MLB Wednesday

1-0 last selection YTD 96-67-1 +43.37 units

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
September has not been kind to the Royals starting the month splitting the Minny road series losing the Texas road series came home got swept by Yankees and now they are on the verge of back to back sweep against the Twins. Silva getting the ball has already beat them twice and Royals will send capable but hard luck Gil Meche to stop the bleeding at 7.
I think they have a good chance. Carlos Silva is pitching strong with 6 quality out of last 7. Take out the Cleveland game and rest of August is all 7 innings of work 2 runs or less two 6 innings 3 run starts in September, but Twins are 3-4 in those starts. His 11-13 and Twins 13-16 are combined balance of grossly opposite home 8-4 (Twins 10-5) road 3-9 (Twins 3-11) record.
Gil Meche has no wins to show for his recent effort you'll have to go back to July 20 at Cleveland and Royals are only 40% winner with Meche at home or away but if you notice O/U 4-11 at home he's tight at Kauffman and Royals record does not do justice. I do like KC here, but like the Under better.

MIN/KCR UNDER 8.5 at +116 for 1 unit(L)

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Braves will send Smoltz to the mound and he has 23 quality out of 28 games and tough luck record of 13-7 Braves winning 16-12. His team wins marginal 57% but only 2 of Braves 7 recent losses with Smoltz are more than 1 run. He is 7 quality for last 7 games. Maine has only 6 quality out of 14 home starts with Mets going 7-7. He has only 1 quality start out of last 7. Braves line up maybe little lite but like Smoltz at this price.

ATL +102 for 1 unit(L)

0-2 -2.00 units