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Saturday, September 01, 2007

MLB Sunday

4-2 last selection YTD 91-63-1 +37.53 units

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves.
Early action big game with Mets 74-60 overall and good road record of 39-30 against Braves 69-66 and home record of 34-32 but known to heat up in September. These two teams in recent form is producing just above 9 runs average. Glavine looks hittable with 1.63 WHIP last 3 games and Braves hitting lefties .353 average over last 10 games up from .276 average. Smoltz is better on the road, quality and team wins, but he is pitching well right now with 6 quality out of last 7 only his team is 3-4. Come to think of it Glavine has 6 quality out of last 7 and Mets are 3-4. There has been 2 meets this season with Mets losing both and splitting Over/Under 1-1 but games are too old. This is what I think with money moving Over 8.5 both pitchers are wise old warriors pitching in September good chance of bringing their A-game. Glavine 5-10-1 O/U in away games, 2-7-1 O/U against NL East. Smoltz 3-8-1 O/U in home games, 3-8-0 O/U against NL East. This match up is currently 1-7 O/U in Atlanta this season.

How did I get +118? Offered it on the Overnight line at Matchbook and someone took the Over at -118 giving me Under +118! Very nice.

Backing NYM/ATL Under 8.5 at +118 for 1 unit(W)

Late game addition with double down big dog.
Texas Ranger at Los Angeles Angels.
Rangers are surging and they will send Gabbard who is pitching very well. Lackey for Angels has been money all season but he is hittable and good at toughing it out of jams. The problem with Angels at this expensive price is they are playing uninspired baseball once again. After sweeping Seattle at Seattle they should be blowing out this whipping boy team from Texas but they are not and Rangers have been in it for this series. Can Angels drop this series? I know how unlikely this may seem at home, but do not under estimate a team on a surge.

TEX +206 for 2 units(W)

2-0 +5.30 units

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