The MLB Season is Over

And just like that I get the big moose job to close out the season. It was disappointing, but the 2006 season was not kind. Made a short run late in regular season and World Series was a good chance to make up ground with some momentum it was not in my cards. I guess my emotions got the best of me not even pulling a trigger on St Louis when I knew Tigers were barely afloat.
Well the rules of the trade is Never Look Back and I will move on.
I'll make my rounds at Arizona fall league, Asian series and Caribbean ball to sharpen my selections.

Yall come back and see me for MLB 2007 or if you've got the Basketball Jones come drop by Money Plays NBA.

No Play for me in St Louis

Tigers are at the edge. As much as I want them to get back to Detroit I can not back them here. Yes I'll watch the game and root for the Tigers, but that's about it. I may have a play if they stay alive nothing today.

Having technical problems with NBA blog. I'll be on T-Wolves, Bobcats and Kings tonight.

Another Bad Weather Day

This is not a game to take any early position.
Wait for better conditions.

Raining in St Louis

Starting to think they might try to get this game going with forcast getting worse the next two days. I don't like it, this game may not go full 9 innings if it gets going, make this a pass.

World Series game 3

Had to post this early as the line is moving fast.

Now it's Monday night the Moneyline at Pinnacle is down to Detroit +133, but being on the right side of fast money does not guarantee a win and there's been little movement today. I said this before, but underdog teams coming into the playoffs and reaching the World Series have historically been very tough to beat. LaRussa is making his move at home with his best guy Carpenter. The dropping total (now O/U 7.5 at Under -113, Over +103) tells the expectations of an pitching battle so that means Carpenter comes out of the gate sharp with no control issues and Robertson, a LHP with long rest, is expected to keep the Cards at bay. I have to factor Robertson with some questions because of the extended rest, but doubt he'll be good as Rogers and hope much sharper than Verlander. Carpenter looked good, but got out pitched in game 6 NLCS before that he didn't have good command throwing 92 pitches in 5 innings in game 2 NLCS no decision St Louis bats did the talking 9-6 in a rally win.
Robertson is similar giving up no runs to Oakland in game 1 ALCS before that he got knocked out by the Yankees.
It'll be a good game day. Sun will be out with some cloud coverage very little wind and temperature will be cool 53 degrees and dropping as game progresses. The value is still on the dogs and I predict a two run differential.

DET +147 for 2 units(L)
Carpenter at home was right on. Now the series is getting interesting.
0-1 -2.00 units

World Series game 2 redo

Lost another post.

For the record these were the published plays
STL/DET O4.5 First 5 innings +103 for 1 unit(L)
STL/DET O4 First 5 innings -116 for 2 units(L) (buy 0.5)

STL/DET IN GAME UNDER 5.5 -108 for 2 units(W) (bottom of 6th)

1-2 -1.32 units

World Series 2006

If you don't know the big loser for this match up is Fox Broadcasting with heavy wager on this World Series getting big ratings. Well that bet is a huge Underdog with the big market teams, named Yankees & Mets, out of this picture. The brain trusts of Fox wagered on New York/New York series or New York/Los Angeles series and basically lost. Now to minimize their losses the best hope is the series to go 7 games, fat chance. Maybe they'll be better off following my selections.

I'm already on Tigers taking the World Series and that was published long ago in late regular season.
For the first game of World Series I plan to take St. Louis Cardinals with rookie Reyes against the rested Detroit Tiger and Verlander. I'm playing into the long rest for Tigers having adverse effects coupled with Verlander not showing his top stuff in the Post Season, but I'm also weighing the impressive stretch of playoff Underdogs. Cinderella teams in post season making it to World Series have always played tough and there's bit more magic to the Cardinals than what I felt with Houston last year. I'm not looking to hedge the Tigers on the series it's a good play with value on the first game and public is all over Detroit today.

Stay tuned for my selection. Just looking for a spot to pull the trigger.

SLC +180 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +3.60 units

Game 7 NLCS *Redo

I'm sure there was a post here earlier? Did anyone see it?

I don't like the full game in Shea though Cardinals are my lean. I might take a unit wager if the price improves near game time, but my take will be on the First 5 innings to play the pitchers angle and fade Perez against Suppan.
Watching the line...

I'd like to hold off longer, but I can't without a chance of not making the window so taking it now.

SLC First 5 innings at +107 for 2 units(Push)
Did take Cardianls money line just before game, but not recording it with no post. My apologies to Perez, Willie Randolph and the New York Mets, they played to the last man loading the bases bottom of the 9th with Beltran at the plate the game was a coin flip.

Now the Tigers are the favorite for World Series, how about that.

Dog days of October to continue...

National League Championship Series 2-2

It's going to be a perfect baseball weather in October. I'll have my selection in awhile stay tuned.

Need a turn around tonight. The rain outs kill momentum and the momentum was with the bats in the last game. Good pitching condition to make this a tight game.

NYM/STL UNDER 9 at -102 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Rain, Rain go away

It'll give me more time to tinker with the Cardinals and Metropolitans.

Sunday National League Championship Series

OK I'll reverse the take on this series at St. Louis looking more like the winning Cards.

STL -126 for 2 units(L)
That sucked.
0-1 -2.52 units

Saturday National League Championship Series

WTF, This is my third try to post my selection here.
I'm not doing the write up as I've lost it twice.

NYM +116 for 1 unit(L)

0-1 -1.00 unit

Saturday American League Championship Series

Missed games yesterday and I've been skipping around lately from Baskets in Europe to early Season NHL so if you need to look around a bit to find my plays, but it's posted.
Tigers are on the prowl and they are clutch backed World Series top pick. Funny how I got pounced after my WS selection as Detroit declined to mediocrity in late season, everyone loved the Yankees than Oakland now the public is eyeing the Mets Tigers World Series. I've already made my call and I'm sticking to it.

Today's selection with anticipated pitching duel dictated by the wager line
Total 7.5 with money to the Under. That is a undeserving Under in American League.
Buy the hook.
That's Over the low number
DET/OAK OVER 7 at -125 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Cory Lidle Rest in Peace

It's sad to have anyone lose their life. May not have been a house hold name pitcher, but was always a capper's friend. We'll all miss you now that you are with god.

NLCS Cardinals at Metropolitans

We will have chance of rain for this game with heavy humidity and wind blowing 12 mph East in from center field.

Starting pitcher for St. Louis is Jeff Weaver. Much better away and looks to be peaking at the right time. His ERA has steadily dropped leading to October.
Starting pitcher for New York is veteran Tom Glavine who has shown poise and knowledge to keep it close. Both sides will be featuring formidable bull pens so the leash will not be very long. I understand the power behind Mets line up or Puljols able to unload on LHP at any time, but taking a chance with the Under.

STL/NYM UNDER 9 at +118 for 2 units(Rained Out)


Hope you guys stayed on this Under I didn't have enough time today, but nothing really changed and weather condition turned out to what I was expecting yesterday except for the change in wind direction.
The price was not as good as Wednesday I guess players caught on.

Saturday Post Season MLB

I started writing Friday plays, but there were endless interruptions I just could not get it published. It would of broke even so no harm done.

As for Saturday National League I'm backing the Cardinals at home with Suppan pitching against Young and the Padres. San Diego better on the road, but the Playoff transition of the Red Birds will prove too much for the Pads.

STL -105 for 3 units(L)

----------------------------------------------------------------
Taking Yanks to redeem themselves after getting shut out.
Not really against the Tigers as the middle relief is the under belly of the Yankees.

NYY -0.5 First 5 innings at +104 for 2 units(L)

0-2 -5.15 units

Day 2 of Playoffs

You guys are thinking I'm wagering on Dodgers as the road dog? Pinny still has El Duque as the listed pitcher with Mets -124. Will this move when they adjust to Maine or Williams? (Hernandez had MRI on right calf muscle Tuesday afternoon)
Money has been moving to Dodgers all along and when the adjustment settles the play will more than likely be on the Mets.

I'll be back before game time.

The pitchers have been corrected, but now the line is Mets -127. NYM is still the play I don't see anything to change my mind, but I'm going to dig a bit more.
Going against LA is not in my nature.

Becareful on Oakland at Minnesota game. Many are hot on Twins today, but they were sold on Santana yesterday too and Oakland is 12-6 in game 2 after taking game 1 in post season.

Be back with the selection.

NYM First 5 innings -131 for 2 units(W)
NYM -124 for 3 units(W)

2-0 +5.00 units

October Major League Baseball

The lines are out at Pinnacle Sports
(just click my join Pinnacle link)

National League West was the butt of National League, but look who's in? Cards/Pads & Dodgers/Mets, two out of four coming from the West. Both Western teams are going to give the East and Central a run for their money.

Lets look at the Opener playing on the West Coast that's beautiful San Diego.
You know, Sea World, Zoo, Gas Lamp district...PetCo Park right in downtown.
Keeping in mind Post Season Baseball is brand new baseball. Remember Carpenter's late season struggles in 2005 only to come back brilliantly in Post Season play.
There is no other Red Birds pitcher I'd rather have on the mound, but I do FEEL a difference in Cards that's as a team they are not balanced as well as the Pads.
Peavy and Padres come in very strong and they are at home.
Carp and Cards come in limping winning the division by Houston default.

SDP -113 for 3 units(L)

Not a good way to start 0-1 -3.39

Sunday MLB Last Day of Regular Season

Los Angeles Dodgers Stults at San Francisco Giants Schmidt.
Dodgers scratched Lowe and slew of regulars are going to get their rest. Jason Schmidt and the Giants should be a shoe in to win the final game at home, or are they? Schmidt haven't had quality outing since 9/03 at Chicago and he's has 3 multiple Home Run games out of last 5. Dodgers have done it with young players all season. Don't expect Dodgers to skip this game.

This will be my only game today. Good luck and see you all in Post Season MLB.

LAD +169 for 2 units(W)

Looks like I'm dialed in at the moment hope to keep it hot so stay tuned.
1-0 +3.38 units

Saturday National League Magic

Going with three magical teams in the National League race.

This is a monster power team on the heels of Playoffs. Take action with Wolf for Phillies.

PHL -113 for 2 units(W)

-------------------------------------
Dodgers on the rise. Cain on the hill for SFG, Maddux on 3 days rest and Nomar's not going so money is moving to SFG. Allow me to retort, Maddux is money against the Giants, solid on 3 days rest.

LAD +106 for 2 units(W)
-------------------------------------
San Diego, Wells in Arizona, Cruz.
Who's got late season Magic here?

SDP -118 for 3 units(W)

That's pure magic baby!
3-0 +7.12 units

Friday MLB

Colorado Fogg at Chicago Zambrano.
Carlos at home for day game lowers his performance. He did get the win against Reds in last outing, but also gave 4 earned runs with a homer.
Josh Fogg did earn a win at Atlanta, but batters are connecting and can't compare Josh (3-4 with 7.70 ERA 13 post All Star games) as a equal to Big Z (8-3 with 3.73 ERA 13 post All Star games). What should be noted is Colorado batting surge in last 10 games, right hitting .344 and left .312, both pens giving up tons. So do we back the Over? That's a ballsy play, but if your going to be ballsy go with Rox. That means your playing the hot bats to beat the hot pitcher. If you still like the Over buy the 0.5 down to 9.

COL +185 for 0.5 units(W)
COL +1.5 at -115 for 2 units(W)

Nice way to start the day.
---------------------------------------------------
Be back in awhile.

Milwaukee Capuano at St. Louis Weaver.
I'm not big on backing Jeff Weaver matter of fact I've had good gains fading this man, but Capuano will go down in St. Louis today. Cards are in a corner like a wounded animal they will attack ferociously.

SLC -120 for 2 units(W)

Nice way to end the day.
3-0 +4.925

Thursday MLB

Dodgers still rolling though Angels fell out. In the current condition the field of National League West has the tight feel with Dodgers, Padres and Phillies in the mix. I'm not counting out Houston in NL Central, but the West is where I'm at.
Let's see if this will be a tight game.

SDP/ARZ Under 8.5 at -104 for 2 units(L)

0-1 -2.08 units

Wednesday MLB Dog eat dog

Houston Hirsh at Pittsburgh Chacon.
Who's playing under pressure, Who can not afford any mistakes and who has trouble winning away from their home field? So all this riding on Hirsh?
Not with my money, fade the away team.

PIT +135 for 2 units(L)
----------------------------------------------------
Tampa Bay Corcoran at Boston Beckett.
I expected so much more from the Red Sox and I would of passed on this game if it wasn't for the value. The value on Devil Rays that is. Beckett got couple of wins in a row against tough opponents, but like his team there's not much to get his blood pumping against the lowly Rays. On the other side Rays win at Fenway would be something their players can hold in pride.
Take a chance at this price.

TB +227 for 1 unit(W)

Astros got lucky today, but the big dog cashes and today ends in plus money.
1-1 +0.27 units

Missed Monday and Now it's Tuesday

And both my SoCal teams are alive and kicking.
Way to go Mariners rally against Street in the bottom of the 9th then deflate the A's in the 10th for the upset.
Well I was at Angel's Stadium yesterday and I'll be back there again.
I know the chances are almost none, but it's going to take the Angels in post season to take out the Yankees not Oakland A's, that's my opinion.
Yanks are going to cause problems for my World Series run with Detroit and Minny....I'll work on that.

Today looking more of the same. Angels to win, Dodgers to win, Phillies to lose and Oakland to lose...Padres to lose, but kind of like them as the road dog.
Taking the best of the lot.

LAD -112 for 3 units(W)

Bonus play:
LAD/COL Over 9.5 at -114 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------
Mets Perez at Braves Smoltz.
Take the road dog action. Smoltz will be a non factor.

NYM +143 for 1 unit(L)
If your going to lose mind as well get your head cut off and be over with.

2-1 +3.00 units

Sunday MLB

All I get from my friends are what's happening in Football. NCAA and NFL all weekend long. From Tuesday to Thursday MLB is a after thought with echoes of "So what happened in Baseball? You have any plays?" I'd say give it some thought or go flip a coin. At least read the game wrap and look at the box before calling me.

SF Giants Cain at Miller Park against Milwaukee Brewers Sheets.
I played the Total early and I'm not going to advise it the current inflated price and my Play was on the First Half (Under 4.5 at -119 for 2 units(W) *will be graded) I will make a play on SF Giants with CoCain on a bounce back to edge Big Ben. Got a small price improvement and I'll take it.

SFG +118 for 2 units(L)
Giants had a chance to the end.
------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night MLB St. Louis Cards Jeff Weaver at Houston Astros Rocket.
Have to fade the Rocket coming in on short rest or the correct term would be to consider him a non factor. If that's the case Cards are a good buy! Sharps are catching this ride.

SLC +183 for 2 units(L)
I was wrong on Cards for sure.
1-2 -2.00 units

Saturday MLB

Seattle Mariners Hernandez at Chicago White Sox Buehrie.
South Siders are down for the count, 2-8 last 10, and Buehrie got hit hard out of the gate in his last game.....that World Series Champion banner on their site looks less deserving right now. These boys were my bread and butter last season. The Mariners on the other side is making contact putting on base runners and Sharps are riding them.
But when I checked with the Books they said take Chicago to stop the skid.

CWS -124 for 2 units(W)
That's the way to rally.
1-0 +2.00 units

Friday MLB

The days are numbered and these games need to be capped.

Florida Nolasco at Phillies Hamels.
Phillies huge home favs coming down the stretch. They must be a shoe in for the NL Wild card. Well the Fish are swimming in shallow waters and they sure like to be more than a spoiler. The big guns for Philadelphia are Lieber, Myers and Moyer not Hamels. You want to give the farm hand -200? Ricky Nolasco is not that bad so it's a good rookie match up with Phils in a up swing.
Want to play the dog with a bit more edge? Take the pen out of the equation.

FLA First 5 innings +172 for 1 unit(L)
-----------------------------------------------
Detroit Ledezma at Kansas City Hudson.
Have to take the Tigers against the soft teams. The AL Central will fight to the end and Tigers need to dominate this series.

DET -1 at -118 for 3 units(W)
DET -0.5 First 5 innings at +109 for 1 unit(L)
-------------------------------------------------
Should of taken the early line for Cleveland Byrd at Texas Eaton.
Like Texas and price has gone up, but I'll still take it.

TEX -135 for 1 unit(W)
-------------------------------------------------
Angels Weaver at Oakland Zito.
Hope the Halos do it here, but money backs Under

LAA/OAK Under 4.5 First 5 innings -124 for 2 units(W)
LAA/OAK Under 8 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

3-3 +2.95 units

Thursday MLB

Today the game is Detroit Robertson at Baltimore Benson.
I first looked at this game thinking Under, I do like the Under, but Tigers are showing signs of breaking out as the hit differential expanded to 2:1 last night against the CWS. White Sox pitching may not be where it was last season and most talks are focused on White Sox disappointment, Jon Garland is still one tough pitcher in Chicago. Tigers tattooed him and they are on the prowl.
O's Benson has been showing great form, but I think Nate is just as good.
Tigers will take this one. Took the line last night, but Detroit is still a buy at current price.

DET -117 for 3 units(L)
Wow, did I blow that one with +75% on Tigers. That's the magic number you have to fade the favs.
-----------------------------------------------------
Next.
SFG Morris at MIL Bush.
If your following my write up you know I fade Morris on regular basis.
Hate to go to this well too many times, but it's still a good play.

MIL First 5 innings -115 for 2 units(W)
---------------------------------------------------
ARZ Webb at SDP Williams.
Zona to play the spoiler.

ARZ -108 for 1 unit(L)
--------------------------------------------------
ATL Smoltz at COL B.H. Kim
The games been flying Over in Denver.
Take this one the other way

ATL/COL First 5 innings Under 5 +108 for 1 unit(W)

2-2 -1.51 units

Day game on Wednesday MLB

Cincy Arroyo at Houston Clemens.
Rockets got his tune up in and he should have a good game against the Reds.
His opponent Arroyo is pitching hot and this game has Under written all over.
Books are adjusting from 8 to 7.5 take the line on the over night.

CIN/HOU UNDER 8 at -119 for 2 units(L)

------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Cormier at Washington Ortiz.
Take the Nationals at home.
Look for the game to stay tight for First 5 innings.
WAS -102 for 3 units(L)
ATL/WAS UNDER 5 First 5 innings at +106 for 1 unit(L)
---------------------------------------------------------

Angels Escobar at Kansas City Perez.
The book says to play KC at home, but I can't support Perez and I need the Angels to sweep these guys. I'll take some caution by playing the first 5 innings
LAA -0.5 First 5 innings -105 for 2 units(W)

Astros too much for Reds and Braves too strong for Ortiz.
1-3 -4.44 units

Picture Perfect Monday MLB

The day seems brighter and it sure looks like a nice day outside.

This is what I like on this Monday, September 18th.

St. Louis Cards Reyes at Milwaukee Brewers Capuano.
Chris gets a lot of grief in post All Star Break, but maybe the critics don't realize if this guy was on another team his record might look very different. Chris did have a bad last outing, 9/13 PIT, but he has recorded 6 out of last 7 quality outings. Capuano at home 8-4 with 2.93 ERA, Brew Crew plays respectable 42-32 home record. Everybody has good things to say about Anthony Reyes, gets extra rest from "tired arm", has a shot at 3rd spot in post season, good fastball getting strike outs, well he doesn't win on the road much and he does not pitch deep.

Take:
MIL First 5 innings -115 for 2 units(W)
MIL -113 for 2 units(W)

Bonus play:
SLC/MIL Under 8.5 -107 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------------------
Atlanta Braves Davies at Washington Nationals Armas.
Kyle Davies not fooling anybody and giving up timely hits. He is throwing too many pitches contributing to losses. Tony Armas is scary too and Braves are his nemesis, but if he is to have a good outing it'll be at home, 7-4 with 4.14 ERA at RFK. Nats pen is solid.

WAS -112 for 2 units(L)

Not quite perfect, but I'll take it.
3-1 +2.76
------------------------------------------------------

It's late Sunday

Most of the games are done and I don't have deep thoughts on 2nd of BOS/NYY Sunday double header. Odds are Yanks to take this game against not ready for prime time Jarvis, but Yanks are on the pitch count with Moose and unknown factors with all the fill in spots holds Yanks over priced.
Yankees are playing looking at games to come and Boston is playing one game at a time. Boston as a overwhelming Under dog of +200 is pretty rare.
Boston is playing better ball in this series. I will take this as a chance play.
Now at +256... watching.

Should of taken it earlier.

The game is tied going to the 9th Coco Crisp robbing Posada's Home Run.
Told ya Red Sox's not that easy.

BOS +250 for 1 unit(W)
The big dog cashed.
1-0 +2.50 units

Saturday MLB

Looking forward to BOS/NYY double header today. Red Sox are done, but they're able to put on a good show here. I'm not backing money, but if I was to take a chance take the 200+ money in the First Half -0.5 on Red Sox.

No more running games today just what I capped.
Florida Sanchez at Atlanta Smoltz. Game total 8.5 is getting hit
heavily Under and First 5 innings is trying to force the Over. Good pitching on both sides.
FLA/ATL Under 4 First 5 innings +105 for 2 units(W)

Bonus play on Braves with Smoltz at home to bounce back against rising Sanchez.
ATL -133 for 1 unit(W)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
SF Giants Morris at St. Louis Cardinals Carpenter.
Playing the carry over again and fading Morris early.

SLC -0.5 First 5 innings -132 for 2 units(W)
That's much better.
3-0 +5.10 units

Friday MLB

Day game.

Reds B. Arroyo at Cubs Juan Mateo. Cubs are feeling pretty good about themselves taking 3 out of 4, 2 of 3 from West leading LAD and they are doing it the hard way. Cubs have good things to say about Juan and the progress he's making. They will welcome the slumping Reds who have dropped 10 out of 12 since 8/24. But you know Bronson Arroyo has been lights out and Mateo has not been on the winning side since 8/15, not recorded a win since 8/3 plus Cubs first game of series after a win is dismal 6-13. Reds hold the advantage in straight match-up this season and 3-3 in Wrigley. What I'm going to do is not go against Reds losing ways, but to back Bronson Arroyo.

CIN -0.5 First 5 innings +105 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------------------------
Next is Marlins D-Train at Atlanta Cormier. We have two Under pitchers coming in hot with very generous number. Beware of late innings.

FLA/ATL First 5 innings Under 5 -115 for 2 units(L)
----------------------------------------------------------
Angels Weaver at Rangers Tejada. Angels are pitching their way through September with very little offensive help. Tejada is looking pretty good in his recent form. This match up which normally goes over has taken a turn.
Back the Under.

LAA/TEX UNDER 9.5 -114 for 2 units(W)
LAA First 5 innings -118 for 1 unit(Push)
---------------------------------------------------------
Don't like the way Dodgers finished their road trip and today the Padres come to town right on their heels. Maddux and Wells looks like Over to me.

SDP/LAD Over 8.5 at -109 for 2 units(L)
--------------------------------------------------------
Many are on A's at home against the so so White Sox. Not at all threatening team in September compared to Oakland at home. A's are 22-6 against Chicago at home. Then why is this line still even? Jon Garland on the mound is money and he's being down played against Loaiza who got whacked by the D-Rays, 8 runs 12 hits, he claimed doing nothing different. Players are adjusting and Loaiza prone to stringing bad outings.

CWS First 5 innings -105 for 1 unit(L)

Too many game? It was fun, but not productive.
2-3-1 -2.48 units

Thursday MLB

Planning to make multiple plays today.
Start with the day match.

San Diego Padres Clay Hensley at Cincy Reds Aaron Harrang. Have a feeling this is going to be a carry over game for the Padres. Look at these two pitchers Clay is a small guy compared to 6'7" Harrang it just makes me want to root for Clay to slay the giant. Harrang is a non factor lately he's not bad, but team is not winning behind him and honestly it hasn't been close except SFG on 9/4 plus he is a road warrior lacking at home. Reds getting public love, but money moving away, movement at Pinny is ahead of the pack, Clay will battle you although his road record does not reflect he's been quality and was masterful in August. Hensley under the radar and pen is solid.

SDP +105 for 2 units(W)
---------------------------------------------------------------
Take 2 unders and call me after the game. Runs are coming just not enough.

BOS/BAL UNDER 10.5 +100 for 1 unit(L)

TAM/NYY UNDER 10 -109 for 1 unit(Cancelled)
Pitching scratch on Wang take this bet off.
I was planning on late addition LAA/TEX, but could not get on line so record ends 1-1 +1.10 units
-----------------------------------------------------------------

Making a Run in the West

Hell yeah I'll be at the game in sea of Red.
White Sox getting in the way to catch the A's and we're going to keep this match close. Halos at home on a mission....Twins & A's are fighting it out and hopefully Minny will do us a favor, but Lariano gone early with elbow pain Oakland bats are warming up. No matter we'll take care of business on our turf. With all this said my money backs the number to stay Under, I can't say for sure Halos pull out the win...I want them to, but that doesn't make it so.
I feel stronger on pitching to do the job.

CWS/LAA UNDER 9.5 at -104 for 3 units(W)
Day after all the upsets take down the close one, but the Halos take a slide.
1-0 +3.00 units

Lets Rock Dolphin Stadium

Mets are in Florida with typical late summer Miami conditions and Thunderstorm looming humidity is very high, but winds are mild with 10mph blowing East expected to decrease by game time. This match up tells the tale of two pitchers coming off their respective outing with performance unlike themselves. Oliver Perez threw 9 innings shutout against the Braves with 1 walk at home. But lets not forget he is 3-11 with 6.58 ERA and 1-6 in his last 10 with 6.29 ERA. Josh Johnson took a beating against Phillies 9 hits, 5 runs, 4 walks in 4 2/3 innings. He was also touched in Milwaukee not figuring in the outcome and yes rookie in September is traditionally hard, but Marlins at home is a different animal Johnson was at the top of National League ERA before the last 2 games and currently holding at 4th. He is 11-5 in 23 games with 3.14 ERA since joining the rotation. He has 2 season starts against NYM and yet to give up a run to the Mets with 13 strike outs. Fish bats came alive yesterday and they will be tough here tonight.

FLA -119 for 3 units(L)
Got Rocked instead. Damn the Marlins pen.
0-1 -3.57 units

Monday Night NFL Twin Bill, nah A's at Twins

Here we go with the top match-up. Oakland enters a tough stretch coming into one of the hottest home turf in Minnesota. Joe Blanton will get the ball for the visiting A's and he has been tagged a bit lately. Carols Silva was shutting down the D-Rays when he claimed upset stomach and stepped off the mound. I'll give Silva the edge, but more so Twins as a collective will take this game.

MIN -108 for 3 units(W)
--------------------------------------------------------------
Bonus Total play.

MIL/PIT UNDER 8.5 at -118 for 1 unit(W)
--------------------------------------------------------------
The White Sox are in my town so I'll be in Anaheim wearing the Angels RED.
Might add a play here before I leave.

Did not make a play with Angels keeping all my winnings today.
2-0 +4.00 units

Never mind the NFL keep your eyes on the round ball

Mid-day game in Southern California in September under the Sun. It's a perfect ball game weather today, but the market has shifted to Football.
Backing Roy Halladay 16-5 with 3.22 ERA at Anaheim. Angels giving the ball to young Jered Weaver 10-2 2.16 ERA he is pitching below -1.00 ERA at home. Should be a good game in perfect baseball condition. Under looks like the obvious pick it's been trending Under and Jays away makes this enticing the Books know that and gives the game a low 7.5 so lets play the Total for the First 5 innings. For the Sides I prefer to go against the current here and take the chance play against the Angels pen Scotty and K-Rod has been taxed heavy lately option may cough up this game. Don't get me wrong I love my Halos, I've even picked them over the A's as my long shot for WS, but Halladay underdog with consensus on Angels and money moving to Jays.

Roy is out of the game in 1st inning hit by a come-backer. Oh man, Towers is coming in with men on corners 2 outs and I'm only getting even money!

You never know what happens in a game.
TOR/LAA First 5 innings UNDER 4 at -115 for 1 unit(L)
TOR +100 for 2 units(L)
-------------------------------------------------------
I'm chasing the late game to give you the warning and this is strictly a fade on Morris.

SDP +114 for 3 units(W)
1-2 +0.27 units

Texas at Seattle

Rangers at Mariners. Starters are RHP Robinson Tejada vs LHP Jarrod Washburn. Mariners are 7-2 in their last home stand. Mariners comes into this game with 3 straight wins and 4 of their last 6. Mariners have turned it around since the 11 game losing streak Aug. 20th winning 11 of 16. Mariners against Rangers are 3-8, 1-6 at Arlington and 2-2 in Seattle. Washburn had his ups and downs 8-13 with the Mariners going 13-15 in his 28 starts, but keep in mind Mariners are tough as nails at home right now and Washburn is 3-0 with 2.25 ERA in his last 3 home starts. Texas dropped two in a row also snapping a 4 game win streak against the M's. Texas also recorded lowest production in last 11 games. Tejada comes in winning form with 3-0 and 2.63 ERA over his last 4 starts. He is better on the road with 4-1 winning record in 6 away appearance and improving to 3-0 1.29 ERA in last 3 away appearance. This game may look like a opportunistic play on Rangers, but I disagree the home team is hot and dropping price on Seattle make it a definite play.

SEA -120 for 3 units(W)
Couldn't close it in the 9th, but did it in 13 innings!
1-0 +3.00 units

To all the Capper, Players and Weekend Warriors

Party people hope all is well.
Feeling little stronger with my recent picks, but September is just brutal busy at the office with my day job and I am having difficulty publishing my thoughts on daily plays. I need to tie up some loose ends before getting back into the games so stayed tuned and we'll come out like the mob.

Wednesday MLB *ONE PLAY

Lets play Oakland A's at home with Zito. I was thinking of Under too, but not sure if Schilling will be sharp or go deep. Both are good Side is better.

OAK -140 for 3 units(W)
1-0 +3.00 units

Tuesday MLB

I just lost my write up and now time is running short.
Not sure if I can get back with the reasoning, but these are the plays.

DET/NYY UNDER 9.5 -105 for 2 units(Rained out)
DET +159 for 1 unit

TAMP First 5 innings +183 for 0.5 units(L)
TAMP -0.5 First 5 innings +224 for 0.5 units(L)
Casey didn't do his part, but not feeling too bad about risking single unit loss here.
0-2 -1.00 unit

World Series Thoughts

1 Arizona Diamondbacks +9000
4 Boston Red Sox +1757
6 Chicago White Sox +840
7 Cincinnati Reds +2144
10 Detroit Tigers +590
11 Florida Marlins +7000
14 Los Angeles Angels +4414
15 Los Angeles Dodgers +1536
17 Minnesota Twins +1042
18 New York Mets +315
19 New York Yankees +324
20 Oakland Athletics +1170
21 Philadelphia Phillies +3205
23 San Diego Padres +2746
24 San Francisco Giants +5339
26 St. Louis Cardinals +953
28 Texas Rangers +10000
29 Toronto Blue Jays +10000

It's late August and pretty good idea to start looking for World Series values. Personally, I like the American League team to win it all so that will take out half of the field. Next I eliminate Yankees, AL favorite, and take No#2 Tigers. From there I go with Twins to come up in Wild Card. AL Central is playing the toughest baseball and this division should produce the Champion. White Sox can get hot in September, but clearly not the best in this group currently so 2 teams from Central is my strong picks.

2nd tier pick is Boston, similar to White Sox in Central, but twice the value in AL East. Boston has the cast of characters to knot this up with the Yanks come September and they will remember the sweep, it should be another classic.

Dark horse pick is Angels. Although Oakland may prevail in the West you have to love the value of LA Angels with good young arms, solid pen, speed, pretty balanced. It's the wild wild west, go with the Angels.

Picks look like this.
DET +595 for 5 units/return (2975 - 350) +2625
MIN +1042 for 2 units/return (2084 - 650) +1434
BOS +1757 for 1 unit/return (1757-750) +1057
LAA +4414 for 0.50 units/return (2207-800) +1407

Saturday MLB

The fades are on the money. I'm not trying to be funny either.
So the advantage continues to fade the plays, which have been popular public type picks.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Baltimore Orioles.
James Shields vs Erik Bedard.
James is on the rise. He is pitching 2.84 ERA in August posting 2-1 record in 4 outings. Boston (3-2 ND), @Seattle (2-0 loss), Toronto (8-3 win) and Texas (3-4 win) He is a home pitcher (3.24 home vs 5.91 road), day pitcher (3.91 day vs 5.04 night) right bats are hitting .326 and left .265 Strike to walk is excellent 27-5
Erik is on the decline. He is pitching 4.63 ERA in August posting 0-3 record in 4 outings. Seattle (2-1 loss), @Toronto (3-4 loss), @New York (6-3 ND) and Toronto (9-2 loss) Erik also like the home mound (3.16 home vs 5.00 road),
day pitcher (3.14 day vs 4.48 night) right bats are hitting .259 and left .227
Don't take his surface record for August, against Mariners he got no run support, against Yankees he left giving up 1 run and against Blue Jays he faced Doc Halladay twice. His last outing was bad.
I'm backing good pitching on this one, is it a fade or a play?

TAM/BAL UNDER 9 at 100 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Frickin' Friday MLB

Taking the Overnight line.
I see there's a Thunderstorm in Denver, but conditions are calm and by game time Friday it will be an non-factor. Air will be heavy with humidity with little wind and slight chance of rain for comfortable pitching condition.
Padres Mike Thompson 3-4, 4.40 ERA, 1.34 WHIP may not look like much and looking at last 10 starts he only has 1 win, 3 losses and 6 ND. The team record for this stretch is 4-6. What I do like about Mike is his pitches per innings are economical and his last start was a emergency start with 14 days between starts and 1 inning of relief appearance sandwiched in between kind of like a pinch pitcher which is tough to get into the right mindset. Here he comes in with 5 days rest and he trends Under, sign of good pitching. Team trends 6-4 Under last 10 and 4-1 Under last 5.
Rockies have Jeff Francis 9-10, 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and he has been lights out since the beginning of July (2.02 ERA 14 earned runs in 62.1 innings pitched. Best in Majors in that span with 50+ innings) His last outing against the Mets show 5 runs given up, but only 2 were earned, 6th inning 2 errors, a passed ball and walked in 2 runs left the game 5-4 recording a loss, game ended 7-4 Mets. His team production is doing little to help Jeff's record (scored in only 12 of last 80 innings, August batting .164 with RISP) but team has recorded 7-3 in his last 10 starts. Coming in revenge situation with a rare shaky start in last match-up against San Diego (7/29, 2-4 loss) and Rockies badly in need of good Francis outing this game begs for the Under. Current season match-ups are 8-5 Under and at Colorado 5-2 Under.

Side note: San Diego, +140 Road Underdog with winning season playing Colorado with losing season in August are winner 63.8% since 97'.
32-26 Padres record away. 32-29 Rockies record at home.

SDP/COL UNDER 9.5 at -125 for 3 units(L)
Easy fade 0-1 -3.75 units

Thursday MLB

Not having much luck playing MLB, matter of fact it's the worst performance counting back 7 seasons. It's always a downer to bleed losses, but my plays have made solid gains 12 years out of 15 and made late streaks to rally back from losses in 3 out of 12 winning years. A pattern I did notice was my 3 losing seasons came after a top performing years and last season was a killer year.
Right now the plays are looking like good fades and can't blame anyone for that.
I'll be playing through the slump so play or fade good luck to all.

Taking the Total with Boston at L.A. Angels with support of StatFox.
The play is Over with Total at 8.5 with a hot bullpen w/ERA under 2.00 last 5 games against opponent with struggling bullpen WHIP over 1.750 last 15 games.

BOS/LAA OVER 8.5 at -110 for 3 units(L)
Fader 0-1 -3.30 units

Wednesday MLB

SF Giants to take the visiting desert snakes.
I put my stakes on Schmidt. Does he ever lose to the D-Backs at home?

SFG -1.5 at +129 for 2 units(L)
1 run Giants win, not enough.
---------------------------------------------------
Baltimore to win at home against not as tough on the road playing Twins.

BAL -109 for 1 unit(L)
--------------------------------------------------
Hate to say anything bad about my home town Dodgers, but Padres are killing L.A. and I can't help thinking there is value with Woody tonight.
Pads are +111, thinking this will hit +115 near game time.
Will be pulling the trigger late.

SDP +114 for 1 unit(W)

---------------------------------------------------
Phillies at Cubs. There are wind gusts hitting 18~22 mph west with expected Thunderstorm tonight. The conditions are not constant as winds are calm right now. Myers for Phillies is struggling and opponents are hitting the long ball. Guzman in place of Marmol is not ready for this spot having problems getting out of innings and Phillies bats will not be forgiving.

PHL/CUBS OVER 10 at 111 for 1 unit(L)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Yanks at Seattle. Under match up
NYY/SEA UNDER 9 at -105 for 1 unit(L)

1-4 -4.27 units

Monday MLB

Sorry I missed Sunday Baseball being out all day. Sometimes it's good to take a break after a win rather than a loss.

Looking at Tampa Bay with Texas making the visit. Eaton pitching for the Rangers looked pretty good. James Shields for the D-Rays look good too, but his team does not support. Shields has pitched 4 quality outing out of 6 games started, he is 3-1 at home with team record of 4-2 with 3.03 ERA and 1.290 WHIP, but his numbers are eroding recording 3 quality outings out of last 7 games started with record of 1-4, team record of 2-5 with 4.61 ERA and 1.396 WHIP.
Rangers come back from 6-0 against the Tigers at home on Sunday that's 3 out of 4 from Detroit. Rangers rolling on the road. Eaton lacking compiled starts, but 3 out of 5 quality starts with one of the games not reflecting his performance because he was ejected. Texas has been very supportive of Eaton on the mound.

TEX -131 for 3 units(L)
Adding.
TEX -128 for 2 units(L)
-------------------------------------------------------
Taking the chase tonight with Chan Ho scratched and Dodgers Billingsley heating up.

LAD -144 for 2 units(L)
LAD/SDP Under 8.5 at -106 for 3 units(W)


1-3 -6.37 units

Saturday MLB

ARZ D-Backs pitching C. Vargas at SDP against C. Hensley in the wild wild west. 8.5 Total price is moving Under. I know the ERA's are dropping on both sides and Pads are pathetic against RHP. Both pitchers trending Under and have strung few unders in a row. Clay is pitching good and he's had bad luck games reflecting his record, but Vargas has not seen 8.5 total in awhile. Going against the late money move. Pitching advantage to San Diego at home.

*Buying 1 run.
ARZ/SDP Over 7.5 at -124 for 2 units(Cancelled)
Missed the pitcher change. Hensley is not out there.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

I'm liking the O's today. This line is sharp today and it was hit at the open, but the low profile match made it quiet. The smart money is on O's and it's likely riding the last 3 wins. Eric Cooper behind the plate O's are 6-1 last 7 and 7-3 home team vs Toronto last 10.

BAL -112 for 3 units(W)

BAL -120 for 2 units(W)

Finally a good size winner. Too bad I didn't take action on the Total as that game ended with total of 8.
2-0 +5.00 units

Friday MLB

Time to roll up my sleeves and up the games. On with the program.

I lost with Mariners in the 1st of this series, but Seattle was in that game for most part. I've backed Weaver on the mound with good regularity and there is no doubt in his arm. Hernandez is performing below Weaver's accomplished 9-2 with 2.14 ERA and excellent 0.967 WHIP 2006 debut. But lets give the recent outing a closer look.
Weaver's last 3 starts are 1 win and 2 no decision with Angels winning 2-1
He is throwing 4.07 ERA and 1.302 WHIP.
Hernandez's last 3 starts are 1 win, 1 loss and 1 no decision with Mariners winning 2-1. He is throwing 3.86 ERA and 1.285 WHIP.
So as the numbers indicate Weavers value on the decline and Hernadez on the rise. I would agree the +1.5 runline is the strong wager, but value play is Moneyline.

SEA +134 for 2 units(L)
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago White Sox and Freddy Garcia take on the Twins with Bonser.
Players losing some faith with Sox on the road or is it just Twins being at home.
This is a excellent price on White Sox hitting against Bonser and Garcia taking on low scoring Twins. Under is also a play.

CWS -112 for 1 unit(L)
CWS/MIN UNDER 10 -115 for 2 units(Push)
0-2-1 -3.12 units

Thursday Dog Play of the Day

I should of stuck to my guns behind Texas against Angels or straight play on Over, but that's all spilled milk. I would back the Rangers on their first day on the road if I knew the pitcher better, but I'm taking the game back in Anahiem.
The indicators point to Angels taking out weak Moyer on the road, why not? Mariners are getting kicked around in the AL West. Because they always bring their game against Angels and Mariners are opportunistic team with comfort playing at the Big "A"

SEA +162 for 2 units(L)
Moyer was OK and Mariners are still poised to take a game.


---------------------------------------------------------------
The addition will start earlier than my dog play.
Toronto at Tampa Bay. The dome holds no advantage against the Jays and A.J. will be a tough customer today. Kazmir return from DL means observation and limitation so short day at the office maybe the case.

TOR -109 for 2 units(W)
--------------------------------------------------------------
I think there's value on the Over. Outside the match up under trend Rangers are hitting good numbers and Tigers must take the fill-in to school.

TEX/DET OVER 10 +112 for 2 units(L)
1-2 -2.00 units

Wednesday MLB

Still playing the Angels Texas match. It's another blazing hot day in Texas the kind of day that Over cashes, but I'll play the hot rookie for the Halos. Yes it's the 20th game straight and
Texas still swinging some hot bats there's even bad blood brewing between these two teams.
Going with Halos playing the tight second in AL West to go home holding solid second.
Angels have hitten Eaton before and Vlad just feasts on Rangers.

LAA +104 for 3 units(L)
0-1 -3.00 units

Tuesday MLB

My overnight play is on Texas.
Angels split the NY Yankees series and enter Texas.
Ervin Santana penciled in for the Halos, but there is a chance he will be a no-go. Option will be Justin Moseley, Kevin Gregg, Hector Carrasco or Chris Bootcheck. Angels playing .500 ball on this road trip going on 19th consecutive game no doubt these two games with Texas in fight for AL West is big, but Texas definitely seeing the ball with inflated OPS number and Padilla can go toe to toe with Santana in good shape. Rangers rested and playing good ball.

*List Texas Vincente Padilla only & action on Angels.

TEX -134 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.68 units

Monday MLB

MLB Baseball is entering the NFL transition period. Capping baseball in itself is declining in player pool and the books are taking hits from the pool that's playing so coming into this turn the lines should be pretty sharp.

Looking at Boston I see there is a chance of Thunder Storm for tomorrow and conditions are scattered clouds and winds blowing at 19mph SW, thats out to Center in Fenway. This is nice Over condition.
Beckett overall 13-6, Home 6-2 with 3.84 ERA is a winning pitcher. I like big Texan Power pitchers in the mold of Roger Clemens, Nolan Ryan... but, Beckett's performance have dropped since the Marlin days and has recorded ND to KC, loss to CLE and ND to LAA for his last 3 starts and his team is 1-2.
His starts are also Over dominant 7-3 last 10, only 1 of the Boston win was recorded Under.
Nate Robertson for the Tigers is also on two game slide, but both losses were quality start with lacking run support. Robertson getting batters to hit the grounders showing pretty good ground to flyball ratio which will be to his advantage under the wind.
The speculation here is Over with Boston OPS numbers heating up and Tigers needing to get some balls in the jet stream.

DET/BOS OVER 9,5 at -121 for 3 units(W)
1-0 +3.00 units

Saturday MLB

At PNC Park tonight the match up brings back good'ol Jeff Weaver, the former Dodger - former Angel and one of my favorite pitcher.
He maybe coming off a good outing I still don't trust him. Jeff Weaver on the road, I'm not impressed and Ian Snell at night is not too shabby.
Pirates play OK at home and their recent home games record 9 out of 13 wins.
Cards have problems with Central division rivals.
Just watch out for Albert hitting .398 at PNC Park.

PIT +105 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.10 units

Friday MLB

Following the Halos to New York. Dropping Cleveland series 1-2 with a crushing final defeat, losing Santana (hit by a comebacker listed day to day) and taxing the bullpen the final score 2-14. Santana out of the game Indians smelled blood pounding on the relievers. Mike Soccia raised the white flag taking out his starting line up off the field allowing some rest looking to this 4 game Yankees series in the Bronx. Angels are playing their 15th consecutive game (8/7 was a make up game with the White Sox) and the momentum has halted or I would consider back to square one. Midway into this road trip the record is 2-2 and this series has the feel of being a grind. The scores may come, but I'll look for quality pitching with Angels LHP Joe Saunders, another young gun, and Yankees RHP Chris Lidle, 5-1 since July, and better defense to keep the runners from cashing in. Angels called up Chris Bootcheck from AAA Salt Lake for 3rd stint. 2005 split season with Salt Lake and Angels, 5 appearance as a Angel 0-1 3.38 (18.2 innings with 7ER) recorded 6 innings 1ER in Yankees stadium last season. Scott Shield and K-Rod did not pitch yesterday. This may sound more of speculation than analysis but, coming off momentum killer games I have a feeling the runs are going to fall short.

Buying 0.5 runs.

LAA/NYY UNDER 10.5 at -117 for 2 units(L)
Did not factor Ponson coming out, that was stupid I should of known better, but that's the way it goes.
0-1 -2.34 units

Thursday MLB

Here we go again to Jacobs Field. Maybe I didn't sense the tenacity of the Indians in game #1 of the series when they knocked out Angels young phenom Jered Weaver in the 6th and tied the game. Maybe the energy shifted in game #2 as Lacky struggled and though the Halos hit Westbrook in the early going he got out of jams and grew stronger to shut down the Angels in late innings. Indians taking their stand, but Angels are not going to lay down here and this should be a battle. Halos still hitting lefties, Indians bullpen is still an adventure and very rare to get 9 hits with no runs. Last time Halos got shut out (6/05 @TB Angels had 11 hits no run) they came back to beat D-Rays and Kazmir 12-2 and that was Ervin Santana getting the win. It may not be as easy for Ervin this go around. I'll just look for runs today.

LAA/CLE OVER 9.5 at -108 for 2 units(W)
Santana gone after striking out the first batter with 3 pitches. Comebacker hits him and now the Angels are looking at a long night.
1-0 +2.00 units

Wednesday MLB

Moneyline moving to the home team Nationals with 49-63 (26-25 home) record. D-Train pulling into DC in game 2 of the series. Contradictory to Marlins road record Willis is better on the road and his team has supported with 8-4 in last 12 starts. Nats are favoring lefties, but Willis is no ordinary lefty, when he completes a quality outing following a bad game there's a good chance he will duplicate that quality outing. Nationals/Expos have not won a season series from FLA since 1998. Marlins are 41-29 since 5/22, first team in Majors to win 47 out of first 100 games after losing 29 or more in first 40 games.
Ramon Ortiz has pitched 10 quality outings in his last 14, but did not look good in last game allowing 7 hits, 5 walks in 6 innings he was lucky to give up only 2 runs. Opposing batters are hitting .238 the first time through the line up and .317 thereafter

FLA First 5 innings -116 for 2 units(L)
FLA -116 for 2 units(L)
------------------------------------------------------
Adding Angels at Cleveland for continuation of Halos surge.

LAA -117 for 2 units(L)
0-3 -6.98 units

Tuesday MLB

Is Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim a contender or a pretender?
Is the glass half full or half empty? If you compare against Cleveland, Angels look half full and Indians half empty.
This is just the start of the 10 game road trip. Knocking off the slumping White Sox the Halos will move to Cleveland against another struggling club the Indians. The Tribe is not playing their brand of baseball circa 2005 in fact they are playing like 2003. 3-7 in last 10 games and losing too many close games. Jeremy Sowers will take the ball and he is a future bright spot, hard to believe he came up through 2001 amateur draft.
Fastball in low 90's, but favors to keep it at 90, good slider, good change, command and smart.
Too bad he'll be opposing Jered Weaver with Angels surging on the road.
Halos are hitting lefties at .328 (Vlad is hitting lefties .416, Quinlan hitting lefties .360, Rivera .311, Salmon .308 and even Tommy Murphy in limited AB is hitting lefties .350) compared to combined Indians hitting righties .243 and Angels are solid out of the pen.

Money line moving towards Cleveland. Figuring rested Tribe getting some respect, but Blake on 15 day DL is out of the line up, sunny clear summer condition with some wind 14mph NNE. I guess Hafner is always dangerous.
Angels ML now -110

LAA -113 for 3 units(W)
--------------------------------------------------------------
Texas at Oakland.
Backing Millwood on the Road (7-1 with 3.13 ERA) and eliminating the Rangers pen. Rangers have dropped 3, but club is 10-5-4 in road series and 3-0-1 in last 4 series. A's are batting .249, the lowest in Majors, Pinch hitters are 1-33 (0.30).
Shane Komine pitching for the A's got his last call up when he was hot in the minors (6-0 with 0.42 ERA) Pitched against TOR 7/30 (6 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 4 BB & 1 SO) A's have the historical advantage, but not today.

TEX First 5 innings -119 for 2 units(Push)
Had the advantage and could not pull it out. 4-4 tied at end of 5th!

1-0-1 +3.00 units

Monday MLB

This is a make up game for LAA/CWS.
Backing the Over with K. Escobar and M. Buehrle. Both pitchers are improving, but not strong enough to entice the Under.
OPS numbers are rising for both clubs. Angels hitting lefties .341 and White Sox hitting rights .325 in last 10 games.
Angels Over 7-3.
White Sox Over 8-1-1.

Buying 0.5 to O/U 9

LAA/CWS OVER 9 at -128 for 2 units(Push)

Saturday MLB

Today's day game selection coming to you from the cozy confines of controlled Rogers Centre. Javier Vazquez combining bad pitching days with tough schedule can't seem to get his game going. Hitters are reading his pitches by the third time through the line up have a .377 average (65-for-172)
Javier has not won since 7/6 BAL
(5.1 innings 5 hits, 5 runs all earned and 1 HR) Yes, he won giving up 5!
Vazquez is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA this season against Toronto and is 2-4 with a 5.93 ERA lifetime against the Blue Jays.

TEAM TOTAL BLUE JAYS over 4.5 at -113 for 3 units(L)
Vazquez on his game. Jays even wasted the bases loaded 9th.
0-1 -3.39 units

Friday MLB

Thunderstorm condition in North East which will be clearing by evening, but looking at Shea Stadium the wind will continue to blow. The forecast estimates drop from current 15mph to 13mph NNE.
Randy Wolf will pitch for the visiting Phillies, though he lacks enough starts to rate his current form he's yet to show command and stamina. Maybe he'll go bit longer than
7/30 FLA (4.1 innings 3 hits, 3 runs with 1 HR, 97 pitches)
El Duque looked pretty good in his last 2 outing and the Mets have strung 4 wins behind his start, but lets not over look 7/16 @CHI (1.2 innings 7 hits, 5 runs with 1 HR) he's giving 2 quality starts out of 3 and giving the runs in early innings.
PHL bats have been hot with their recent run 8-2 last 10 games. 7-3 Over's.
Home team NYM are 5-5 last 10 dropping 2 of last 3 series, but it's not lack of offense Mets are batting just about .300 from both sides of the plate. 8-2 Over's.

PHL/NYM First 5 innings Over 5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
Nice move avoiding the game Over 9.5
1-0 +2.00 units

Thursday MLB

Looking at off the main stream selection in Cleveland at Boston.
Jake takes the ball for the Indians and on the surface that 6.18 road number really stands out, but if you consider 7/17 @LAA as his low point (3.2 innings pitched,12 hits, 7 runs, 5 earned with 2 HR's) he is back on track and efficiency has improved, 7/29 SEA going 8 innings with 104 pitches scattering 6 hits,
2 runs, the lone home run was the only mistake pitched to Ibanez in the 4th.
Josh Beckett the hard throwing RH Texan had high expectation in his NL to AL transition which many view as not being met. But you know the Sox have signed him to 3 year extension and he will be counted on come late season.
The pitching game is based on balance and adjustments, He too is back on track since 7/14 OAK (4.1 innings pitched, 8 hits, 7 runs with 1 HR).
Interesting indicator is Beckett adjusts very well in games after walking 4.
OPS numbers around .800~.900 for both teams. Bullpen is fair to shaky.
Today's total came out shaded Over at 9.5 compared to last 3 games at 11 and upward price movement was relatively late.

Buying 0.5 for Total of 10 runs.

CLE/BOS UNDER 10 at -109 for 2 units(L)
Should of played 5 innings, wheels came off in the 6th!
0-1 -2.18 units

Tuesday MLB

We have a recycled Dodger in Royals uniform, Odalis Perez the Dominican lefty who lost his starter role and went to Grady's dog house. Now he resurfaces in KC, dust him off, dress him up in a crisp Royals uniform and he's still a dog with fleas. Has not seen action since July 22nd, left hitting .353 and right hitting .344 he will show rust. Visitors Chicago White Sox will give the ball to Mark Buehrle who is fighting his own demons and he has not recorded a win in July. He is 0-5 with whopping 11.48 ERA, 47 hits 36 runs (34 earned) in 26.2 innings of work giving up more than 5+ runs for every start in July.
Both bullpens have rising WHIP of 1.70+ in last 3 games.

CWS/KCR Over 10.5 at -109 for 3 units(W)
Team Total:
CWS Over 6 at -111 for 2 units(W)
KCR Over 4 -118 for 2 units(W)
Crushing the Over in the 10th inning baby!
3-0 +7.00 units

Monday MLB

To the SF Bay. Giants are reeling coming off poor road trip East it will not get any easier first day back at home. Nationals making the move from LA to SF
they will catch SF off guard tonight.

WAS ML +134 for 2 units(W)
WAS ARL -1.5 at +200 for 1 unit(W)
2-0 +4.68 units

Sunday MLB

Sunday baseball under the sun in Baltimore. It will be hot and humid again. Both White Sox and Orioles are struggling 3-7 in last 10 games the bigger picture is the O's are not in th0e race and the White Sox are. White Sox have dominated Baltimore11-3 in 2 seasons so the South Siders are priced at -159 ML, still pretty solid. But in this contest the two starters Javier Vazquez and Bruce Chen are not going to go deep. The key to the winning side is who will have the timely hits because you know there are going to be runners on bases. Starting pitchers and bullpen are giving it up. I'm going to back the Over and watch out for the moose today.

CHW/BAL OVER 10.5 at -116 for 3 units(W)
Hope everyone avoided that moose and cashed the Over.
1-0 +3.00 units

Thursday MLB

It's hot, it's humid, when will this end?
You know Jeff Weaver always gets my attention and he is up today. St. Louis Cardinals are visiting Wrigley coming in with hot pitching on this road trip.
Rich Hill gets the Big League call up from AAA Iowa Cubs with well deserved 7-1 with 1.80 ERA 15 games started. The lefty will be asked to keep the Cubs in the game for 5 plus innings.
Jeff winning at Dodger Stadium does not call for sudden upgrade in wagerline.
He pitched for the Dodgers and posted pretty good numbers there why shouldn't feel comfortable on that mound. The Cubs have had the Red Bird's numbers, 16-9 for 2 season, 6-3 this season and 3-0 at Wrigley.
St. Louis hitters only hitting .174 against LHP in last 10 games.
Going against Weaver again left bats hitting .332 & right bats hitting .286 very capable of giving up the big inning.
Waiting for price improvement.

CHI +137 for 2 units(W)
CHI +1.5 for -117 for 4 units(W)
Cubbies win.
2-0 +6.74 units

Wednesday MLB

Back on the D-Backs for the short game.
Take listed pitchers :
(AZ. Webb 3-0 1.16 ERA in July vs PH. Lieber 0-2 4.74 ERA in July)

ARZ -0.5 First 5 innings at +102 for 2 units(L)
Webb did not have it and the D-Backs did not score enough.
0-1 -2.00 units

Tuesday MLB

Philadelphia may have swept the Diamondbacks in Arizona, but that was in June and July is looking up for the Snakes.
Arizona blows the big lead to lose against Colorado giving up 4 runs in the 9th Monday night. I think it's a good bitter pill.
Take the listed pitchers Batista and Madson.
Batista is pitching great, but Madson is 6.69 at home and right handed bats are hitting .349 Arizona OPS is very hot coming off 7-3 home stand.

ARZ +115 for 2 units(W)
Pulled it out in extra innings!
1-0 +2.30 units

Monday MLB

Stuck in the doldrums. Maybe a change of scenery or maybe cooler place to do the thinking might do the trick.

Going with Randy Johnson pitching in Texas. Milwood is good, but more of a road warrior.

NYY -118 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Sunday MLB

Taking the game in Kansas City with the Angels sending the younger Weaver.
His older brother was no help last night. Halo's money pitcher will face Duckworth who is coming off his best outing against Boston, but he is 6.55 at home and right hand bats are hitting .379

LAA -1.5 at -110 for 2 units(W)
-------------------------------------------------------------
I going to add the night game Braves at Phillies. Left/right pitching hitting match up with last 10 games is very high (Atlanta vs right .345 & Philadelphia vs left .330). Both Myers and Ramirez have out pitched their average. Ramirez if true to form should implode tonight and if Braves pick up where they left off Myers should be gone around the 5th inning. Pen for the Braves are through the roof and Phillies with 15 innings used in last three games have 1.80 WHIP and 7.20 ERA.

ATL/PHL OVER 9.5 +102 for 2 units(L)
Phillies out hit the Braves 11 to 5 and they only score 1 run?
1-1 0.00 units

Saturday MLB

Time to rethink these selections. Can't keep giving games and expect things to turn by luck.
Looking for scoring which means weak pitching and I will look for rising WHIP as the key indicator. On the hitting side I will use .700+ OPS.
Hitter friendly ballpark & .300+ RISP.

I do have something in that mold. Take listed pitchers Bush and Mays.

This total was taking some wild swings prior to the window closing.

MIL/CIN Over 5.5 First 5 innings at -111 for 2 units(W)
---------------------------------------------------------------

Going to Dodger Stadium. Must go support the home team as the West is up for grabs. The Cards love to play here and it reflects their recent record, but I have strong home team winning trend when I'm there.
Besides Jeff Weaver owes me some money I need to collect.

LAD -0.5 First 5 innings+124 for 1 unit(L)
LAD -105 First 5 innings for 2 units(L)
LAD -104 for 2 units(L)
1-3 -3.18 units

Friday MLB

All the pitchers I back are getting knocked around. The better choice on my angle seems to be Over than strong pitching side.

I need to take one to stop the skid. Hoping Bedard will be the cure and this is pricy road fav with away record of 17-28, but Bedard is the top money maker for the O's and D-Rays are dismal 4-11 in July. Baltimore 70% winning percentage over D-Rays.

BAL -137 for 3 units(No Action)
I'd rather have Bedard not start than have him implode on the mound.

------------------------------------------------------------
Colorado with Aaron Cook vs Arizona with Claudio Vargas.
Vargus in bit of a funk coming off 2 sub par outing. There's a chance he'll bounce back at home tonight, but Cook is the better pitcher.
Rockies 1-9 in last 10 games, 5 of those losses are the 1 run variety.
Rox look better in the First 5.

COL PK -102 First 5 innings for 1 unit(L)
There goes a perfectly good Friday. Giving up 2 out runs and not able to cash in the runners will lose everytime.
0-1 -1.02 units

Thursday MLB

Back on the Halos. On the Road facing KCR with Gobble on the mound.
Santana is pitching a breakout season and the line up, although taking the loss in last home game, is hot in July. Angels hot streak started on the road and their road record is better than home. OPS numbers show substantial advantage for the Angels tonight.

LAA -0.5 First 5 innings -122 for 2 units(L)
LAA -1.5 at -111 for 2 units(L)
Should of known when Angels blew a golden opportunity at the 5th to take the lead and all the comedy of errors everything went against me.
0-2 -4.66 units

Wednesday MLB

I'm going back to good pitching with hot home team making it a very high percentage play. The big picture on MLB is home favs takes most wins.
The problem with this is even few losses at heavy price will change the bottom line.

The Indians at Angels in last game of the series playing the afternoon game.
Byrd was good in Halo's uniform last year and his role has not changed much, eat up 6~7 innings keep the game close. He will be motivated in his return to Anaheim stadium looking to stop the sweep and the skid. Byrd is perfect 2-0 with 4.08 career ERA against the Angels.
The home team will send the big gun, lights out of recent games and playing his best, Big John Lackey serving up strikes mowing batters down.
Byrd will have a tough job today as Angels line up is hot up and down.

LAA -1 Run Line at -122 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.44 units

Monday MLB

Two hot NL teams play at Bush Stadium tonight.
Atlanta trying to right the ship swinging big bats and their main man Chipper is heating up. St Louis also very hot and they will send newly acquired Jeff Weaver to the mound. Opposing pitcher Horacio Ramirez for the Braves coming off a very bad outing, 7 runs in one innings and chased out of the game with only 3 outs recorded. Prior outings were good, on 7/02 going 8 innings 7 hits 3 runs no walks 4 strike outs, on 6/27 going 8 innings 7 hits 1 run 1 walk 3 strike outs. He's basically pitching quality at 3 to 1 ratio.
The resurrection of Weaver might be tougher to swallow looking at his first half with the Angels, but he says he's happy to be back in NL and thinks he fits better who am I to argue. He has 5 out of last 7 quality starts. He has always matched well against the Braves. Albert Pujols is surging and Cards are doing it with pitching when the hits aren't there, rallying from behind and just plain out hitting.
Sounds like a game to pass? Figuring both pitchers to scatter 7~8 hits across 6+ innings giving up 3~4 runs. Starting pitchers no factor in this outcome.
I'll back the home team even with the Braves pounding the NL west they will face much stronger opposition tonight on the road, crossing over time zone and the weakest link, Braves bull pen, makes St Louis cardinals the play of the day.


STL -125 for 2 units(L)
Jeff, Jeff, Jeff....what to do with this pitcher? I had such expectation on this outing.
0-1 -2.50 units

One of the great old ball park. I've been here many times and there is nowhere like it. 

Sunday MLB

Taking Mets with El Duque playing at Wrigley Field. Cubs will Send the big lefty Sean Marshall. Pitching does not look predictable on either side but, I do think this is Mets game to win or lose with the better make up.

NYM -124 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Here is the look at Camden Yards. 

Camden Yards in Baltimore is another classic ball park. Just look at the inner harbor. 

Friday MLB

It's Friday. Feels like another scorcher in Los Angeles and the brush fires are raging in the outskirts.

I guess the sharp money is moving the Cubs line, but I don't know about this Mets/Cubs match up Cubs have not recorded 4 wins in a row since..... have they done it this season? Mets 1-8 in last 9 in Chicago, but when are we talking about? I think Cubs peaked in Milwaukee and reverse course at home.
There are better games on the board, but I lean Mets with improved price.

---------------------------------------------------------------
My take. Texas, Rangers after outscoring opponents by 5+ runs, against right hand pitcher who has not reached 7 innings in last 3 starts and pen with 4.00+ ERA in last 3 games.

TEX -118 for 2 units(W)
I know I should of posted the Mets as a play, but the wager window was already closed or just about and figured Rangers would be the easier play. They cashed, but Mets would of been the easier pick.
1-0 +2.00 units

Thursday MLB

Sorry the title has been corrected to "Thursday" from "Wednesday".

Taking the Run Line with the home team at Metrodome. Lee has pitched well in June, but Cleveland must be feeling bit disappointed with him this season. He could come back to finish strong, but I need to see some domination first. What's wrong? Opposition is hitting him much easier than last season, opposition on the road is hitting him, his ground out to fly out ratio is not consistent and his June start included teams on down trend with good run support (Cards, Cubs and against Angels got 14 runs).
On the other side look up "Domination" and you will find the photo of Francisco Lariano.


MIN -1.5 at +105 for 2 units(L)
The Kid did not have his game. Late inning looked interesting, but this one had no chance.
----------------------------------------------------------
Adding.

Texas with Padilla at Baltimore with Cabrera.
Cabrera is laboring throwing too many pitches. Padila has been logging quality starts.

TEX -0.5 First 5 innings at +115 for 1 unit(L)
Pure bad luck. All the Texas runs came in after the 5th inning.
I playing Texas again after outscoring opponents by 5+ runs.

0-2 -3.00 units

Backing the kid with 10-1 and wicked ERA. 

The aging Dome. 

Looking at the game in Minneapolis. This is another great city to visit the Twin City is so under rated it's great. If you get a chance to come here do take the RiverCity Trolley Tour. There's also the Mall of America, if your into Malls, it's the biggest.

If you like good old fashion Americana be sure to dine at Murray's.
Established in 1946 by Art and Marie Murray at 26 South Sixth Street in Minneapolis. Be sure to try the Butter Knife Steak.

All Star Game 2006

Just look at that back drop with Allegheny river on the north shore of downtown Pittsburgh great place for baseball.
We have chance for T-Storm tonight currently partly cloudy 82 F, 62% humidity and 9mph wind blowing south. Not much to point out as AL have been winning these match ups and interleague outcomes points to the same way. But looking at the match up AL holds little value.

ALL STAR GAME OVER 5.5 First 5 innings -122 for 1 unit(L)
Glad to take a break here.
0-1 -1.22 units

Beautiful PNC Park 

MLB All Star Game 

Sunday MLB

Early selection on the overnight line.

Reds with Arroyo/Atlanta with Thomson.
Arroyo took the loss in his last outing, but Thomson is really shaky his ERA is higher at home 5.63 ERA, right bats hitting .314 left hitting .288 and this month he is sporting 12.27 ERA.

CIN -0.5 First 5 innings +103 for 2 units(L)
--------------------------------------------------
O's with Lopez/Indians with Westbrook.
Baltimore 16-28 on the road with last 10 games going 3-7. O's have not won AL series going back into June.
Lopez is under achieving 5-10 and he is hittable in current form.
Westbrook is on the surge and Indians should take this from the start.

CLE -0.5 First 5 innings -120 for 2 units(W)

1-1 0.00 unit

Saturday MLB

Back to the basics.
Yanks with Wang against D-Rays with Kazmir.
Kaz has been throwing lights out at home and he has taken out the best of them. I expect the Tropicana Field to light up orange tonight.

TAMP -104 for 2 units(L)
----------------------------------------------------
Zona with Webb against Rockies with Jennings. I'll take Webb on the road.

ARZ -108 for 1 unit(W)
ARZ -0.5 First 5 innings at +124 for 1 unit(L)
------------------------------------------------------
Reds with Harang vs Braves with Smoltz. Taking Smoltz at home.
ATL -127 for 2 units(W)
--------------------------------------------------------
Once again Angels at Oakland to be a low scoring.
LAA/OAK Under 8.5 -124 for 1 unit(L)
LAA -125 for 2 units(W)
LAA -0.5 First 5 innings +109 for 1 unit(W)
------------------------------------------------------
Jays and Royals to be high scoring
TOR/KCR Over 9.5 -113 for 1 unit(W)
5-3 +2.77 units

Friday MLB

A new day, had a bad one last night.
That Reds vs Braves game last night was a blow out for me at the first 5, but the game turned close with Reds 5 run rally towards the end. Braves will need to put away games like that at home it just proved to me they are still to be faded. I'm not doing that tonight and it'll be a blue moon before I back Mays again.

My takes for tonight.
Arizona at Colorado, Batista vs B.H. Kim at Coors Field.
Batista coming off a gem. Kim effective at home
ARZ/COL UNDER 5.5 -112 for 2 units(L)
*It has been raining in Denver if they can't play this wager is cancelled.
That would be very lucky to get this loser off my book.
-----------------------------------------------
NYY/TAMP J. Wright vs J. Seo.
Seo just blows and he's been giving it up early, East Coast West Coast no difference. Wright was hit, but good thing Yanks were hitting harder, look for Wright to bounce bak.
NYY -0.5 First 5 innings -108 for 2 units(W)
-----------------------------------------------
Minnesota at Texas Rangers C. Silva vs J. Wasdin.
Fading Wasdin after Milwood getting pushed back. Heavy load with Twins even at home. I think Twins will step up after the KC set back.
MIN First 5 +109 for 2 units(L)

Zona and Rox resumed play and there goes my luck.
1-2 -2.24 units

Thursday MLB

You would think these short work week are easy, but in reality the work load is condensed and there are more to do than working a regular week. Nothing comes easy and if sounds too good to be true.... you know the rest.

Look at the game in Turner Field tonight. The Reds come to play with Mays who will get hit, but look at his outing 2 starts ago against the Mets when Joe was in the divers seat. In this Reds vs Braves match up I think Hudson is getting too much chalk for what he's done this season and Reds can get to him as much as Braves to Mays the difference is name recognition.
Taking the Reds on the short game. Not sold on strength of Atlanta.

CIN +170 First 5 innings for 2 units(L)
CIN -0.5 at +209 First 5 innings for 1 unit(L)
That was reaching, but got to take my shots at the dog sometimes.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Late game additions.
Hendrickson takes the mound at Dodger Stadium. He lost his first start on the road, but Dodgers are hot at home fighting for first place position in NL West.
Backing the Dodgers against Cain and the Giants. Giving 0.5 runs for the First 5 innings.

LAD -0.5 First 5 innings at +116 for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------------
Angels at Oakland. Escobar for the Halos going against Loaiza.
These two teams match up Under and that has played out 20-8-1.
Take the starting pitchers to do their job.

LAA/OAK Under 4.5 First 5 innings at +100 for 2 units(L)
Hitting rough road.
0-4 -7.00 units

Fourth of July MLB

Everyone's looking for fireworks today/tonight and you know how it is with the grill going, brews flowing, games going things could get out of hand before you know it. It's OK to have fun just keep your money on your mind.

The Total at Safeco Field is looking good when you could take it down to O/U 8
Santana's having some control issues, but Angels bats are coming back.

SEA/LAA OVER 8 at -106 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit

Monday MLB

This is long 4th of July Weekend and I was planning to play some games, but no I'm taking care of people coming in and out. Can't a capper get some time around here?

Wang on the hill for the Yanks in Cleveland. Indians sending young Jeremy Sowers. Backing the Yanks on the road for the short game. NYY pen has been taxed, but the OPS is climbing. Look for the advantage in First 5 innings

NYY -128 First 5 innings for 2 units(L)
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Making late game additions.
Tigers at Oakland. Listed pitchers Robertson for Detroit, Blanton for Oakland.

DET -120 for 2 units(L)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Angels at Seattle. Listed pitchers Jered Weaver for Angels against Felix Hernadez for Mariners.

LAA +117 for 1 unit(W)
It was not a good night. A little adjustment from inter-league plays will be required for 4th of July.
1-2 -3.79

Saturday MLB

Was planning to wait till morning, but I'll take it now.
Angels with Escobar coming off his worst outing this season against the Diamondbacks. He should be much better at home.
Dodgers with newly acquired Hendrickson looks to eat up innings.

Checking the line in the morning should of waited. You'll get better price now at -114 First Half.

LAD/LAA Under 5 First 5 innings -125 for 2 units(Push)

Friday MLB

I like the match up in Texas.
Taking Houston with Roy Oswalt over Rangers with Vincente Padilla.

HOU -107 for 2 units(L)
Public play gets killed. Padilla was on his game.
0-1 -2.14 units

Thursday MLB

Feeling the Under today at the Great American Ball Park.
Getting a good Total tonight with Bobby Keppel coming off shaky outing against the Brewers, but he was throwing strikes and the final total landed at 9.
Bronson Arroyo for the Reds at home. His last outing 6 innings 5 hit 3 runs loss is bad is it gets Arroyo is very good after 6 inning performance rebounding deep in the next game. He is pitching 2.49 ERA at home, 2.10 ERA at night and 2.03 ERA against right hand bats.

KCR/CIN UNDER 9.5 at -111 for 1 unit(L)
Keppel was throwing strikes again and batters got good wood on them.
This game did not look Under at all.
0-1 -1.11 units

Wednesday MLB

It's one of those hot no breeze day in L.A.
Early games are under way, but I'm looking at the game in Chase Field.
If you play the SEA/ARZ by the book the play is on ARZ ML after loss by 4 runs or more and against SEA after 3 straight wins.
But I going to buck the trend a bit by taking the Mariners on the short game.
Don't like RHP Edgar Gonzalez in this spot coming into Mariners hot wheel house. RHP Felix Hernandez is having the best month in 2006 so far.

SEA First 5 inning at -122 for 2 units(Push)
Try to get cute and get no prize. Should of played straight game.

Tuesday MLB

Looking to stay ahead of the count, but seems like I'm always chasing time.
How I wish there was 28 hours in a day.

Going with Boston Red Sox at home. Taking Lester the young left hander over the Cuban Alay Soler.
Like Red Sox at home and though Mets are playing great road games the Sox OPS percentage tells me Red Sox are the hotter team. Left hander pitching against the Mets is added plus.

BOS -0.5 First 5 innings +105 1 unit(W)
BOS First 5 innings -124 for 2 units(W)
BOS -125 for 2 units(W)

Very nice day with Red Sox doing what they're supposed to do.
3-0 +5.05 units

Monday MLB

Back from short hiatus.

Backing Twins at home hosting young Billingsley and the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Silva will take the mound for the home team. He is back in form since his struggles in May.

MIN -113 for 2 units(W)
Good to get right back on the winner.
Be back tomorrow.
1-0 +2.00 units

Friday MLB

Spot for both pitchers to recover under controlled conditions.

NYM/TOR UNDER 10 at -109 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit

Thursday MLB

There is a big game today in Houston with the return of Roger Clemens.
All eyes on Rocket, but the prize is with Lariano.

MIN -114 for 1 unit(W)
1-0 +1.00 unit

Wednesday MLB

Last season Jeff Weaver than pitcher for LA Dodgers settled down this time of the year and had some games where he really looked liked Dream Weaver.
It doesn't mean it's going to happen again here, but he is a streaky pitcher with great stuff. I've always been amazed by the array of weapons he commands it's just he doesn't string them togeather all the time and he can get rattled giving up big innings. I love to see the Angels stop the skid, but falling defense and slumping bats make them a tough choice.
Noah Lowry was roughed up in Seattle, but his start before against Pirates at home was a good one.
Looking for another Under.

LAA/SFG UNDER 9 at -113 for 1 unit(Push)

0-0-1

Tuesday MLB

Another day another chance. One play on the short game
Twins with Radke and Astros with Oz to battle it out.

MIN/HOU First Half Under 4.5 -111 for 2 units(L)
0-1 -2.22 units

Monday MLB

Back to the bases. Moving along to mile high Denver, Oakland A's with Dan Haren against the home team Rockies with BK. Haren has been on fire and BK is not going to be a competition.
Take the early game and win this by a run or better.

OAK -0.5 First 5 innings at Even for 2 units(L)
That was a loser Kim looked much sharper than Haren.
0-1 -1.00 unit

Friday MLB

Interleague plays start today. I'll be on Minnesota at Pittsburgh with two winning pitchers, Larinao for the Twins and Snell for the Pirates. I'm Lariano bias, but giving respect to Snell pitching winning ball since mid May his last 3 starts gives him 0.93 WHIP and 1.40 ERA with all three games going Under. Lariano is lights out his last 3 is 0.89 WHIP with 1.42 ERA and I think he has the edge with Pirates only hitting 1.71 against LHP in last 10 games, but my play on this game is the early Under in National League ballpark with pitchers batting.

MIN/PIT Under 4.5 First 5 innings at -114 for 3 units(W)
I was right with Minny too.
1-0 +3.00 units

Thursday MLB

Fernando Nieve on the mound for Houston Astros in Wrigley where Carlos Zambrano will pick it up for the Cubs.
Nieve with improving 2.92 ERA in June throwing 2.20 ERA against right.
Carlos has given up more than 2 runs only once since May.
May the pitchers battle it out

HOU/CUB Under 5 First 5 innings at -107 for 2 units(W)
1-0 +2.00 units

Wednesday MLB

Now it's Wednesday selection.

Take a look at the game in PetCo Park.
Dodgers coming off a bad loss and today Los Angeles will send tough as nails Brad Penny to the mound. He is solid matching his best career start at 7-1.
San Diego will counter with Mike Thompson who bobbles and weaves his way.
Mike is pitching dangerously and I see the Dodgers tattooing him early.

LAD -0.5 First 5 innings at +102 for 2 units(L)
Can't believe this one lost. LA take 2 nothing lead to start, I step away to find the game go down 2-3 end of 5 innings. Penny with sub-par pitching Dodgers lose 2nd in a row.
0-1 -2.00 units

Tuesday MLB

Sorry the title should of read "Tuesday" instead of "Wednesday"

Seattle Mariners with veteran Jamie Moyer on the mound against Oakland A's with Joe Blanton getting the ball. This is a spot for Mariners to drop as they are 2-12 money line after 3 straight wins over past 2 seasons.
Oakland 6-1 against Seattle this season.
Blanton 4-1 against Seattle with his team recording 5-1.
Moyer is 13-11 against Oakland with his team recording 17-15.

OAK -121 for 2 units(W)

Bounce back day.
1-0 +2.00 units

Monday MLB

Since switching the title to start with the date instead of "MLB" selections are getting better, just kidding.

I'm going to side with Southern California pitcher, UCLA product Casey Janssen, taking the mound for the Blue Jays at home. He will be facing veteran Kris Benson and the Baltimore Orioles. Although Benson has been keeping the O's in game and eating innings he has recorded 2 losses, 2 no decision with three of those games being Orioles losses in his last 4 starts. He also sports inflated road 5.85 ERA.
Casey, the Jays rookie, has gone 4 wins and 1 no decision with all 5 games being Blue Jay wins in his last 5 starts. He has pitched 5 or more innings since May.
This kid can throw strikes and he's a winner.

I don't trust Toronto's pen.

TOR -0.5 First 5 innings -107 for 3 units(L)
I give the local kid all the praise and he lets me down. Benson did look vintage.
0-1 -3.21 units

Saturday MLB

Today I will side with Rockies to hit Tomko/Dodgers in the early going.
Jennings to hold the Blue at bay.

Tomko had been 0-4 with a 8.28 ERA over his first five starts in Denver.
The veteran right-hander is 0-3 with a 10.38 ERA over his last three outings.
He has not lasted longer than 5 1/3 innings in any of those starts while giving up four homers.

COL First 5 innings -111 for 2 units(W)

1-0 +2.00 units

Friday MLB

Taking the following selections with listed pitchers at Pinnacle.
Enjoy the games and good luck as always.

LAD -130 for 2 units(W)

TB -121 for 1 unit(L)

BAL +106 for 1 unit(L)

CWS -132 for 2 units(W)

SDP -169 for 1 unit(W)

*2 teamers
SDP + LAD(W 0.91)
SDP + CWS(W 0.86)
LAD + CWS(W 1.04) for 0.5 units ea.

*3 teamer SDP + LAD + CWS for 0.5 units(W 1.95)

*5 teamer with all of above for 0.25 units(L)

All games were in reach picked the perfect parlay combo to make today
exciting and profitable.
7-3 +7.30 units

MLB Tuesday

While I'm in the Big Apple just happens to be the Boston Yankees series.
What coincidence.....I'll be clearing my desk after lunch and promptly be in Bronx by batting practice time.

NYY -0.5 First 5 innings at -112 for 2 units(L)
They won the game, but does not help.

-----------------------------------------------------

Twins, Lariano taking the mound in Seattle against Felix Hernadez.
Twins are struggling on this road trip and they are lacking offense, but if there's a bright side it's Santana, Lariano and the pen. Besides they're schedule caught Angels surging and Oakland pitching at it's best. Mariners will be the softest part of this trip. Mariners start June at home on winning note, but it was the Royals series at home Twins are not as easy.
Felix is improving, but he's serving up the long ball in almost every outing. Lariano's is throwing nasty stuff with lefties hitting 1.84 ERA and commanding 0.42 ERA for last 30 days. That's lights out.


MIN -111 for 2 units(L)
Felix out pitched Lariano making it 2 losers for the day.
I don't have the edge when I don't have enough time.
I'm returning to So Cal where the girls are always tanned and I'll have home advantage.

0-2 -4.46 units

MLB Monday

How about them Angels now making their way South East to Tampa Bay.
Jamie Shields gets the ball for the D-Rays the kid's not bad, but the current Angels bats are meaner than what he faced in Baltimore.
Will Jeff Weaver give up a big inning? I'm counting on him to have a good game. He's been improving and his last outing ground out ratio was fantastic.
His younger brother on his heels I hope he feeds off of that.
This might be closer than the Indians game, but take the Angels.

LAA -128 for 2 units(L)
Weaver looked pretty good after the 1st, but damage was done.
Shields had that change up working and that was my only concern with this kid. The ML moved against me and the late players had TB.

-----------------------------------------------------
Mets are sending the Cuban, Alay Soler, on his third start. The bottom of the pitching rotation is a work in progress for the Mets. This guy is just throwing too many pitches and Dodgers are making good contact playing National League kind of ball. Tomko has been shaky this New York line up is going to give him trouble. Taking the First Half scoring.

NYM/LAD First Half Over 5 at -106 for 1 unit(L)
This was a game that started with that "Over" feel, but nothing doing all goose eggs after the 3 run 1st inning and Yes the public lost on Over 9 for the game.

0-2 -3.62 units