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Thursday, September 06, 2007

MLB Thursday

0-1 last selection YTD 94-65-1 +42.83 units

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs.
Lowe better on road starts 10 quality out of 16 games compared to 6 out of 12 and Dodgers are true to the term "win at home tie on the road" with Lowe 7-5 home and 8-8 road record. He was chased at San Diego giving up a Grand Slam to Cameron and Gonzalez crushed another. The long ball has been over a month long problem serving them up 6 out of last 7, back to back multi homer games but strike to walk ratio is excellent and batters are grounding out in droves. O/U 15-11-2 overall, 7-9 away, Aug & one Sept starts 4-1-1.
Jason Marquis quality differential is not much home/away the difference is team wins at home going 12-3 vs away 6-7 O/U is 12-13-3 overall, 8-6-1 home, Aug. & one Sept. starts 2-4. Jason also keeping it on the ground. I think cubs split the series here but also like Lowe to improve. Wind maybe blowing out but number looks too high.

CUBS ML +102 for 1 unit(L)
LAD/CUBS UNDER 11.5 -114 for 1 unit(W)

Cubs had this game in their hip pocket and the number should of been more like 6 instead of 11!

Late game.
Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels.
Paul Byrd has been good this season matter of fact he is the top money pitcher in Indian's rotation. Not much differential home and away but he does show a much better road 3.49 ERA. He is O/U 4-7-1 away and only thing I don't like is Byrd coming off a complete game shutout. Escobar is 2nd in money among Angel starters but not much difference between Lackey, Escobar and Saunders. 15 home starts 10 quality and Angels are 11-4. O/U 9-17 overall, 6-9 at home and 7-16 as favorite poised to have a quality outing tonight.


CLE/LAA UNDER 9 at -119 for 1 unit(L)

1-2 -1.19 units

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