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Sunday, September 16, 2007

MLB Monday

1-1 last selection YTD 100-73-1 +41.54 units

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Is a one sided proposition late in Season with New York looking to win every game left, playing at home (47-27) against 'ready for a vacation Baltimore'. But let's consider how draining the Boston series was... Look back and see Baltimore has taken all the series against Yankees this year, not to mention Cabrera's 6 inning 2 hit no run performance in New York (8/14 Baltimore win @NYY 12-0). Another note here is Cabrera's wildness being not as apparent on the road with 67% quality starts. Baltimore comes in winning the series at Toronto, winning 3 of last 4 since stopping the sweep against Angels on 9/13.
Young Phil Hughes is a pitcher with stuff to stay in the Majors and offensive surges must take off some pressure, but he is a rookie who climbed the system very fast and more than likely will not factor into the result. He would of taken the loss against Baltimore last time if not for the O's pen getting Phil off the hook only to have Mariano give up 3 runs for that Yankees loss (8/15 Baltimore win @NYY 6-3)

Mariano was scary against BoSox in Sunday's game loading the bases it sure looked like another Ortiz walk off moment.

Play the sleeper Yankee nemesis of 2007.

BAL +235 for 1 unit(L)

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Red Sox travels north to match up with McGowan and Blue Jays. Toronto does not look inspired as they have dropped Baltimore, Tampa and New York series along with Tigers make up game for 3-7 record in last 10 games. Boston will not get any easier with 1-5 record against Red Sox in Toronto this season and Wakefield has been tough on Jays. Still Jays are winners at home and Boston after a Yankee series might show some after effects. Personally I side with Red Sox, but my play here is UNDER 9.5 McGowan is O/U 7-16 overall, at home 3-8, against AL East 1-6 showing 5 quality starts in last 7 with very good 1.037 WHIP.
Wakefield O/U 14-13-1 but 4-10 away. Coming off two rare ND starts and may have Over trend for Aug. & Sep, but where he has pitched deep he's not giving up much runs.

BOS/TOR UNDER -108 for 1 unit(W)

1-1 +0.00 units

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