royals. The ball flattened a low-flying gull in the 10th inning and rolled past Kansas City's center fielder and Mark DeRosa scored from second base to give the Cleveland Indians a 4-3 win over the Royals on Thursday night.
1-0 +1.22 units
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
MLB Wednesday
Sup everyone? Have you noticed Randy Johnson, the Big Unit, is rarely referred to as the "Big" Unit anymore? He's just the Unit, is that discrediting to his largeness? Or how about the Under Dog status he receives today against the Nats. The meek, pesky Nats and the young gun Jordan Zimmermann will look to delay Randy Johnson's historical 300th win. Can't blame the school of "Not on the first try" theory. If I'm not mistaken only 4 members of the exclusive 300 club did it on the first try. But you know the outcome doesn't equate to Giants losing.
SF GIANTS +121 for 1 unit(PPD)
SF GIANTS +121 for 1 unit(PPD)
Thursday, May 28, 2009
MLB Friday
Wow the week flew by and it's already Friday! That's alright it's going to be a busy weekend as usual. Hey the Dodgers are still rolling. They started hot last year and first half is going great this year. Billingsly coming off a 5 run game I expect better in this spot. Lilly is pitching well too and coming off a 5 run game which likely will improve at home. So can we take the Under.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS/CHICAGO CUBS UNDER 8 -115(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
LOS ANGELES DODGERS/CHICAGO CUBS UNDER 8 -115(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Monday, May 25, 2009
MLB Monday
Being in L.A. I followed the Freeway series and what a series it was. Nail biter all the way and you know the Angels took the series, but they exhausted their pitching. Look what happened with Ervin Santana getting clobbered when the pen is hurting. Now on to game 2 at the Big A with Sando getting the call pitching against Bartolo Colon who stuggled mightily against Minnesota and has not gone more than 5 all May. Last recorded win was 4/28. Still Angel pitching is depleted and I can not pass +170 in this spot. Also these low number Totals are just getting crushed Over by the Angels not to mention White sox with their limited Over the record is O/U 5-2 when at 8 or 8.5 on the road. Take the early Total and steal the Moneyline as Angels are the big public play.
*Keep in mind this is a game wiht live wagering available at various Books. Which means chances of profit taking during game is always a option.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX +177 for 1 unit(W)
ANGELS/WHITE SOX OVER 8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.72 units
*Keep in mind this is a game wiht live wagering available at various Books. Which means chances of profit taking during game is always a option.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX +177 for 1 unit(W)
ANGELS/WHITE SOX OVER 8.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 +0.72 units
Friday, May 22, 2009
MLB Interleague "The Freeway Series"
I have no love for the interleague games, but taking a shot with the winningest team in the Majors who happen to also be the best at home.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -120 for 1 unit(L)
So many chances to cash this in and Dodgers could not answer.
0-1 -1.20 units
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -120 for 1 unit(L)
So many chances to cash this in and Dodgers could not answer.
0-1 -1.20 units
Thursday, May 14, 2009
MLB Friday
Philadelphia (J. Blanton) at Washington (J. Lannan)
Following the games with certain expectations produce surprises, but some of the most obvious are the one's you never see coming. Washington Nationals are playing decent ball, above the expectation, coming off a road trip 4-4 Western road trip, 6-5 May. Philadelphia on the other hand is playing below expectation dropping two series at home, 2-4 last 6 at home all losses by more than -1.5 and Blanton pitching has strung 2 losses sporting 6.82 ERA & 1.60 WHIP. How will they compete against lefty Lannan who has logged 7 games 3.89 ERA and much better 1.86 ERA at home? I think the rise of Washington to fall of Philadelphia has brought misdirection to today's game and if it's the history holds true nature will correct itself. Joe Blanton 3-0 in most recent match up against Nats and Phil's are 63% at Washingon.
PHILADELPHIA -105 for 1 unit(W)
Cincinnati Reds (A. Harang) at San Diego Padres (K. Corriea)
Reds and Pads are another two teams heading into different directions, but San Diego was anticipated to be bad and there wasn't much covering that fact. Pads line up is hitting .221 right & .209 left and their pen has been heavily taxed facing one of MLB's best road team. Kevin Corriea coming off a quality outing, but ND in Pad loss. Wins have eluded Kevin and all 3 home starts are ND's, but Pads are 2-1. Aaron Harang eating up innings and taking down batters 2.93 ERA in all games. San Diego native should have no probs at Petco.
Reds -118 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 -0.18 units
Following the games with certain expectations produce surprises, but some of the most obvious are the one's you never see coming. Washington Nationals are playing decent ball, above the expectation, coming off a road trip 4-4 Western road trip, 6-5 May. Philadelphia on the other hand is playing below expectation dropping two series at home, 2-4 last 6 at home all losses by more than -1.5 and Blanton pitching has strung 2 losses sporting 6.82 ERA & 1.60 WHIP. How will they compete against lefty Lannan who has logged 7 games 3.89 ERA and much better 1.86 ERA at home? I think the rise of Washington to fall of Philadelphia has brought misdirection to today's game and if it's the history holds true nature will correct itself. Joe Blanton 3-0 in most recent match up against Nats and Phil's are 63% at Washingon.
PHILADELPHIA -105 for 1 unit(W)
Cincinnati Reds (A. Harang) at San Diego Padres (K. Corriea)
Reds and Pads are another two teams heading into different directions, but San Diego was anticipated to be bad and there wasn't much covering that fact. Pads line up is hitting .221 right & .209 left and their pen has been heavily taxed facing one of MLB's best road team. Kevin Corriea coming off a quality outing, but ND in Pad loss. Wins have eluded Kevin and all 3 home starts are ND's, but Pads are 2-1. Aaron Harang eating up innings and taking down batters 2.93 ERA in all games. San Diego native should have no probs at Petco.
Reds -118 for 1 unit(L)
1-1 -0.18 units
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
MLB Wednesday
St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Pinero vs Ohlendorf
Bucks regressed on the road, but St Louis is also falling. It's just most view Cards to recover and Pirates continue to fall. That perception is a misguided thinking. Bucks on the road is a contrast to what's been happening at home and they've already got a win on their first game back from the road. Why not ride the home dog.
PIRATES +108 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.08 units
Pinero vs Ohlendorf
Bucks regressed on the road, but St Louis is also falling. It's just most view Cards to recover and Pirates continue to fall. That perception is a misguided thinking. Bucks on the road is a contrast to what's been happening at home and they've already got a win on their first game back from the road. Why not ride the home dog.
PIRATES +108 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.08 units
Thursday, May 07, 2009
MLB Thursday
Running short n time today. Playing Texas Rangers at Oakland A's listing pitchers McCarthy vs Cahill. I will take the Oakland A's with ML being very tight and pitching looks to give contact in the day game. I'm suspecting A's strike first and Texas will play catch up. A's should have late game advantage and will be bit chilly.
OAKLAND A'S FIRST 5 INNINGS +103 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.03 units
OAKLAND A'S FIRST 5 INNINGS +103 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.03 units
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
MLB Wednesday
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox.
Galarraga vs Buehrie
This game in the south side has White Sox written all over. Not because of returning Jermaine Dye and Josh Fields for offensive improvement, not because of Tigers, Armando Galarraga, sliding a tad with 26.80 ERA, but most of all because Mark Buehrle showing he's still has the stuff making him one of the most winningest home pitcher in modern time.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -103 for 1 unit(PPD)
Galarraga vs Buehrie
This game in the south side has White Sox written all over. Not because of returning Jermaine Dye and Josh Fields for offensive improvement, not because of Tigers, Armando Galarraga, sliding a tad with 26.80 ERA, but most of all because Mark Buehrle showing he's still has the stuff making him one of the most winningest home pitcher in modern time.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -103 for 1 unit(PPD)
Thursday, April 30, 2009
MLB Thursday
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers. Early division battles continue with Dodgers returning to the ravine after playing 1 under .500 on the road and splitting the West, (COL 2-1 series win, SFG 1-2 series loss). Dodgers sporting almost a 4 more runs and perfect at home will return on a short hop giving L.A -145 home fav status. J. McDonald will take the mound with 1-1 record, 2-1 team record, 7.72 ERA. He is coming off a win at Colorado, but there are no quality start and has yet to go beyond 5 innings. Padres coming from Colorado (1-2 series loss) Geer filling in for Shawn Hill is coming off a excellent start and if he can come near what he did San Diego should have a fighting chance. I'm going to say the starting pitchers don't factor into this outcome and normally skimpy Total is up to 9, but I think it's reachable and late scoring has been plentiful.
SDP/LAD OVER 9 -118 for 1 unit
SDP/LAD OVER 9 -118 for 1 unit
Monday, April 27, 2009
MLB Monday
Check out Pittsburgh 11-7 with top ERA in baseball. I know most are not holding their breathes and these games are going under the radar. Tonight the Bucs make a trip to Milwaukee where the Brewers are 2-4 with 8-10 overall. Their less than impressive record is actually a reflection of a team coming out of a slow start. Milwaukee coming home after taking 2 out of 3 series beating Houston and Philadelphia going 5-4, but 4-1 in last 5. Brandon Looper taking the mound for Brew crew is starting out nicely in 17 innings, 3 starts 2-0 record with Brewers winning all three. Pittsburgh will counter with Jeff Karstens who has the least innings of all Pirates starters and might be considered the weak link, but he too is coming off a win. The big factor making the Brewers a big favorite is their 12 game straight win against Pittsburgh. Matter of fact Milwaukee has lost 1 game out of last 15 against the Bucs. That kind of stuff will stay in your mind, but the odds are stacked too high and Bucs are playing good ball. It's still April I'll take the value.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES ML +183 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 units
PITTSBURGH PIRATES ML +183 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 units
Saturday, April 25, 2009
MLB Saturday
Milwaukee at Houston. Brewers are cooking with 3 wins and they are playing .500 ball on the road. Starters, outside of Parra's last start, have completed 6 innings or more. Last night's win Yovani Gallardo coming off a complete game leaving Brewers pen well rested. Testament to their resent pitching and defense this road trip has given up 2 runs or less in 5 out of 7 games, O/U 1-6 & W/L 5-2, which is all good. On the other side, the home team Houston Astros, who are 6-11, 4-7 at home, so far and they are not hitting. I normally give you the take on pitching, but I'd play action here.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 (W)
1-0 +1.10 units
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 (W)
1-0 +1.10 units
Thursday, April 23, 2009
MLB Thursday
Tigers in the South land is on the prowl and the Halos are grasping for help. Angels, the top contender in AL West, are very much in need of Arms and today will be no different. Pitching has gone dry and Tigers will feast.
DET Run Line -1.5 +120 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
DET Run Line -1.5 +120 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Saturday, April 18, 2009
MLB Saturday
Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees. F. Carmona vs C. Wang. Both pitchers are floundering and Wang has not looked well in a long time. Thus today we have a high end total at 10.5 which many will see it as a reasonable score to reach. But early numbers suggest over compensation and I'm not saying pitchers are going to be in mid season form I think the number is too high.
CLE/NYY UNDER 10.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
CLE/NYY UNDER 10.5 at -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
MLB Tuesday
Yanks got killed at tropicana yesterday. It's only April, but people sure are talking about AL champs winning at home. I'm sure they will be pretty good, I don't disagree, but AL East as always is no cake walk and AJ taking the mound will not falter easily.
NYY +112 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.12 units
NYY +112 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.12 units
Friday, April 10, 2009
MLB Friday
SF Giants at SD Padres.
Barry Zito's back on the mound for the G-men. Considering his rough 2008 and his first NL year 2007 you might sense the value here. I mean 10-17 record was the worst in his 9 years of majors. Coming from Oakland A's in 2007 he definitely looked like a bad buy for the Giants (11-13) and things took a turn for the worst in 2008. But 2009 model Zito is a bit different and one stat I look for a dip is the WHIP combined with little scoring and Zito outing should be much better. Shawn Hill is also a value pick up for the Pads. Released by Nationals and making a spot rotation for San Diego. There's a lot riding for Shawn to earn his right for the rotation and he is a sinker baller which I favor, but I look for Giants to break through and Zito to pitch in form.
GIANTS +112 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Barry Zito's back on the mound for the G-men. Considering his rough 2008 and his first NL year 2007 you might sense the value here. I mean 10-17 record was the worst in his 9 years of majors. Coming from Oakland A's in 2007 he definitely looked like a bad buy for the Giants (11-13) and things took a turn for the worst in 2008. But 2009 model Zito is a bit different and one stat I look for a dip is the WHIP combined with little scoring and Zito outing should be much better. Shawn Hill is also a value pick up for the Pads. Released by Nationals and making a spot rotation for San Diego. There's a lot riding for Shawn to earn his right for the rotation and he is a sinker baller which I favor, but I look for Giants to break through and Zito to pitch in form.
GIANTS +112 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Nick Adenhart
Nick Adenhart's unexpected passing is tragic to say the least. I can't tell you much about the kid, but I do know he was the product from Williamsport, MD. on the fast track this year. Debut in the Bigs May 1, 2008 and logged three starts with 9.00 ERA. He showed growth in spring training and got the call with injury riddled starters. It was a promising 2009 start against Oakland at home going 6 innings 7 hits no runs who would of known that would of been his last day on this earth. Taken at such young age he will not be forgotten RIP.
Monday, April 06, 2009
MLB Opening Day 2009
Opening day! Let's go out to Pet Co Park where Jake Peavy will take the mound. Padres are supposed to be coming up for fire sale soon and there are tons of negative talk. Opposing visitors, L.A. Dodgers, are supposed to take the division by storm. But Kuroda on opening day tells me they are lacking quality arm. Don't get me wrong Kuroda has come through last season, but he's no big secret and Japanese imports have dipped in their second year. Taking the underestimated Padres with proven ace Peavy.
SAN DIEGO PADRES -120 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.20 units
SAN DIEGO PADRES -120 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.20 units
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
Final Tune up Wednesday
Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals
Royals -113 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Royals -113 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Cactus League Tuesday
This is a good match up LAA at CUBS.
Line has held steady, but I'll give the boys from Mesa the advantage. WS implications? Maybe top contenders. Should be fun.
CUBS -102 for 1 unit(L)
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Brewers to take this contest at the sports complex.
MIL +102 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.02 units
Line has held steady, but I'll give the boys from Mesa the advantage. WS implications? Maybe top contenders. Should be fun.
CUBS -102 for 1 unit(L)
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Brewers to take this contest at the sports complex.
MIL +102 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.02 units
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Sunday Baseball
What a bad call on friday. I'm going to give some thought on Sunday's game, Saturday is all done, and see if there's any early advantage. It's not all that early since the lines have been out for few hours, but early enough most players are not locked into any games yet.
Diamondbacks will feature their regulars on Sunday hosting the White Sox. The Sox scheduled to start Danks making the trip Fields, Chris Getz, Dewayne Wise, Brian Anderson and Jerry Owens are just some of the players making the trip to face D-backs starter Doug Davis.
ZONA -113 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.26 units
Diamondbacks will feature their regulars on Sunday hosting the White Sox. The Sox scheduled to start Danks making the trip Fields, Chris Getz, Dewayne Wise, Brian Anderson and Jerry Owens are just some of the players making the trip to face D-backs starter Doug Davis.
ZONA -113 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.26 units
Friday, March 27, 2009
My Lucky Day
Holy shit! I just been alerted by my astrologer about my upcoming "lucky" day where I will triple my wealth. This will be one of my 3 dramatic life altering moments and I best be ready. The time is closing in and I need to act now. The instructions proceed to explain I am to call Dick at the given number, last name Head, and for a incredibly low price of $99.95 I will get the exact angle for this moment. Absolute lock guaranteed and if by some far fetch chance it doesn't work out my other 2 "lucky" days in my life are FREE....
I live by the words of Rolling Stones "You can't always get what you want" and that's the truth, but if you try sometimes you might find you get what you need.
OAKLAND A's at Phoenix muni taking on the visiting Padres. I'll take that home advantage. I think Peavy is going for Padres which may move this Moneyline. I'm going to watch for movement.
OAK at -114 1 unit(L)
Peavy too strong! 0-1 -1.14 units
I live by the words of Rolling Stones "You can't always get what you want" and that's the truth, but if you try sometimes you might find you get what you need.
OAKLAND A's at Phoenix muni taking on the visiting Padres. I'll take that home advantage. I think Peavy is going for Padres which may move this Moneyline. I'm going to watch for movement.
OAK at -114 1 unit(L)
Peavy too strong! 0-1 -1.14 units
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Cactus League Thursday
Sup? Took a winner on hardwood last night and looking forward to Royal vs Mariners at Peoria Sports Complex. Ponson vs Felix I'll take Seattle.
SEATTLE -110 for 1 unit(W)
9th inning comeback for the home team. Already feels like summer.
1-0 +1.00 unit
SEATTLE -110 for 1 unit(W)
9th inning comeback for the home team. Already feels like summer.
1-0 +1.00 unit
Monday, March 23, 2009
Cactus League Monday
Chicago Cubs will ride to Papago Park today to face Dana Eveland and the Oakland A's.
Cubs got 3 straight wins
CUBS at -102 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Cubs got 3 straight wins
CUBS at -102 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, March 22, 2009
WBC Sunday USA vs JAPAN
World Baseball Classic didn't get much coverage in U.S. and couldn't really tell you how it's doing overseas, but with March Madness peaking, NBA & NHL coming to shape and U.S.A. full of missing players are not a champion caliber team. Today the expectation is high and Oz takes the mound against the Bostonian Japanese Dice K. This should be a good one and honestly I like Oz over Dice K, but Japanese hold WBC in higher respect in contrast to U.S.A.
Team Japan +100 for 1 unit(W)
It was the best play on whole board!
Team Japan +100 for 1 unit(W)
It was the best play on whole board!
Friday, March 13, 2009
Cactus League Friday
Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres
Padres are back to full squad and they are showing good at bat. Taking Pads at home against the long traveling White Sox.
Padres -107 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.07 units
Padres are back to full squad and they are showing good at bat. Taking Pads at home against the long traveling White Sox.
Padres -107 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.07 units
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Cactus League Thursday
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers are strong at home today.
MIL -112 for 2 units(Push)
WTF Jeff Suppan?
Brewers are strong at home today.
MIL -112 for 2 units(Push)
WTF Jeff Suppan?
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
MLB Spring Thursday Game
WBC will come into play, but play it like nothings happening as far as MLB is concerned. Anybody else surprised by Seattle? They moved out some key players like Putz, Ibanez, Green etc..., also missing Ichiro and Jojima to WBC, got bunch of new faces and they have not lost this spring...so far. The game is Angels against Mariners at Peoria sports complex. Angels enter the spring light with Tex gone to Yankees, Garrett to Braves, Vlad on DL and so is Mathews. The tendencies with Halos is not to show too much to their division foes. Lackey having pitched in last game new faces will likely get a spot. Going with M's to keep the streak alive.
SEATTLE MARINERS -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
SEATTLE MARINERS -105 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.05 units
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Spring Baseball
SFG at Kansas City Royals
Royals -111(W)
Tampa Bay Rays at SLC
Rays +108(W)
Milwaukee Brewers at SDP
Brewers +100(W)
Just getting warmed up!
2-1 +2.00 units
Royals -111(W)
Tampa Bay Rays at SLC
Rays +108(W)
Milwaukee Brewers at SDP
Brewers +100(W)
Just getting warmed up!
2-1 +2.00 units
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Baseball in the Desert
Back to AZ. Dodgers and Rox at Electric park.
Going with Rox today.
COLORADO -107 for 2 units(L)
White Sox looked bad. Going against them at Mesa against the Cubs
CHICAGO CUBS -119 for 3 units(W)
1-1 +0.86 units
Going with Rox today.
COLORADO -107 for 2 units(L)
White Sox looked bad. Going against them at Mesa against the Cubs
CHICAGO CUBS -119 for 3 units(W)
1-1 +0.86 units
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Back at the Desert
Yeah baby the lines are up! I'm watching the Cactus league close, but that doesn't mean I've forgotten about the Grapefruit league.
Like the Pirates today playing the Braves. Bucs spring home at McKechnie Field in Brandenton, FL. is a long ride from Kissimee and I know Bucs could still come out short, but Braves don't exactly strike fear this early.
PIRATES +102(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Like the Pirates today playing the Braves. Bucs spring home at McKechnie Field in Brandenton, FL. is a long ride from Kissimee and I know Bucs could still come out short, but Braves don't exactly strike fear this early.
PIRATES +102(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Spring 2009
I'm a little late in reporting in this season, but all is well in Phoenix. Dodgers are the new addition to town and it's really becoming a bonanza of baseball teams concentrated in such close proximity. There is a bit of distraction with WBC going on, but that's ok the game is the American past time, smell of cut grass, the warming rays of desert sun and the best chance to get up close to these teams that will win you money so make sure your getting your homework done.
First let's get out to Diablo Stadium in Tempe where the Angels will take on the visiting White Sox.
I like the Angels on their home field against the retooled White Sox.
3-12 ANGELS AT HOME
Didn't have a line, not on my accounts, but getting ready!
First let's get out to Diablo Stadium in Tempe where the Angels will take on the visiting White Sox.
I like the Angels on their home field against the retooled White Sox.
3-12 ANGELS AT HOME
Didn't have a line, not on my accounts, but getting ready!
Monday, October 27, 2008
World Series Game 5
Can't catch a break in deep post season, but I will tell you when the series total moves greater than 1.5 runs on either direction for following game the play against the movement is obvious public choice and also very suspect. In this case Total 9.5 from game 4 moving to Total 7.5 game 5 at Under -120~130 with 69% consensus betting Over and yet this Total has declined to 7 at some books.
Today's pitchers are both lefties. Cole Hamels pitching last 7 out of 7 quality starts has not allowed more than 2 ER since 9/07. Total ranging from 9~7.5 O/U 1-6 and that single Over game was due to Phillies bats not Hamels pitching. Rays line of defense will start with Scott Kazmir on the mound. He has lost the edge on his slider and games have been going Over when he takes the mound, O/U 7-2 last 9. He's had 3 quality starts out of last 7 with rising 1.63 WHIP, but he was outstanding in his last game, outstanding against Boston before that which was a bounce back game. Phillies and Tampa weaker against lefties, elimination game a plus.
PHL/TAM UNDER 7.5 at -119 for 1 unit(PP due to Rain at 2-2 tie)
This World Series is fading away. It's not the same, it's dragging and this thing might go into November? Give me a break! I love MLB, but we shouldn't be getting rained out. This has not happened because the season has never been this long. The momentum has died and I'm not sure what I'm going to due for the remaining games. Plan is not to force any games and take what comes. Stay tuned and in the mean time watch the bouncing ball in NBA Opener!
Today's pitchers are both lefties. Cole Hamels pitching last 7 out of 7 quality starts has not allowed more than 2 ER since 9/07. Total ranging from 9~7.5 O/U 1-6 and that single Over game was due to Phillies bats not Hamels pitching. Rays line of defense will start with Scott Kazmir on the mound. He has lost the edge on his slider and games have been going Over when he takes the mound, O/U 7-2 last 9. He's had 3 quality starts out of last 7 with rising 1.63 WHIP, but he was outstanding in his last game, outstanding against Boston before that which was a bounce back game. Phillies and Tampa weaker against lefties, elimination game a plus.
PHL/TAM UNDER 7.5 at -119 for 1 unit(PP due to Rain at 2-2 tie)
This World Series is fading away. It's not the same, it's dragging and this thing might go into November? Give me a break! I love MLB, but we shouldn't be getting rained out. This has not happened because the season has never been this long. The momentum has died and I'm not sure what I'm going to due for the remaining games. Plan is not to force any games and take what comes. Stay tuned and in the mean time watch the bouncing ball in NBA Opener!
Sunday, October 26, 2008
World Series Game 4
Game 4 in Philadelphia will welcome better weather with wind blowing 9mph out toward right center. That’s 401 ft straight away to 409 ft to 385 ft at the "Angle" left center producing an UNDER advantage at Citizens Ball park. The Phillies are 2 for33 with RISP overall hitting .178 in post season and have 2 infield singles in 3 games of World Series so far.
Bull pen has been outstanding with 1.85 ERA in post season, 2nd best MLB all time. Tampa sending pitcher Sonnanstine who is O/U 9-9 away, but at 1.17 WHIP and lower in post season play so there’s little to wonder UNDER trending 2 out of 3 or 3 out of 3, if you had U9.5 in game 3. Looking for runs to come at a premium again with pitchers batting.
UNDER 9.5 at -115 for 1 unit
Bull pen has been outstanding with 1.85 ERA in post season, 2nd best MLB all time. Tampa sending pitcher Sonnanstine who is O/U 9-9 away, but at 1.17 WHIP and lower in post season play so there’s little to wonder UNDER trending 2 out of 3 or 3 out of 3, if you had U9.5 in game 3. Looking for runs to come at a premium again with pitchers batting.
UNDER 9.5 at -115 for 1 unit
Saturday, October 25, 2008
World Series Game 3
Here we go in rainy Philly game 3 of world series knotted 1-1, Forcasted before the series as a tight billing with the home field being the edge. That would put Phil's in the drivers seat, but that's not the case with Moyer and two shaky post season starts up against Garza pitching at his best.
Give another edge to Garza with Phillies only having Matt Stairs as the only player to have faced Garza.
Rays -113 for 1 unit
Give another edge to Garza with Phillies only having Matt Stairs as the only player to have faced Garza.
Rays -113 for 1 unit
Sunday, October 19, 2008
ALCS Game 7
Red Sox back from the dead have knotted this up 3-3. Tampa will play out this showdown on their turf, but do they have any more home brewed magic? Garza is the last line of defense against Lester who was roughed up in his last home appearance. Just as Rays dominated this match up in game 3 the tide has changed with wind behind Red Sox sail. Wakening of Boston bats in game 5 was uncanny and if Rays were to take this series they needed to close the deal in game 6. Now doubts lurk in young Ray players and confidence is dissipating. Look for Boston return to World Series in a replay of 2007 ALCS.
BOSTON ML -118 for 1 unit(L)
Hats off to Garza & Rays.
0-1 -1.18 units
BOSTON ML -118 for 1 unit(L)
Hats off to Garza & Rays.
0-1 -1.18 units
Monday, October 06, 2008
POST SEASON MLB Monday
3-0 Post Season plays. So far Perfecto!
Angels at Red Sox back to game 1 starters where Lester got the best of Lackey, but Lackey is tough on the road. I see this game to be a dog fight as Angels have raised their level of play and Red Sox are at home in post season dominace. You know I would take Angels in a heartbeat if my capping told me that's what's going to happen, but I don't see them forcing the issue in October Fenway. Boston to move on to take on 2008 dream team Tampa Rays.
BOSTON RED SOX -129 for 1 units(W)
I hate to be so right sometimes. I love the Halos they're my So Cal home team, but business is business. Still rolling all winners!
1-0 +1.00 unit
Angels at Red Sox back to game 1 starters where Lester got the best of Lackey, but Lackey is tough on the road. I see this game to be a dog fight as Angels have raised their level of play and Red Sox are at home in post season dominace. You know I would take Angels in a heartbeat if my capping told me that's what's going to happen, but I don't see them forcing the issue in October Fenway. Boston to move on to take on 2008 dream team Tampa Rays.
BOSTON RED SOX -129 for 1 units(W)
I hate to be so right sometimes. I love the Halos they're my So Cal home team, but business is business. Still rolling all winners!
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, October 05, 2008
POST SEASON MLB Sunday
2-0 in Post Season plays.
Looks like all the losing teams are going down 1-2-3. How about this, Angels to buck the trend in Boston after taking two beating at home. Won't happen? Angels are done? maybe so, but 100 game winner Angels get one more try to get this monkey off their back. First game Lester shut down Angels offense didn't allow runners to cash in. Second game Dice K looked shaky as hell and if it wasn't for the big burst 1st by BoSox home team should of held the series knotted. Now here we are today all or nothing and Angels in spot for elimination. Becket is a big game pitcher, but does not come in strong and under cold weather his oblique issue will be tested. Joe Saunders in last line of defense is much stronger on the road. Take into consideration the meat of Angels line up is hitting and I don't think they'll roll over tonight.
ANGELS +163 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.63 units
Looks like all the losing teams are going down 1-2-3. How about this, Angels to buck the trend in Boston after taking two beating at home. Won't happen? Angels are done? maybe so, but 100 game winner Angels get one more try to get this monkey off their back. First game Lester shut down Angels offense didn't allow runners to cash in. Second game Dice K looked shaky as hell and if it wasn't for the big burst 1st by BoSox home team should of held the series knotted. Now here we are today all or nothing and Angels in spot for elimination. Becket is a big game pitcher, but does not come in strong and under cold weather his oblique issue will be tested. Joe Saunders in last line of defense is much stronger on the road. Take into consideration the meat of Angels line up is hitting and I don't think they'll roll over tonight.
ANGELS +163 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.63 units
Thursday, October 02, 2008
POST SEASON MLB Friday
1-0 in Post Season.
I say something nice about Chicago and it looks like both are in trouble. White Sox are on the road so there's some excuse there, but how about them Cubs. Can the Dodgers end Chicago's dream? I'm not going to doubt it.
Two games in slate for Friday, White Sox at Rays and Boston at Anaheim, on first glance it looks Over at Tampa and Under at Anaheim, but that's just me most people see sides I see totals.
Considering inconceivable sides with White Sox and Boston of these two teams I think Boston away with Dice K taking the mound has the best value to risk. Santana is great no doubt and his maturity bring another element to a big game, but this situation with Boston taking back seat to Angels all year only to have them come strong is typical Red Sox playing October baseball. These two team play similar games where both teams used to play on the opposite spectrum, but shed or added players changing their dynamics. There is a edge to Red Sox showing better numbers with runner in scoring position playing the road dog.
RED SOX +130 for 1 unit(W)
Thank you Drew!
1-0 +1.30 units
I say something nice about Chicago and it looks like both are in trouble. White Sox are on the road so there's some excuse there, but how about them Cubs. Can the Dodgers end Chicago's dream? I'm not going to doubt it.
Two games in slate for Friday, White Sox at Rays and Boston at Anaheim, on first glance it looks Over at Tampa and Under at Anaheim, but that's just me most people see sides I see totals.
Considering inconceivable sides with White Sox and Boston of these two teams I think Boston away with Dice K taking the mound has the best value to risk. Santana is great no doubt and his maturity bring another element to a big game, but this situation with Boston taking back seat to Angels all year only to have them come strong is typical Red Sox playing October baseball. These two team play similar games where both teams used to play on the opposite spectrum, but shed or added players changing their dynamics. There is a edge to Red Sox showing better numbers with runner in scoring position playing the road dog.
RED SOX +130 for 1 unit(W)
Thank you Drew!
1-0 +1.30 units
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
POST SEASON MLB Wednesday
1-0 last selection. YTD 86-65-2 +41.98 units
Win on Zona was my last posted selection for the regular season. Had some rough spots toward the end, but I'm happy with the season. White Sox had a nice finish too, but keep in mind the tough wins weren't all that tough and both came at home. Something about Chicago not just White Sox, but Cubs too even though they tapered towards the end that home field looks mighty strong.
Let's get this party started right.
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies.
Taking the veteran Cole in a RL. Siding with the odds makers.
PHL -1.5 at +104 for 1 unit(W)
Winner winner chicken dinner.
1-0 +1.04 units
Win on Zona was my last posted selection for the regular season. Had some rough spots toward the end, but I'm happy with the season. White Sox had a nice finish too, but keep in mind the tough wins weren't all that tough and both came at home. Something about Chicago not just White Sox, but Cubs too even though they tapered towards the end that home field looks mighty strong.
Let's get this party started right.
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies.
Taking the veteran Cole in a RL. Siding with the odds makers.
PHL -1.5 at +104 for 1 unit(W)
Winner winner chicken dinner.
1-0 +1.04 units
Monday, September 22, 2008
MLB Monday
0-1 last selection. YTD 85-65-2 +40.98 units
Brandon Webb and the Arizona diamondbacks are in hunt for October. 21 game winner Webb hit a rough patch losing three in a row from 8/26, 8/31 & 9/6, but that's behind him coming back strong the following two games with 15 innings 13 hits 2 ER both winners. Away record 10-5, team record 10-7 with excellent 1.14 WHIP coming into St Louis in a spot to improve.
Todd Wellemeyer has done well for the Cards with 12-8, but team record 14-16 means Cards have not done their part when Todd does not factor into the game. He is also posting better numbers on the road too bad this one is at home. Loser of 4 out of last 5 while pitching quality or near quality starts as 4 out of last 5 has also gone Under.
ARIZONA -120 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Brandon Webb and the Arizona diamondbacks are in hunt for October. 21 game winner Webb hit a rough patch losing three in a row from 8/26, 8/31 & 9/6, but that's behind him coming back strong the following two games with 15 innings 13 hits 2 ER both winners. Away record 10-5, team record 10-7 with excellent 1.14 WHIP coming into St Louis in a spot to improve.
Todd Wellemeyer has done well for the Cards with 12-8, but team record 14-16 means Cards have not done their part when Todd does not factor into the game. He is also posting better numbers on the road too bad this one is at home. Loser of 4 out of last 5 while pitching quality or near quality starts as 4 out of last 5 has also gone Under.
ARIZONA -120 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Sunday, September 21, 2008
MLB Sunday
0-2 last selection. YTD 85-65-2 +41.98 units
Tonight is a historical night as Yankee Stadium, the 3rd oldest of current active ball parks, will close it's doors after tonight's home stand against Baltimore. Andy Pettite getting the ball is appropriate and there seems to be no doubt about Yankees taking this game. Consensus +70% are laying the thick chalk so the alternative is to look at the Run Line? To be clear Pettite comes in pitching 4 non-quality starts out of last 5, lone quality start was still a loser making all of last 5 starts team losses. Yanks are 1-9 in Andy's last 10 starts his home record is much worse than on the road 5-8 with team record 6-10. Still Andy is not all to blame as Yanks bats scored no more than 3 runs in any of those 5 straight losers total of 10 runs in 5 games. That's also adding to his huge Under bias O/U 9-23
Chris Waters barely got his feet wet with 53 innings, but coming off a shut out of Blue Jays.
I don't see that as a good sign as Waters got rung by Texas back in August after shutting down the Angels for 8 innings. He has followed a quality start with a stinker twice in his 9 starts. O's do back up Waters on the road and team is 3-1.
I think Yanks will take the game, but expect O's to give them a game. Don't be surprised if O's take the lead going into late inning only to have it slip away.
BALTIMORE +1.5 at +112 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tonight is a historical night as Yankee Stadium, the 3rd oldest of current active ball parks, will close it's doors after tonight's home stand against Baltimore. Andy Pettite getting the ball is appropriate and there seems to be no doubt about Yankees taking this game. Consensus +70% are laying the thick chalk so the alternative is to look at the Run Line? To be clear Pettite comes in pitching 4 non-quality starts out of last 5, lone quality start was still a loser making all of last 5 starts team losses. Yanks are 1-9 in Andy's last 10 starts his home record is much worse than on the road 5-8 with team record 6-10. Still Andy is not all to blame as Yanks bats scored no more than 3 runs in any of those 5 straight losers total of 10 runs in 5 games. That's also adding to his huge Under bias O/U 9-23
Chris Waters barely got his feet wet with 53 innings, but coming off a shut out of Blue Jays.
I don't see that as a good sign as Waters got rung by Texas back in August after shutting down the Angels for 8 innings. He has followed a quality start with a stinker twice in his 9 starts. O's do back up Waters on the road and team is 3-1.
I think Yanks will take the game, but expect O's to give them a game. Don't be surprised if O's take the lead going into late inning only to have it slip away.
BALTIMORE +1.5 at +112 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Saturday, September 20, 2008
MLB Saturday
0-1 last selection. YTD 85-63-2 +43.98 units
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians. Featuring Justin Verlander against Jeremy Sowers. Both pitchers with losing season and both pitchers will be throwing to the strong side of respective clubs. The total has been set on the high side at 10 and Jeremy is pitching Under at home in a spot to improve from his last outing. Justin also pitching Under away, but more due to Tigers lack of scoring. That may not be the case today as Verlander is improving.
TIGERS +100 for 1 unit(L)
OVER 10 +101 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.00 units
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians. Featuring Justin Verlander against Jeremy Sowers. Both pitchers with losing season and both pitchers will be throwing to the strong side of respective clubs. The total has been set on the high side at 10 and Jeremy is pitching Under at home in a spot to improve from his last outing. Justin also pitching Under away, but more due to Tigers lack of scoring. That may not be the case today as Verlander is improving.
TIGERS +100 for 1 unit(L)
OVER 10 +101 for 1 unit(L)
0-2 -2.00 units
Thursday, September 18, 2008
MLB Thursday
1-0 last selection. YTD 85-62-2 +44.98 units
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs. Chicago sending their big gun Rich Harden and he's been all that. But far as Bush and the Brewers being done for 2008 is a premature public perception.
Brew crew still in the hunt and Cubbies are not in best form heading into post season. Play the road dog with backs against the wall.
BREWERS +216 for 1 unit(L)
99 times out of 100 we win with 4 run cushon in the 9th. All I can say is WTF!
0-1 -1.00 unit
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs. Chicago sending their big gun Rich Harden and he's been all that. But far as Bush and the Brewers being done for 2008 is a premature public perception.
Brew crew still in the hunt and Cubbies are not in best form heading into post season. Play the road dog with backs against the wall.
BREWERS +216 for 1 unit(L)
99 times out of 100 we win with 4 run cushon in the 9th. All I can say is WTF!
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
MLB Tuesday
1-0 last selection. YTD 84-62-2 +43.81 units
Odalis Perez 6-10, 12 quality starts 4.48 ERA, 1.52 WHIP. His record does not give you much indication, but to fade him more times than not. His home record less than on the road, but Washington has managed to have 8-6 winning record. That bit of information maybe a cause for further investigation. Perez has been durable this year with 27 games and though he has 11 ND Nats have pulled out 6-5 in those situations. Out of those ND at home the record is 6-1. Odalis coming off a 3 inning stinker at New York Mets and he is in a bounce back spot at home facing the Mets again. Another important point is the Under which is a stand out O/U 3-11 Odalis at home. Don't worry about Mets with Mike they're facing the lowest scoring team in MLB.
UNDER 9 at +117 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.17 units
Odalis Perez 6-10, 12 quality starts 4.48 ERA, 1.52 WHIP. His record does not give you much indication, but to fade him more times than not. His home record less than on the road, but Washington has managed to have 8-6 winning record. That bit of information maybe a cause for further investigation. Perez has been durable this year with 27 games and though he has 11 ND Nats have pulled out 6-5 in those situations. Out of those ND at home the record is 6-1. Odalis coming off a 3 inning stinker at New York Mets and he is in a bounce back spot at home facing the Mets again. Another important point is the Under which is a stand out O/U 3-11 Odalis at home. Don't worry about Mets with Mike they're facing the lowest scoring team in MLB.
UNDER 9 at +117 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.17 units
Monday, September 15, 2008
MLB Monday
1-0 last selection. YTD 83-62-2 +42.69 units
Game time. Here it is for AL East Boston at Tampa Bay. One of the best home team taking on one of the winning est pitcher in 2008. Home team pitching is also one tough dude, Kazmir, and this match up should be a good one. I'm going to boil it down to this "who the new boss? same as the old boss" It late season and Red Sox are showing it. That's what I'm playing with Dice-K on the mound.
BOSTON +112 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.12 units
Game time. Here it is for AL East Boston at Tampa Bay. One of the best home team taking on one of the winning est pitcher in 2008. Home team pitching is also one tough dude, Kazmir, and this match up should be a good one. I'm going to boil it down to this "who the new boss? same as the old boss" It late season and Red Sox are showing it. That's what I'm playing with Dice-K on the mound.
BOSTON +112 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.12 units
Sunday, September 14, 2008
MLB Sunday
0-1 last selection. YTD 82-62-2 +41.69 units
The Hurricane has altered the course of things to come. I'm referring to Chicago Cubs and Houston Astros. The damage was not that bad, but this game has been moved to Miller park.
There are interesting changes to how the pitchers will fare. Zambrano is not in his best form and has more than his share of non-quality starts, but he does hold his own on the road. That might not been good enough with Randy Wolfe pitching strong, very strong at home, but no so away from Minute Maid. His recent form has him pitching well away and home, but one place that has given Randy problems is Miller Park. While Zambrano doesn't mind the cozy confines of Miller Randy will have those bad flash backs. Go with Cubs.
CHICAGO CUBS -114 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
The Hurricane has altered the course of things to come. I'm referring to Chicago Cubs and Houston Astros. The damage was not that bad, but this game has been moved to Miller park.
There are interesting changes to how the pitchers will fare. Zambrano is not in his best form and has more than his share of non-quality starts, but he does hold his own on the road. That might not been good enough with Randy Wolfe pitching strong, very strong at home, but no so away from Minute Maid. His recent form has him pitching well away and home, but one place that has given Randy problems is Miller Park. While Zambrano doesn't mind the cozy confines of Miller Randy will have those bad flash backs. Go with Cubs.
CHICAGO CUBS -114 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit
Saturday, September 13, 2008
MLB Saturday
1-0 last selection. YTD 82-61-2 +42.69 units
Back to the grind. Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Game 2.
Yes, I like the Blue Jays in Game 1 with A.J. and in Game 2 it's more about going against Colon.
Keep your eyes on 1st game to see what pitchers get used.
TORONTO +123 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Back to the grind. Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Game 2.
Yes, I like the Blue Jays in Game 1 with A.J. and in Game 2 it's more about going against Colon.
Keep your eyes on 1st game to see what pitchers get used.
TORONTO +123 for 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Friday, September 12, 2008
MLB Thursday
Coming off a No Play. YTD 81-61-2 +41.46 units
This Matchbook payout delay is getting way beyond reasonable and I'm not playing their exchange. They have lost my trust and that's all they have. The writings are on the wall jjust curise the internet and you wind the same talk. People are not saying their funds are low, but who's to say it's not and that's the first thought that comes to my mind.
Take Texas on the road against Oakland
TEX +123 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.23 units
This Matchbook payout delay is getting way beyond reasonable and I'm not playing their exchange. They have lost my trust and that's all they have. The writings are on the wall jjust curise the internet and you wind the same talk. People are not saying their funds are low, but who's to say it's not and that's the first thought that comes to my mind.
Take Texas on the road against Oakland
TEX +123 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.23 units
Tuesday, September 09, 2008
MLB Tuesday
Wow September 9th already. 0-1 in last selection. YTD 81-61-2 +41.46 units
I'm having issues with MatchBook exchange and it's really putting a damper on capping my games and getting info published. I like to think it's a isolated incident, but they are just dragging to resolve it and it's getting on my nerves. I will make noise if this keeps up.
Like I tell anyone who listen, keep multiple books and limit exposure because if any of these books go belly up you'll end up holding a empty bag. It doesn't matter how cheap they sell it if it doesn't work. When the exodus starts it will be swift.
I'd advise having 3 Off Shore accounts without affiliation. You can get more, but any less makes it really hard to get competitive rates and if you go more than 5 accounts you better be good at organizing. I'm not as close with Pinnacle Sports since they pulled out of U.S. , but they are still the top book around. I'm also going to give good house seal to BookMaker they are the open line where you can gauge the market and play'em big. Another choice is Greek or Bet Jamaica, they are affiliated, Both very good and for MLB Bet Jamaica has competitive lines, bonus programs and great BetJamaica transfer card allowing to pull money from ATM. Do your own research and don't forget to look at Sportsbook Review.
I'm having issues with MatchBook exchange and it's really putting a damper on capping my games and getting info published. I like to think it's a isolated incident, but they are just dragging to resolve it and it's getting on my nerves. I will make noise if this keeps up.
Like I tell anyone who listen, keep multiple books and limit exposure because if any of these books go belly up you'll end up holding a empty bag. It doesn't matter how cheap they sell it if it doesn't work. When the exodus starts it will be swift.
I'd advise having 3 Off Shore accounts without affiliation. You can get more, but any less makes it really hard to get competitive rates and if you go more than 5 accounts you better be good at organizing. I'm not as close with Pinnacle Sports since they pulled out of U.S. , but they are still the top book around. I'm also going to give good house seal to BookMaker they are the open line where you can gauge the market and play'em big. Another choice is Greek or Bet Jamaica, they are affiliated, Both very good and for MLB Bet Jamaica has competitive lines, bonus programs and great BetJamaica transfer card allowing to pull money from ATM. Do your own research and don't forget to look at Sportsbook Review.
Friday, September 05, 2008
MLB Friday
0-1 last selection. YTD 81-60-2 +42.46 units
L.A. Angels at Chicago White Sox.
Top road team take one the toughest home team in AL. White Sox sending Ace Burlie against call up Dustin Mosely. Burlie is tough at home, but the Halos have hit him well and Mosely can keep this in striking range. Taking the good price on Angels and they are still rolling.
LAA +154 at 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
L.A. Angels at Chicago White Sox.
Top road team take one the toughest home team in AL. White Sox sending Ace Burlie against call up Dustin Mosely. Burlie is tough at home, but the Halos have hit him well and Mosely can keep this in striking range. Taking the good price on Angels and they are still rolling.
LAA +154 at 1 unit(L)
0-1 -1.00 unit
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
MLB Wednesday
1-1 last selection with small profit. YTD 81-59-2 +43.46 units
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays in game two of series.
Game 1 NYY 7-2 Mussina 3rd straight win against the Rays went 6 innings scattering 1 allowing 2 runs.
Garza was not on his game, but Rays were sloppy too, with 5 innings 5 hits 6 runs 4 earned.
NYY improved to 8-5 against the Rays. Marte pitched facing 2 and Chamberlin faced 1 in 8th and Giese finished the 9th for NYY.
Miller pitched 2 innings 2 hits no run, Hammel pitched 1 inning 2 hits 1 run (HR) and Salas gave nothing with 2 K'sin the 9th.
Tonight Yankees send Carl Pavano only his 3rd start since coming back from DL. He has pitched 16 innings in 2 starts 163 pitches and has 2 wins to show for it with 3.27 ERA. He's return is looking pretty good and he only threw 72 pitches last outing. He come in on a spot to decline in quality on the road, but still might be tough to beat.
Edwin Jackson gets the call for to tie up this series and he comes in hot winning 6 of last 7 with 5 quality start close to all 7 starts being quality with 2.59 ERA in this stretch.
Game 1 looked like it wanted to go Over as it threatened with 12 hits by the Rays and 9 by the Yankees and that tone will carry over to game 2, but speculating Jackson can stay on his game I like the Under to cash. Edwin and Rays have been tough on division rivals with Under games having advantage, 4-8. Home games O/U 5-8.
NNY/TAMP UNDER 9.5 at +105 for 1 unit(L)
The play did speculate Jackson having a quality game which he did not.
Still cappers on Over was sweating it as the Under was holding by the hook in 8th inning and A-Rod homer in the 9th was the first MLB replay used to uphold the call.
0-1 -1.00 unit
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays in game two of series.
Game 1 NYY 7-2 Mussina 3rd straight win against the Rays went 6 innings scattering 1 allowing 2 runs.
Garza was not on his game, but Rays were sloppy too, with 5 innings 5 hits 6 runs 4 earned.
NYY improved to 8-5 against the Rays. Marte pitched facing 2 and Chamberlin faced 1 in 8th and Giese finished the 9th for NYY.
Miller pitched 2 innings 2 hits no run, Hammel pitched 1 inning 2 hits 1 run (HR) and Salas gave nothing with 2 K'sin the 9th.
Tonight Yankees send Carl Pavano only his 3rd start since coming back from DL. He has pitched 16 innings in 2 starts 163 pitches and has 2 wins to show for it with 3.27 ERA. He's return is looking pretty good and he only threw 72 pitches last outing. He come in on a spot to decline in quality on the road, but still might be tough to beat.
Edwin Jackson gets the call for to tie up this series and he comes in hot winning 6 of last 7 with 5 quality start close to all 7 starts being quality with 2.59 ERA in this stretch.
Game 1 looked like it wanted to go Over as it threatened with 12 hits by the Rays and 9 by the Yankees and that tone will carry over to game 2, but speculating Jackson can stay on his game I like the Under to cash. Edwin and Rays have been tough on division rivals with Under games having advantage, 4-8. Home games O/U 5-8.
NNY/TAMP UNDER 9.5 at +105 for 1 unit(L)
The play did speculate Jackson having a quality game which he did not.
Still cappers on Over was sweating it as the Under was holding by the hook in 8th inning and A-Rod homer in the 9th was the first MLB replay used to uphold the call.
0-1 -1.00 unit
MLB Tuesday
1-1 last selection with small profit. YTD 80-58-2 +43.24 units
September baseball and contenders are going to battle it out. Toronto is making their stand in 2nd half with excellent pitching. David Purcey is showing his potential with his game improving. Coming off 8 innings 5 hits 1 ER with 11 K's no walk tough loss at Tampa the kid is fast riser known for his good K to BB ratio. All looks in place for Blue Jays to get in striking distance, but the Twins are in the late season race too. Minny will send their top money pitcher Perkins to the mound and he's shown consistent results home or away. Coming off 7 innings 8 hits 4 ER at Seattle. Glen eating innings Twins also eating Lefties and play their best after a day of rest.
TWINS +100 for 1 unit(L)
Could not hold 5-1 lead chasing Purcey out and Twins pen blow this game.
Yankees maybe out and Rays look in, but Yanks are about the only team in American League to have a winning season against the Rays. Tampa just about unbeatable at the Trop and they will send Garza, 11-7 with 3.53 ERA, he's pitched 23 innings in last 3 starts and given up only 4 runs. Still I like Yankees with their top money pitcher Mike Mussina. Got his 16th win last start against the Royals and he has been especially good against the Rays.
YANKEES +122 for 1 unit(W)
Moose does it like nobody can.
1-1 +0.22 units
September baseball and contenders are going to battle it out. Toronto is making their stand in 2nd half with excellent pitching. David Purcey is showing his potential with his game improving. Coming off 8 innings 5 hits 1 ER with 11 K's no walk tough loss at Tampa the kid is fast riser known for his good K to BB ratio. All looks in place for Blue Jays to get in striking distance, but the Twins are in the late season race too. Minny will send their top money pitcher Perkins to the mound and he's shown consistent results home or away. Coming off 7 innings 8 hits 4 ER at Seattle. Glen eating innings Twins also eating Lefties and play their best after a day of rest.
TWINS +100 for 1 unit(L)
Could not hold 5-1 lead chasing Purcey out and Twins pen blow this game.
Yankees maybe out and Rays look in, but Yanks are about the only team in American League to have a winning season against the Rays. Tampa just about unbeatable at the Trop and they will send Garza, 11-7 with 3.53 ERA, he's pitched 23 innings in last 3 starts and given up only 4 runs. Still I like Yankees with their top money pitcher Mike Mussina. Got his 16th win last start against the Royals and he has been especially good against the Rays.
YANKEES +122 for 1 unit(W)
Moose does it like nobody can.
1-1 +0.22 units
Monday, September 01, 2008
MLB Monday
0-1 last selection. YTD 79-57-2 +42.59 units
Good Labor day to all. Enjoy your extra day off and maybe take in a Baseball game.
Phillies are in Washington today. How about them Nats? Showing some effort and getting results. They're giving the ball to Redding and he is 9-8 with team record 18-10. Nats win 4 times as much when Redding is on the job. He is coming off a win against the Dodgers which was no walk in the park. Red at home Nats are 10-5 with less than 50% quality indicating Washington bats gave him enough, but today with NL East power house Phillies that maybe a tall order. Kyle Kendricks on the mound for Phillies have not been going deep and August starts are forgettable, but Phillies 10-4 away and 11-6 as favorite with Kyle. Phillies are starting to play better and Nats are capable of heading south anytime.
Backing the road favorite contending for division in September.
PHL -135 for 1 unit(L)
Adding Baltimore O's at Boston Red Sox
Olson coming off the bull pen and getting a start, but he has been a bust and Red Sox are knocking out lefties. 3 quality starts out of 12 road games is not going to cut at Fenway.
Paul Byrd pitching quality games and looks in form for late season run.
BOSTON -1.5 at -103 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +0.65 units
Good Labor day to all. Enjoy your extra day off and maybe take in a Baseball game.
Phillies are in Washington today. How about them Nats? Showing some effort and getting results. They're giving the ball to Redding and he is 9-8 with team record 18-10. Nats win 4 times as much when Redding is on the job. He is coming off a win against the Dodgers which was no walk in the park. Red at home Nats are 10-5 with less than 50% quality indicating Washington bats gave him enough, but today with NL East power house Phillies that maybe a tall order. Kyle Kendricks on the mound for Phillies have not been going deep and August starts are forgettable, but Phillies 10-4 away and 11-6 as favorite with Kyle. Phillies are starting to play better and Nats are capable of heading south anytime.
Backing the road favorite contending for division in September.
PHL -135 for 1 unit(L)
Adding Baltimore O's at Boston Red Sox
Olson coming off the bull pen and getting a start, but he has been a bust and Red Sox are knocking out lefties. 3 quality starts out of 12 road games is not going to cut at Fenway.
Paul Byrd pitching quality games and looks in form for late season run.
BOSTON -1.5 at -103 for 2 units(W)
1-1 +0.65 units
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)